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Climate Change and the Transport Sector: Are we
Climate Change and the Transport Sector: Are we

... – explain the impacts that climate change may have on transport infrastructure and identify the extent to which practical responses to these impacts on transport structure are accommodated within existing regulatory regimes – explain transport’s contribution to climate change and identify the ways i ...
Assessing the Impacts of Climate Change on the Built Environment
Assessing the Impacts of Climate Change on the Built Environment

... nificant uncertainty.6 Efforts are also being made to provide downscaled climate data and models that can be easily applied to regional and local impact analysis.7 In 2010, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) published an international survey that found there is “ample s ...
MURARI LAL (INDIA), HIDEO HARASAWA (JAPAN), AND DANIEL
MURARI LAL (INDIA), HIDEO HARASAWA (JAPAN), AND DANIEL

... Will the Climate in Asia Change? Continuing emissions of greenhouse gases from human activities are likely to result in significant changes in mean climate and its intraseasonal and interannual variability in the Asian region. Given the current state of climate modeling, projections of future region ...
Aqua Introductory Research Essay 2016:3
Aqua Introductory Research Essay 2016:3

... As a consequence of the rapid ongoing climate change, sea surface temperatures are predicted to increase by 3° C under the business as usual scenario, RCP8.5 (Riahi et al., 2007; IPCC, 2014). Climate change affects organisms at all levels of biological organization (e.g. cellular, individual, popula ...
China`s Policies and Actions for Addressing Climate Change
China`s Policies and Actions for Addressing Climate Change

... In the past century, temperature rise in China has basically kept pace with global warming, with the average surface temperature increasing by 1.1℃, slightly higher than the global average. For China, the year of 2008 was another warm year with an annual average temperature of 9.6℃, 0.7℃ higher than ...
Managing Physical Impacts of Climate Change: An Attentional
Managing Physical Impacts of Climate Change: An Attentional

... Second, attention is situated (Ocasio, 1997). As Ocasio explains, “what decisionmakers focus on, and what they do, depends on the particular context they are located in” (1997, p. 190). Situated attention implies that whether an event is noticed not only depends on the characteristics of individual ...
Climate Change and Conservation: A Primer for Assessing Impacts
Climate Change and Conservation: A Primer for Assessing Impacts

... referenced in this primer. Yet, as a general rule, the conservation community is only now gaining  on‐the‐ground experience in conservation projects that will enable us to eventually provide  more specific guidance on how, when, and where to implement adaptation strategies. At the  same time, many c ...
1 - WordPress.com
1 - WordPress.com

... Monitoring, Reporting, and Verifying (MMRV) in global climate change cooperation, with a particular focus on Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and forest Degradation (REDD+). During the last two centuries, we have produced goods, generated energy, mechanized travel, intensified agriculture, and ...
Co-management institutions, knowledge, and learning: Adapting to
Co-management institutions, knowledge, and learning: Adapting to

... Impacts of global climate change are not distributed evenly. The largest temperature increases are projected to occur over the Polar region, the land of the Inuit and other Indigenous peoples (ACIA 2005; IPCC 2007). Given that these Indigenous groups have also experienced extensive social, cultural, ...
Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptation Strategies for Natural
Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptation Strategies for Natural

... species. The project utilized existing data, much of which had been recently developed through the Bureau of Land Management’s rapid ecoregional assessments, or by ongoing research efforts with FWS, NPS, and USGS. Once vulnerability assessments were drafted, an expert workshop was held to review and ...
Ho Chi Minh City Adaptation to Climate Change
Ho Chi Minh City Adaptation to Climate Change

... projections of emissions from different global development scenarios are more distinct than that of short term (e.g., 2020) projections; (ii) most of today’s planned development will be in place by 2050; and (iii) the study may guide the revision and retrofitting of development plans and the prepara ...
Climate Science, the Public and the News Media
Climate Science, the Public and the News Media

... 2) Effective communication of climate science needs new ways of engaging with the public. Key findings from the focus groups and a review of the relevant literature on how communication of climate science through the news media might be improved are: • Cultural factors influence the way the public a ...
i3084e04
i3084e04

