Download Tuesday 26 October, 2010 – by Laurens Bouwer

Survey
yes no Was this document useful for you?
   Thank you for your participation!

* Your assessment is very important for improving the work of artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project

Document related concepts

IPCC Fourth Assessment Report wikipedia, lookup

Climate change, industry and society wikipedia, lookup

Surveys of scientists' views on climate change wikipedia, lookup

Effects of global warming on humans wikipedia, lookup

Public opinion on global warming wikipedia, lookup

Scientific opinion on climate change wikipedia, lookup

Climate change feedback wikipedia, lookup

Climatic Research Unit documents wikipedia, lookup

Solar radiation management wikipedia, lookup

Climate change and poverty wikipedia, lookup

Attribution of recent climate change wikipedia, lookup

Climate change in the United States wikipedia, lookup

Climate sensitivity wikipedia, lookup

Media coverage of global warming wikipedia, lookup

Climate change and agriculture wikipedia, lookup

Effects of global warming wikipedia, lookup

Global warming wikipedia, lookup

General circulation model wikipedia, lookup

Citizens' Climate Lobby wikipedia, lookup

Climate change in Tuvalu wikipedia, lookup

Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme wikipedia, lookup

Politics of global warming wikipedia, lookup

Climate engineering wikipedia, lookup

Climate governance wikipedia, lookup

Climate change adaptation wikipedia, lookup

Economics of global warming wikipedia, lookup

Fred Singer wikipedia, lookup

Climate change denial wikipedia, lookup

Effects of global warming on human health wikipedia, lookup

Climate resilience wikipedia, lookup

ExxonMobil climate change controversy wikipedia, lookup

Atmospheric model wikipedia, lookup

Numerical weather prediction wikipedia, lookup

Transcript
Disasters and climate change: analyses and methods for
projecting future losses from extreme weather
SPACE talk – Tuesday 26 October, 2010 – by Laurens Bouwer
With direct economic losses from weather disasters, such as floods, windstorms, wildfires and droughts on the increase, there is no scientific
evidence that anthropogenic changes in extreme weather is the main driver for the observed trend. A review of the literature shows that the
observed loss increase is caused primarily by increasing exposure and value of capital at risk.
The PhD thesis of Laurens Bouwer proposes a comprehensive approach for calculating future risk, that combines scenarios of changing
exposure with a catastrophe model. The approach is aimed at quantifying the bandwidth of the possible development of future weather
risks. For a case study on flooding of the river Meuse in The Netherlands, future impacts from projected climate change and exposure on
river flood risk have been separated. The impact of climate change on weather losses is expected to remain small in coming decades, at
least for storms and river floods. For international climate policy this research implies that attribution of increases in disaster losses to
anthropogenic climate change will remain very difficult in the decades to come. Adaptation to changing risks seems the most effective way
of reducing the increasing impact from extreme weather in the period up to 2050.
When and where
Contact
Date:
Tuesday 26 October 2010
Corry Zoll
Time:
12.00 – 12.45 hrs.
Place:
Room C543
IVM, W&N building, VU Campus
(entrance via De Boelelaan 1085)
Institute for Environmental Studies
VU University Amsterdam
De Boelelaan 1087, 1081 HV Amsterdam
T 020-5989505
E [email protected]
IVM INSTITUTE FOR ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES
VU University Amsterdam
De Boelelaan 1085 (visiting address)
De Boelelaan 1087 (postal address)
1081 HV Amsterdam
t +31-20-5989 555
f +31-20-5989 553
e [email protected]
i http://www.ivm.vu.nl