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Describe Severe Weather Event 40 Ft. swell/wave hitting Manhattan Realistic or Not? Or qualify (ex. Possible but not the way it is done in the film) Not Realistic as portrayed in film. Actual Cause/Explanation with source of information No wave can grow this large without breaking, says NASA oceanographer David Adamec. http://www.usatoday.com/weather/resources/cli mate/2004-05-27-day-after-science_x.htm Fast temperature drop in less than a week (New York) No it is not possible. No. While the atmosphere warms and cools on the scale of hours (the morning is cooler than mid-day, for example) a change in ocean circulation (Figure 1) that would trigger a climate effect would take place on the scale of decades at the very fastest. The ocean, because of its immense volume and the slow rate at which it gains and loses heat, cannot physically change as quickly as depicted in the movie. Ice sheets and glaciers, also because of their immense mass, cannot melt away in a matter of weeks. It is worth keeping in mind that an "abrupt" climate change, which may take place over a decade, is abrupt from a geologic perspective, in which many phenomena take place on the time scales of hundreds of thousands to millions of years. http://www.whoi.edu/ page.do?pid=12455&ti d=282&cid=9948 1 Huge Hurricane over land Not possible No. Hurricanes, by definition, gather strength from heat and moisture from warm ocean waters. They lose strength over land, and when the air or water temperature falls below tropical levels. Hurricanes cannot form in the Arctic. In addition, no storm could grow large enough to cover the entire northern hemisphere. Storms and strong winds form because of a gradient in atmospheric pressure. You can have a strong gradient (and therefore a strong wind) over only relatively small distances. It cannot be stormy everywhere at once. http://www.whoi.edu/ page.do?pid=12455&ti d=282&cid=9948 -150 degrees Rise in the sea level from global warming In addition, a chill of minus 150° F is colder than any temperature so far observed in nature. The lowest recorded temperature on Earth was minus 128.6° F at Vostock, Antarctica on July 21,1983. (http://www.newton.dep.anl.gov /askasci/env99/env040.htm) The coldest recorded temperature in North America was minus 81.4° F at Snag in the Yukon Territory, on February 3, 1947. Possible http://www.whoi.edu/ page.do?pid=12455&ti d=282&cid=9948 Yes. There are two modes of sea level rise: rapid and gradual. A gradual rise in sea level has been occurring for the last 5,000 2 years. Global warming accelerates this rise by converting land ice (glaciers) to water and adding it to the oceans. Global warming also causes water to expand in volume as it warms. This thermal expansion of the oceans results in increasing sea level. The effect of thermal expansion on sea level is thought to be more pronounced in midto high latitudes than nearer the tropics. On average, sea level is rising today at more than 0.08 inches (2 millimeters) per year and if the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change is correct, that rate may approach 0.2 to 0.32 inches (5 to 8 millimeters) per year by 2100—the fastest sea level rise in the last 7,000 years. http://www.whoi.edu/ page.do?pid=12455&ti d=282&cid=9948 3 Part of the US in ice age Possible thermohali ne shut down Possible The United States. Though Americans make up just 4 percent of the world's population, we produce 25 percent of the carbon dioxide pollution from fossil-fuel burning -- by far the largest share of any country. In fact, the United States emits more carbon dioxide than China, India and Japan, combined. Clearly America ought to take a leadership role in solving the problem. And as the world's top developer of new technologies, we are well positioned to do so -- we already have the know-how. http://www.nrdc.org/ globalWarming/f101.a sp Global warming is expected to increase ocean temperatures and to increase the flow of freshwater into the ocean through precipitation, runoff, and melting of glaciers. Many climate models have projected that 4 increased surface ocean temperatures and reduced salinity could slow or completely “shut down” the thermohaline circulation. http://www.msnbc.msn .com/id/5058474/#sto ryContinued So many tornados in California No possible Both these observations prove either that "The Day After Tomorrow" is full of high-tech distortion, or that the movie's makers live in a realityfree environment. Here are the facts: The number of tornadoes is going up because of dramatic improvements in detection technology. As the first weather radar network went online in the 1960s and '70s, tornados rose in proportion with the increase in the number of stations. They then leveled out until the newergeneration Doppler radars became operational in 1988, when the number of 5 The truth in the definition of global warming from the movie twisters again rose proportionally. The filmmakers might have looked up the history of severe tornadoes, ones that rank from F3 through F5 on the Fujita scale, a metric analogous to the better-known SaffirSimpson hurricane scale. There's actually a slight decline in these killer storms. There are "more" tornados only because the new radar technologies are detecting