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Biological Juurnal of the Linnean Suciep (1986), 27: 201-223. With 2 figures Sympatric speciation: when is it possible? ALEXEY S. KONDRASHOV Research Computer Centre, Academy of Sciences of the U.S.S.R., Pushchino, Moscow Region, 172291, U.S.S.R. AND MIKHAIL V. MINA N . K. Koltzov Institute of Developmental Biology, Academy of Sciences of the U . S . S . R . , Vavilov Street 26, MOSCOW, 117808, U . S . S . R . Received 13 August 1984, accepted for publication I1 July 1985 This paper is written to compare the results of theoretical investigations of sympatric speciation with the relevant experimental data. We understand sympatric speciation as a formation of species out of a population whose spatial structure is not important genetically. A necessary prerequisite for speriation is an action of disruptive selection on sufficiently polymorphic traits. The present analysis confirms the view that such a selection is ecologically realistic. The genetical part of speciation begins with a development of reproductive isolation between those individuals that are opposed in strme characters. I t is shown that selection for reproductive isolation may be quite strong. Extinction of intermediate individuals, which completes speciation, proceeds under a wide range of ronditions, including those when the newly formed species differ in quantitative characters, though most of the genes arc likely to remain the same in both species. The whole process seems possible if differences i n srveral (up to 10) loci are sufficient to adapt the forming species to different niches and to establish reproductive isolation. It is shown that populations with bimodal distributions of some genetically determined quantitative characters can have a considerable life-time. Such distributions may he formed either as a transition stage of sympatric speciation or represent a stationary state under conditions close to those necessary to complete speciation. They are very important Tor experimental investigations. Sympatric speciation always follows the same principal course; it does not contradict the idea of a genome coadaptedness. The occurrence of sympatric speciation is different for different taxa depending rather on how frequently populations are subjected to the appropriate kind of selection than on their ability to obey it. KEY WORDS:- Sympatric speciation roadaptedness - quantitative characters. - reproductive isolation - disruptive selection - CONTENTS Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Terminology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 'l'heoretiral studies of sympatric speciation . . . . . . . . Ecological conditions . . . . . . . . . . . . Development of reproductive isolation . . . . . . . . Reduction in the number of the intermediate individuals and formation Dumb-bell-shaped structures . . . . . . . . . . 0024-4066/86/030!20 I I + 23 $03.00/0 20 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . of species . . . . . . 202 202 204 204 206 208 210 0 1986 The Linnean Society of London 202 A. S. KONDRASHOV AND M. V. MINA On the possibility of sympatric speciation in nature . . . . Observation ofthe final stages ofsympatric speciation . . Detection of the results of sympatric speciation . . . . Qualitative evaluation of the factors of sympatric speciation. Experiments on sympatric speciation . . . . . . Sympatric speciation and genome coadaptedness . . . . Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . Acknowledgements . . . . . . . . . . . References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 212 212 214 215 216 216 219 220 220 INTRODUCTION The mechanisms underlying speciation are a key problem of evolution theory. Although there may sometimes be difficulties in defining species as such, here we will simplify the problem by defining species as closed gene pools, groups of individuals that can mate only with each other, and that have been reproductively isolated from other groups in the same area for many generations, i.e. we will consider non-dimensional species Senm Mayr ( 1970). This definition suits our purpose, since problems connected with the geographical structure of populations will not be considered here. Sympatric speciation traditionally means that two species are formed out of a single population. We may assume that some polymorphic character is subjected to disruptive selection that gives advantage to marginal phenotypes. Since progeny from matings between different marginals have intermediate genotypes, reproductive isolation between them can develop because the genes precluding their matings would be selected. If disruptive selection eliminates all the intermediates, there will appear two distinct species. The very possibility of this process has been debated until recently, although many modern authors recognize sympatric as well as allopatric speciation. However, the lack of theoretical and experimental evidence for sympatric speciation has made it a subject of great controversy, for at least two reasons. First, sympatric speciation (as much as any drastic change in a population) is difficult to observe in nature and in experiments. Second, a population under sympatric speciation is affected by opposing factors so that intuitive prediction of the outcome is next to impossible. Such a situation calls for an investigation of mathematical models together with field observations and experimental data. An analysis of this type is attempted here. TERMINOLOGY The study of sympatric speciation is complicated by confusion in using the word ‘sympatric’. As Greenwood (1984) has remarked “to a large degree the debate about sympatric speciation was more semantic than biological, devolving on the spatial limits implied by the prefixes sym- and allo-” (p. 15). However, there are cases of speciation that are unambiguously sympatric. We shall call speciation ‘sympatric’ if in its course the probability of mating between two individuals depends on their genotypes only. This definition needs a comment. What non-genetical factors could control the probability of mating? First, individual birthplaces. It follows from o u r definition of sympatry that genes are dispersed all over the range of the SYMPATRIC SPECIATION 203 population, at least during the period of reproduction. The opposite case, when the genes are separated in space by some physical barrier, is known as allopatric speciation. An intermediate situation is referred to as parapatric speciation. In this case speciation goes on in an area where there are no physical barriers, but matings between individuals living far from each other are rare no matter what their genctic difference may be (Bush, 1975). The terms ‘stasipatry’ (White, 1978) and ‘marginal sympatry’ (Grant, 1981) have similar meanings. There is another non-genetic factor that can prevent mating: various types of conditioning. T o illustrate this we consider host-races of membracids (Wood, 1980; Wood & Guttman, 1982). It was shown that individuals that had grown up on plants of one species prefer to mate and to lay eggs on the same plant species, choosing a partner of the same origin. This might arise either from individuals hatching on one plant possessing genes in common, which makes them choose a particular plant and mates; or in the absence of genetic differences between the races if all the individuals are inclined to choose a host which is known to them. The first casc is an example of sympatric races, since nothing prevents individuals of one race from rejoining their race in neighbouring plants, if they had been accidentally transferred to a new plant. In the second case the races should be called allopatric or parapatric; genetically