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Primer on Hydrofluorocarbons
Primer on Hydrofluorocarbons

... from CO2 reductions In addition to the direct climate benefits from HFC mitigation, a global HFC phasedown will catalyze additional climate benefits through improvements in the energy efficiency of the refrigerators, air conditioners, and other products and equipment that use HFC refrigerants. (Comp ...
Climate Change: Mastering the Public Health Role
Climate Change: Mastering the Public Health Role

... sulphate aerosols, do the opposite. Greenhouse gases trap heat in the atmosphere and warm the Earth. Without this effect, temperatures would plunge and render the planet uninhabitable. While some greenhouse gases occur naturally, human activities are amplifying the natural greenhouse effect and impa ...
The leading variability mode of the coupled troposphere
The leading variability mode of the coupled troposphere

... the variability in the strength of the stratospheric polar vortex. As a result, at the 50-hPa pressure level, the long-term winter mean temperature at the North Pole amounts to 78C, which is 9 K colder than observed ( 69C), and the long-time mean west wind at 60N is 9 m/s stronger than observed. ...
The Economic Cost of Climate Change in Africa
The Economic Cost of Climate Change in Africa

... Below is a short introduction to this report’s main findings and recommendations. ...
Civil Society Guide to Healthy Rivers and Climate
Civil Society Guide to Healthy Rivers and Climate

fair shares: a civil society equity review of indcs report
fair shares: a civil society equity review of indcs report

... cooperation is indispensable in solving significant commons problems. Climate change, of course, is one of the largest and most difficult commons problems that humanity has ever faced, and it will not be solved without durable and robust cooperation. This robust cooperation is urgently needed. Clima ...
3/97 - Population Health Sciences
3/97 - Population Health Sciences

... Journal of Human and Ecological Risk Assessment Journal of Travel Medicine Bulletin of the World Health Organization American Journal of Industrial Medicine International Journal of Environmental Health Research Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment Annual Reviews of Energy & Environment Clinical ...
Global Environmental Change: The Threat to Human Health
Global Environmental Change: The Threat to Human Health

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Satellite-based assessment of climate controls on
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... within their exclusive economic zones in 45 years, while some countries (e.g. Norway and Iceland) will see an increase. This is due to fish moving away from warmer waters and ice melt opening up new areas. Temperate countries do not see as extreme a decline in catch potential as, although species ar ...
Chapter 12. Human Security - Center for International Earth Science
Chapter 12. Human Security - Center for International Earth Science

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East African glacier loss and climate change Corrections to the
East African glacier loss and climate change Corrections to the

What happens in the arctic doesn`t stay in the arctic
What happens in the arctic doesn`t stay in the arctic

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NRDC: Clean Power – The Case for Carbon Pollution Limits
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... And those threats are growing more urgent. Last year was the hottest, globally, since record keeping began in 1880. And 14 of the 15 hottest years have occurred in this century. In response to the dangers, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in June 2014 proposed the firstever limits on t ...
Stratigraphic and Earth System Approaches to Defining the
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... The Earth System is usually defined as a single, planetary-level complex system, with a multitude of interacting biotic and abiotic components, evolved over 4.54 billion years and which has existed in well-defined, planetary-level states with transitions between them [Schellnhuber, 1998; 1999]. A stat ...
Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS) publication: Rising to the Urgent
Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS) publication: Rising to the Urgent

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A Review of Downscaling Methods for Climate
A Review of Downscaling Methods for Climate

... suspended in air that influence the amount of solar radiation that reaches the surface of the Earth. Aerosols can cool the surface of the Earth via reflection of solar radiation. This is termed the direct effect. The effect of aerosols on the radiative properties of Earth’s cloud cover is referred t ...
SSACgnp.GB2403.JAM1.6 Core Quantitative
SSACgnp.GB2403.JAM1.6 Core Quantitative

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Regional climate model applications on subregional scales over the
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Growth of climate change commitments from HFC banks and

... in comparison to carbon dioxide under some circumstances (Gschrey et al., 2011; Velders et al., 2009, 2012). CFCs used in rapid-release applications, like spray cans and solvents, were largely replaced with not-in-kind alternatives right away after environmental concerns were recognized. Because of ...
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Diplom/Master`s Thesis - Institute for the Study of Society and
Diplom/Master`s Thesis - Institute for the Study of Society and

... Travel scholarship for the Sixth Open Meeting of the Human Dimensions of Global Change Research Community in Bonn, Germany; Early Career Scientists Assembly/Advanced Studies Program, NCAR Travel scholarship for the Fourth Open Meeting of the Human Dimensions of Global Change Research Community in Ri ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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