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Northern Cape State of the Environment Report 2004 Atmosphere and Climate Specialist Report Northern Cape State of the Environment Report 2004 Atmosphere and Climate Specialist Report Final Version Prepared for: Department of Tourism, Environment & Conservation Private Bag X6102 Kimberley 8300 Project Manager: Abe Abrahams January 2005 Prepared by: Riëtha Oosthuizen and Juanette John CSIR Environmentek P O Box 17001 Congella 4013 This report forms part of a series of specialist reports produced for the 2004 Northern Cape State of the Environment Report. The production of this report was made possible with a generous donation from the National Department of Environmental Affairs & Tourism through the Norwegian Agency for Development Cooperation (NORAD). Table of Contents 1 Background ................................................................................................................... 1 2 Introduction to Atmosphere and Climate ..................................................................... 2 3 Atmosphere and Climate Issues in the Northern Cape ................................................. 2 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 4 Atmosphere and Climate in the Northern Cape ............................................................ 6 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 5 Asbestos .................................................................................................................... 2 Renewable energy...................................................................................................... 3 Climate change .......................................................................................................... 4 Air quality .................................................................................................................. 4 Resource management ............................................................................................... 5 Rehabilitation of asbestos mines ................................................................................. 6 Use of renewable energy ............................................................................................ 8 Climate change as indicated by changes in weather patterns ........................................ 9 Particulate matter concentrations .............................................................................. 11 Effectiveness of resource management ...................................................................... 13 Responses ................................................................................................................... 14 5.1 5.2 5.3 International responses ............................................................................................ 14 5.1.1 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) ................ 14 5.1.2 Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer ......................... 14 National responses ................................................................................................... 15 5.2.1 Constitution of the Republic of South Africa, Act 108 of 1996 ............................ 15 5.2.2 Atmospheric Pollution Prevention Act, Act 45 of 1965 ....................................... 15 5.2.3 White Paper on Renewable Energy .................................................................. 15 5.2.4 National Environmental Management: Air Quality Bill ........................................ 15 Provincial responses ................................................................................................. 16 5.3.1 Northern Cape Provincial Asbestos Forum ........................................................ 16 6 Summary of Atmosphere and Climate ........................................................................ 16 7 References .................................................................................................................. 17 8 Acknowledgements ..................................................................................................... 20 2004 NC SoER – Atmosphere and Climate Specialist Report 1 of 7 1 BACKGROUND The Northern Cape Department of Tourism, Environment & Conservation (DTEC) (formerly the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform, Environment and Conservation (DALEC)) appointed CSIR to compile the 2004 Northern Cape State of the Environment (SoE) Report. The project process was divided into three phases, namely: Phase 1: Issues identification; Phase 2: Selection of Key Environmental Indicators; and Phase 3: Compilation of the 2004 SoE Report. During this process, both specialists and stakeholders were given the opportunity to contribute to the project. Phase 1 entailed the selection of key environmental issues, described as topics of strategic concern that will influence the environmental sustainability of the province. A literature review of relevant and available information sources on the Northern Cape environment was used to create a preliminary list of key environmental issues, which was reviewed at a stakeholder workshop convened in Kimberley on 9 December 2003. The broad key environmental issues were prioritised and related issues were highlighted, forming the final list of key environmental issues that was sent out for stakeholder comment. The broad key environmental issues identified in Phase 1 were then used as the basis for the development of a set of key environmental indicators in Phase 2. Specialist input was used to develop a proposed set of indicators. These environmental indicators, like the environmental issues, were grouped into broader categories, called ‘themes’. Although not every environmental issue listed has an indicator associated with it, the indicators selected for a theme provide the general understanding of the particular theme and allow the reader to gain insight into environmental trends within that theme. The draft set of key environmental indicators from Phase 2 was presented at a stakeholder workshop in Kimberley on 19 January 2004. During the workshop, stakeholders were given the task of reviewing and finalising the indicators for either one or two themes. A handout of questions regarding the relevance and practicality of each indicator was used to guide the group discussions. Comments and suggestions as well as details of additional data sources were captured in answer sheets by a member of each group, and shared in the feedback session that followed. The finalised set of key environmental indicators was sent out for stakeholder comment. Phase 3 of the project involved the compilation of the SoER, where each of the themes was investigated through a separate specialist study. Specialists were involved in compiling the draft studies, which were then subjected to a review. During this phase the specialists made use of the environmental indicators in their theme to generate an understanding of the complex interactions occurring in the Northern Cape environment. These individual specialist reports will be used to compile the popular and web versions of the 2004 Northern Cape SoER. This document provides the results of one of these specialist studies. It represents only one of a series of seven specialist reports produced for this project. 