speaking, they are essentially the same as geographically isolated populations, the role of migrants being played by individuals that have abandoned h e i r home plant accidentally. There is no doubt about the existence of genetic distinctions of the races of membracids (Guttman, Wood & Karlin, 1981). However, more work should be done on conditioning, which is known to be powerful, e.g. in some insects such as Drosophila melanogaster during oviposition (Jaenicke, 1982), to reveal the extent of parapatry involved in speciation. For a population to be considered as a n evolving unit, neglecting its spatial structure, i t is sufficient that only zygotes or only gametes should disseminate freely over the entire area. Hence, although one stage of the life cycle may be conditioned, sympatry will still prevail. For example, the females of the parasitic wasp Nasonia vilripennis often lay their eggs on the same insect species that has been their host, but their mating is known to be random (Smith & Cornell, 1979). The same may be said about wind-pollinated plants whose pollen is dispersed over a vast territory, their seeds being comparatively immobile, so that matings occur without restriction. In the opposite case (which is found in some plants) seeds are freely dispersed whilc pollen is mainly distributed among neighbouring plants. Suppose that the environment is heterogeneous, so that individuals with some genotypes would survive in one kind of region and those with other genotypes can survive in some other regions. ‘l’he observer would find plants with differing genotypes growing in different places and could consider speciation to be para- or even allopatric in this case. In fact, however, spatial structure only provides a basis for assortative mating, as the individuals’ location does not depend on its parents’ locations. Such assortativeness determined by birth-place may exist in sedentary benthic invertebrates whose floating larvae select their habitat. Naturalists would generally define sympatric speciation in a wider and less precise sense as, say, occurring within the dispersion range of the offspring from one deme. 204 A. S. KONDRASHOV AND M. V. MINA Sympatry, as we define it, is a deliberate abstraction. A natural situation will always comprise one or another parapatric feature, particularly among immobile organisms. However, a study of sympatric speciation in our definition, as well as other local models, is desirable, first, because of its simplicity, and, second, because under strong migration and sufficiently homogeneous habitat the role of non-sympatric features is likely to be unimportant. Spatial barriers of any kind facilitate speciation even more (Caisse & Antonovics, 1978; Lande, 1982; Stam, 1983), so that the fact that speciation has proved possible in our models suggest that the same will hold in natural populations provided all the other conditions are the same. Models for allopatric speciation often assume that the establishment of reproductive isolation is completed in the zone of secondary contact, i.e. in sympatry (Sawyer & Hartl, 1981). The contrasting situation, when speciation begins as sympatric and ends as allopatric, must be considered. Suppose that a group of individuals invades a new region and their progeny increase their numbers, founding new demes. When the size of these demes is still small, the individuals are not particularly attached to their birth-places, but once the whole region has been colonized and the demes are growing in size, the attachment increases, which means that the dispersion range of the offspring from one deme is reduced. In other words, at the beginning of the process the situation can be qualified as sympatric, the population being undivided all over the region, while at the last-considered stage the region is inhabited by several allopatric populations. This is likely to be the case with many animals when they colonize a new habitat, e.g. salmonids are known to display strong homing but at the same time are able to occupy new areas. Pink salmon (Oncorhynhus gorbuscha), for one, has been exploding in numbers since it was introduced into water bodies in the Kolsky Peninsula (Kamyshnaya & Smirnov, 1981); the ranges of dispersion of the progeny from single demes are many times greater than those typical of this species in its native region. For some African cichlids it was shown that they can easily colonize newly arisen microhabitats suitable for them establishing new populations (McKaye & Gray, 1984). Of course it is always difficult to say to what degree and for how long the newly formed populations retain connections with mother stocks. THEORETICAL STUDIES OF SYMPATRIC SPECIATION Ecological conditions What kind of selection can lead to sympatric speciation and what conditions allow of such selection? We shall attempt to answer these questions using the results of Maynard Smith (1966), Rosenzweig (1978), Udovi; (1980) and Pimm (1979). ' A necessary condition for speciation is a sufficient genetic heterogeneity within the initial population. As an advantage of heterozygotes must impede speciation, it is only the frequency-dependent selection that can be a factor maintaining variability. Selection of this kind occurs when individuals of similar genotypes compete more intensely with each other than with unlike individuals. This may be when individuals of different genotypes use different environmental resources, so that those individuals who have more rare genotypes enjoy an SYMPATRIC SPECIATION 205 advantage. Under weakening competition the frequency-dependent selection disappears (Nassar, 1979). The requirement that the available resources for a population should be heterogeneous and that individuals of different genotypes should utilize them differently is valid also for the final stage of speciation, since, according to the Gause principle, the newly originating species cannot occupy the same niche (see McMurtrie, 1976). In addition, to make speciation possible i t is necessary that under the equilibrium genotype frequencies the fitness of the ‘marginal’ individuals be higher than that of intermediate ones, e.g. when the intermediates can compete with the marginals for neither of the resources. Thus, to ensure sympatric speciation selection must be both frequency-dependent and disruptive. These requirements are to some extent contradictory. Assume a population consisting of small individuals, where large individuals (if appearing) enjoy an advantage, and intermediates are maladapted. Then, if size depends on several genes, the population will produce mainly the maladapted intermediates, giving no opportunity for appearance of a polymorphism, while in a population initially consisting of both small and large individuals it could be stable. T o overcome this apparent contradiction, we have to assume that in a population of small individuals both large and intermediate animals enjoy a n advantage, but when an equilibrium is established selection turns against the intermediates. This problem can be solved mathematically for a one-locus case (Udovic, 1980) by separating the frequency-dependent and disruptive selection components, which allows the estimation of the conditions of stable polymorphism. We shall consider a simple case of two resources to illustrate the possibility of such selection. Assume that all the individuals are able to utilize both resources, but small size gives an advantage in a competition for one of them while large size is advantageous in a competition for the other. Then in a population of small individuals the intermediates as well as the large ones will have an advantage in a competition for an unutilized resource which depends on increase in size for its