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Global Warming and Terrestrial Biodiversity Decline: A
Global Warming and Terrestrial Biodiversity Decline: A

... to move even faster than reported here. Our results indicate that climate change has the potential to radically increase species loss and reduce biodiversity, particularly in the higher latitudes of the northern hemisphere. Summary of key findings Specific conclusions ...
Management strategies for tree improvement programs under
Management strategies for tree improvement programs under

... Foresters and tree breeders manage genetic adaptation to climate in commercial forestry by using seed zones and tree breeding regions. Rather than developing breeding strategies that include traits for adaptation, a more logical way to guarantee adaptation for traits such as tolerance to climatic st ...
pdf - Climate Change in Australia
pdf - Climate Change in Australia

... Coastal infrastructure and coastal ecosystems are most at risk during extreme sea-level events, caused by storm surges and other contributing factors such as astronomical tides. It is therefore of vital importance that credible and robust up-to-date information on SLR projections and the impacts on ...
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PDF

... Produktion. In dieser Studie wurden mit dem regionalen Optimierungsmodel ACRE Szenarien unter Annahme klimatischer und ...
Paper - Wharton Marketing
Paper - Wharton Marketing

... Climate-change beliefs were measured using the average score of four randomly ordered items (α = .88; e.g., “I feel a responsibility to reduce my personal contribution to climate change”). Participants responded to each statement on a 7-point scale ranging from 1 (strongly disagree) to 7 (strongly a ...
Future scenarios of European agricultural land use I. Estimating
Future scenarios of European agricultural land use I. Estimating

... crop productivity are difficult to predict but can be explored by scenarios that represent alternative economic and environmental pathways of future development. We developed a simple static approach to estimate future changes in the productivity of food crops in Europe (EU15 member countries, Norwa ...
Grinnell Glacier
Grinnell Glacier

... water for the drier months, possibly causing some streams to become intermittent, impacting stream ecology. Coal-burning power plant. Coal is a fossil fuel. ...
Objective Assessment of Extratropical Weather Systems in
Objective Assessment of Extratropical Weather Systems in

FB_CC_draft 01_Layout 1
FB_CC_draft 01_Layout 1

... and one also threatened by pesticide use and habitat loss. Similarly, the destruction of wetland and floodplain habitat, vitally important as buffers from flooding, will amplify the impacts of heavy rainfall events predicted under climate change. In the Lower Mississippi River Valley over 90 percent ...
"Evolving Comparative Advantage and the Impact of Climate Change in Agricultural Markets: Evidence from a 9 Million-Field Partition of the Earth"
"Evolving Comparative Advantage and the Impact of Climate Change in Agricultural Markets: Evidence from a 9 Million-Field Partition of the Earth"

... matic welfare losses. Overall, climate change amounts to a 0.26% decrease in world GDP. Since the value of output in our 10 crops is equal to 1.8% of world GDP, this corresponds to about one sixth of total crop value. As mentioned above, a potential source of adjustment to climate change is the abi ...
Climate Change in Queensland
Climate Change in Queensland

... Queensland is particularly vulnerable to climate change impacts such as sea level rise, more frequent heatwaves, more intense rainfall events in some regions and drought in others. Without practical action informed by the latest science, priceless natural assets such as the Great Barrier Reef and th ...
CLIMATE CHANGE MONITORING REPORT 2013
CLIMATE CHANGE MONITORING REPORT 2013

... Japan suffered significant social impacts in 2013 as a result of numerous severe meteorological phenomena. Northern, eastern and western parts of the country experienced cold conditions in winter, with the Sea of Japan side of northern Japan being hit by extremely heavy snow settling as deep as 566 ...
It is beyond cavil that climate change poses grave and irreversible
It is beyond cavil that climate change poses grave and irreversible

... scenario of the IPCC, leading to a significant chance of exceeding 4 (degrees) Celsius of warming”.7 The World Bank is even more pessimistic: “(...) the likelihood of 4 (degrees) C warming being reached or exceeded this century has increased, in the absence of near-term actions and further commitmen ...
CLIVAR Research Foci Development Team ENSO in a changing
CLIVAR Research Foci Development Team ENSO in a changing

... 2010). As changes in ENSO have the potential to be one of the largest manifestations of anthropogenic climate change, this status has profound impacts on the reliability of regional attribution of climate variability and change. Two main reasons can be invoked for these shortcomings. First there is ...
Climate Change and Resource Depletion:The Challenges for Actuarie
Climate Change and Resource Depletion:The Challenges for Actuarie

... BACKGROUND SCIENCE ...
WWF Global 200 Reportfinal
WWF Global 200 Reportfinal

... High required migration rates (RMRs) were not isolated occurrences within the ecoregions. Instead, in many ecoregions, the average RMR was greater than 1,000 m/yr, which is approximately an order of magnitude higher than migration rates frequently observed in the historical and fossil record. Future ...
Circulation patterns related to debris-flow triggering
Circulation patterns related to debris-flow triggering

... events for this season (Beniston et al., 2007; Christensen and Christensen, 2007; Rajczak et al., 2013; Gobiet et al., 2014). However, the precipitation quantities during future extreme precipitation events may well be on the rise (Christensen and Christensen, 2003; Emori and Brown, 2005; Kharin et ...
Climate Change and Resource Depletion:The Challenges for Actuarie
Climate Change and Resource Depletion:The Challenges for Actuarie

... BACKGROUND SCIENCE ...
Tipping elements and climate-economic shocks
Tipping elements and climate-economic shocks

... decrease global mean temperature [Bickel and Agrawal, 2012; Moreno-Cruz and Keith, 2012; Keith, 2013; Irvine et al., 2014; Heutel et al., 2015]. Some researchers suggest that SRM might in certain contexts reduce committed changes or slow their realization in a tipping element such as an ice sheet [I ...
ENSO and greenhouse warming
ENSO and greenhouse warming

... El Niño and La Niña events are not symmetric in spatial pattern22–24,59 or temporal evolution13,60,61. Extreme El Niño features disproportionately warm maximum SST anomalies in the eastern equatorial Pacific, but the anomaly centres of weak El Niño and extreme La Niña events are situated in the cent ...
Population and climate change scoping paper
Population and climate change scoping paper

... 1. Rapid population growth has a negative impact on human development, provision of basic services, poverty eradication; an effect that is magnified and made more urgent in the context of climate change. 2. Although the principle cause of climate change is consumption in developed countries, those m ...
Climate Change in Zimbabwe - Konrad-Adenauer
Climate Change in Zimbabwe - Konrad-Adenauer

... caused by the release of greenhouse gases – such as carbon dioxide [CO2] and methane [CH4]) – which trap heat in the atmosphere, causing the planet to become hotter (global warming). Greenhouse gases are released by human activities which use of fossil fuels (coal, oil and natural gas) as well as by ...
PDF format
PDF format

... © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. ...
Modelling the Miocene climatic optimum, Part 1: land and atmosphere
Modelling the Miocene climatic optimum, Part 1: land and atmosphere

... areas such as the Tibetan Plateau and Andean Cordillera (see Herold et al. (2008) for details). ...
High Resolution Version - American Meteorological Society
High Resolution Version - American Meteorological Society

... Challenges that attribution assessments face include the often limited observational record and inability of models to reproduce some extreme events well. In general, when attribution assessments fail to find anthropogenic signals this alone does not prove anthropogenic climate change did not influe ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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