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Fudging climate justice: EU and UK legislation for Agro-biofuels and the emerging campaign to stop biofuel targets Biofuelwatch www.biofuelwatch.org.uk introduced by Dr Andrew Boswell, biofuelwatch and UK Green Party councillor on Norfolk County Council March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation Summary • Climate Change / Agrofuels background • EU and UK legislation • Certification and sustainability criteria • Legislation/policy needed - Demand reduction is key • Join the Campaign! March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation US / EU Biofuel Policy – going off the graph EU – 10% by 2020 (1% now) US – 20% by 2020 (4% now) 2010 March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation 2020 Mega-scale Agrofuel drivers • Government and corporate subsidy and promotion • Fits “Business as usual” policies and paradigms – Year-on-year economic growth – Avoid unpopular “demand reduction” politics • Short term “energy security” fix • New global mega-industry and infrastructure – – – – agribusiness, biotech, and chemical sectors car manufacturers avoid more efficient vehicles refining, tankage and shipping sectors commodity markets (eg Palm Oil, sugar, corn) March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation Agrofuel issues • Greenhouse gas (GHG) balances Land Use Change (LUC), N2O, CO2 • Environmental impacts: Deforestation, loss of habitats / biodiversity, water depletion, soil erosion, chemicals • Social impacts: Poverty, land grabbing, land conflicts, human rights, labour, food security and sovereignty March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation Agriculture/Land Use already 30-40% of global GHGs • Deforestation, agriculture and peat Emission Trickery From Stern Exporting emissions from Northern transport to Southern agriculture and land use Report March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation Agrofuel LUC will create further massive emissions • A one-off GHG hit that takes many years to repay ‘Converting rainforests, peatlands, savannas, or grasslands to produce food-based biofuels in Brazil, Southeast Asia, and the United States creates a ‘biofuel carbon debt’ by releasing 17 to 840 times more CO2 than the annual greenhouse gas (GHG) reductions these biofuels provide by displacing fossil fuels.’ • Fargione et al, Science, February 2008 • Peatland rainforest -> Palm Oil: 840 years to repay • But Palm Oil plantations only 25 years lifetime March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation N20 needs further study • microbes convert N fertiliser to N2O • Underestimated (IPCC) - Crutzen • oilseed rape biodiesel, for example, is up to 70% worse for the climate than fossil fuel diesel (also corn ethanol) • UK and EU Biofuels GHG calculations in scientific doubt • Nitrogen pollution – Baltic, Gulf of Mexico March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation Food vs Fuel UN FAO, September 2007 • “Developing countries face serious social unrest as they struggle to cope with soaring food prices” UN FAO, February 2008 • “We will have a significant gap … in food aid… , and we will need an extra half billion dollars just to meet existing assessed needs." March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation Food vs Fuel Low-Income FoodDeficit countries (LIFDCs) :: Social unrest / food riots 16 million starve per 1% commodity price Fudging climate justice : rise March 2008 EU and UK biofuels legislation Urgent Issues EU/UK Wheat Ethanol Surge EU Focus has been on biodiesel March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation Hundreds of NGOs in Latin America, Asia and Africa have spoken out against large-scale agrofuels. March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation Impacts on People • Land violations / violence – Indonesia human rights disaster (FoE) • 7.3 million hectares Palm plantations • 513 ongoing conflicts – Colombia • Land grabbing – Governments allow companies to get around land laws – Some 2 billion hectares of Southern land up for recolonisation – Driven by Jatropha rush (India, Africa) March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation Impacts on People • Human rights – Pesticide use (especially with GM Soya varieties etc) – Deforestation causing health problems – Paramilitaries in Indonesia and Colombia – Violent evictions and murders • Displaced peoples – UN warns up 60 million biofuel refugees – Displaced to less than subsistence rural existence, or to the urban poor in mega cities March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation Moratorium calls • George Monbiot, April 2007, Guardian • Southern and Northern NGOs (over 150), July 2007 – No EU Imports, Large scale mono cultures • Jean Ziegler, UN, October 2007 – Food crisis : ‘crime against humanity’ • African NGOs (30), November 2007 – No global targets, no more African dev. • UK MPs – Environmental Audit Committee – Suspend EU/UK targets March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation UK Legislation RTFO (1) Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation (RTFO) • Replacing fuel duty incentives – 20p/litre • 2005 consultation (of who?), feasibility study etc. – Driven by EU 5.75% by 2010 and 10% by 2020 targets – UK level 5% by 2010 • Requires suppliers to sell a proportion of biofuel – Gain certificates; or – Purchase certificates from another company; or – Pay a buy-out price March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation UK Legislation RTFO (2) October 2007 – Commons delegated committee • 2.5% (2008/9), 3.75% (2009/10), 