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Climate Safeguards Systems Mainstreaming Climate Change Adaptation into Bank Operations SESA Workshop 21-22 March, 2011 Al-Hamndou Dorsouma Climate Change Expert Compliance and Safeguards Division (ORQR.3) Background Context The project is part of the implementation of the Bank Climate Risk Management and Adaptation (CRMA) strategy approved in June 2009 The CRMA aims at reducing climate vulnerability and promoting climate-resilient development in Africa The CRMA underscores the need for AfDB to mainstream climatic risks into its project cycle. Project objectives Developing guidelines & tools (Climate Safeguards System) for mainstreaming CC into Bank project cycle. Expected results The project is being implemented in 3 phases: Screening manual Screening Tool Knowledge Base Training sessions for Task Managers and Climate Change and Environment Specialists for tools' application are being planned Links to ISS and SESA The Climate Safeguards System (CSS) complements the Bank’s Environmental and Social Assessment Procedures (ESAP) It provides project teams with additional assessments of projects’ climate vulnerabilities and risks It provides guidance at strategic and project levels: Project level: assessment, at project early stage, of climate risks and adaptation measures Strategic level: country’s climate vulnerability profile and adaptation needs, in the framework of Country Strategic Paper (CSP) Climate Screening Process Method A scorecards method is being used based on sector and project characteristics Different scorecards are included in the Screening Manual and Tool Completed scorecard provides project teams with levels of risk and required mitigation measures. Process The screening process follows 6 steps: Step 1: select scorecard Step 2: enter basic information Step 3: select options & scores Step 4: add up & categorize Step 5: enclose to the PCN Task Managers are requested to: Select scorecards according to sector and project characteristics; Enter basic information on project, once scorecard is selected; Answer questions: possible answers are presented as a number of options, each one with a predetermined score; Add up scores and categorize: selected option scores are added up to obtain a total score for the project; Based on the total score, the project is classified based on its climate vulnerability; Completed scorecard and screening summary are enclosed to the Project Concept Note and sent to ORQR for inspection, approval, and follow up. Project classification The process will result into 3 types of projects: CATEGORY 1 High vulnerability Scores above 60 Projects with important opportunities for climate change adaptation, require a comprehensive evaluation of climate risks and adaptation measures to be costed and integrated into project design and implementation. CATEGORY 2 Projects with climate change adaptation opportunities, but the adaptation efforts needed are less than in Category 1. It requires a Medium vulnerability review of specific components of the project and a plan to Scores between 30-60 incorporate CRMA measures into project design and implementation. CATEGORY 3 Low vulnerability Scores below 30 Projects not significantly exposed to additional climate risk and opportunities for climate change adaptation are not essential. No further review is required. Case studies Transport Sector SCORECARD: Transport – Roads PROJECT: Ethiopia Bedele–Metu & Kombolcha–Bati–Mille Roads Upgrading Project. The project is classified as CATEGORY 2 for climate adaptation. Topic 1. Damage to road infrastructure 2. Impact of flooding 3. Critical infrastructure 4. Impact of road management practices 5. Design life time of the road surface TOTAL SCORE Selected Option What kind of terrain do the project roads cross? Are the project roads susceptible to flooding? Will the roads (after project completion) form part of the host country’s critical infrastructure? Does the host government have the institutional capacity and/or budget for effective road management? What is type of road surface is planned for the project? Score 15 10 5 7 10 47 Based on the screening exercise, a review of climate change risk and adaptation options is required, with a focus on the topics that scored highest, namely: Damage to road infrastructure. Agriculture sector (1) SCORECARD: Agriculture – Cropping & Irrigation PROJECT: Ethiopia Koga irrigation and watershed management project. The project is classified as CATEGORY 1 Topic 1. Water resource availability for irrigation 2. Soil erosion 3. Impact of severe weather conditions on project activities 4. Physical infrastructures 5. Building capacity in agriculture 6. Cropping and irrigation technologies and systems TOTAL SCORE Selected Option Irrigation activities are planned in an area where rainfall exceeds evaporation throughout the year Some of the project activities will be implemented on a hill slope area and could intensify soil erosion The project is located in an area with prolonged or recurrent and severe droughts and