Download Elaboration of a strategy for reduction of carbon emissions in

CARICOM WORKSHOP ON
ENVIRONMENT STATISTICS
St. Vincent and the Grenadines
7th and 8th April 2014
Trinidad and Tobago Country Report
Prepared by: Claire Phillips
Principal Statistical Officer
Agriculture Statistics Division
Central Statistical Office
Trinidad and Tobago
Item 7: A Review of Statistics,
Indicators and Metadata submitted by
member Countries under the CARICOM
Programme and major data gaps.
TOPICS

Emissions of Non-Methane Volatile Organic Compounds (NMVOCs) and

Emissions of Carbon Dioxide
The Environment within the Executive
The Ministry with responsibility for the Environment in
Trinidad and Tobago is the Ministry of Environment and Water
Resources (MEWR).
References
All information presented in the following slides were
obtained from reports generated by the MEWR and from a
Model Usage Training Workshop.
The documents of the Ministry of the Environment and Water
Resources included:

The Second National Communication of the Republic of
Trinidad and Tobago under the United Nations Framework
Convention on Climate Change.

Elaboration of a Strategy for the Reduction of Carbon
Emissions in T&T – Summary of the Carbon Reduction
Strategy Project.
Emissions of Non-Methane Volatile
Organic Compounds (NM-NOCs)

Nothing was reported on the Emissions of NonMethane Volatile Organic Compounds.
Emissions of Carbon Dioxide (CO2)

Trinidad and Tobago expects to develop and implement a
carbon reduction strategy over the next 2 years, with the
long- term aim of achieving significant reduction of
carbon emissions.

This is consistent with The United Nations Framework
Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) which has the
ultimate objective of stabilizing greenhouse gas emissions
in the atmosphere.
Environment Programmes of MEWR

The Multilateral Environmental Agreements Unit (MEAU) of
the Ministry undertakes monitoring and coordinating of
national implementation of obligations under the United
Nations Framework Convention on Climate Control
(UNFCCC)

The GORTT in collaboration with the United Nations
Development Programme (UNDP) initiated a project titled
“Elaboration of a strategy for reduction of carbon emissions in
Trinidad and Tobago.”
Status of National Carbon Emissions

The First National Communication to the UNFCCC served
as a baseline of the status of national carbon emissions in
Trinidad and Tobago.

Most significant sources of carbon emissions nationally:
The Transportation Sector,
Industrial Sector and
Power Generation Sector
Status of National Carbon Emissions

Transportation Sector
 -CO2 emissions
doubled from 1,313 Gg to 2,622 Gg
from 1990-2006,
 directly linked to the number of
vehicles on the
road, which increased by almost 100% over the
same period.

Industrial Processes
 -CO2

emissions increased by 86.7 % from 1990-2006.
Power Generation
 -CO2
emissions have increased by 43.3 % between
1990-2006, from 1,736 Gg to 2,488 Gg.
Comparison between First and Second Reports
o
The Second National Communication of the Republic of
T&T under the UNFCCC (United Nations Framework
Convention on Climate Change) was released in 2013
o
Produced a 2000 GHG inventory which was compared to
the previous 1990 inventory
o
Also included trend analyses for 1990-2005/ 2006/ 2008
depending on data availability.
o
Results of the 2nd report reinforced the results of the First
report.
Status of National Carbon Emissions

This report states:
“The most significant challenge was access to data in
useable formats to perform the necessary inventory of GHGs
(Green House Gases) and assessment of vulnerability and
adaptation”.
Carbon Reduction Strategy Project Synopsis
Tasks
To model low carbon pathways the following must be done:
1.
Establish a historical baseline and a reference development
scenario by estimating the future evolution of greenhouse
gas emissions. The reference scenario should be based on
the most recent population and economic growth projections
2. Identify and quantify the greenhouse gas impacts of
mitigation and sequestration measures that are aligned with
national development objectives.
Tasks cont’d
Assess the costs and benefits of low carbon measures by
using country specific economic data (e.g. discount rates,
labor costs and energy prices)
3.
4. Assess the impacts of uncertainties in the analysis through
sensitivity analyses – particularly for capital‐intensive
investments – and other analytical tools.
5. Build low carbon emission scenarios that show the
aggregate effect of the various mitigation options and
maintain consistency with the long‐term national
development objectives.
Tasks cont’d

Development of strategic and policy framework for carbon
reduction emissions (output 2) is scheduled to be completed
by the end of this year.
In March of this year MEWR held:

A Consultation with stakeholders of the relevant sectors on
mitigation methods and

A Model Usage and Scenario Training session.
Methodology – Model Usage and
Scenario Training
The presentation projected carbon dioxide emissions in a
BAU scenario up to 2040, using 2 scenarios of GDP growth:
- An optimistic scenario and
- A conservative scenario.
DATA SOURCES

Economic and population information: World Bank (1990 – 2012)

Economic projections: World Bank World Development Indicators,
International Financial Statistics of the IMF, IHS Global Insight and
Oxford Economic Forecasting (2000 – 2040)

GDP by Economic Activity: CSOTT (1990 -2012)
DATA SOURCES cont’d
Data from the 3 main sectors with high emissions:
Transport Sector :
Registered vehicles by Type (1995 – 2012)
 Cars by Fuel Used (95% Gas, 5% Diesel and 1100 Compressed
Natural Gas)
 Fuel volumes in litres delivered to service stations
Source – Ministry of Transport


Fuel Consumption – Inventory of GHG Emissions of T&T.
DATA SOURCES cont’d
Industry Sector:
 Products causing process emission: GHG Inventory of Trinidad
and Tobago (1991 – 2008)
Cement, Limestone, Ammonia, Methanol, Metals and Nitric Acid

Energy Consumption per source: Energy Balance of T&T

Fuels consumed in the Agriculture Sector: GHG Inventory of T&T
(1990 – 2006)

Worldwide energy consumption and forecast, liquids and
natural gas: U.S. Energy Information Administration (1990 –
2040)
DATA SOURCES cont’d
Industry cont’d:

Production limits of the Industry of T&T:
Cement - Caribbean Region: Review of Economic Growth
and Development. U.S. International Trade Commission.
Limestone - Coosal's Group of Companies
Ammonia, Methanol and LNG: Ministry of Energy and
Energy Affairs
Metals: National Energy Corporation of Trinidad and
Tobago Limited
Oil: Petrotrin
Nitric Acid: GBR
DATA SOURCES cont’d

Historical Oil and Gas information for T&T: US Energy
Information Administration (1990 – 2011)

Use of CO2 in methanol plants: Trinidad and Tobago's CO2
Inventory and Techno-Economic Evaluation of Carbon
Capture Options for Emission Mitigation. Furlonge, H. et al
(2008 – 2013)

New plant projects in T&T: Ministry of Energy and Energy
Affairs
DATA SOURCES cont’d
Power Generation Sector:
 Electricity generation sites
 Electricity Output (1990 – 2012)
 Electricity losses (1990 – 2012)
 Energy sales forecast (2013 – 2022)
Electricity sales by rate (1990 – 2012)
Source: T&TEC


Energy balances: Ministry of Energy and Energy Affairs (1990
– 2012)

The assumption is CO2 emissions moves in conjunction with
economic growth

The methodology is still being developed and is not finalized.
Thank you