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The Market Research Process: New Product Development Patterns of Entrepreneurship Analytical Tools New Product Development Process Business Strategy Idea generation Idea screening and evaluation Business analysis The first part of this presentation concentrates on Idea Screening and Evaluation and Product/Service Development Product/service development Product/service testing Market entry Market Research Process Define problem and research objectives Develop research plan Analyze Information Present Findings Collect Information Scoping Out Research Plan Function Define Problem and Research Objectives Develop Research Plan Collect Info Analyze Info Questions to Answer -What is overall objective of research? -What info is needed to make decision? -How can I best ascertain the demand for my proposed business idea? -What is the most efficient plan for gathering needed info? -What are the costs? -Is the value of the additional info greater than the cost of the research? -What research approach is best? Observational Focus Group Survey Research Experimental Research -Sample size considerations -Use of secondary data -What are the best ways to analyze to obtain actionable business recommendations? -How can I segment my sample to understand micro-segments of my potential customer base? -What, if any, statistically significant differences occur between segments? Research Tool Kit • Primary Research: Investigating the “original source” of data, interviewing customers/prospects – Focus groups: gathering of 6-10 pre-selected respondents to discuss product or service; candid discussions encouraged; sample is too small to be projected; objective is exploratory – Survey Research: Usually randomly selected (with parameters) sample to project to larger population in question; survey can contain open-ended and closed-ended questions; objective to learn perceptions, satisfaction levels, etc. • Primary Research: Continued – Experimental Research:Most scientifically valid; If you can develop a version of your product/service, select different groups of subjects, control for external variables and note differences. Comparable to a “test run” before product/service enters market. Secondary Research Resources • • Secondary Research: Investigating research findings already written Sources - Government Publications – Statistical Abstract of US (demographics, economics and social data) – County and City Data Book (relevant stats broken down by county and city) – U.S. Industrial Outlook (projections of industrial activity by industry including production, sales, shipments, etc.) – Other government publications like Census of Population, Federal Reserve Bulletin, Survey of Current Business • More Sources - Periodicals – Standard and Poor’s Industry Surveys (provide updated stats and analyses of industries) – Moody’s Manuals (financial data and names of executives) – Marketing journals like Journal of Marketing, Journal of Marketing Research, Journal of Consumer Research – Trade Magazines including Direct, BrandWeek, Sales and Marketing Management – Business Magazines like Harvard Business Review and The Economist Secondary Research Resources • Quantitative Sources - Commercial Data – A.C Nielsen Company Data (Data on products sold in retail, supermarket scanner, television and others) – MRCA Information Services (Data on weekly family purchases of consumer products) – Simmons Market Research Bureau (Annual reports covering verticals by demographics and brand preferences) • Research Houses – Sell data to subscribers useful to construct models for forecasting demand – Audit Bureau of Circulation – Arbitron – Audits and Surveys – Dun and Bradstreet – National Family Opinion – Standard Rate and Data Service Statistical Tools • • • • Unlikely you will use most of these techniques; list presented below for your general knowledge Other modules on Wiley web site (companion site) offer interactive exercises Statistical tools: Multiple Regression: Estimating “best fitting” equation showing how value of dependent variable varies with changing values in number of independent variables – Example: Estimate how unit sales are influenced by ad expenditures, price and competitors moves • Discriminant Analysis: Classifying persons into two or more categories – Example: Reveal variables that discriminate between loyal and non-loyal customers • Conjoint Analysis: Ranking of preferences for different offers to identify relative importance of attributes to customers – Example: Identify most important attributes (price, warranty, service and brand) and tradeoffs involved for end-users of a laptop computer manufacturer Statistical Tools (Cont’d) • Cluster Analysis: Separate data into specified number of mutually exclusive groups such that groups are homogeneous on chosen factors – Example: Create five different types of technology consumers based upon purchasing behavior and recency of purchase relative to product release date; categories may be “earlier adopters,” or “laggards” etc. • Multidimensional Scaling: Produce “perceptual maps” of competitive products or brands to measure how they stack up among each other – Example: Find out how a particular brand is perceived versus other brands on “trust,” “reliability,” and “quality” Assessing Market Demand • • • Forecasting demand crucial for determining potential of new business idea Market demand function depends on external factors like industry marketing expenditures, demographics or economic conditions Market potential is the limit approached by market demand as industry marketing expenditures are maximized for a given economic environment (prosperity, recession) – Note: Market potential is conditional to its economic environment • • Total market potential is the maximum amount of sales