availability. However, if the frequencies of small and large individuals are at equilibrium, the intermediates would be maladapted, as is shown in fig. 1 of Rosenzweig’s paper (1978). The above consideration seems to be a reformulation of his conclusions. Thus, resources for small and large individuals should not differ greatly, otherwise the rare intermediates in a population of small ones would not be able to use another resource and, consequently, would not be at an advantage. However, these resources should not be too similar, as in this case disruptive selection would not have a chance to operate. Situations may be possible when development of polymorphism precedes disruptive selection. A population initially may have utilized two similar resources, e.g. two similar food species, and could have become genetically variable due to frequency-dependent selection without disruptive selection. Various morphs in such a population feed on different species. If these food species should diverge, disruptive populations would develop among the consumers. No problem in connection with a polymorphism established in an initially monomorphic population would arise here. When different individuals utilize different resources disruptive selection is likely to involve many characters, selection for coadapted phenotypes also 206 A. S. KONDRASHOV AND M. V. MINA occurring. For instance, if some resource is best used by ‘small white’ and another by ‘large black’ individuals, then ‘small blacks’ and ‘large whites’ should be able to use neither of the resources and their fitness would be no better than that of ‘intermediate greys’. There are two possible cases for disruptive selection. The first is when an environment is homogeneous and intermediates are equally maladapted everywhere. The other may be when a population occupies spatially separated subniches which offer different advantages to different marginal genotypes. Then if individuals are allowed to choose a niche, selection in such a population will also be disruptive, as intermediate individuals will have no place and opportunity to adapt. Selection for coadaptedness may be present, for example, when one of the characters determines the choice of the niche, and the other controls viability of the individuals which occupy it (Bush & Diehl, 1982). When individuals cannot choose a niche, as in the case of passive dispersion, all genotypes will have equal fitnesses if selection is additive (Felsenstein, 1981), and therefore disruptive selection might not be expected (Bush & Diehl, 1982). Data on some insects, i.e. Megarhyssa (Hymenoptera) (Gibbons, 1979), Drosophila (Parsons, 1981) and various Diptera families (Nartchuk, 1983) as well as on Puccinia graminis and some other fungi (see Dyakov & Lekomtseva, 1984), also suggest that stipulation of disruptive selection is by no means improbable. The question is whether such selection can lead to the establishment of reproductive isolation. Development of reproductive isolation It is clear that selecting a partner instead of mating at random is advantageous if the fitness of the offspring depends on who its other parent is. Otherwise assortativeness would lead only to a reduction in the chance of an individual’s mating at all. Three possible types of natural selection might then operate in the population. ( 1 ) Selection may be directional and, consequently, the most fit individuals are those belonging to one of the marginal genotypes, which makes the latter the best mating partners for all the rest. This may lead to sexual selection, in other words (Lewontin, Kirk & Crow, 1966) selective mating that enhances the directional component of selection. (2) Selection may be stabilizing. I n this case it is advantageous for marginal individuals to choose from the phenotypes opposite themselves, in other words negative assortativeness is preferable. (3) Selection may be disruptive, in which case-as was predicted by Wallace (see Grant, 1981)-positive assortativeness gains the advantage which may well lead to reproductive isolation between phenotypes that differ greatly. Disruptive selection here may result from unbalanced genotypes of the hybrids produced in a zone of secondary contact between two independent populations (Sawyer & Hartl, 1981), as well as from purely ecological factors in a genuinely sympatric situation. Disruptive selection also involves three possibilities. ( 1) There always exists an assortativeness for some special character and it cannot be intensified. This might refer to characters responsible for temporal or spatial isolation of different phenotypes during the mating period. (2) There may be no assortativeness and SYMPATRIC SPECIATION 207 no selection for assortativeness. (3) Assortativeness for some special character may be either manifested to a certain extent or be absent initially to be later increased (or to appear) under selection. No quantitative estimates of the required intensity of such selection were available until recently when they have been obtained analytically for the initial stage of sympatric speciation (Kondrashov, 1984). A computer simulation (Kondrashov, 1985) provides the relevant data at every stage of the process. This work shows that at an early stage of speciation the advantage of positive assortativeness is considerable (of the order of 1 %) if the intensity of disruptive selection is of the order of loyo,and if the number of genes which determine this character is not large (up to 10). Assortative mating that can most effectively prevent matings of different marginal phenotypes would be most advantageous here. The maximal advantage of assortativeness is reached when the evolving species are about equal in numbers. Low heritability of a character leads to a dramatic decrease in the intensity of selection needed for the establishment of reproductive isolation. An unpredictable environment is known to favour a decrease in heritability (Cooper & Kaplan, 1982), so that a population existing in such conditions might be prevented from developing reproductive isolation. In the course of sympatric speciation, which implies an increase of phenotypic variance in the evolving population, the advantage of assortativeness rapidly increases (Kondrashov, 1985). In other words, assortative mating in the original population must transform into reproductive isolation between the new species. Since assortativeness always lowers the probability of mating, selection for reproductive isolation, and hence sympatric speciation, will be facilitated in flourishing populations where individuals have many opportunities to select their mates while small effective size of a population is in itself a factor preventing sympatric speciation (Kondrashov, 1984). Thus, selection for assortative mating in a character subject to disruptive selection can be sufficiently intensive under a variety of conditions. Maynard Smith (1966) regards a situation in which the same locus determines both selection and assortativeness as highly improbable and considers another situation (see also Udovic, 1980; Felsenstein, 1981) with reproductive isolation determined by some loci while disruptive selection is acting upon some other. This situation requires linkage disequilibrium between the selected and the isolating loci for speciation to run its course. Our model indicates, however, that linkage disequilibrium is possible only when reproductive isolation is already pronounced. A question here arises: how can reproductive isolation be determined by a character unaffected by disruptive selection? Such a process seems possible only as a result of preference of different subniches by different genotypes (Bush & Diehl, 1982). While the case of strong assortativeness and