... by many authors (see, for example, Kelly and Adger, 2000; Alwang, Siegel and Jørgensen, 2001; Brooks, 2003, Adger, 2006; Füssel and Klein, 2006; Eakin and Luers, 2006; Eriksen and Kelly, 2007; O’Brien et al., 2007). Different concepts and interpretations of the character and cause of vulnerability p ...
concluded
concluded

... ABSTRACT: There is a growing body of evidence supporting the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s contestation that changes to hydrological extremes as a result of anthropogenic climate change are likely. There is also a growing level of concern among water resource managers about the nature ...
Australian rangelands and climate change – dust
Australian rangelands and climate change – dust

... dry times. ...
AAA vol 2 CD.indb - Department of Geography
AAA vol 2 CD.indb - Department of Geography

... warming of the lower atmosphere is an increase in activelayer thickness, which induces permafrost degradation and amplifies the rates of geomorphic processes. As a consequence, thermokarst features are prone to occur in icerich and unconsolidated sediments, active-layer detachment slides and debris ...
English
English

... It is becoming increasingly clear that climate change will have a profound influence on the agroecological conditions under which farmers and rural populations need to develop their livelihood strategies, manage their natural resources and achieve food security. Climate change can be regarded as bei ...
Building Social Resilience: Protecting and Empowering Those Most
Building Social Resilience: Protecting and Empowering Those Most

... Conference on Disaster Risk Reduction in 2015, in which governments will adopt a successor agreement to the HFA. Coming at the end of the HFA’s 10 year cycle, GAR15 will: explore the landscape of global disaster risk at the end of the HFA; analyze how much the HFA has contributed to reducing disaste ...
pdf of manuscript - Mark Williams
pdf of manuscript - Mark Williams

... Immerzeel et al., 2009). Understanding the spatial and temporal distribution of snow is particularly important because during the latter half of 20th century, climate observations in high-altitude regions have shown more sensitivity to climate change (Beniston, 2003; Diaz & Bradley, 1997; Rangwala e ...
Early-Holocene warming in Beringia and its mediation by sea
Early-Holocene warming in Beringia and its mediation by sea

... system. One approach for adding to our understanding of the Earth system, and the models used to study it, is to use a set of “natural experiments” based on known past climate changes to evaluate the forcings and feedbacks associated with observed land-cover changes and thus assess climate model sen ...
Sea levels: change and variability during warm intervals Robin Edwards* Progress report
Sea levels: change and variability during warm intervals Robin Edwards* Progress report

... limitations associated with the sea-level data. This is illustrated by the recent debate relating to a paper by Toscano and Macintyre (2003) in which the authors propose a (smooth) sea-level curve for the last 11 000 years, delimited by dated samples of coral and intertidal mangrove peat. The ensuin ...
The importance of the Montreal Protocol in protecting climate
The importance of the Montreal Protocol in protecting climate

... hlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) and other ozone-depleting substances (ODSs) are now globally recognized as the main cause of the observed depletion of the ozone layer (1–5). Molina and Rowland (6) first recognized the potential for CFCs to deplete stratospheric ozone in 1974, thereby providing an ‘‘early ...
Ch4 Pre-release version - Arctic Climate Impact Assessment
Ch4 Pre-release version - Arctic Climate Impact Assessment

... of the models related to descriptions of high-latitude surface processes have been identified, and these are among the most serious shortcomings of present-day arctic climate modeling. Local and regional climate features, such as enhanced precipitation close to steep mountains, are not well represen ...
Evidence and Implications of Dangerous Climate Change in the Arctic
Evidence and Implications of Dangerous Climate Change in the Arctic

... In the Arctic, even a slight shift in temperature, pushing averages to above freezing, can bring about rapid and dramatic changes in an ecosystem that is defined by being frozen. Various threshold levels of global warming (1.5°, 2°, 3°, 4°C) have been used in studies of what constitutes dangerous cl ...
Climate Change and India: A 4x4 Assessment
Climate Change and India: A 4x4 Assessment

... climate change began with the adoption of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change in 1992. The importance and significance of the vulnerability of natural and human systems to climatic changes and adaptation to such changes is increasingly being realized. Consequently, there is now ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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