Download health professionals for clean air

HEALTH
PROFESSIONALS
FOR CLEAN AIR
January 20, 2016
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AGENDA
Panel Discussion: Next Steps for California’s Climate Leadership
Martha Guzman-Aceves, Deputy Legislative Secretary
Governor’s office
Linda Rudolph, MD, MPH, Co-Director
Public Health Institute’s Center for Climate Change and Health
Abby Young, Climate Protection Manager
Bay Area Air Quality Management District
Lawrence Cooper, Legislative Director
Senator Ricardo Lara
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Air District
Climate Protection Program Update
Health Professionals for Clean Air
January 20, 2016
Abby Young
Manager, Climate Protection Program
Climate Protection Resolution
Air District Board Resolution 2013-11:
• Reduce Bay Area GHG emissions 80% below 1990 levels by 2050
• Develop a Regional Climate Protection Strategy to be included in
the Clean Air Plan Update
• Develop a work program to guide and document the Air District
climate protection work in the near-term
- 10-point climate work program adopted April 2014
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Regional Climate
Protection Strategy
Strategy contents:
• Bay Area GHG inventory & forecast
• Consumption-based GHG inventory
• Climate change impacts to the Bay Area
• Economic sector-based analysis of GHGs
• GHG emission reduction measures focusing on the Air
District’s added value
5
Bay Area 2015
GHG Emissions
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Bay Area GHG
Projection to 2050
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Goals and Focus
What:
How:
DEVELOP
RULES
Efficiency
Electrification
WORK W/
LOCAL GOVTS
PERMITS
REGIONAL
CLIMATE
PROTECTION
STRATEGY
Decarbonize
energy
Reduce nonenergy GHGs
PLAN &
COLLABORATE
RESEARCH
& SCIENCE
GRANTS
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Initial Proposed
GHG Rule-making
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The Pathway to 2050
Develop Rules
Grants
•Reduce black carbon
Research & Science
•Improve methane, BC
inventory
•Methane monitoring
•Consumption-based
inventory
•Cap & trade backstop
•Limit methane
•Limit black carbon
Work w/ local gov’ts
•Improve building
efficiency
•PACE, other financing
•Implement, track local
CAPs
Permits
•Limit GHG via New
Source Review
Plan & Collaborate
•Support strong Plan
Bay Area
•Expand VMT
reduction programs
• Urban heat island
mitigation
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Regulation 6, Rule 3
Wood Smoke Reduction Strategy
(NO ACTION TODAY)
District Incentive Program
• $3 Million Program Funding
Device Type Allocation
• Electric Heat Pump
• Natural Gas/ Propane Device
• No incentives for wood burning devices
Enhanced Funding Allocation
• Low-Income Household (full funding)
• Exempt Household
• High Wood Smoke Impacted Area
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Abby Young
[email protected]
415-749-4754
Regulation 6, Rule 3
Wood Smoke Reduction Strategies
Public
Education
and Outreach
Long Term /
Short Term
Reduction
Measures
Enforcement
Wood
Smoke
Reduction
Strategies
Model
Ordinance
Incentive
Program
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Stationary Sources
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Transportation
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Transportation
Reduce Demand for Driving



Consistent with Plan Bay Area (SCS):
- Regional bus and rail service improvements
- Safe Routes to School and Transit
- Bicycle access, pedestrian facilities
- Parking strategies (cash-out, pricing policies, real-time technologies)
- Congestion pricing
- Indirect Source Review
Commuter Benefit Program
Transportation Fund for Clean Air grants
Freight Movement



Grants & incentives to accelerate deployment of fuel efficient trucks, advanced
technology drive trains, electric battery and hydrogen fuel cell technology
Green Ports incentive program
Monitor health risks in local communities
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Buildings
2015 Bay Area GHG Emissions (S2)
Buildings (18 MMT CO2eq)
Residential Natural Gas
Commercial Natural Gas
21.6%
34.1%
Other Commercial/
Residential Fuel Usage
Commercial Electricity
Residential Electricity
23.8%
17.0%
3.4%
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Buildings
Increase Energy Efficiency