selection in one locus could not be very frequent, the case of a single pobgenic character is quite different. Kilias, Alahiotis & Pelecanos (1980) found that individuals from cage Drosophila populations living for 50 generations under different conditions (in temperature, humidity, feeding) developed a reproductive isolation to a certain degree, while those living under the same conditions did not. Therefore, assortativeness can develop as a by-product of not allopatry as such, but of adaptation to different environments. Consequently, it may be due to differences in selective characters depending on a number of genes (Kilias & Alahiotis, 1983). Assortativeness might have been even stronger 208 A. S. KONDRASHOV AND M. V. MINA if it were specially selected for, i.e. under disruptive selection in sympatry. However, in the experiments with disruptive selection for geotaxis in the housefly (Soans, Pimentel & Soans, 1974; Hurd & Eisenberg, 1975) reproductive isolation was equally in progress in allopatric and sympatric conditions. This result may also be due to the fact that selection for isolation in a sympatric situation will to some extent be compensated for by the exchange of genes that can prevent divergence. There are also data indicating a possibility of rapid development of reproductive isolation between both allopatric (Levin, 1976) and sympatric (MacNair & Christie, 1983) plant populations existing under different selection pressures. We therefore conclude that the principal part in sympatric speciation is played by reproductive isolation determined by selectable characters, such as size, coloration, habitat preferences, time of the day and season of mating, etc., while special mechanisms such as pistil-pollen incompatibility in plants (de Nettancourt, 1977: ch. 5) or hyphal incompatibility in fungi (Dyakov & Lekomtseva, 1984) develop subsequently to complete isolation. This conclusion is confirmed by the complications encountered in the efforts of developing reproductive isolation between subspecies of Drosophila in a cage population, when the individuals are evolving under artificially simplified conditions (see a review by Sved, 1981a). The model of this (Sved, 1981a, b) is similar to the models mentioned above (Udovic, 1980; Felsenstein, 1981) in that selection in all of them acts on those characters that do not determine isolation. However, i t could be very difficult to make some forms reproductively isolated in a cage though they are completely isolated in nature (see Sved, 1981b). One might wonder whether sympatric speciation is at all possible if reproductive isolation requires differences at more than one locus. We discuss this in the following section. Reduction of the number of the intermediate individuals and formation of species Reproductive isolation between marginals is evidently a necessary but not sufficient condition for speciation, which can be completed only with the disappearance of intermediate individuals. This process is influenced by at least three factors: segregation and recombination, assortative mating of some kind, and disruptive selection. It is next to impossible to predict the result of such a complicated interaction without either substantial experimental data (which are lacking) or mathematical modelling. It is not surprising that statements made on the possibility of termination of sympatric speciation at its critical stage have been quite contradictory. Our model was aimed at investigating the final stage of speciation when the intermediate individuals are much fewer than the marginals. The reproductively isolated marginal phenotypes differ either in one quantitative character (Kondrashov, 1983a) or in two characters (Kondrashov, 198313) controlled by up to eight loci. The intensity of disruptive selection required to complete speciation was found to be no less than 10%. It tends to grow with the number of loci responsible for reproductive isolation and depends strongly on the type of selection. Of no less consequence is the nature of assortative mating: when it can SYMPArRIC SPECIAI'ION 209 prevent distant mating it facilitates selection for isolation and the intensity of the selection required will be smaller. In any case, selection of a reasonable intensity such as that often found in nature (see for example Allard, Kahler & Clegg, 1977; Nadeau & Baccus, 1981) could lead to completion of speciation in a wide variety of conditions. In some cases an active role of assortative mating, predicted by Breese (1956), is great enough for the elimination of intermediates to be completed without disruptive selection (Kulagina & Lyapunov, 1966; Kamenshikov, 1972; Markova & Shapiro, 1974; Kondrashov & Molchanov, 1980; Kondrashov, 1980). Unfortunately, this is often overlooked in works on sympatric speciation. Speciation is also possible if reproductive isolation requires a difference in two characters. Another possibility is that selection may act on one character while reproductive isolation is determined by the other (Kondrashov, 1983b). The latter case proved to require only a slightly stronger selection for completion of speciation than in the case when both isolation and selection depend on the same character (Kondrashov, 198313: fig. 2c). It can be accounted for by the fact that by the end of speciation one of the intermediate's parents would be a marginal, so that distributions of different characters in a population are closely correlated (Kondrashov, 1983b: table 2); consequently, the number of characters is of little importance. Speciation can be facilitated by selection for coadaptation operating together with disruptive selection. Computer simulations allow us to trace the whole process of extinction of intermediates beginning from the population with binomial phenotype distribution (Kondrashov, 1985). Two different situations were observed. When opposite marginals differ in a small number of loci (up to 10) the early stage of speciation proceeds under a weaker selection than that required to complete the extinction of intermediates. This may be because the matings between intermediates, who are frequent in a population with unimodal phenotype distribution, produce some proportion of marginals while at the final stage of speciation rare intermediates always mate with marginals, which leads to an increased proportion of intermediates due to recombination. I n contrast, with a larger number of loci involved, selection sufficient to complete speciation may be insufficient to change the initial population markedly, probably because of a small phenotype distribution variance in Hardy-Weinberg multilocus population. Considered together with the results on selection for reproductive isolation, these findings suggest that sympatric speciation is possible when essential differences (including isolating mechanisms) between the formed species depend on up to 10 loci. This makes the studies of interspecies genetical differences important. Data on morphological differences between Hawaiian Drosophila silvestis and D . heleroneura (Val, 1977) and between species of stem borer Ostrinia (Frolov, 1981), as well as on seasonality of reproduction in Chrysopa carnea and C. duuinesii (Tauber & Tauber, 1977a, b), demonstrate that the number of loci involved in speciation can be surprisingly small. A single dominant gene causing incompatibility can protect Hordeum vulgare from pollination with Hordeum bulbusurn (Pickering, 1983). Evidently intraspecies polymorphism involves many more loci than do some interspecies differences (for reviews see Lande, 1981; Maynard Smith, 1983). However, more data on various plants and animals are desirable. There is also some evidence that routine methods of studying the 210 