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Introduction Emerging problem of global warming (GW) as a serious world problem has a relatively short history first notion - (Arrhenius (1896) Global warming could be perceived both as global threat caused by human activity as same as the natural consequence of geological history of our planet. 1.global warming is not the serious problem, if any, it is natural oscillation of climate history. This good news for economists is supported by Bjorn Lomborg (2001); 2. On the opposite site labeled as ecological or environmentalist we can find recently All Gore (2006) with his document An Inconvenient Truth. WORLD Summits, conferences – history of international activities 1827 Fournier green house effet 1890 Sweden chemic Svante Arhenius – C02 in atmosphere could change the climate 1979 first climate conference in GENEVE 1992 Convenction of climate change in UN ( RIo de Janeiro) 1997 Kyoto Protocol decreasing of emission 2008-2012 2000 – conference in Haag –preparation of ratification Kyoto 2005 Ratification of Kyoto - coming into reality Montrealconference after ratification of Kyoto 2009 Copenhagen international summit 2010 Cancún (Mexico) climate change conference History of international activities 2001- USA does not agree with Kyoto 2001- conference v Marakes - transfer technology and funds for supporting development states 1.1.2005 EU – market with trading permitions C02 2005 November – Montreal- conference after ratification of Kyoto X delegace USA –refuse Konflikt mezi vládou USA a míněním občanů ( Bill Clinton v Montrealu se musel zaregistrovat jako nevládní organizace) Global warming Global challenge with several dimensions Ecological– monitoring of changes and warning Legal – agreements , protocols Ethical- equal rights of population Economic-solving instruments Eological dimension Alarming facts •Growing speed of CO2 production – 2000 -2005 3,2% annualy x 1990 only 0,8% annualy •Melting of Glaciers - melting speed is 170 km 3 per year • Encreasing level of oceans - 1,5 až 2 mm annualy AOSIS – asociation of small islands states – 2005 approval of evacuation from Carter Islands – first official climate deserteres Ethic dimension The Collaborative Program on the Ethical Dimensions of Climate Change http://www.globalecointegrity.net/pdf/samos/Brown_Don.pdf Major Climate Change Ethical Issues Ethical issue one, the atmospheric stabilization question. Otázka života a smrti – právo na život- nutnost snížit emise Issue two, the national equity question: všechny národy musí snížit emise stejně bez vyjímek a ne o 80% ale 90% Issue three, who will pay for damages? Malé ostrovy,oběti záplav a hurikánů, sucha, What does ethics have to say about the excuse that we can wait to new technologies will be invented What does ethics have to say about the excuse that no nation need to reduce its emissions until other nations reduce their emissions Collaborative Program on the Ethical Dimensions of Climate Change • Launching in Buenos Aires in 2004 • Development of draft white paper (now 80 pages) • Meeting on draft white paper in Montreal in 2005 • Meeting with collaborators from global south in August 2006 in Rio de Janeiro • Workshop in Nairobi at Cop-12 in November 2006 • International conference in 2007/2008 Economic instruments - Trading permitions Pollution as costs EXTERNALITY EXTERNAL costs Positive externality Negative externality Economic and physical pollution are there differences?????? Optimal pollution from economic point of view What is the role of economy??? The role of economy is to say how to make the changes with the low costs for society In other words with the most effective way Economic efficiency = low cost = cheapest solution Example Steam train could be most ECONOMIC effective than electricity train If coal for steam production is cheaper ( lower price) than electricity for traffic Command and Control Economic instruments •Green Taxis •Trading permitions for C02 •Subsidies ecological agriculture •Green energy support •Voluntary agreements Different solution for decreasing pollution level pollution (C02t ) costs of cleaning (for one ton Cars - C 20 000 5 EUR Households -H 30 000 10 Industry - I 40 000 20 Total pollution is 90 000 GOAL = decreasing of pollution from 90 000t to 60 000t CO2 30 ton decreasing of pollution C02 Command and Control system 1.Each polluter can produce just 20t of C02 2. Each polluter decreases pollution in amount of 10 000 tons 1) Each producer is permitted to produce just 20 t of pollution Reality is Cars…20t households…..30t For decresing pollution Cars - C = Households H = Industry - I industry…40t 0t 10t 20t Total decreasing is 30t CO2 What are the costs? Cars - C Households -H Industry - I 5 EUR per 1t of CO2 10 EUR 20 EUR C= 0 EUR H= 10 000 x 10 = 100 000 EUR I= 20 000 x 20 =400 000 EUR Total costs 500 000 EUR 2. Each polluter decreases pollution in amount of 10 000 tons Cars 10 000 x 5 = 50 000 Households 10 000 x 10 = 100 000 Industry 10 000 x 20 = 200 000 Total costs 350 000 Trading permitions of CO2 Two companies emission A emissions are 5 tCO2 B emissions are 5 tCO2 TOTAL 10 tons of CO2 pollution A cost for removing 1t of pollution 20EUR B cost for removing 1t of pollution 30EUR We need JUST 8 t C02 Costs A 20 + B 30= 50EUR 10-2=8t 2t Trading permition A and B recive permition for 4 t CO2 pollution = 8t total pollution Trade with permitions market price for 1t pollution is 24EUR Trading permition A and B recive permition for 4 t CO2 pollution = 8t total pollution Trade with permitions market price for 1t pollution is 24EUR A costs = 20EUR per 1 ton C02 B costs =30 EUR per 1ton C02 A could reduce 2 t of C02 and B could buy 1t of C02 instead of reduction Real costs A costs = 20 EUR per 1 ton C02 Trade costs 24 B costs =30 EUR per 1ton C02 Eur per 1 ton A costs for elimination of C02 is 20EUR < price for 1tCO2 is 24 EUR B costs for elimination of C02 is 30EUR > price for 1tCO2 is 24 EUR ¨ A decreases 2 tons - costs are 40 EUR BUT SELL one permition for price 24EUR toB A costs 40-24 = 16EUR total costs will be 16 ( instead of 20 for 1ton decreasing) B will buy 1 permition from A for 24 EUR Costs without trade A costs 20 Total costs for society 50 Costs with trade A costs 16 B costs 24 Total costs for society B costs 30 40 total costs Traing permition A costs = 20EUR per 1 ton C02 B costs =30 EUR per 1ton C02 A costs for elimination of C02 is 20EUR X price for 1tCO2 is 24 EUR A decreases 2 tons - costs are 40 EUR X SELL one permition for price 24EUR to A costs 40-24 = 16EUR B will buy 1 permition from A for 24 EUR Costs without trade A costs Total costs for society Costs with trade Total costs for society A saves 4EUR 20 50 B costs 30 total costs A costs 16 B costs 24 40 total costs B saves 6EUR Perception of Global Warming International Comparative Study from CR, USA and New Zealand Climate change – Global phenomenon Countries differ in the three main dimensions „CCR“ a) Contribution of country to climate change ( Carbon footprint) b) Consequences of climate change for the country ( drinking water, see level etc.) c) Responsibility o country-(How will the Kyoto Protocol coming into force affect by Country? OUR QUESTION The important fact is “picture of perception” of global warming by society Hypothesis : Solution of the global problems like global warming require some elements of Global consciousness –Global knowledge Global consciousness is open thinking phenomenon relatively independent on geographic as well as social and political conditions. DOES IT EXIST IN OUR GLOBAL WORLD OR NOT ? Case study : three groups of students from three countries - Czech Republic (CZ), New Zealand (NZ) and the United State of America (USA). These countries could serve as representatives of three regions according IPCC (1997). Europe Asia America Ad a) with all consideration to the simplification we used footprint indicator to compare our regions (see Table 1). Footprint Tab. 1: Footprints Portion of footprint CO2 in CZ 4,9gha 2,56 gha NZ 5,9 gha 1,6 gha USA 9,8 gha 5,68 gha Source: http://www.carbonfootprint.com Sociological sample The number of respondent was approximately 200 of students in each country. The age of students was within the interval of twenty and thirty years. Age ratio of gender was balanced As same as the representation of subjects of study especially the rate between social and natural sciences. Logical division of our questionnaire into three parts. Fear - Responsibility and Information. 1. Fear of population in terms of GW impact - Consequences Order Czech Students Place Score Students NZ Changes 1. Decreasing drinking water resources 4,16 Students USA Place Changes Score (water) 1. (water) Place Changes Score 3,95 1. (water) 3,71 3,53 2. Increasing risk of sunbathing (sunbathing) 3,79 2. Increased economic costs (costs) 3,71 2.costs 3.Changing of drought and flood season (flood) 3,58 3. Appearance of new diseases (disease) 3,16 3. (disease) 3,51 4. Accelerated species extinction (extinction) 3,39 4. (flood) 3,13 4. (flood) 5. Total change of scenery and landscape (landscape) 3,36 5. (landscape) 3,04 5. (season) 6. Delay in changing of year’s seasons 3,30 6. Regulated limits on business activities (limits) 3,03 6. Total change of scenery and landscape (landscape) 2,96 7. Appearance of new diseases (disease) 3,28 7. Delay in changing of year’s seasons (seasons) 3,03 7. (limits) 2,95 8. Migration from endangered areas (migration) 2,86 8. (extinction) 2,91 8. (extinction) 2,81 9. Increased economic costs (costs) 2,76 9. (tax) 2,90 9.