weaker storms that cause little damage and were previously unseen. http://www.washingto npost.com/ac2/wpdyn/A283382004May14?language=p rinter The truth is that global warming is happening and that it is already too late to avoid some of the effects. Even under the most optimistic circumstances, atmospheric scientists expect global climate change to result in increased flooding 6 Birds migrating south when should be migrating north Possible and droughts, more severe storms, and a loss of plant and animal species. These events will occur, even if climate change is gradual. http://www.msnbc.msn .com/id/5058474/#sto ryContinued Whatever the ultimate cause, loop migrations evolved separately in each species to satisfy its particular needs, and this pattern occurs throughout the world among unrelated species. The annual flight of adult American GoldenPlovers illustrates the loop pattern (Figure 24). In the fall, the birds fattened on the rich crop of berries along the coasts of Labrador and Nova Scotia depart south over the Atlantic Ocean to South America. They stop briefly on the coast and then continue overland to the pampas of Argentina where they remain from September to March. When these 7 golden-plovers leave their winter quarters they cross northwestern South America and the Gulf of Mexico to reach the North American mainland on the coasts of Texas and Louisiana. Thence they proceed slowly up the Mississippi Valley and, by the early part of June, are again on their breeding grounds, having performed a round-trip journey in the form of an enormous ellipse with the minor axis about 2,000 miles and the major axis 8,000 miles stretching from the Arctic to the South Temperate Zone. The older birds may be accompanied by some of the young, but most of the immature birds leave their natal grounds later in summer after the adults and move southward through the interior of the country, returning in spring over essentially the same course. The oceanic route is therefore used chiefly by 8 adult birds. A return by the oceanic route in the spring could be fatal. The maritime climate in the Northeast results in foggy conditions along the coast and the frozen soil would offer scanty food resources for the weary travelers. By traveling up the middle of the continent, a much better food supply is assured. http://www.npwrc.usg s.gov/resource/birds /migratio/patterns.h tm Snow in New Delhi Massive baseball sized hail Possible possible Lowest recorded temperature in New Delhi in a year was 32 degrees http://www.washingto npost.com/wpsrv/weather/longterm /historical/data/new _delhi_india.htm Source: International Station Meteorological Climate Summary, Version 4.0 The largest hailstone ever recorded in the US (measured by circumference rather than weight) fell from a storm in Aurora, Nebraska on 9 June 22 2003. It measured 17.8cm wide and 47.6cm in circumference. Hail in east side of china Possible The heaviest hailstones on record weighed in at over 2 pounds (1 kilogram)... The heaviest hailstones on record weighed in at over 2 pounds (1 kilogram) and were reported to have killed 92 people in Gopalganj, Bangladesh, on the 14 April 1986. http://www.bbc.co.uk /weather/features/un derstanding/hail.sht ml HONG KONG, China -The death toll from a freak hail storm in China has risen to 25, further fueling complaints from residents over the failure of forecasters to issue adequate warnings. Fierce storms on Friday pummeled the Henan and Guangdong provinces, causing a shower of egg-sized hail and rising floodwaters. The hailstorm, with 10 winds of up to 75 kmh, uprooted trees, smashed car windscreens, cut off electricity and destroyed buildings. http://archives.cnn. com/2002/WEATHER/07/ 22/weather.china.hai l/index.html PARAGRAGH AT BOTTOM OF PAGE FACT OR FICTION 11 BY: KATJA GALLI I believe that global warming is a fact and we are living it as we speak, we have gone up in average temps 1 degree. And humans can take a dramatic action in stopping global warming (those who believe in it) for we are the ones who caused the glaciers to melt and the whole world to slowly die. We have slowly evolved in to a world that demands energy and oil. But we can stop it we just have to agree on what to do. Cars, planes and trains oh my! All of those oil lovers are what’s driving us up the wall we cant stop using them. But we need to because you better pick your world, your life or your new Hummer I defiantly now witch one I am picking my life and I will do anything to keep it, even if it means getting rid of my new Hummer. Cars like hummers drink up a lot of oil and just one of those big cars can do a lot of damage, And bring tons of money to the power plants and mining companies. So walking or bike riding is always a good option and driving to far distances is to. 12 There are many ways to go green like installing solar panels or wind turbines to get energy in a less harmful way but we also waist energy by just using you electronics from home but that can be changed. Engineers have created household object that do not waist a lot of energy (like the one to the left) there are also many more from http://www.ourearth.org/. http://www.ourearth.org/ GOOD FILM http://www.leonardodicaprio.org/files/videos/globalwarn ing.html?q=whatsimportant/globalwarming_movie01.htm 13