A. S. KONDRASHOV AND M. V. MINA number of loci may lead to considerable overestimations (Ginzburg, 1982, 1984). Note that the number of differences between two species, even closely related, is usually larger than that required for speciation, because of subsequent divergence. It has also been shown that when the loci responsible for a selective character and those providing assortativeness are linked, speciation is facilitated (Kondrashov, 1985). Disruptive selection is likely to be able to produce a linkage (Mayr, 1970). However, discrete phenotypes may appear within a panmictic population if selection operates on characters determined by only a few loci, an appearance of linkage between many loci responsible for different characters being rather unrealistic. O n the other hand, disruptive selection springing from utilization of different resources must involve several characters. If there is a character which brings about no assortativeness and different resources impose equal requirements on it, then newly formed species will not differ in this character (Kondrashov, 1983b, 1985). This theoretical prediction is confirmed by the data (Carson, 1976; Nevo & Cleve, 1978), indicating that the new species retain many common features, which we consider very important (see p. 219). There is a view (see Grant, 1981) that a population cannot bear the genetic load that necessarily appears under selection strong enough to create sympatric speciation. In simulation models of sympatric speciation (Menshutkin, 1977: Kondrashov, 1985), however, individuals produced not more than 10 offspring. Evidently, natural populations with their much greater fecundity can bear even stronger selection. While species are being formed it is interesting to observe the shape of the residual band that links them in the genotype space, i.e. the relative frequencies of various intermediate phenotypes. This shape remains practically invariant when all intermediates make u p less than 20-30% of the population and characterizes some concrete factors of speciation process, which are often difficult to measure directly. For example, appearance of a local maximum in the middle of the band suggests that reproductive isolation is due to more than two loci and that assortativeness of intermediates’ matings is not very strong (Kondrashov, 1983a, b) . Dumb- bell-shaped structures A population at the last stage of sympatric speciation includes more marginal than intermediate individuals and can be depicted as a dumb-bell structure. This term will be used to denote two aggregates of individuals in a space of characters with a zone between them where the individuals are present but scarce. We shall consider only those cases when a bimodal distribution is formed by individuals belonging to one local population and is not a result of a partial overlap of character distributions in two different local populations. We do not consider hybrid zones either (Endler, 1977), because in this intermediate case mating of marginals is prevented by their spatial separation (see Caisse & Antonovics, 1978). A dumb-bell structure may tend to split altogether having formed new species, but may well continue as a stable form for the life of the population. This can occur in at least three circumstances. ( 1) There is no complete reproductive isolation between the marginal SYMPA'IRIC SPECIA'I'ION 21 I genotypes, so that new intermediates appear repeatedly from mating of the marginals, but are rare and maladapted. (2) Reproductive isolation between the marginals is complete, but the disruptive selection is not sufficient to ensure the completion of speciation. ( 3 ) In previous cases i t was supposed that there were two resources, each of them efficiently utilized by one of the marginal groups. Now assume that there is another resource that suits intermediates better than marginals. If this resource is not abundant, disruptive selection in a population not yet approaching the completion of speciation will change towards stabilizing selection as the number of the intermediate individuals becomes small. It is in this particular case that a disadvantage of complete splitting into species does occur (Mayr, 1970). In other cases, during the course of speciation disruptive selection may even increase because of the growing number of competable marginals. These three possibilities have been predicted analytically and confirmed by computer simulation (Kondrashov, 1985). Cases ( 1 ) and (2) produce the dumbbell structure as a result of counter-balance of selection and gene exchange. Selection here works to create a complete reproductive isolation of the opposite marginals (the first case) and to increase the assortativeness of the intermediates (the second case), leading eventually to a termination of speciation. Therefore, we will call structures of types (1) and (2) evolutionarily unstable. However, their division by speciation will take longer than that under invariant assortativeness. The longest speciation process for case ( 1 ) may occur if a violation of reproductive isolation is determined not by a genotype subjected to a strong negative selection but results from a probability of error equal for all individuals and caused by a n imperfection of the isolating mechanism. T h e direction of selection in case (3) will depend on the nature of assortativeness. If the latter is weak, the offspring would comprise more intermediates compared to the parent population. A very strong assortativeness producing a smaller proportion of intermediates would result in the opposite situation. Selection in the former case is disruptive, and in the latter case it is stabilizing. T h e population, eventually, acquires a type of assortativeness under which distribution of the parents will be the same as that of their offspring, when frequency-dependent selection is the only selection acting. We have in such a situation an evolutionarily stable dumb-bell which allows the population to continue without change, if the environment is stable. One could show an absence of disruptive selection by measuring the ratio of the frequencies of young and adult intermediate individuals, and use this to verify experimentally the evolutionary stability of natural dumb-bell structures. Cases ( 1 ) and (2) may be experimentally discriminated, since in the first case most of the intermediates are hybrids between different marginals in the first generation. Thus, dumb-bell structures are formed under quite marked reproductive isolation and disruptive selection, i.e. under conditions leading to sympatric speciation or at least resembling these. The initial stage of speciation, i.e. a n accumulation of polymorphisms and an establishment of reproductive isolation, may be very prolonged. However, it is difficult to recognize it in nature as the population at this stage has undergone n o pronounced changes. T h e next stage, i.e. a n elimination of the intermediate individuals, is likely to be rapid, being determined by the pre-existing polymorphism and strong selection. Hence, dumb-bells that are more stable 212 A. S. KONDRASHOV AND M. V. MINA than a transitory phase of speciation, and particularly those that are evolutionary stable, are the most likely to be found in nature. I n addition, if the conditions are changing so as to eliminate the third resource, the evolutionarily stable dumb-bell would slowly undergo sympatric speciation. ON THE POSSIBILITY OF SYMPATRIC SPECIATION IN NATURE T o investigate the problem of the existence of a true sympatric speciation in nature, two related approaches are possible. The first is to observe a population directly (or a pair of species formed as a result of speciation) and to try to understand which factors are