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Transcript
This is the print version of the Skeptical Science article 'Jupiter is warming', which can be found at http://sks.to/jupiter.
Global warming on Jupiter
What The Science Says:
Jupiter's climate change is due to shifts in internal turbulence fueled from an internal
heat source - the planet radiates twice as much energy as it receives from the sun.
Climate Myth: Jupiter is warming
"A new storm and a new red spot on Jupiter hints at climate change, USA TODAY and
dozens of other sources explained yesterday. The temperatures are expected to change
by as much as 10 Fahrenheit degrees at different places of the globe. At least close to
the new spot and to the equator, nothing less than global warming is expected" (source:
The Reference Frame).
Between 1998 and 2000, three White Ovals (giant vortices) on Jupiter merged and formed a
new oval, approximately the size of Earth. Initially, it was white but it turned brown and then
red in 2005. The official name of the red spot is "Oval BA" although it's more popular nickname
"Red Spot Jr" has considerably more cachet.
Steps in the consolidation of three "white oval" storms into one over a three-year span of time.
What fuels Jupiter's storms?
On Jupiter, the sun's energy is only 4% of the level we receive on earth, nowhere near enough
to fuel its turbulent, planet-sized storms. Jupiter radiates into space more than twice the heat
it absorbs from the sun. This internal heat source, via moist convection, converts heat flow
into the kinetic energy that fuels Jovian storms (Ingersoll 2000, Gierasch 2000).
How is Jupiter's climate changing?
Page 1 of 3 from the intermediate version of Jupiter is warming
Temperature is relatively uniform on Jupiter - the temperature at the poles is nearly the same
as at the equator. This is due to the chaotic mixing of heat and airflow from vortices (eg - the
White Ovals). The oscillatory motions of the White Ovals ceased after they merged, dampening
the movement of heat from Jupiter's equator to its south pole. The latitudes near 34°S, the
same latitude where Red Spot Junior is located, are predicted to become barriers preventing
the mixing of heat and airflow. If so, Jupiter's equatorial regions will become warmer and its
poles will become cooler. Average temperature at some latitudes could change by as much as
5.5° Celsius (Marcus 2006).
In other words, what is predicted is not global warming on Jupiter but a change in the
distribution of heat with the equator getting hotter and the poles cooling. It's also worth
mentioning this climate change is yet to be observed - it's a prediction based on the modelling
of the disappearing white ovals.
Implications for Earth's climate
While Jupiter's storms are fueled from an internal heat source, Earth's climate gets its energy
from the sun (which hasn't shown any long term warming trend for over 50 years). Additionally,
Jupiter's climate change is due to shifts in internal turbulence rather than an external forcing.
So what is the connection between Jupiter's climate change and Earth's global warming? There
is none.
Page 2 of 3 from the intermediate version of Jupiter is warming
Skeptical Science explains the s cience of global warming and examines
climate mis information through the lens of peer-reviewed res earch. The
webs ite won the Aus tralian Mus eum 2011 Eureka Prize for the Advancement
of Climate Change Knowledge. Members of the Skeptical Science team have
authored peer-reviewed papers , a college textbook on climate change and
the book Climate Change Denial: Heads in the Sand. Skeptical Science
content has been us ed in univers ity cours es , textbooks , government reports
on climate change, televis ion documentaries and numerous books .
The Skeptical Science webs ite by Skeptical Science is licens ed under a Creative Commons Attribution
3.0 Unported Licens e.
Page 3 of 3 from the intermediate version of Jupiter is warming