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The Role of Military in Climate
Stephen O. Andersen & K. Madhava Sarma
Montreal Protocol Technology and Economic Assessment Panel
Durwood Zaelke
International Network for Environmental Compliance & Enforcement
29 October 2009
IES - Climate Change & Security at Copenhagen - III
Climate Change: The Role of the Military
Washington, D.C., 29 October 2009
Organizations of this Workshop
Are Beacons to Copenhagen
• Honor to be Part of this Team
• Charting a New Course for Security
• Networked and Confident
Climate Change Reality
Faster than Predicted: UK Met 4C Study
Linear and Non-Linear
Abrupt and Irreversible
Tipping Points
Committed Warming
The Only Uncertainty: When
PNAS
Published online October 12, 2009, doi:10.1073/pnas.0902568106; www.pnas.org
Reducing Abrupt Climate Change Risk
Using The Montreal Protocol
And Other Regulatory Actions
To Complement Cuts In CO2 Emissions
Mario Molina, Durwood Zaelke, K. Madhava Sarma, Stephen O. Andersen,
Veerabhadran Ramanathan and Donald Kaniaru
Molina, Zaelke, Andersen, et al. 2009
• ~ 0.76 Realized
• 0.5 Lagged in oceans
• 1.1 Masked
Molina, Zaelke, Andersen et al.
National Academy of Sciences
• Without Fast Action Impacts Are Certain
• Himalayas & Arctic First to Go
• Need Fast Action, including non-CO2 50%:
– Black Carbon, HFCs, Tropospheric Ozone &
Methane
• 40 yr Delay
• Help Avert Disaster as CO2 Reductions Kick-in
• Military Organizations Key Part of the Solutions
/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
MP = Best Climate Treaty
/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
climate mitigation of HFCs & ODSs
171 Gt
CO2e
12-13
Gt CO2e
4-5
Gt CO2e
14 -18 Gt
CO2e
HFC Phase-out
by 2050
195 Gt
CO2e
(net of
135)
30-36
Gt CO2e
HCFC Phase-out
& Banks
ODS Banks
Developed
Countries
(11 Gt
CO2e/yr.)
ODS Banks
Developing
Countries
HCFC
Phase Out
Developing
Countries
1 Gt
CO2e/yr
Kyoto Protocol
Objective
2008-2012
1.5
Gt CO2e
Current
CDM Pipeline
Montreal Protocol
Mitigation
1990-2010
Military Leadership in
Environmental Protection
• National Vision & Leadership
• Scientific Expeditions & Data Collection
• Atmospheric & Oceanographic Research
• Engineering Centers of Excellence
• Facilities, Operations, & Green Procurement
Committed Military Leadership
• Technology Leadership
– Stewardship and Destruction of Surplus ODSs,
HFCs, SF6, and PFCs
• Military Tiger Teams – confident & decisive
• Energy Security
– Self-Sustaining Energy at the Battlefront
• Embrace Climate & Global National Security
• Stop Climate Change, at all Costs
You are Invited to Join & Support
Organizations Featured in Climate
Leadership Book
THE IMPORTANCE OF
MILITARY ORGANISATIONS
TO CLIMATE PROTECTION
Contact Information
Stephen O. Andersen
[email protected]
K. Madhava Sarma
[email protected]
Durwood Zaelke
[email protected]