involved in speciation. The second is to evaluate quantitatively evolutionary factors such as selection and assortativeness and to make conclusions about a possible course of the evolution in the population. We begin with the first approach. As it is difficult to recognize the early stage of speciation we shall only deal with investigations of dumb-bells. Observation of the Jinal stages of sympatric speciation Dumb-bell structures have been observed by many authors. A good example is provided by a salmonid fish, Brachymystax lenok (Mina & Vasilyeva, 1979; Borisovets, Alexeev & Mina, 1983; Alexeev, 1983). This species is represented by two sympatric forms (‘sharp-nosed’ and ‘blunt-nosed’) in some lakes and rivers of the Uda, Amur and Lena basins. Dumb-bell structures of various dimensions are shown in Fig. 1. They belong to type (1) of our classification because the intermediates are hybrids of the marginal forms having, it seems, a somewhat decreased viability. A similar situation has been described in a goodeid genus Ilyodon (Turner & Grosse, 1980; Turner, Grudzien, Adkisson & Withe, 1983) where two sympatric morphs differing in mouth size, teeth structure, number of gill-rakers and coloration of males are presumed to be in genetic contact, with disruptive selection eliminating intermediates. Sympatric host-races in insects may also be considered as dumb-bell structures. Besides the well-known data on Rhagoletis (Bush, 1975), sympatric host races were observed in Enchenopa binotata (Wood, 1980; Wood & Guttman, 1982), Liriomyza brassica (Tavormina, 1982), Yponomenta padellus (Menken, 1981) , and Lochmaea capreae (Mikheev & Kreslavsky, 1980). Two sympatric races of Lochmaea capreae in the Moscow region live on birch (Betula pubescenus) and willow (Salix capreae). Beetles of each race strongly prefer their host-plant. Larvae of the willow race cannot develop on birch, while the birch-race larvae can feed on both host species. The ability of larvae to develop on birch is inherited as a dominant character during interracial matings. In nature and in experiment such matings are rare, though the hybrids are viable and fertile (Kreslavsky, Mikheev, Solomatin & Gritsenko, 1981). Strong assortativeness leads to a low level of interrace gene flow in nature. Further investigations demonstrated some degree of subdivision within both birch and willow races (Solomatin, Mikheev & Kreslavsky, 1984; Mikheev, Kreslavsky, Solomatin & Gritsenko, 1984). In some insect populations dumb-bell structures are not connected with formation of host races, e.g. in the soldier beetle Changliognathus pensylvannicus (McLain, 1982). 213 32 - B ..... 0.0 w 28x 2 0-b :;t:.. -- e 0 - E 24 rn e O 0 - z 20 Boo 0 000 0 0 0000 0 . . 0% - . ...$ 0. . 0 0.0 0.0 0 . I 1 1 1 , 1 , 1 , , , 1 , , , 1 , , 1 1 , , , 1 1 1 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 I I 0.3 0.4 Figure 1. Dumb-bell structures revealed in studies of Brac$mystax lenok. A, One-dimensional dumbbell structure. Number of gill-rakers in specimens from the Duki River (Amur River Basin) (from Alexeev, 1983). B, Two-dimensional dumb-bell structure. Relative width of supraethmoideum and number of gill rakers in specimens from the Duki River; open circles, hybrids, and filled circles, ‘sharp-nosed’ and ‘blunt-nosed’ forms (from Alexeev, 1983). C, Multidimensional dumb-bell structure (10 characiers). Distribution of specimens from the Kuanda River and Leprindokan Lake (Lena River Basin) in the plane of the first two principal components (from Borisovets et al., 1983). Strictly speaking, sympatric host races can be considered as dumb-bell rather than a hybrid zone between parapatric population only when the role of conditioning is not essential, as shown for Lochmaea caprene (Mikheev & Kreslavsky, 1980) and Liriomyra brassicae (Tavormina, 1982). Without such observations and data on genetic differences, bimodal phenotype distribution could be supposed to result solely from different conditions of ontogeneses of opposite marginals (Futuyama & Mayer, 1980). The chief argument against dumb-bell structures as indicators of sympatric speciation is that they may be formed as a result of secondary contact. But we can expect that if this contact is not of long standing, different marginal 214 A. S. KONDRASHOV AND M. V. MlNA individuals must differ in many characters, as they represent allopatrically evolved populations. Meanwhile the species being formed under sympatric speciation will differ in only a small number of characters relevant to the speciation process (Kondrashov, 198313). However, a dumb-bell structure after sufficiently long stable existence ‘forgets’ its history and carries no features indicating the way it has been developed (Kondrashov, 1983b). The same is true for hybrid zones between parapatric populations and for clines (Endler, 1977: ch. 6). This is manifested in the levelling out of all differences between marginal individuals except for those maintained by selection or assortativeness, which is achieved by the gene exchange between different marginals. This process is most rapid if intermediates comprise a considerable part of the population (Turner & Grosse, 1980; McLain, 1982), and are not just rare hybrids of the first generation as is the case with Drosophila silvestris and D. heteroneura (Kaneshiro & Val, 1977). Hence, the coincidence in the frequencies of several isozyme loci in different marginals (e.g. in trophotypes of Ilyodon, Turner et al., 1983) proves only the absence of disruptive selection acting on these loci and not a total absence of genetic differences as Futuyama & Mayer (1980) suggest. It is often impossible to know whether a dumb-bell structure has evolved through an allopatric phase without investigating its history. This is true, for example, for the Brachymystax lenok mentioned above. Whatever their origin, dumb-bell structures with viable and fertile intermediates comprising 5-20°/, of the whole population and with marginals differing in but a small number of characters can only be stable under conditions close to those necessary to complete sympatric speciation in the same situation. Therefore, we see no grounds for denying the possibility of sympatric development of a dumb-bell structure, in which opposite marginals differ in several (up to 10) loci once they can stably exist under such conditions or even split up into new species. Thus, although it may be difficult to detect a sympatric origin of a dumb-bell structure (reasonable explanation though it might be: Wood, 1980; Turner & Grosse, 1980; Tavormina, 1982; Gritsenko, Kreslavsky, Mikheev, Severtsov & Solomatin, 1983), its mere existence confirms the plausibility of conditions necessary to complete sympatric speciation. We believe that further progress in the study of sympatric speciation should be primarily connected with detailed genetical and ecological investigations of dumb-bell structures. These have been too often overlooked by naturalists. Detection of the results of sympatric speciation Two presently parapatric or allopatric species may have diverged sympatrically. Sympatric speciation may reasonably be presumed on one of two bases. The first is that the new species had no room to be formed in allopatry. For instance, sympatric speciation is highly plausible if a ‘species flock’ (i.e. a number of closely related species) are living in an isolated habitat (which can be considered small taking into account dispersion abilities of the species) : e.g. bugs of Rapa Island (White, 1978), Cottocomephoridue of Baikal lake (Mednikov, 1963), Barbinae of Lanao lake (Myers, 1960; Kornfield & Carpenter, 1984), cichlids in the Great Lakes of Africa (Fryer, 1977; Greenwood, 1984; Witte, 1984; McKaye & Gray, 