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Transcript
AARHUS
UNIVERSITY
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
ST Dekanat
Indspil til tema til FORSK2025 fra Institut for Agroøkologi
1. Resumé
AGRO Foulum
Title: Climate Smart Agri-Food Systems
The proposal addresses the interactions between climate change and agricultural production. The aim is to reduce carbon footprints and develop food and biomass production
systems under climate change and climatic variability, in a context where population and
economic growth act as major drivers.
Torsten Rødel Berg
PhD, Senior Research Internationalization Adviser
Date: 14 April 2016
Direct Tel.: +45 87154786
Pager: +45
E-mail:
[email protected]
2. Samfundsudfordringer og/eller muligheder
Sender's CVR no .: 31119103
Agricultural production is closely linked to global challenges on population growth and
economic growth, as these drivers increase demand for food, feed and other bio-based
products. OECD (2013) estimates that demand for food will increase 60% by 2050 compared to the present demand. Agriculture is currently estimated to contribute 25% of
global greenhouse gas emissions, but is also source of several other sources of environmental degradation (e.g. nutrient leakage and water overuse) as well as a threat to biodiversity. At the same time, climate change and increases in climatic variability and extremes cause considerable challenges for current agricultural production systems across
the globe. Against this background, there is a need for research on the following:
Page 1/4
Forskningsbehov


Development and testing of specific technologies for reducing agricultural greenhouse gas emissions from soils, crops, livestock and manure management while
enhancing the productivity of the respective systems.
Improved understanding of the effects of climatic variability and climatic extremes on the functioning of agricultural systems (crops, soils and livestock), including the impacts on abiotic and biotic stressors and how these can be better
managed.
Staff, AGRO Foulum
Aarhus University
Blichers Allé 20
PO box 50
DK-8830 Tjele
Denmark
Tel.: +45 8715 6000
Fax: +45 87152068
E-mail: [email protected]
agro.au.dk/en/
AARHUS
UNIVERSITY
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY







Development of new biomass production systems that target a range of different
concerns in terms of reducing greenhouse gas emissions, enhancing resource use
efficiency, maintaining soil fertility and providing high production of biomass at
target quality for biorefining.
Development and testing of agricultural systems that enhance tolerance and resilience to climatic variability and extremes. E.g. through cropping systems with
improved soils that enable better water use and nutrient cycling, crops and varieties with higher tolerance to extremes and stressors, and farming systems with
better integration between different plant species and livestock, and which consider both technological and social aspects of the production systems.
Develop methods for ascertaining the baseline for soil organic carbon in quantitative terms as well as in terms of quality and variability in space and time across
scales, landscapes and management systems
Improved understanding of the potential effects of climate change on the prevalence and significance of weeds, diseases and pests, including new invasive species
Development of sustainability concepts, with a focus on reducing greenhouse gas
emissions in biomass production and utilization for food, feed and other purposes, which include concerns for adaptation to increased climatic variability and extremes.
Methods for assessing the climate and environment impacts of different production systems in the bioeconomy which integrates the interlinkages of effects
across scales, e.g. the integration of direct and indirect land use change in estimation of sustainability and greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture and biomass
production systems.
New governance principles for reducing greenhouse gas emissions at farm and
food chain scales that also incentivize innovations for cost-effective emissions reductions and which make use of new technologies for monitoring the production
processes.
3. Forhold vedrørende udmøntning og implementering af
forskningsindsatsen
As recognized in the Standing Committee on Agricultural Research (SCAR) Foresight
2015, climate change is a main driver for the bioeconomy and food production on a global
scale. Individual countries affected by climate change cannot solve challenges at national
levels owing to the connectedness of production, consumption and resource access across
national borders.
Addressing the research challenges will contribute to reducing the economic and the social costs of climate change and of energy transition. This is in line with the ambitions of
COP21, as well as the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
Page 2/4
AARHUS
UNIVERSITY
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
4. Danske forudsætninger
Over the past couple of decades, agricultural research in Denmark has increasingly carried out research into interactions between climate and agricultural production. Within a
bio-economy framework, current research foci are on reduction of carbon footprints, adaptation to and mitigation of climate change and enhancing resilience to climatic variability and extremes. This includes specific measures and technologies to reduce greenhouse
gas emissions, but also changes in production systems that provide sufficient food, bioenergy and biomaterials with enhanced resource use efficiencies while reducing greenhouse
gas emissions and nutrient leakages, enhancing soil carbon storage and preventing crop
losses through biotic and abiotic stresses.
Research strengths include a strong culture of multidisciplinary agricultural research
where detailed process understanding is linked with studies at farm, field and landscape
scales and which provides input for modelling and quantifying aggregate climate and environment footprints associated with the production of food, feed and bio-based products.
The focus on climate and agri-food systems has contributed to Danish agricultural research becoming globally renowned.
In light of climate change and a global need for green transition, as expressed in, for instance, the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), there is a strong demand for research
that enables agroecological principles to be put into practice and which safeguards food
security.
5. Mål, effekt og perspektiver
The objectives of the proposed research is (i) to reduce the carbon footprint and environmental effects of food production; (ii) adapt food production to changing climate conditions, and; (iii) increase the sustainable production of biomass for the bioeconomy.
Climate change is a global challenge and in some cases a major threat to food production,
and if not addressed in the context of energy, food and climate nexus thinking, it may
compromise current agri-food systems in Denmark, Europe and globally. The environmental challenges associated with increased demand for food, feed, and energy in the
context of climate change are likely to be less in Northern Europe (where society’s capacity to adapt by means of e.g. sustainable intensification measures is high), than in, for instance, dry subtropical regions (IPCC 2014).
However, shifts in agricultural production areas across the world, along with estimations
that the world’s poorest regions are likely to be the most affected by climate change (IPCC
2014), are factors that may lead to upheavals with respect to food security, migration and
geopolitics (DASTI/OECD 2016). While this lends a sense of urgency to the research area
in general, these circumstances will also affect Denmark.
In this light, it is imperative that Danish research within the area of climate, environment
and agricultural production continues to address key global challenges and to increasingly
invest in international research collaboration.
Page 3/4
AARHUS
UNIVERSITY
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Page 4/4
6. Kontaktperson
Torsten Rødel Berg. [email protected]. Tel 24858115
7. Forslagets prioritering
n.a.
Bibliography:
OECD 2013: Global Food Security: Challenges for the Food and Agricultural System.
OECD Publishing, Paris.
European Commission 2015: Sustainable Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries in the Bioeconomy. 4th SCAR Foresight Exercise.
Danish Agency for Science, Technology and Innovation/OECD 2016: An OECD Horizon
Scan of Megatrends and Technology Trends in the Context of Future Research Policy.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2014: Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report