Promote model ordinances:
- exceeding Title 24
- requiring cool roofs
- requiring cool paving in parking lots
Challenge private sector to reduce energy use in existing buildings
Work with electricity providers to target least efficient buildings
Switch to Electricity and Renewable Energy






Require new construction to be EV ready
Potential rule-making to limit sale of natural gas space and water heaters
Support community choice aggregation
Facilitate PACE financing by covering transaction costs
Explore local carbon fees
Work with KyotoUSA to develop solar plans for schools
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Energy
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Energy
Decarbonize Electricity Production





Engage with PG&E, municipal utilities, CCAs to maximize renewable energy (RE)
Increase use of biomass in electricity production
Support combined heat and power (CHP)
Expedite permitting for RE generation, biofuel, & high-efficiency CHP facilities
Develop incentive programs to facilitate new technologies, such as energy storage
Decrease Electricity Demand




Promote state & local energy efficiency (EE) programs to permitted sources
Incorporate messaging on EE programs & financing into existing outreach programs
Develop messaging to decrease peak electricity demand
Work with partners to track electricity use
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Waste Management
2015 Bay Area GHG Emissions (S2)
Waste Management (2 MMT CO2eq)
2.4%
Landfills
Composting and Other
Waste Mgmt.
97.6%
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Waste Management
Reduce and Divert Waste




Assist local jurisdictions achieve their zero waste goals
Develop model policies to reduce/divert green waste going to landfill
Explore rule-making requiring large food retailers to compost food waste
Track and participate in state working groups on waste reduction
Reduce Emissions from Waste Facilities


Review Air District Rule 8-34 to increase standards for landfill gas collection and reduce
methane leaks
Expand Rule 8-34 to include smaller and/or older landfills
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Water
2015 Bay Area GHG Emissions (S2)
Water (1 MMT CO2eq)
Wastewater
Treatment
Electricity
45.7%
54.3%
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Water
Reduce Water Use



Assist local jurisdictions achieve state’s 20% water conservation goal
Develop and promote best practices, model ordinances
Incorporate water conservation messaging into outreach and education programs
Reduce Emissions from POTWs



Improve GHG inventory methods for POTWs
Collaborate with POTWs on streamlining Air District permitting that may prohibit
biogas recovery
Work with POTWs, broader water community, PG&E, CPUC to remove barriers to
pipeline injection of biogas
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Short-lived Climate
Pollutants
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Short-lived Climate
Pollutants
Reduce Black Carbon



Further limits on residential wood-burning
Provide grants & incentives to reduce PM & BC from heavy-duty vehicles
Adopt rule to reduce BC emissions from back-up diesel generators
Reduce Fluorinated Gases



Continue collaborating with ARB on reducing HFC leaks in refrigeration
Work with ARB and/or US EPA to strengthen requirements on mobile air conditioning
HFC disposal
Track progress in developing and encourage eventual use of HFC substitutes
Reduce Methane



Implement fixed- and mobile-site methane monitoring system
Improve understanding of and inventory methods for methane
Control measures addressing landfills, POTWs, animal facilities, oil and gas wells and
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pipelines
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Agriculture
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Agriculture
Guidance & Leadership
 Set interim GHG reduction goal for Bay Area Ag sector
 Research, track and facilitate applications for Cap & Trade $$
 Collect & compile data on the region’s Ag operations to foster partnerships and
achieve economies of scale
 Participate in all state working groups
Livestock Emissions



Work with dairy farms to explore feasibility & implementation of biogas
recovery/anaerobic digester systems
Explore rule-making for smaller-sized confined animal facilities
Work with dairy farmers to facilitate lower-methane-yielding diets
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Natural & Working Lands
Rangelands


Work with the Marin Carbon Project to promote carbon soil sequestration on
rangelands
Develop local climate action plan guidance and best practices for low carbon soil
management
Urban Forests


Develop model ordinances for tree planting to reduce urban heat islands
Explore rule-making limiting non-native vegetation
Wetlands