(sunbathing) 2,62 10. Implementing of a climate tax (tax) 2,67 10.(sunbathing) 2,86 10.(migration) 2,59 11. Regulated limits on business activities (limits) 2,52 11. (migration) 11.(tax) 2,56 (season) 2,74 3,23 3,05 Consequence s (Order of importance 05) The Earth is round. Elvis is dead. Climate change is happening The number of views and spectrum of dimensions connected with climate changes and their consequences are apparent also among countries. a) How does the country contribute to climate change? b) How does climate change affect the country? c) How will the Kyoto Protocol coming into force affect by Country? In our case study we choose three groups of students from three countries - Czech Republic (CZ), New Zealand (NZ) and the United State of America (USA). These countries could serve as representatives of three representative regions according IPCC (1997). New Zealand (NZ) Czech Republic (CZ), United State of America Ad a) with all consideration to the simplification we used footprint indicator to compare our regions (see Table 1). Tab. 1: Footprints Portion of CO2 in Footprint footprint CZ 4,9gha 2,56 gha NZ 5,9 gha 1,6 gha USA 9,8 gha 5,68 gha Source: http://www.carbonfootprint.com Design of our hypotheses The important fact is “picture of perception” of global changes by society Hypothesis : the global problems like global warming requires some elements of global consciousness. Global consciousness is open thinking phenomenon relatively independent on geographic as well as social and political conditions. Sociological sample The number of respondent was approximately 200 of students in each country. The age of students was within the interval of twenty and thirty years. Age ratio of gender was balanced As same as the representation of subjects of study especially the rate between social and natural sciences. Studenti ČR Soubory - charakteristika GENDER male 45% female 55% Studenti NZ Studenti USA GENDER GENDER male 47% f emale 53% male 46% female 54% Studenti ČR 51-60 0% 31-50 2% VĚK nad 61 3% do 20 24% 21-30 71% Studenti USA Studenti NZ 31-50 3% AGE 51-60 0% AGE 61and more 1% 21-30 27% 21-30 23% under 20 73% 31-50 1% under 20 72% Studenti ČR LOCATION WHERE YOU SPENT MOST OF YOUR YEARS BEFORE GOING TO COLLEGE? less than 1000 persons 15% over 100000 39% 1000-4999 persons 5% 50000-99999 persons 8% 10000-49999 persons 28% 5000-9999 pesrsons 5% Studenti USA Studenti NZ LOCATION WHERE YOU SPENT MOST OF YOUR 100000 andYEARS BEFORE GOING TO COLLEGE? LOCATION WHERE YOU SPENT MOST OF YOUR YEARS BEFORE GOING TO COLLEGE? 100000 and more 8% 50000-99999 persons 27% more 14% 50000-99999 persons 1000-4999 14% less than 1000 persons 29% persons 5% 10000-49999 persons 24% 5000-9999 persons 7% 10000-49999 persons 5000-9999 19% persons 8% less than 1000 persons 31% 1000-4999 persons 14% STUDENTI CZ Agroekologie Biologie Ekologie Ekologie a ochrana prostředí Ekologie lesa Ekonomika Ekonomika a management Fyziologie lesa Humanitní environmentalistika Krajinná a aplikovaná ekologie Krajinné inženýrství Kulturologie Lesnictví Management ochrany přírody Obchodní podnikání Péče o ŽP Půdní biologie Romistika Sociální a kulturní ekologie Strukturální politika EU Účetnictví a finanční řízení podniku Učitelství Zahradní a krajinná tvorba Zoologie-ekologie živočichů STUDENTI US Business, accounting, finance Education Engineering General liberal arts Humanities and Arts Law, journalism Medical professions Physical, biological an natural sciences Social Sciences STUDENTI NZ Accountancy Agribusiness Agricultural Science, Economics Animal Science Anthropology, Museum Studies/Art Applied Economy Applied Science Aviation Biochemistry&Genetics Biochemistry,Physiological & Molecular Plant Biology, Economics Biotechnology Business - Information Systems, Economics Business Studies Computer Science Decision Science Earth Science Economics English STUDENTI NZ Environmental Science, Financial Economics Food Technology Geography History Horticulture Chemistry Japanese Management Marketing Mathemathics Media Studies Natural Resource And Environmental Economics Natural Resource Management Nurse Photography Politics Property Valuation & Economics Psychology Resource And Environmental Planning Science Social Anthropology Sport And Exercise Science Vet Nursing Zoology Logical division of our questionnaire into three parts. Fear Responsibility Information. 