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Module 8 Atmosphere and Climate 45:211: Environmental Geography Learning Objectives • Explain what is meant by the term “global warming” – Know the major greenhouse gases and their main sources – Describe the objectives of the Kyoto Agreement – Describe examples of climate change impacts • Explain the link between CFCs and ozone depletion – Describe the objectives of the Montreal Protocol 45:211: Environmental Geography Atmosphere • The layers of air masses surrounding the Earth are collectively referred to as the atmosphere. 45:211: Environmental Geography How is atmosphere important? • The atmosphere controls climate - which keeps us comfortable and safe – Ozone depletion and increasing GHGs are a current concern • We use it to dispose of wastes – within the past century, the composition of the atmosphere has been changed on the scale of human time 45:211: Environmental Geography Atmospheric Layers • Troposphere – Where weather is. – Where most of the pollutants are. – Thickness - 15 km at the equator, and about 8 km over the poles. – It is well mixed by air motions which disperse pollutants 45:211: Environmental Geography Atmospheric Layers • Stratosphere – Extends from about 20-50 km. The ozone layer. • This “good” ozone protects us from solar UV radiation – Very thin air with virtually no weather or turbulence. – Compared to Troposphere, the volume of water vapor is 1000 x less, and volume of ozone is 1000 x greater. 45:211: Environmental Geography Ozone: the Good and the Bad 45:211: Environmental Geography Climate Control and Atmospheric Composition • Earth’s surface absorbs incoming solar radiation, and converts it into heat. – Some of this heat escapes into space – Some is absorbed by greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, warming the air Heat is radiated back to Earth, warming it by about 33oC – This trapping of heat is called the Greenhouse Effect 45:211: Environmental Geography Greenhouse Effect 45:211: Environmental Geography Trace Gases • Most of Earth’s atmosphere is climatically neutral – the important gases are present in trace amounts only 45:211: Environmental Geography Anthropogenic Climate Change • The Greenhouse Effect that warms the surface of the Earth occurs because of a few minor constituents of the atmosphere (GHGs) that absorb IR radiation very efficiently. – As a result of human activities, the concentrations of GHGs is increasing. – This will lead to a warmer Earth, the amount depending on other climate effects. 45:211: Environmental Geography Main Greenhouse Gases • Carbon Dioxide - fossil fuel burning (80% of emissions), deforestation (20%). • Methane - breakdown of organic material by anaerobic bacteria. • Nitrous Oxide - biomass burning, breakdown of nitrogen-rich products. • Chlorofluorocarbons - refrigerants. 45:211: Environmental Geography What is Global Warming • The term Global Warming is widely used to describe a potentially dramatic rise in the average global temperature as a result of the continuing and accelerating buildup of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. – It is different to the problem of ozone depletion in the Stratosphere, although this also arises from atmospheric pollution 45:211: Environmental Geography Atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2):1750 to present 370 parts per million volume 360 350 340 Siple Station (1750-1970) 330 Mauna Loa (1958-present) 320 310 300 290 280 270 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 Data Source: C.D. Keeling and T.P. Whorf, Atmospheric CO2 Concentrations (ppmv) derived from in situ air samples collected at Mauna Loa Observatory, Hawaii, Scripps Institute of Oceanography, August 1998. A. Neftel et al, Historical CO2 Record from the Siple Station Ice Core, Physics Institute, University of Bern, Switzerland, September 1994. See http://cdiac.esd.ornl.gov/trends/co2/contents.htm 45:211: Environmental Geography The Historical Data 45:211: Environmental Geography Cumulative Radiative Forcing of GHG Emissions 45:211: Environmental Geography Temperature Change, 1400-2000 (Northern Hemisphere) 45:211: Environmental Geography Global climate change ….. • We frequently view climate change in terms of a global average - but nobody lives in a global average climate. – Location (geography) is important. 45:211: Environmental Geography … is spatial Climate change is not uniform over the Earth. Magnitude varies with location And with season …. 45:211: Environmental Geography Canada: Temperature Changes 45:211: Environmental Geography Possible Effects of A Warmer World • Higher temperatures (wider extremes?) • Changes in precipitation - wetter and drier • Rising sea level (e.g. Fig. 17.16 in text) and melting of ice bodies • Changes in food production and ecosystems – Longer growing seasons – Range of tolerance – See Figure 17.18 in text 45:211: Environmental Geography 45:211: Environmental Geography Ecozones 45:211: Environmental Geography Rising Seas: The Future • One of the most striking consequences of global warming will be the associated rise in global mean sea level. 45:211: Environmental Geography Change in Arctic Ocean: Summer Ice Cover 45:211: Environmental Geography Permafrost in Canada Present 2xCO2 45:211: Environmental Geography Good or Bad? • Whether global warming is “good” or “bad” is a matter of perspective (and self-interest) – There will be “winners” and “losers” – This is not a scientific issue but social and economic 45:211: Environmental Geography Slowing Global Warming • Reduce emissions - the quickest, cheapest, most effective way to reduce emissions is to use energy more efficiently. • Slow population growth - if we cut per capita greenhouse gas emissions in half, but double the population - we do not help the problem. 45:211: Environmental Geography Cumulative carbon emissions, 1950-1996 15,715 China 11,651 Germany 8,504 Japan 7,415 United Kingdom India 4,235 Canada 4,054 South Africa 2,331 Mexico 2,118 Australia 2,080 Brazil 1,557 Korea, Rep. 1,361 966 Indonesia 50,795 United States 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 Million tons of carbon 45:211: Environmental Geography Data Source: Marland et al, 1999. Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center. How much will the Kyoto Protocol reduce emissions? Business-as-usual Kyoto Protocol scenario Billion tons of carbon 8 6 8.0 7.6 6.4 5.8 4 2 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 Data Sources: United States Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, International Energy Outlook, 1998 and 1999. 45:211: Environmental Geography 2010 Ozone Depletion • Ozone is formed in the Stratosphere when high-energy solar ultraviolet radiation splits molecular oxygen (O2) into atomic oxygen (O+O). – The atomic oxygen may then combine with another oxygen molecule to form triatomic oxygen (O3, ozone). 45:211: Environmental Geography Problem: • In the 1970s, it was discovered that CFCs were reducing the concentration of ozone in the stratosphere. – CFCs take 10-20 years to diffuse up into the stratosphere, but they are long-lived. 45:211: Environmental Geography • In the stratosphere, UV radiation breaks down CFC molecules, releasing atomic chlorine. A free chlorine atom reacts with an ozone molecule, converting it from O3 to O2. Cl + O3 = ClO + O2 Unstable Cl + O Cl + O3 = ClO + O2 45:211: Environmental Geography Consequences of Ozone Loss • More UV radiation will reach Earth’s surface. – More/worse sunburns - leading to increased rates of skin cancers – Suppression of immune system – Lower crop yields 45:211: Environmental Geography Montreal Protocol (1987) • Reduce production of CFCs and phase out their use by 2000 – 82 nations have signed the agreement – U.S. stopped production of CFCs in 1996. • As a result of these efforts, the levels of CFCs in the atmosphere will stabilize and should decline in the future. – But CFCs will remain in the atmosphere for several decades (residence time) 45:211: Environmental Geography Summary • Global warming is due to increased levels of greenhouse gases. – Impacts of climate change are varied and may be viewed as positive and negative. – Kyoto Treaty calls for emissions reductions. • CFC’s are thought to lead to the destruction of the ozone layer. – Increase of UV radiation poses a health risk. – Their use is being curtailed through the Montreal Protocol. 45:211: Environmental Geography