Develop local action plan guidance on estimating GHG sequestration associated
with wetlands restoration and protection
Collaborate with Bay Conservation & Development Commission to protection,
restore and enhance local wetlands
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COP 21 Paris 2015
Outcomes and Future Prospects
My thoughts and hopes
Larry F Greene
Executive Director Sac Metro AQMD
COP 15
Copenhage
n
2009
Hope for a
new
agreement
for the
world
COP 17
Durban
2011
The journey
to a new
agreement
COP 15 Copenhagen
2009
Hope for a new agreement for the world
Context: The Evolving Climate Regime
Paris was the result of a structured four year set of negotiations.
- Paris is the latest in the UN’s climate change work, which began in
1992 with the adoption of the Framework Convention
- 2009 Copenhagen and 2010 Cancun Agreements established the
idea of a bottom-up framework
- 2011 the Durban Platform for Enhanced Action called for a new
legal instrument to apply from 2020
- 2013 Warsaw called on parties to submit Intended Nationally
Determined Contributions (INDCs)
- COP Meetings are multifaceted with much more going on than just
the UN delegates meeting.
Paris Scale
• 150 heads of state
• 196 countries at the final Plenary (consensus approval of
agreement)
• Non-State Actors pledges: 11,000 commitments from 2,250 cities,
150 regions, 2,025 companies, 424 investors, 235 civil society
organizations.
• International Solar Alliance: 120 countries led by India and France
• Compact of Mayors: 360 cities…pledge to deliver over half of
potential urban emissions by 2020
• Under 2 MOU
The Agreement
- Unanimous agreement 195 UN members
- Keep upper limit below 2 degrees centigrade, try to keep it
below 1.5 degrees
- Asked all nations to commit to a national reduction number
for pollution (Current commitments will keep temperature rise
this century to around 3 degrees centigrade)
- Established a process to develop rules on how to measure and
track nations efforts
- Agreed to continue and increase funding for poorer nations
- Agreed that nations would reset their goals every five years
The Big Picture
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1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
NOx
VOC
O3 Design Value (ppb)
8-hour O3 Design Value: SFNA (1990-2014)
120
110
100
90
80
70
60
Year
Peak Design Value
2008 Ozone NAAQS (75 ppb)
TARGET YEARS
2017 – 85 ppb standard
2027 – 75 ppb standard
2030+ 70? ppb
standard
- PM 2.5
- Black
Carbon
- NOx
PM2.5 Design Value (µg/m3)
24-hour PM2.5 Design Value: SFNA (2002-2014)
Implementation of
Rules 417 & 421
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Year
Peak Design Value
2006 PM2.5 NAAQS (35 microgram/m3)
Pollution
Reduction
Public
Health
Questions?
Backup Slides
Key Ideas in the Paris Agreement
-
Legal Character
Differentiation
Long-Term Goal
Mitigation
Successive NDC’s
Transparency
-
Implementation/Compliance
Finance
Adaptation
Loss and Damage
Next Steps
Paris is a hybrid: Bottom-up flexibility to achieve broad
participation/Top-down rules for accountability and
ambition.
What’s in the Paris Agreement
A global goal and national targets:
• Reaffirm goal of limiting global temperature increase to 2 degrees
while urging efforts to limit the increase to 1.5 degrees
• Establish binding commitments by all parties to make Intended
Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) and to pursue
domestic measures aimed at achieving them.
• Commit all countries to report regularly on their progress and
to undergo international review.
• Commit all countries to submit new INDCs every five years
with a clear expectation that they will represent a progression
beyond previous ones
Paris Agreement (continued)
Finance
• Reaffirm the binding obligations of developed countries to support
developing countries
• For the first time encourage voluntary contributions by developing countries
• Extend the goal of mobilizing $100 billion a year in support by 2020 through
2025 with a new higher goal to be set after 2025
• Extend a mechanism to address “loss and damage” resulting from climate
change, which explicitly will not “involve or provide a basis for any liability or
compensation.”
Other
• Require parties engaging in international trading to avoid “double counting”.
• Call for a new mechanism enabling emission reductions in one country to be
counted in another.
Some Final Thoughts
• This was a big deal. 196 Countries agreed to
something…consensus
• The agreement moves forward in many key areas