5% (2010/11) • No sustainability criteria until 2011 • Westminster disquiet – For : 10 (LAB –whipped?) – Against/Abstain : 5 (CON) and 2 (LibDem) – Annual review October 2008 March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation UK Legislation RTFO (3) Carbon savings revised • 9 October 2007 – 3.6 mT CO2 -> 2.6 to 3 mT (2010/11) • Jan 2008 : Final figures different to consultation Annual target 2008-9 2009-10 2010-11 GHG saving 40% 45% (50%) 50% (60%) Sus. Crit. 50% (35%) 70% (65%) 90% (80%) • Feb 2008 : Science Paper – ‘Land use change causes massive carbon debt’ • Ruth Kelly orders review PANIC! March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation EU Legislation (1) • Renewables Directive –20% renewables by 2020 –10% by volume biofuels by 2020 (Biofuels Directive (BFD)) • Fuel Quality Directive (FQD) –could force up to 26-28% BFs March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation EU Legislation (2) • Sustainability Criteria • GHG calculator – Where do they go? – In BF Directive? – In FQ Directive? – In both? – Variants in each? March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation Sustainability criteria (1) • Direct and indirect environmental impacts: Deforestation, loss of habitats / biodiversity, water depletion, soil erosion, chemicals • Direct and indirect social impacts: Poverty, land conflicts, human rights, labour, food security and sovereignty • Start times – UK RTFO writes off peat land converted before 2005 – EU : No GHG target until 2013 for plantations before 2008 March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation Sustainability criteria (2) • Driven by interests of industry and government • Displacement / leakage not handled – Existing agriculture displaced by agrofuels moves into new areas • Macro impacts through commodity price shifts not handled – Amazon deforestation ←→ soy price • US Corn for ethanol displaces US soy => soy price – EU oilseed rape use causes palm oil prices causes palm oil expansion March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation GHG Calculators • Largely look at processing side not agriculture side • Weighted to favour industry – Default values often weighted in favour of poor GHG biofuels • Direct and In-direct land use change (LUC) not understood or covered • Ditto N2O March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation UK Government figures NOW in complete scientific doubt • From LowCVP presentation to UK Bioenergy conference Sept 2007 Corn Ethanol -50% March 2008 LUC Oil Seed rape biodiesel -70% Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation Legislation/Policy for demand reduction • Strict/robust vehicle efficiency • Public transport investment – Modal shift • Sustainable planning – Reduce journeys • Big investment into True renewables – Electric vehicles • Needs political will/courage March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation Descending the transport emissions curve - Demand reduction is key 160Reduce vehicle emissions by 50% Current EU energy policy - smaller, more efficient vehicles 140 120 100 90% carbon Reduce journeys –emission planning, modal shift, 80 60 decouple needed transport reduction URGENTLY! from economy Reduce liquid fuel – plug-in hybrids 40 Change Supply - Concentrating Solar Power ? 20 March 2008 1990 2000 2010 justice : Fudging climate EU and UK biofuels legislation 2020 March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation Biofuels Campaigning Issue cuts across many areas, tipping points and critical thresholds • Climate tipping point – Deforestation, climate feedbacks • Food security tipping point • Land rights critical threshold – Whose land is it anyway? – Food > Feed > Fuel – What about land for carbon sinking? • Ecological vs industrial agriculture critical thresholds? – monocultures, corporate supply chains, pricing, GMOs March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation UK Parliamentary Lobbying • RTFO - Westminster disquiet / Ripe A UK biofuel U-turn would send strong message to EU • Campaign to MPs – lobbying, letters, email RTFO targets suspended or scrapped UK Block of EU Fuel Quality Directive UK input into post-2010 EU policy Ideas / Help? March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation EU Parliamentary Lobby • Renewables (inc. Biofuels) Directive • Fuel Quality Directive – Sustainability Criteria / GHG calculations Complex power structures Commission, Council, State Ministers, MEPs, Civil Servants Campaign to MEPs, Commissioners – lobbying, letters – penetrate deeper into political structure EU targets revised, frozen or scrapped March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation Consumers / Supporters / Voters RTFO vs. demand reduction awareness, climate change bill Build a mainstream ‘I don’t buy biofuel and I am cutting my fossil fuel use’ consciousness Fair trade / Corporate Respon -sibility Ecological and Social Justice Cleaner Vehicles and Transport Deep cuts in GHGs March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation JOIN THE BLESSED UNREST March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation BLESSED UNREST •April Biofool’s Day Protests against Gordon Brown on Biofuels •Tuesday April 15th – Downing Street, 6.00pm •And around UK March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation CONTACTS •Sign up to the biofuelwatch yahoo group - send a blank email to [email protected] •www.biofuelwatch.org.uk •[email protected] •Please sign up the list circulating March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation March 2008 Fudging climate justice : EU and UK biofuels legislation