floods The project includes the construction of a dam for irrigation The project is building and strengthening institutional capacity (e.g. new agricultural legislation, strengthening the agricultural capacity of environmental bodies) The project plans to improve the irrigation and cropping systems in place (e.g. use of fertiliser, new seeds, pest-control, rotation, new cultivars, Genetically Modified Organisms (GMOs), drought-resistant crops) Score 10 20 20 20 5 7 82 The evaluation should focus on : Soil erosion; impact of severe weather conditions on project activities and physical infrastructure. Agriculture sector (2) SCORECARD: Agriculture – Livestock PROJECT: Tuléar Fishing Communities Support Project in Madagascar. It is classified as CATEGORY 2. Topic 1. Livestock feed 2. Physical infrastructures 3. Capacity building in livestock management 4. Livestock breeding system 5. Pest and disease prevention and control TOTAL SCORE Selected Option Fodder or animal feed is not relevant to the project The project plans the construction of infrastructure with an expected frequency of maintenance and replacement that is less than 20 years (e.g. animal husbandry, breeding stations, for production and distribution centres, aquaculture facilities, wharfs and associated facilities, sanitation facilities, water boreholes and reservoir) The project encompasses building and strengthening institutional capacity (e.g. new legislation, environmental bodies, resource development and management plan) The project plans to improve current breeding system (e.g. selection of breeds, improve reproductive and growth performance) Pest and disease prevention and control are not relevant for the project The review should focus on physical infrastructure. Score 0 15 10 10 0 35 Water sector Scorecard: ‘Water’ Project : Small Towns and Rural Water Supply and Sanitation Project in Kenya. The project is classified as CATEGORY 1 Topic Selected Option Score 1.Asset lifetime The project includes major physical assets with an asset life of > 30 years All four criteria included to an adequate level 25 There is sustained dry season with no rainfall and high evaporation There is commitment to develop contingency or response plans Extreme events (either prolonged droughts or floods) are common in the project region The viability of maintaining supplies/services to some users is already at risk 15 2. Service continuity 3. Water resources 4. Risk management 5. Resource variability 6. Competing uses TOTAL SCORE 2 5 15 10 72 The evaluation should focus on the topics that scored highest, namely: Asset lifetime; water resources; and resources variability Energy sector (1) SCORECARD: Energy – excluding hydroelectric generation PROJECT: Burkina Faso Rural Electrification project. It is classified as CATEGORY 2. Topic 1. Risk of flooding Selected Option Are new or existing installations (excluding pylons) on flood plains or areas susceptible to flooding? On what kind of terrain is the distribution network (pylons, substations, etc) located? 2. Risk of river erosion, coastal erosion and landslide 3. Water requirements Are generation installations dependent on scarce water sources? 4. Critical Will the project distribution network (after infrastructure completion) form part of the host country's (distribution) critical infrastructure? 5. Critical Will the project generation capacity (after infrastructure completion) form part of the host country's (generation) critical infrastructure? TOTAL SCORE Score 25 15 0 5 0 45 The review of climate change risk and adaptation options should focus mainly on the topics that scored highest, namely: Risk of flooding Energy sector (2) SCORECARD: Energy – Hydroelectric generation PROJECT: Sahanivotry Hydroelectric Power Station Project The project is classified as CATEGORY 1 for climate adaptation. Topic 1. Water availability in the catchment area 2. Asset life time 3. Critical infrastructure TOTAL SCORE Selected Option Is the project dependent on scarce water supplies? Is the project a rehabilitation of an existing facility/ facilities or the construction of a new facility/ facilities? What is the generating capacity of the project? Score 25 30 15 70 The evaluation should focus on water availability in the catchment area; and asset life time Country Adaptation Factsheets Country Adaptation Factsheets A Country Adaptation Fact Sheet (CAFS) is a short (3-4 pages) document giving an overview of climate risks, climate variability and change, and adaptation information at the country scale. The CAFS provides information on: current climate risks; recent trends; future scenarios; and adaptation needs It provides a point of entry for country teams to familiarise themselves with the key climate related issues facing the country, thereby enabling the team to put the relevant issues on the agenda when developing or updating the Country Strategy Paper (CSP). Case Study:Tanzania Current climate: Basic indicators of climate-related risks Indicator Value Year Original Data Source Workforce in agriculture 78.7% 2004 Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) Number of people affected by drought 5,154,000 2000 - 2009 Emergency Events Database (EM-DAT) % total population undernourished 35% 2003 - 2005 Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Statistics Division Number of people affected by flood events 46,750 2000 - 2009 Emergency Events Database (EM-DAT) % total population living within 100km of coast 19.8% 2000 Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University % of urban population living in slums 66.4% 2005 UN-Development Indicators Unit Statistics Division Notified cases of malaria per 100,000 population 24,088 2008 UN-Development Indicators Unit Statistics Division Case Study:Tanzania (cont’d) Current climate: Tanzania has a tropical climate with regional variations due to topography. Temperatures range from 17-25°C (e.g. Dar es Salaam). Highland regions are more temperate (e.g. Mbeya, 20‐23°C). Case Study:Tanzania (cont’d) Current climate: The amount of rainfall across Tanzania varies greatly between regions, and can be as much as 300 mm per month in the wettest regions and seasons. Case Study:Tanzania (cont’d) Recent climate trends: the mean annual temperature has increased by approximately 1.0°C since 1960. Increasing trends in the frequency of hot days, but much larger increasing trends in the frequency of hot nights, especially from December to February Significant decreasing trends in annual rainfall, notably in the ‘long’ rains (March to May): annual rainfall has decreased at an average rate of 2.8mm per month per decade (3.3%) The greatest annual decreases have occurred in the southern most parts of Tanzania. It’s currently difficult to say anything conclusive about changes in extreme rainfall events. Case study: Tanzania (cont’d) Future scenarios: GCMs projections show increase of mean annual temperature by 1.0 to 2.7°C by the 2060s, and 1.5 to 4.5°C by the 2090s Changes in sea levels rise, especially for Zanzibar and Bagamayo, GCM projections indicate increases in annual rainfall. Scenarios and abnormalities are shown below Case study: Tanzania (cont’d) Adaptation planning: The number of climate adaptation projects taking place in Tanzania is rapidly increasing, particularly in water, agriculture sectors. However coordination of these efforts remains limited. The NAPA process in Tanzania (completed in 2007) identified some early adaptation priorities, such as: Increasing food security; Increasing water security; Coastal groundwater management; Reforestation on mountain slopes; Livelihood diversification. Case study: Tanzania (cont’d) Adaptation planning: Overview of international funded climate projects in Tanzania Dispersed to Disbursed by Amount approved (USD mn) Amount dispersed (USD mn) Activity focus National Adaptation Plan (NAPA) for United Republic of Tanzania Least Developed Countries Fund 0.20 0.20 Adaptation FA with the Ministry of Finance and Economic Affairs Global Climate +TA Change Alliance 1.33 0.78 Multiple foci Mainstreaming Climate Change in Integrated Water Resources Management in Pangani River Basin Special Climate Change Fund 1.00 1.00 Adaptation Developing Core Capacity to Address Adaptation to Climate Change in Productive Coastal Zones Least Developed Countries Fund 3.10 3.10 Adaptation 17.38 17.38 Mitigation Combined mitigation total (including REDD) Case study: Tanzania (cont’d) Adaptation planning: Overview of current key actors working on climate change and adaptation Function Lead Agencies National CC Focal Point and coordinating entity Division of Environment in the Vice President’s Office Research Institute for Resource Assessment (IRA) at the University of Dar es Salaam; Sokoine University of Agriculture Weather data Tanzania Meteorological Agency Sectoral initiatives IWRM: Ministry of Water Resources and Irrigation; River Basin Water Boards REDD: IRA Secretariat to National REDD Task Force Civil society coordination Tanzanian Civil Society Forum on Climate Change (ForumCC) Development Partners DANIDA; DfID; EU; UNDP; UNEP Case study: Tanzania (cont’d) Adaptation planning: Additional documentation that may be needed to inform the adaptation planning process, include: Climate change assessment Stakeholder network map: Sectoral vulnerability assessments Disaster risk assessment Economic analysis of adaptation options Adaptation project inventory Conclusion The outcome of CSS will have implications for Bank’s ESAP, as climate change needs to be looked at two different angles: Assessment of impacts of projects on climate change Assessment of impacts of climate change on projects. The CSS brings additional analysis on climate risks, aiming at increasing the consideration of climate change in project design and minimizing the impacts of climate change on projects This contributes also to incorporate best practices on adaptation into SESA process. The current exercise will be completed by August 2011, with the outlook to be incorporated into the Integrated Safeguards System (ISS) For more information: Web site: www.afdb.org E-mail: [email protected]