available to all firms in an industry during a given period. Q = nqp where: Q = total market potential n = number of buyers for product under given assumptions q = quantity purchased by average buyer p = price of an average unit n is often difficult to estimate; one technique is to start with population and sequentially remove segments outside of product’s market Assessing Market Demand (Cont’d) • Another method for calculating total market potential: chain-ratio – Multiplying base number by several adjusting percentages – Example: TMP for hair shampoo for dry hair for men Population x .5 (percentage of males) x personal discretionary income per capita x average percentage of discretionary income spent on personal products for men x average percentage of amount spent on personal products that is spent on hair shampoo x expected percentage of amount spent on shampoo that will be spent on shampoo for dry hair – Some of the above data are available in the secondary sources listed in an earlier slide • Sum of competitors’ sales – Industry trade association will often collect and publish total industry sales – More expensive option if needed: data research house like A.C. Nielsen New Product Development Process Business Strategy Idea generation Idea screening and evaluation Business analysis Product/service development Product/service testing Market entry The second part of this presentation concentrates on Market Entry, including the 4 Ps. Expansion Strategies Expansion opportunities – there are four basic strategies: Sell more existing products to existing customers (market penetration) Sell existing products to new customers (market development) Sell new products to existing customers (product development) Sell new products to new customers (diversification) Types of Marketing Options by Four P’s Marketing plan should propose projections for 4 Ps: Product, Place, Price and Promotion. The entrepreneur must determine which of the following is most appropriate for proposed business venture. Product Distribution Features Types of channels/ List price middlemen Promotion blend Advertising Media Timing Quality Store/distributor location Credit terms Personal selling Training Motivation Allocation Packaging Storage Discounts Sales promotion Branding Transportation and Selection and logistics allowances Services Service levels Guarantees Price Flexibility Promotion Publicity ALTERNATIVE MARKETING CHANNELS Manufacturers / producers Agents / brokers Wholesalers /distributors Retailers Retailers Consumers and organizational end-users Marketing plan should specify where in supply chain business is marketing. Which of the above is the customer? Channel design decisions and decision criteria Design stages Identification of channel alternatives Evaluation and selection of channel(s) to be used Selection of channel participants Decision criteria Intensity of distribution Access to end-user Prevailing distribution practices Necessary activities and functions Revenue-cost analysis Time horizon for development Control considerations Legal constraints Channel availability Market coverage Capability Intermediary’s needs Functionsprovided Availability PROMOTION MIX TOOLS Advertising Personal selling Print ads Broadcast ads Billboard ads Packaging logos and information In-person sales presentations Telemarketing Sales promotion Games, contests Free samples Trade shows Couponing Trading stamps Price promotion Signs and displays The promotion mix Publicity Print media news stories Broadcast media news stories Annual reports Speeches by employees PROMOTION TOOL’S STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES Criteria Cost per Audience member Sales Advertising promotion Publicity Personal selling Low Low Very low Very high Confined to target markets Poor to good Good Moderate Very good Deliver a Complicated message Poor to good Poor Poor to good Very good None None Low to moderate Very good Low Low High Moderate to high Interchange with audiences Credibility ADVANTAGES AND DISADVANTAGES OF MAJOR ADVERTISING MEDIA Media Advantages Reaches large audiences Has visual and audio capabilities Provides great flexibility in getting attention Short lead time needed to place ad Magazines Reach of issues is high for demographic and geographic segments and High-quality production journals Ad lasts as long as magazines or journal is kept Issues are often read by more than one person Credibility of magazine or journal can benefit ad Relatively inexpensive Outdoor advertising Many repeat exposures Television Disadvantages Not easy to reach specific markets Total cost is high relative to other media Requires production specialists Short exposure time Must place ad well in advance of Publication Provide limited flexibility in gaining attention Provide incomplete control over location of ad in issue Only very limited message possible Cannot reach well-defined target markets ADVANTAGES AND DISADVANTAGES OF MAJOR MEDIA (continued) Media Advantages Audio capability Low cost relative to costs of the other media Short lead time needed to place ad Can reach demographic and geographic segments Reaches large audiences Reaches audiences in cars News- Reach large audiences papers Can reach segments by locale Short lead time needed to place ad Credibility of newspaper can benefit ad Direct Provides great flexibility in reaching target market segments mail No clutter from competing ads Easy to personalize copy and layout Radio Disadvantages No visual capability Short exposure time Provides little flexibility in gaining attention May be relatively expensive Provide little flexibility for use of creativity Limited reproduction quality (e.g., little or no use of color) Short life carries over to ad Easily thrown away as "junk mail" Obtaining appropriate mailing lists can be expensive