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Diplom/Master`s Thesis - Institute for the Study of Society and
Diplom/Master`s Thesis - Institute for the Study of Society and

... Travel scholarship for the Sixth Open Meeting of the Human Dimensions of Global Change Research Community in Bonn, Germany; Early Career Scientists Assembly/Advanced Studies Program, NCAR Travel scholarship for the Fourth Open Meeting of the Human Dimensions of Global Change Research Community in Ri ...
RANGE MARGINS AND CLIMATE
RANGE MARGINS AND CLIMATE

... conditions over time: 1) evolve tolerances to new climatic conditions in situ, 2) shift its distribution through space to remain within its original climatic niche, or 3) change in abundance, including the potential to go extinct. Evidence from the Quaternary fossil record has been used to assess pa ...
The Age of Western Wildfires
The Age of Western Wildfires

... there is more fuel available for burning in the short term. Recent research has shown, however, that over the long term, forests destroyed by beetle infestation may not be any more likely to burn than healthy forests.15 ...
Understanding and Reducing the Risks of Climate Change for
Understanding and Reducing the Risks of Climate Change for

... In 1994, the Pacific Institute created and has since maintained a Water Conflict Chronology that summarizes historical disputes over water resources (Gleick 1994, Hatami and Gleick 1994). In each volume of the biennial water report, The World’s Water (published by Island Press, Washington D.C.), det ...
pdf Antarctic Research Centre File size
pdf Antarctic Research Centre File size

... which it shares academic staff and facilities. It also contributes to both undergraduate and graduate teaching and supervision in the fields of sedimentology, glaciology, paleoclimatology and Antarctic affairs. ...
Impact of climate change on surface winds in France using a
Impact of climate change on surface winds in France using a

... onshore wind farms is about 20 years, it is of great interest to assess the potential impact of climate change on the wind energy resources over the next decades. The surface winds are mainly driven by the large scale circulation (LSC). However, several local features such as the surface roughness a ...
Climate Change Adaptation: What Federal Agencies are Doing
Climate Change Adaptation: What Federal Agencies are Doing

... Office of Science and Technology Policy _________________________________________________________________ 4  United States Global Change Research Program  __________________________________________________________ 5  National Climate Adaptation Summit ________________________________________________ ...
Climatic controls and climate proxy potential of Lewis Glacier, Mt
Climatic controls and climate proxy potential of Lewis Glacier, Mt

... Africa is of particular interest because they exist in elevations between approximately 5 and 6 km a.s.l. (above sea level) and therefore capture climate signals from the midtroposphere (Mölg et al., 2009b), where our knowledge of climate change is scarce and controversial (e.g. Hartmann et al., 201 ...
PDF
PDF

... change may be substantial and far-reaching, impacting agriculture, mortality, labor productivity, economic growth, civil conflict and migration (Burke and Emerick 2013, Deschenes and Greenstone 2007, Deschenes and Greenstone 2011, Dell et al. 2012, Feng et al. 2012, Graff Zivin and Neidell 2014, Hsi ...
Climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction strategies
Climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction strategies

... development, food security and poverty reduction in the Republic of Fiji. Fiji‟s people and its environment have been historically exposed to several risks such as cyclones and changes of rainfall patterns and temperature fluctuations caused by weather extremes and climate variability. Climate chang ...
Bringing EU policy into line with the Planetary Boundaries
Bringing EU policy into line with the Planetary Boundaries

... limits for human perturbation of critical Earth system processes (Rockström et al. 2009; Steffen et al. 2015). In this regard, the Planetary Boundaries can be seen as defining a global “safe operating space” for human activity. The concept highlights the globally systemic interactions and impacts of ...
10 Cenozoic Climatic Record for Monsoonal Rainfall over the Indian
10 Cenozoic Climatic Record for Monsoonal Rainfall over the Indian

... from the warm conditions of the early Eocene climatic optimum between ~52-50 Ma. This shift is often referred to as a transition from a greenhouse climate to an icehouse, in which permanent ice sheets formation were initialized over Antarctica (starting ~35 Ma) and Arctic regions (around ~3 Ma at Gr ...
Background Document - UNESCO World Heritage Centre
Background Document - UNESCO World Heritage Centre