• California matters. Not in total emissions but in execution and
proof of concept. The state is positioned and widely recognized as
a key international leader.
• Sub-nationals (states, provinces, cities, counties, regions) matter
• Both mitigation and adaptation are important
• A notional goal of 1.5 degrees was a surprise and received
significant support at COP 21.
• It will take 55 countries covering 55% of global emissions to ratify.
DISCUSSION: KEY ACTION STEPS FOR
HEALTH PROFESSIONALS FOR 2016
•
Supporting Strong Air/Climate Policies in 2016
• Defend Federal Clean Air Act
• AB 32 Scoping Plan Update
• Short Lived Climate Pollutants
• Cap and Trade Investments
• Zero Emission Vehicle policies
• Cleaner Freight
• Smart Growth
•
Educate on Climate/Health Link to Support Local Action
• Meet with elected officials
• Blog/social media
• Climate action resolutions
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KEY CLEAN AIR GOALS FOR CA
2030
• 50% Black Carbon
Short Lived
• 40% Methane
Climate
Pollutants • 40% F-Gases
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$2 TOBACCO TAX INCREASE IN 2016
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Launched January, 2015
Follow us on social media
#DocsforClimateHealth
@californialung
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32 DOCTORS FOR CLIMATE HEALTH
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DOCTORS FOR CLIMATE HEALTH
DIGNITY HEALTH
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DOCTORS FOR CLIMATE HEALTH
FRESNO MADERA MEDICAL SOCIETY RESOLUTION – JAN 18, 2016
RESOLVED: The Fresno-Madera Medical Society recognizes that
climate change threatens the health and well-being of the patients we
serve.
Therefore, we:
1) support efforts to educate our patients and the medical community
regarding the potential adverse health effects of global climate change.
2) encourage our health care institutions to review and improve their
carbon footprint and that of their supply chain, and also encourage
them to prepare for climate impacts.
3) support efforts to communicate with our local, state, and national
legislators, and request that they take action to adapt to and mitigate
the effects of climate change.
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ZERO EMISSION VEHICLES = KEY
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ZERO EMISSION FUTURE = A HEALTHY FUTURE
NEW RESEARCH PROJECT ON HEALTH + SOCIETAL BENEFITS OF ZEVS
• California ZEV policy targets approximately 15% ZEV sales in 2025
• Policy in place in 9 additional “ZEV States”
• ZEV Policy under review in 2016-17
ZEVs
(Gov. Brown
Exec. Order)
1.5m
ZEVs
15%
Sales
2050
1m
2025
2020
• California goals:
100%
ZEV
sales
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AMBITIOUS BY NECESSARY
AIR QUALITY AND CLIMATE GOALS DEMAND ZERO EMISSIONS
ZEV States have lined up for strong ZEV push – all but Maine and New Jersey have set strong joint targets
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2016 STUDY DESIGN
MOVING THE ZEV PROGRAM BEYOND 2025 – A ZERO EMISSION FUTURE
Scope: All 10 “ZEV States”
Preliminary Scenarios
• Baseline: ~15% ZEV Program to 2025
• No Policy Scenario
• 100% ZEV to 2040-2050 timeframe
• Heavy Duty Electrification Study
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PROJECT DETAILS
• Expected Completion
• June 2016
• Expected Results – benefits of zero emission vehicles
• Avoided health costs, and asthma attacks, heart attacks, hospitalizations, lost
work and premature death
• Avoided climate costs to society
• Avoided oil dependency costs to society
• Partners
• California and Northeast Lung Association chapters
• NESCAUM (Northeast States)
• TetraTech consulting
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RESULTS PRESENTED IN PAST RESEARCH
Petroleum’s Health and Societal Premium
$19.57 in Damages Caused by the Average Tank of Gasoline
Under Prior CA Vehicle Standards
The Road to Clean Air, May 2011
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Road To Clean Air II
Annual Health Impacts Avoided
by a 100% CA ZEV Fleet
•
•
•
•
510 premature deaths avoided
545 ER visits/hospitalizations avoided
10,200 asthma attacks and lower respiratory symptoms avoided
48,200 lost work and school days avoided
Road to Clean Air II – A Zero Emission Future
January 2012
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Contacts:
Bonnie Holmes-Gen [email protected]
Will Barrett
[email protected]
Jenny Bard [email protected]
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