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All Climate Change is Local: Understanding and Predicting the
All Climate Change is Local: Understanding and Predicting the

Climate change and marine plankton Graeme C. Hays , Anthony J. Richardson
Climate change and marine plankton Graeme C. Hays , Anthony J. Richardson

impact of climate change on the runoff regime of an eastern
impact of climate change on the runoff regime of an eastern

... historical data analyses have illustrated an overall rise in global surface air temperature by about 0.5°C– 1.1°C. The analysis of historical global surface temperature data since 1850 has also revealed that eleven of the recent twelve years (1995-2006) rank among the warmest years (IPCC, 2007). As ...
IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE RUNOFF REGIME OF AN
IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE RUNOFF REGIME OF AN

... For snow and ice, satellite data provides information in the Visible, Near Infra Red (NIR), Thermal Infra Red (TIR) and Microwave wavelengths. Further, storage, processing and analysis of the spatial data can be carried out with geographic information system (GIS). Many different instruments on sate ...
Climate Change Class at Osher Lifelong Learning
Climate Change Class at Osher Lifelong Learning

... No one can yet say for certain what increase in global-average surface temperature above the 1750 value is “too much,” in the sense that the consequences become truly unmanageable. In our judgment and that of a growing number of other analysts and groups, however, increases beyond 2°C to 2.5°C above ...
PDF
PDF

lepidoptera larvae as an indicator of multi
lepidoptera larvae as an indicator of multi

What Is El Niño? - Institute For Global Environmental Strategies
What Is El Niño? - Institute For Global Environmental Strategies

... Using the answers they obtained from the tutorial, discuss with students what happens in an El Niño year and a non-El Niño year in the tropical Pacific Ocean. List answers on the chalkboard or overhead projector, comparing it to the list from Step 1. ...
S1_Ammann_WIPS_Modeling – ppt
S1_Ammann_WIPS_Modeling – ppt

... need from the past! • What can be learned about sensitivity of polar ice sheets? • How quickly can sea level rise? ...
Introduction - Department of Meteorology and Climate Science
Introduction - Department of Meteorology and Climate Science

... (M. D. King, S. Platnick et al. – NASA GSFC) ...
Sensitivity of Crop Water Need to 2071–95
Sensitivity of Crop Water Need to 2071–95

... insignificant trends over Hispaniola since the 1900s but drying after 1978. In a study employing satellite data, Gamble et al. (Gamble et al. 2010) show a decrease in the standardized precipitation index over Jamaica, indicating more drought months between 1991 and 2008, as compared to 1979–91. Vali ...
THE ROLE OF LAND - SURFACE PROCESSES IN LOCAL, REGIONAL AND
THE ROLE OF LAND - SURFACE PROCESSES IN LOCAL, REGIONAL AND

Climate Change and Landscape Preservation
Climate Change and Landscape Preservation

... the interaction of human activity with natural systems, namely the “geography, geology, and biology of our planet.”21 The origins of this thinking in the U.S. lie with Carl Sauer’s work in the 1920s.22 The landscape is not easily understood by the casual or often even the educated viewer. As Shoard ...
Interpretation of Climate Change Scenarios
Interpretation of Climate Change Scenarios

... determine whether or not these events are due to climate change or to other factors, although some studies lead one to believe that these events were caused by warming attributable to the greenhouse effect (IPCC 2007b). The main objective of this technical document is to define some concepts related ...
Hurricanes - EnviroEcon
Hurricanes - EnviroEcon

... and PDO) ATMOS 1020, Climate Change, Thomas Reichler, U nivers ity of Utah, 31 ...
The likelihood and potential impact of future change in
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The global-scale impacts of climate change on water resources and
The global-scale impacts of climate change on water resources and

... assume the same rate of urbanisation (as in SRES A1b), and do not therefore reflect the different assumptions about urbanisation in the 5 SSPs. This would not substantially affect estimated exposure to water resources stress, because this is calculated at the watershed rather than individual grid ce ...
Assessment of impact of climate change on water resources: a long
Assessment of impact of climate change on water resources: a long

Antarctic climate change and the environment: an update
Antarctic climate change and the environment: an update

... latest numerical model projections of changes into the future, taking into account human influence through the release of greenhouse gases and chlorofluorocarbons to the atmosphere. The report highlighted the large uncertainties in the vulnerability of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS). The profou ...
Camille Parmesan Education
Camille Parmesan Education

... (PI) (1/1/2005-12/31/2016; 0.5 person/months) ($ 85,000) 2009 University of Texas Faculty Research Fellowship (PI) ($ 44,000) 2005 Joint grant from Aspen Global Change Institute and QUEST (Quantifying and Understanding the Earth System: "Biodiversity in a Changing Climate: Assessing Uncertainties" ( ...
USA–NPN Attributed Publications - USA National Phenology Network
USA–NPN Attributed Publications - USA National Phenology Network

... Jeong, S. - J., Medvigy, D., Shevliakova, E. & Malyshev, S. Predicting changes in temperate forest budburst using continental-scale observations and models. Geophysical Research Letters 1-6 (2013). Liang, L. & Schwartz, M. Testing a growth efficiency hypothesis with continental-scale phenological va ...
Global Climate Science, Uncertainty and Politics: Data
Global Climate Science, Uncertainty and Politics: Data

... (Yanai et a!., 1973). In addition, observed patterns exist which can be mathematically described, but whose physics are not understood. These, too, are represented in the models as parameters. Another, very important part of modellers’ work is known as ‘tuning’ the parameters. ‘Tuning’ means adjusti ...
Climate change challenges for European regions
Climate change challenges for European regions

... There is now unequivocal evidence that climate change is taking place, and it is very likely, that increases in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations resulting from human activity are causing global warming.2 Eleven of the last twelve years rank among the warmest years ever recorded since global ...
Greenhouse warming by nitrous oxide and methane in the
Greenhouse warming by nitrous oxide and methane in the

... a maximum of 100 ppmv, while holding N2O and CO2 constant at their present concentrations, 0.3 and 320 ppmv, respectively. We used 320 ppmv of CO2 to remain consistent with Pavlov et al. (2003). Calculations were performed for two different solar luminosities: 83% and 94% of present. These two value ...
Please use ‘calibri’ font
Please use ‘calibri’ font

... ICPAC Has more 10 years of operational climate service provision to Eastern Africa as a whole. Most recent example of regional vulnerability to climate extremes is failure of rainfall in large areas of Equatorial Eastern Africa since 2010 through most of 2011 with life threatening famine affecting l ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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