... On the basis of the existing local information two major issues have been identified that will affect the Levant and include: 1. Changes in the extremities of temperature 2. Redistribution of rainfall through time and place. The changes in temperature will be characterized by more days of temperatur ...
Friending Planet Earth - Catholic Climate Covenant
Friending Planet Earth - Catholic Climate Covenant

... We all breathe the same air. Guarding the integrity of the atmosphere— without which complex life could not have evolved on this planet—seems like common sense. Yet a broad consensus of modern science is that human activity is [is altering] the earth's atmospheric characteristics in serious, perhaps ...
National Capacity Self Assessment
National Capacity Self Assessment

... basic stuff for planning, evaluation, reporting, learning, accountability, transparency and governance. Egypt’s additional Needs Regarding UNFCCC activities and other capacity dimensions The needs may include, but are not limited to, the following proposed points: ...
Regional: Glacial Melt and Downstream Impacts on Indus
Regional: Glacial Melt and Downstream Impacts on Indus

... some parts of Asia. It would also exacerbate threats to biodiversity due to land-use and land-cover changes and population pressure. Pole-ward movement of the southern boundary of the permafrost zones of Asia would result in a change of thermokarst and thermal erosion, bringing negative impacts on s ...
Financing Climate Policies through Climate Bonds
Financing Climate Policies through Climate Bonds

... there is an enormous amount of wealth, far surpassing the US nominal GDP (about $18 trillion in 2015), which represents potential investment in long term climate projects. We thus set up a growth model with three stages where climate policies are funded through the issuance of green bonds, and wher ...
Transformational Adaptation: Concepts, Examples, and their
Transformational Adaptation: Concepts, Examples, and their

... irrigation was possible, intensified use of river and lake environments, out-migration, and inmigration to environmental ‘refugia’ where resources where still available. These strategies, particularly in-migration to refugia and agricultural intensification, were associated with a variety of profoun ...
Mediterranean Sea response to climate change in an
Mediterranean Sea response to climate change in an

... steric sea level rise based on a single ocean–atmosphere regional model. Later on, Carillo et al. (2012) analysed an ensemble of models and found a large spread on the steric component of the Mediterranean sea level rise which depends on Atlantic boundary conditions. A review of the studies dealing ...
what happens in the arctic doesn`t stay in the arctic
what happens in the arctic doesn`t stay in the arctic

... species, and allowing unwanted ‘alien’ species to move northwards. As well as these ‘local’ changes that will impact directly on Arctic biodiversity and livelihoods, there will be more ‘remote’ effects in other global areas. Climate change is known to be affecting weather, and ecosystems, within the ...
Sebago Lake Watershed, Maine Climate Change
Sebago Lake Watershed, Maine Climate Change

... nature of the watershed and the corresponding high water quality allow the Portland Water District (PWD) to operate with a filtration waiver from the U.S. EPA, a significant cost savings for the utility and its customers. The combination of changing precipitation patterns, increasing intensity of st ...
Management strategies for tree improvement programs under
Management strategies for tree improvement programs under

... Foresters and tree breeders manage genetic adaptation to climate in commercial forestry by using seed zones and tree breeding regions. Rather than developing breeding strategies that include traits for adaptation, a more logical way to guarantee adaptation for traits such as tolerance to climatic st ...
NEPA, CLIMATE CHANGE, AND PUBLIC LANDS DECISION MAKING
NEPA, CLIMATE CHANGE, AND PUBLIC LANDS DECISION MAKING

... much harder for agencies to conduct an analysis that will be helpful to decision makers and the public. This is largely because of the high degree of uncertainty and unpredictability about 1) the extent to which the climate will actually change at the particular location where the agency proposes to ...
How Will I Be Remembered? Conserving the
How Will I Be Remembered? Conserving the

... Climate-change beliefs were measured using the average score of four randomly ordered items (α = .88; e.g., “I feel a responsibility to reduce my personal contribution to climate change”). Participants responded to each statement on a 7-point scale ranging from 1 (strongly disagree) to 7 (strongly a ...
Visual Images and the Rhetoric of Environmental Advocacy
Visual Images and the Rhetoric of Environmental Advocacy

... August 18th, 2007, Greenpeace activists ironically posed nude in the Alps to illustrate the effects of climate change on a warming and melting glacier. Likewise, but in the reverse, activists in 2009 recreated a beach scene in the center of Budapest and played dead in front of the Prime Minister’s o ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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