GSA presentation 2012
... Fact: “Climate change is occurring, is caused largely by human activities and poses significant risks for – and in many cases is already affecting – a broad range of human and natural systems.” ...
... Fact: “Climate change is occurring, is caused largely by human activities and poses significant risks for – and in many cases is already affecting – a broad range of human and natural systems.” ...
The Response of Precipitation Minus Evapotranspiration to Climate
... with climate warming, even though this is sometimes assumed to be the case. The physical basis of the simple scaling is weaker over land than ocean (Held and Soden 2006), and recent studies have found that it fails to capture simulated changes in P−E over land (Roderick et al. 2014) and is not confi ...
... with climate warming, even though this is sometimes assumed to be the case. The physical basis of the simple scaling is weaker over land than ocean (Held and Soden 2006), and recent studies have found that it fails to capture simulated changes in P−E over land (Roderick et al. 2014) and is not confi ...
Anthropogenic Global Warming? Beyond CO2
... dramatically changed, animals head for the hills, Antarctic grass flourishes, Antarctic ice grows, Antarctic ice shrinks, Antarctic sea life at risk, anxiety treatment, algal blooms, archaeological sites threatened, Arctic bogs melt, Arctic in bloom, Arctic ice free, Arctic ice melt faster, Arctic l ...
... dramatically changed, animals head for the hills, Antarctic grass flourishes, Antarctic ice grows, Antarctic ice shrinks, Antarctic sea life at risk, anxiety treatment, algal blooms, archaeological sites threatened, Arctic bogs melt, Arctic in bloom, Arctic ice free, Arctic ice melt faster, Arctic l ...
Weather, Climate, and Worldviews: The Sources
... in Al Gore’s film An Inconvenient Truth). But other dimensions of weather—notably patterns of precipitation that result in droughts and floods—are of great importance in characterizations of climate change and may also act as potent signals to individuals about larger trends in climate. Therefore a ...
... in Al Gore’s film An Inconvenient Truth). But other dimensions of weather—notably patterns of precipitation that result in droughts and floods—are of great importance in characterizations of climate change and may also act as potent signals to individuals about larger trends in climate. Therefore a ...
Climate change inspector with intentionally biased bootstrapping
... The relationship between temperature and precipitation has been studied in literature in order to predict the future variations of precipitation under the global warming condition. From the Clausius–Clapeyron (C–C) relation, saturation vapor pressure increases by 6–7 % for each 1 ◦ C increase in tem ...
... The relationship between temperature and precipitation has been studied in literature in order to predict the future variations of precipitation under the global warming condition. From the Clausius–Clapeyron (C–C) relation, saturation vapor pressure increases by 6–7 % for each 1 ◦ C increase in tem ...
A Realty Check on Global Warming
... other important agents and mechanisms, together with the typical geographical extent (spatial scale) of the forcing and the assessed level of scientific understanding (LOSU). The net anthropogenic radiative forcing and its range are also shown. These require summing asymmetric uncertainty estimates ...
... other important agents and mechanisms, together with the typical geographical extent (spatial scale) of the forcing and the assessed level of scientific understanding (LOSU). The net anthropogenic radiative forcing and its range are also shown. These require summing asymmetric uncertainty estimates ...
Decadal variations
... The Moon enables us to monitor one aspect of climate change, the earth’s reflectance Observe earthshine to determine absolutely calibrated, large-scale, high-precision measurements of the earth’s reflectance Look for secular, seasonal and long-term variations in the albedo (like over a solar ...
... The Moon enables us to monitor one aspect of climate change, the earth’s reflectance Observe earthshine to determine absolutely calibrated, large-scale, high-precision measurements of the earth’s reflectance Look for secular, seasonal and long-term variations in the albedo (like over a solar ...
Presentation
... • Statistical downscaling is much easier to apply than regional climate modelling. • In climate change studies, one important question is what implications a global warming has for the local climate. The local climate can be regarded as the result of a combination of the local geography (physiograph ...
... • Statistical downscaling is much easier to apply than regional climate modelling. • In climate change studies, one important question is what implications a global warming has for the local climate. The local climate can be regarded as the result of a combination of the local geography (physiograph ...
Tajikistan
... Water level in flood season on the rivers Vakhsh, Pyanj and Obihingou can raise significantly. The last decade appeared to be the warmest for the last 150 years at the global scale, and surface air temperature of our planet increased almost by 1°С. According to evaluations made by the Intergovernmen ...
