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Climate change: impacts and adaptation for agriculture in Western
Climate change: impacts and adaptation for agriculture in Western

... activities and to identify and prioritise actions to achieve over the following five years. Since the strategy was published, there have been considerable advances in the scientific understanding of climate change. This bulletin reviews the latest scientific information relating to climate change an ...
Climate Change and Security in Africa - The Africa
Climate Change and Security in Africa - The Africa

... learned and best practices will play important roles. The initiative fits in very much with the EU’s own recognition that climate change is a “threat multiplier which exacerbates existing trends, tensions and instability” in developing countries1. Such tensions include conflict over resources such a ...
How trees and people can co-adapt to climate change
How trees and people can co-adapt to climate change

... Climate changes, especially increased variability, affect landscapes, human livelihoods and trees in many ways. They are the consequence of a wider set of global change issues, including population increase, more consumption per capita and trade globalisation. Both people and trees can adapt to chan ...
How Corporations Have Influenced the U.S. Dialogue on Climate
How Corporations Have Influenced the U.S. Dialogue on Climate

... 1960). The “Keeling Curve” showed that carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere not only were increasing but also that they were doing so at a much faster rate than Arrhenius had originally predicted. With the science itself rapidly advancing, the United Nations Environment Programme and ...
Who`s holding us back?
Who`s holding us back?

... Company, ExxonMobil, Chevron, BP and ConocoPhillips all made the top 20 list of lobbyists.8 The climate campaign organisation 350.org estimates that 94% of US Chamber of Commerce contributions went to climate denier candidates.9 • Sector-specific trade associations such as the American Petroleum In ...
How trees and people can co-adapt to climate change
How trees and people can co-adapt to climate change

... Climate changes, especially increased variability, affect landscapes, human livelihoods and trees in many ways. They are the consequence of a wider set of global change issues, including population increase, more consumption per capita and trade globalisation. Both people and trees can adapt to chan ...
Minnesota Climate and Health Profile 2015
Minnesota Climate and Health Profile 2015

... services, fiscal strain, loss of livelihood, and threat to community cohesion ...
Divest DU Report - University of Denver
Divest DU Report - University of Denver

... Climate Change Climate change is real, it is anthropogenically driven, and it poses an existential threat to the future of humanity. Deserts are growing while the world’s ice caps are melting. Our oceans are acidifying, and we can see the pollution hanging over our greatest cities. Record-breaking ...
Tipping elements in the Arctic marine ecosystem Carlos M. Duarte1
Tipping elements in the Arctic marine ecosystem Carlos M. Duarte1

... external pressures in the proximity of these thresholds or tipping points (May 1977, Scheffer et al. 2001, Scheffer and Carpenter 2003, Groffman et al. 2006). Whereas the term tipping point was initially introduced in the context of the climate change debate in a metaphoric manner, it has since been ...
Come Rain or Shine - Integrating Climate Risk Management into
Come Rain or Shine - Integrating Climate Risk Management into

... E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.afdb.org ...
climate variability and change in canada
climate variability and change in canada

... climate change and can contribute to future international assessments such as those undertaken by the IPCC. The CCIS Project has promoted national awareness of climate change scenarios and scenario-based issues by focusing on climate change scenarios that describe changes in the mean values of many ...
Stockholm University
Stockholm University

... example turbulent heat fluxes and cloud properties, are neither observed nor assimilated and are thus governed by the model physics and the state variables, assimilated from observations which may be few in the Arctic. The surface fields also play an important role. For the ocean these are simulated ...
Climate change adaptation in the boardroom
Climate change adaptation in the boardroom

... that there has been a statistical shift in extreme weather events. While the global community has agreed in principle to contain average global warming to within 2° C, many publications suggest the failure of tangible emissions reductions shows that global temperatures may reach 4° C or beyond, by 2 ...
Rainfall in Australia`s eastern seaboard: a review of confidence in
Rainfall in Australia`s eastern seaboard: a review of confidence in

... is on the high forcing case, RCP8.5, for which greenhouse gas concentrations continue to rise throughout the 21 st Century. Other scenarios are examined in some cases, including the intermediate forcing scenario RCP4.5 for which greenhouse gas concentration become stabilised later this century, as w ...
Corporate Climate Action Strategy
Corporate Climate Action Strategy

... The Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium (PCIC) has produced regionally downscaled climate modelling for our region. The results of this work predict an increase in mean temperature, an increase in annual precipitation, a decrease in snowfall and an increase in frost-free days. The Georgia Basin Impac ...
Climate change in Africa: a guidebook for journalists
Climate change in Africa: a guidebook for journalists

... Climate change is not going away. It will get worse before it gets better. For African nations and people to seize the opportunities and reduce the risks, everyone will need to know more about climate change. The way the media covers it will affect how well societies deal with the problem. Climate c ...
Regional climate change experiments over southern South America. I
Regional climate change experiments over southern South America. I

... Mesoscale Model MM5, nested within the Hadley Centre global atmospheric model HadAM3H (Pope et al. 2000). The simulations cover a 10-year period representing present-day climate (1981–1990) and two future scenarios for the SRESA2 and B2 emission scenarios (IPCC 2000) for the period 2081–2090. The pu ...
Climate-Related Disasters in Asia and the Pacific
Climate-Related Disasters in Asia and the Pacific

... The ADB Economics Working Paper Series is a forum for stimulating discussion and eliciting feedback on ongoing and recently completed research and policy studies undertaken by the Asian Development Bank (ADB) staff, consultants, or resource persons. The series deals with key economic and development ...
The Political Impact of Global Warming on Developing Countries
The Political Impact of Global Warming on Developing Countries

... This research demonstrates that while many factors influence changes in the climate, human activities have become the dominant force in global warming. Technological developments in the last 100 years have contributed to today’s changing climate. Climate change has made weather less predictable and ...
Climate change, the monsoon, and rice yield in India
Climate change, the monsoon, and rice yield in India

... The original model in Auffhammer et al. did not include the extreme rainfall and drought variables. Other differences were that it included total rainfall before the monsoon (March– May), which we found to have an insignificant impact on yield, and mean surface radiation during December, which is af ...
Contrasting responses of heterotrophic and autotrophic respiration
Contrasting responses of heterotrophic and autotrophic respiration

... Received 12 March 2013 and accepted 27 May 2013 ...
Global Change Impacts on Australian Rangelands
Global Change Impacts on Australian Rangelands

... substantially and, if these opportunities were used, this could reduce carbon stores and increase net greenhouse gas emissions. Climate changes in addition to CO2 increase is likely to result in only moderate variations to rates of carbon storage although the driest scenarios are likely to slow this ...
Can Social Protection Increase Resilience to Climate Change?
Can Social Protection Increase Resilience to Climate Change?

Rapport (Engels)
Rapport (Engels)

... Climate change is high on the political agenda at all levels. In the scientific world there is general consensus that economic and social pressures are contributing to climate change. Accelerating emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and other greenhouse gases since the beginning of the 20th centur ...
Future change of the Indian Ocean basin
Future change of the Indian Ocean basin

... Total 20 CGCMs participated in CMIP5 are used in this study. Table 1 lists the model name, institution and horizontal resolution of atmospheric component. Two experiments are investigated. One is the historical run (i.e., the twentieth century run) from 1850 to 2005 and the other is the RCP 4.5 run ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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