1984), etc. It is also plausible if the habitat of one species is large and SYMPA'I'RIC SPECIATION 215 that of the other species is small and incorporated within it (Tauber & Tauber, 1977a, b). Our model allows us to explain these data without what seems to us artificial hypotheses on pre-existing barriers which later disappeared. However, in all the cases mentioned i t is imposible to distinguish sympatric speciation as we define it from speciation in which conditioning plays the most important part. The second basis may be the sympatric existence of a pair of species whose artificial hybrids are viable and fertile with no traces of 'gene imbalance'. Such a case is analogous to dumb-bell structures in that even if an allopatric origin of the forms in question cannot be excluded secondary contact would bring about the same problems as sympatric speciation does; selection against intermediates could not be related to their 'hybrid inferiority', but would be only due to circumstances of their ecology (Anderson, 1949). The number of such pairs of species seems to be large, e.g. two species of Drosophila athabasca complex (Johnson, 1978), Chrysopa carnea and C. downesii (Tauber & Tauber, 1977a, b). If both criteria apply (e.g. Tauber & Tauber, 1977a,b), sympatric speciation is the most likely scenario (see the discussions of Hendrickson, 1978; Tauber & Tauber, 1978, 1982), although the exact genetic mechanism of the process can only be guessed at. Qualitative evaluation of the factors of sympatric speciation Dumb-bell structures represent a relatively brief phase of evolution and therefore may be rare at a given time, although many species have probably passed or will be passing through this phase. The factors of sympatric speciation can be reasonably investigated at this stage, because such structures can only appear under sufficient disruptive selection and reproductive isolation. Conversely, sufficient selection and isolation will lead to formation of a dumb-bell. Without disruptive selection, assortative mating (e.g. in coloration of the snow goose and Arctic skua (see the review of Mayr, 1970) in size of Rana temporaria (Mina, 1974), Chrysomelid beetles of various subfamilies (Solomatin, Kreslavsky, Mikheev & Gritsenko, 1977), and Littorina obtusala (Sergievsky, 1983)) is merely a side-effect (probably detrimental) of variability. Such assortativeness is usually weak and does not affect the population considerably. This does not imply, however, that assortative mating does not play an important role in evolution (Mayr, 1970). Assortativeness is important when it is advantageous, i.e. when disruptive selection acts. ?'here are a number of cases when assortativeness is known to be strong (McKaye, 1980; Wood, 1980; Kreslavsky et al., 1981; McLain, 1982) but these data are not abundant. Quantitative measurements of disruptive selection in natural populations are not available, though observations on selection of the intensity required for speciation should not be very difficult to obtain. 'The best available indirect data on disruptive selection are given in a classical work by Zinger ( 1928). The author showed Alectrolophus (Rhinanthus) major Rchb. growing in virgin biotopes and developing seeds at the end of July to produce in the conditions of yearly hay-making two forms (probably species), one of which completed the whole cycle in June before hay-making ( A . verna), and the other 216 A. S. KONDRASHOV AND M. V. MINA which began growing after haymaking and developed seeds in August (A. polyclados). The parameters of life-history were closely correlated with some morphological characters such as the number of knots on the stem. The new forms-A. verna and A . polyclados-were found to develop sympatrically from populations of A . major under disruptive selection many times at different places, as Zinger observed various stages of speciation in different populations. A correlation between the blooming of A . polyclados and the mowing-time in different and sometimes neighbouring meadows suggested a high intensity of selection. It has also been shown that artificial disruptive selection for flowering time in Brassica campestris yields a rapid divergence and substantial temporal isolation between opposite marginals (Murty, Arunachalam, Do101 & Ram, 1972). Experiments on sympatric specialion Results of experiments aiming to produce reproductive isolation under disruptive selection in cage populations are controversial (for references on early works on selection for the bristle number in Drosophila see Thoday & Gibson, 197 1 ) . Some later works concerned with selection for geotaxis in Musca domestica (Soans et al., 1974; Hurd & Eisenberg, 1975), and some experiments (especially those on geotaxis) have yielded successful results. We would like to clarify two points here. First, negative results in such experiments may not mean more than the natural populations, that were used, had no polymorphism sufficient for speciation (Thoday & Gibson, 1971). Second, disruptive selection in such experiments is directed at one character, whereas in natural conditions a difference of resources is likely to require differences in many characters. Consequently, selection should be created because of introduction of different resources, as it is disruptive selection combined with selection for coadaptedness that has the strongest effect on speciation (Kondrashov, 198313). Besides, some characters subject to selection are more likely to be involved in the formation of reproductive isolation. The latter seems to be the case for behavioural characters (Coyne & Grant, 1972), which may well explain the success of the experiments in which such characters were involved (Halliburton & Gall, 1981). SYMPATRIC SPECIATION AND GENOME COADAPTEDNESS There is a tendency to view sympatric speciation as based either on the notion of ‘macromutations’ (polyploidization included) as a cause of speciation or on ‘bean-bag genetics’. For example, Mayr (1978) wrote: “The models of the proponents of sympatric speciation generally work with the fitness (and polymorphisms) of single genes and are little concerned with problems of the relative frequency of genes and with gene interactions. The opponents of sympatric speciation, by contrast, are impressed by the role of heterozygosity and more generally by the difficulty of setting from one peak of a well integrated, well coadapted gene complex through a valley of disintegration to another peak of coadaptedness”. Such a view misleads one into thinking that one of the difficulties of sympatric speciation would be the problem of the availability of mating partners for genetically isolated individuals ...This problem does exist with some snails in the SYMPATRIC SPECIATION 217 formation of the left form out of the right form (or vice versa). Such a processa real speciation-is possible only in sedentary non-mobile species where individuals can mate to their sib of the same phenotype (Alexandrov & Sergievsky, 1978). However, if only homozygotes A A and aa do not mate and all other matings are possible, there is no problem. This is the more so when new species differ in several loci. It is important to note that sympatric speciation, as well as allopatric speciation, goes on at the populational level and not at that of individuals. The second part of Mayr’s statement implies that interspecies and intraspecies differences are of a different nature (see also Mayr, 1970). This is supposed to prevent sympatric speciation which requires that assortativeness in a parent population should gradually transform into reproductive isolation between the species. It is a truth universally acknowledged that all individuals of a particular species have one and the same ‘coadapted gene complex’ and a ‘canalysed ontogenesis’. It follows that in a genotype space there are some isolated adaptive peaks corresponding to actual or potential species, while all other genotypes are ‘disintegrated’ and maladapted under any environment. In such circumstances the first phase of speciation, i.e. a settling from one peak to another, is only possible in a small geographically isolated population as a result of a random drift (Mayr, 1970; Templeton, 1980). The situation looks like a paradox: a crucial point of evolution-speciationis viewed by Darwinists as beginning from anti-adaptive changes. Numerous records of physiological and ontogenetical inferiority of hybrids are generally considered as the main evidence for this. This would be the case if hybrid inferiority were due to heterozygosity at one locus, but this looks quite exceptional (Portin, 1974). However, if two species differ in many genes, the inferiority of their hybrids does not mean that the speciation involves a decrease of fitness because of multidimensionality of genotype space (Maynard Smith, 1983: 21). Suppose that coadapted genotypes form a complex system of ridges in a genotype space, rather than a set of isolated peaks. Hence, maladaptedness of a hybrid d between species a and b does not necessarily imply that species passed through a ‘valley of disintegration’ in the course of their evolution from a common ancestor c. The species ( e a n d f) may be situated at the opposite ends o f a straight narrow ridge. Then their F , hybrids will be coadapted but most of F, progeny (being more viable as a result of segregation) will miss the ridge. Hybrid breakdown in F, and subsequent generations is often observed (Ohta, 1,980; Grant, 1981). The isolated peaks of coadaptedness imply a typological concept, with the only exception that the ‘type’ of a species is determined not at the morphological or biochemical levels (which was proved not to be true by Mayr (1970), Lewontin (1974) and a number of others), but at the genetical and ontogenetical levels. While disintegrated genotypes are maladapted everywhere because of their intrinsic properties, the fitnesses of coadapted genotypes may be high or low, depending on their environments. In any particular environment some coadapted genotypes correspond to selective peaks, i.e. a certain selective topography (see Wright, 1982) exists. It might be supposed that speciation goes L 218 A. S. KONDRASHOV AND M. V. M l N A through peak-shifting of a population because of random drift. However, recent quantitative estimations (see Barton & Charlesworth, 1984) suggest that this process is implausible even under allopatric conditions, no matter what factors (intrinsic or environmental) may have created the adaptive valley. We therefore assume that sympatric speciation is an attempt of a population to follow the changes of selective topography, namely a splitting up of a peak into two (Rosenzweig, 1978, see above). The more flexible selective topography is, the more evolutionary possibilities open up for a population. If all the changes are adaptive, the population will not be able to cross from adaptive zone A to zone B, until the coadapted genotype g can realize its potential advantages in a suitable environment (Fig. 2). As selective topography varies both in time and space, evolution may be facilitated in a system of connected subpopulations. We assume that if geographic structure facilitates evolution, this is due to fuller utilization of environmental and selectional potentials, and not to drift. Wright (1948) proposed a similar view, though population subdivision is more traditionally considered as a tool to increase the number of random peakshifting attempts (Wright, 1982). In the course of sympatric speciation the formation of assortativeness and, consequently, of isolated gene pools precedes the development of a profound distinction between the species that are responsible for the inferiority of their hybrids. In other words, reproductive isolation appearing in the course of sympatric speciation is due to incompatibility, i.e. minor differences preventing matings between genetically well-matched partners. Independent evolution of Figurc 2. Prak (A) and ridge (B) patterns of coadaptedness. Coadapted genotypes are shadowed (SCC ICXI). SYMPATRIC SPECIATION 219 the formed species may lead to their incongruence, i.e. to pronounced distinctions which make mating between them impossible or unsuccessful (Hogenboom, 1975). Only at this stage does divergence seem to be irreversible. The reality of incompatible but congruent species is proved by the fact that artificial hybrids between natural sympatric species are often quite viable and fertile (e.g. Tauber & Tauber, 1977a, b; Johnson, 1978). It is also confirmed by the data on species that have no differences in genes of a pronounced effect (lethals), in isozymes and in karyotypes (Carson, 1976; Nevo & Cleve, 1978). We presume the difference between a pair of congruent isolated gene pools which is a primary product of sympatric speciation to be of the same nature as intraspecific variations. This is also in line with the facts of introgressive hybridization and reuniting of species that show the reversibility of divergence at this stage, such as ‘blending’ of two clupeid species (Alosa alosa and A . f a l l a x ) in the Rhine River (Redeke, 1938), mass hybridization of toads Bufo fowleri and B. americana (Blair, 1941) and numerous examples of this in plant species (Anderson, 1949; Grant, 1981: ch. 17). CONCLUSIONS The main theme of this work is that it is the nature of selection that determines the fate of a population. If selection favours speciation, the population can split into species under quite realistic conditions. Therefore, the occurrence of sympatric speciation in a group depends on how often disruptive selection acts on its populations. The number of such cases is likely to vary a great deal for different taxa. For instance, there are apparently no sympatric groups belonging to the same species of birds or mammals which are as distinctly different in their ecology and morphology as are host races in insects, seasonal races or trophotypes in fishes. It is therefore not surprising that the most active antagonists of sympatric speciation are to be found among ornithologists (such as Mayr) while the study of insects and fish supplies the data to support this theory. Populations of animals which do not move around may seldom be involved in sympatric speciation because the neighbourhood range in such cases is too small and the environmental conditions of a local population are too homogeneous for disruptive selection to appear. Sympatric speciation seems to always follow the one principal scheme. Therefore, it is unreasonable to distinguish speciation which is due to assortativeness and that due to disruptive selection (Mayr, 1970) since both these factors are indispensable, as well as to separate allochronic (Mayr, 1970) and competitive (Rosenzweig, 1978) types of speciation whose names refer only to the mechanisms of formation of separate factors of the process. We believe that a further study of sympatric speciation must involve an overall investigation of the dumb-bell structure. A tendency to regard the allopatric speciation hypothesis as a null hypothesis which needs no proof and is valid unless disproven is unreasonable. Neither sympatric nor allopatric hypotheses are easily subjected to falsifying tests in the analysis of natural situations. After all, the investigator has to be contented with a conclusion that one of the hypotheses demands fewer assumptions and is more likely to be true than the other. 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