... Water level in flood season on the rivers Vakhsh, Pyanj and Obihingou can raise significantly. The last decade appeared to be the warmest for the last 150 years at the global scale, and surface air temperature of our planet increased almost by 1°С. According to evaluations made by the Intergovernmen ...
Climate Change and Marine Turtles in the Wider Caribbean
... this uncertainty is to use different GCM projections in the regional models and present the results as a range of possible values. The current PRECIS-CARIBE projections were developed using the Hadley Centre GCM. However, future work by the project will incorporate alternative GCM projections. • Na ...
... this uncertainty is to use different GCM projections in the regional models and present the results as a range of possible values. The current PRECIS-CARIBE projections were developed using the Hadley Centre GCM. However, future work by the project will incorporate alternative GCM projections. • Na ...
Pielke Jr. – House Government Reform Testimony 20 July 2006
... At a Senate hearing on climate change science and economics held one year ago, James Hurrell of the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research, made a very important observation about the timescale of the benefits of mitigation policies for altering climate behavior: “it should be recognized that ...
... At a Senate hearing on climate change science and economics held one year ago, James Hurrell of the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research, made a very important observation about the timescale of the benefits of mitigation policies for altering climate behavior: “it should be recognized that ...
acadia national park in peril - Rocky Mountain Climate Organization
... For this report, the Rocky Mountain Climate Organization (RMCO) obtained local, downscaled projections of future temperature changes in Acadia National Park, using two scenarios of possible future emissions and 16 climate models. MAINE’S ECONOMY AT RISK If future emissions are “lower” – increasing a ...
... For this report, the Rocky Mountain Climate Organization (RMCO) obtained local, downscaled projections of future temperature changes in Acadia National Park, using two scenarios of possible future emissions and 16 climate models. MAINE’S ECONOMY AT RISK If future emissions are “lower” – increasing a ...
Regional Atmospheric Circulation and Rainfall Variability in South
... 3. Empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis of rainfall In all four months of the analysis period—December through March—the first EOF of the 3-day mean rainfall exhibits a similar zonal asymmetric pattern (ZAP) (Fig. 2). This pattern is most evident for 3-day composites, but it is also the domi ...
... 3. Empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis of rainfall In all four months of the analysis period—December through March—the first EOF of the 3-day mean rainfall exhibits a similar zonal asymmetric pattern (ZAP) (Fig. 2). This pattern is most evident for 3-day composites, but it is also the domi ...
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Some thoughts on a strategy for adaptation to
... variability of the variable. This loss of output over time would reflect specific effects of these climate change characteristics on individual sectors, products, and the species (each denoted by k= 1, …, m). Implicit in the estimates of the impact is the understanding that there is an implicit assu ...
... variability of the variable. This loss of output over time would reflect specific effects of these climate change characteristics on individual sectors, products, and the species (each denoted by k= 1, …, m). Implicit in the estimates of the impact is the understanding that there is an implicit assu ...
High Resolution - Responses to Climate Change
... Different islands in the Pacific Ocean will be affected by different factors, including natural variability patterns that affect storms and precipitation, as well as climate trends that are strongly influenced by specific geographic locations. The third National Climate Assessment (NCA) report chapt ...
... Different islands in the Pacific Ocean will be affected by different factors, including natural variability patterns that affect storms and precipitation, as well as climate trends that are strongly influenced by specific geographic locations. The third National Climate Assessment (NCA) report chapt ...
The future of the northeast Atlantic benthic flora in a high CO2 world
... northeast Atlantic where the flora is dominated by kelps (Laminariales) in the subtidal and fucoids (Fucales) in the intertidal. Such predictions are needed as kelp forests are amongst the most productive habitats on Earth and together with fucoids underpin the ecology of northeast Atlantic coastal ...
... northeast Atlantic where the flora is dominated by kelps (Laminariales) in the subtidal and fucoids (Fucales) in the intertidal. Such predictions are needed as kelp forests are amongst the most productive habitats on Earth and together with fucoids underpin the ecology of northeast Atlantic coastal ...
– Joint International Conference Climate change and adaptation
... Joint International Conference – Climate Change ...
... Joint International Conference – Climate Change ...
Global warming hiatus
A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.