1. Fear of population in terms of CC impact Tab. Interest GW 2: in How would you rate your level of interest in global climate change? Very only a little undecided moderately Tab. 3: Likely change of temperature within next 50 years Tab. 4: Appearance of catastrophes as a result of climate change not interested CZ 81% 6% 11% 2% NZ 71% 12% 11% 6% USA 61% 18% 15% 6% The likely increase or decease in overall global temperature over next 50 years CZ NZ USA 0,1- 2°C 39% 21% 39% 2 - 4 °C 36% 23% 22% 4 - 6 °C 15% 23% 10% Don t know 4% 20% 22% Decrease 1% 3% 1% No change 1% 2% 3% Increase When we will see catastrophes as a result of global climate changes Don t know have already appeared/within the next 5 yrs CZ 2% 51% NZ 19% 45% USA 21% 31% Source: Czech Carbo, 2006, n=571 Remark: selected data Studenti NZ Studenti USA Studenti ČR Tab. 5:. GW consequences (Order of importance 0-5) Order Czech Students Order NZ Order USA Group 1 Group 1 Place Changes Score Place Changes Score 1. Decreasing drinking water resources (water) 4,16 1. (water) 3,95 1. (water) 3,71 2. Increasing risk of sunbathing (sunbathing) 3,79 2. (costs) 3,71 2.costs 3,53 3.Changing of drought and flood season (flood) 3,58 3. (disease) 3,16 3. (flood) 3,23 4. Accelerated species extinction (extinction) 3,39 4. (flood) 3,13 4. (disease) 3,51 Group 1 Place Score Changes Group 2 Group 2 5. Total change of scenery and landscape (landscape) 3,36 5. (landscape) 3,04 5. (season) 3,05 6. Delay in changing of year’s seasons (season) 6. (limits) 3,03 6. (landscape) 2,96 7. (seasons) 3,03 7. (limits) 2,95 3,30 7. Appearance of new diseases (disease) 3,28 Group 3 Group 3 Group 2 Group 3 8. Migration from endangered areas (migration) 2,86 8. (extinction) 2,91 8. (extinction) 2,81 9. Increased economic costs (costs) 2,76 9. (tax) 2,90 9.(sunbathing) 2,62 10. Implementing of a climate tax (tax) 2,67 10.(sunbathing) 2,86 10.(migration) 2,59 11. Regulated limits on business activities (limits) 2,52 11. (migration) 2,74 11.(tax) 2,56 Legend: Black background/white letters: all are in accordance with placing importance of change in group and place Grey background/black letters: all are in accordance with placing importance of change in group not place Grey background/white letters: just two students groups are in accordance with location of change in a group Without color: there is no accordance with place or group among all these three groups of students 2. Responsibility The second part of our questionnaire labeled “responsibility” could be described in frame of following questions: Tab. 6: Influence of state on GW Do you agree that your country reduction of CO2 has impact on global warming? yes do not agree CR 67% 27% 6% NZ 38% 41% 20% USA 10% 14% Do you agree that you personally could influence global 75% warming? Tab. 7: Personal influence on global warming yes Tab. 8: The proper societal group to be addressed in case of do not know do not agree do not know CR 56% 29% 15% NZ 52% 21% 26% USA 47% 27% 25% Which societal group do you believe could do the most to reduce CO2 emissions? businessmen decreasing global warming local authority citizens CZ 59% 13% 27% NZ 59% 29% 8% USA 57% 12% 20% What would be the best approach to decreasing CO2 emissions? Tab. 9: The best approach to decreasing CO2 emissions CZ law economics citizens personal duty CZ 38% 50% 1% 7% NZ 44% 39% 12% 0% USA 45% 34% 4% 16% Source: Czech Carbo, 2006, n=571 Remark: The rest of % to fit the total of 100% are missing answers 3. Information Q11. Is the amount of public information on CO2 emissions and their impacts sufficient? Tab. 10: Public information Level of agreement (%) Strongly agree CZ NZ USA 3 3 6 17 13 13 8 20 26 Somewhat disagree 39 39 39 Strongly disagree 33 21 15 Somewhat agree Undecided Results About half of our addressed respondents suppose that future increase of temperature within the period of 50ty will be about 4 degree of Celsius Future anticipated changes are perceived mostly as negative (40%-60%), about 30% of our respondents could not make a decision. All respondents within our whole sample agree that businessmen are the most influenced social group as to the responsibility of GW. In spite of this fact there is a high ratio of personal responsibility our cases considered to have. Czech students evidently differs from NZ and US students. On the second place following threat of drinking water appears the threat of environmental disaster, afterwards personal fitness and at the last place are the economic disadvantages. Conclusions Results show global consciousness like some waking-up phenomenon: 1 hungry for the new and relevant information concerns global climate changes 2. taking responsibility for the anthropogenic background of global climate changes 4. understanding of the ethical role of individual in this process of CC 5. witness of practical economic worries follows CC. Thank you for your attention