1 2004 NC SoER – Atmosphere and Climate Specialist Report 1 of 7 2 INTRODUCTION TO ATMOSPHERE AND CLIMATE The atmosphere consists of nitrogen, oxygen and other gases, in a layer that envelopes the earth and can be considered the ‘lungs’ of the planet. The atmosphere is important as a planetary life-support system, and plays a critical role in the long-term health of human beings (CEC, 1997). Anything that disturbs the normal chemical balance of the atmosphere can be considered pollution. Pollution can be naturally caused (for example by forest fires) and is also caused by anthropogenic (man-made) activities (such as the burning of fossil fuels). Pollutants, once emitted into the atmosphere, recognise no geographical or political boundaries, and their destination will depend on their physical and chemical characteristics, together with the prevailing meteorological conditions (CEC, 1997). Activities in the Province which might lead to increased air pollution include mining, a few industries, crop spraying and domestic fuel burning. Some atmospheric gases (such as carbon dioxide) trap reflected heat from the sun thus keeping the earth warm. This is known as the natural greenhouse effect. However, anthropogenic activities (such as fossil fuel burning) increase the natural concentrations of these greenhouse gases, thereby enhancing the greenhouse effect. This is known as global warming. The effect of global warming is the global increase of surface temperatures leading ultimately to climate change. Global surface temperatures have increased at a rate of over 0.15 ºC per decade since 1976 (IPCC, 2001). Climate change prediction models show the possibility of an increase in aridity in the western regions of South Africa (including the Northern Cape). This aridity increase may result in changes in vegetation and crop production, amongst other things (Leuci and Ramsay, 1999). Apart from a narrow strip of winter-rainfall area along the coast, the Northern Cape is a semi-arid region with little summer rainfall. The weather conditions are extreme, with cold and frost in winter and extreme heat in summer (Burger, 2002). 3 ATMOSPHERE AND CLIMATE ISSUES IN THE NORTHERN CAPE 3.1 Asbestos Asbestos is the collective mineralogical term given to a group of six different fibrous minerals (amosite, chrysotile, crocidolite, and the fibrous varieties of tremolite, actinolite and anthophyllite) that occur naturally in the environment. Asbestos minerals have long, separable fibres that are strong, flexible enough to be spun and woven, and are heat resistant. Because of these characteristics, asbestos has been used for a wide range of products, including building materials, automobile parts and heat resistant fabrics (ACGIH, 2001; ATSDR, 2001). Asbestos fibres enter the air from the breakdown of natural deposits or man-made asbestos products. Fibres may remain suspended in the air for a long time, and can be carried a fair distance by the wind before settling. Asbestos fibres are not able to move through soil, are not broken down to other compounds, and will remain virtually unchanged over long periods of time (ATSDR, 2001). 2 2004 NC SoER – Atmosphere and Climate Specialist Report 1 of 7 Inhalation of high levels of asbestos fibres over several years may result in scar-like tissue in the lungs and pleural membrane. This disease is called asbestosis and is usually found in workers exposed to asbestos. People with asbestosis have difficulty breathing, often have a cough, and in severe cases the heart may be enlarged. It is a serious disease and can eventually lead to disability and death. Mesothelioma, associated with asbestos, is cancer of the pleural membrane (ATSDR, 2001). There are currently no operational asbestos mines in the Northern Cape. Asbestos mines flourished in the 1970’s because of the demand for asbestos, the rich deposits of crocidolite in particular (blue asbestos), and the availability of labour. At the time asbestos mining was still active in South Africa, five percent of asbestos used in the United States was imported from South Africa (ACGIH, 2001). The ‘Cape Crocidolite Field’ extends about 400 kilometres in a northerly direction from just south of Prieska, through Kuruman to the Botswana border (DME, 2004). In the Northern Cape asbestos is still perceived as an important issue because of the many unrehabilitated mine dumps that still have the potential to pollute the environment, and therefore cause asbestosis or mesothelioma. The public still has access to some of these dumps, and some individuals recover the asbestos for resale as there is apparently still a market for it (Du Plooy, pers comm., 2003). In Prieska about 5 new cases (out of a population of about 15 000) of mesothelioma are diagnosed annually although the mines in the area have been closed since 1979 (Smith, pers comm., 2004). Secondary impacts of asbestos pollution are likely to occur in the Northern Cape, considering the use of materials contaminated with asbestos for a variety of purposes, including school playgrounds and sports fields (e.g. long jump pit), roads and buildings (Brown University, 2001). Rehabilitation of some roads around the Kuruman area will take place in the near future (Olivier, pers comm., 2004). 3.2 Renewable energy Broadly defined, renewable energy sources are those sources of energy arising from natural processes, and are regularly replenished (Sherman, 2001). The sun is the primary renewable energy source. Solar energy can be utilised directly as heat or light, as well as a secondary form of energy through its interaction with the natural environment. Other forms of renewable energy include wind energy, hydropower, ocean-generated energy and bioenergy. Wind-power potential is generally good along the coast with mean annual speeds greater than 4ms-1, compared to moderate wind speeds of 3-4 ms-1 in the interior of the Province, and less than 3 ms-1 in the interior of South Africa (Diab, 1995). As South Africa is classified as being a generally dry country, it is seen to have little perennial hydropower potential (Burger and Beard, 1998). Most areas in South Africa average more than 2 500 hours of sunshine per year, with average daily solar radiation levels ranging from 4.5-6.5 kWh/m2 (Burger and Beard, 1998), which is relatively high. The area of the Northern Cape that borders on the Orange River and Namibia boasts the highest solar radiation intensity anywhere in southern Africa (Sherman, 2001). Solar energy is therefore likely to be the most viable alternative energy source for the Northern Cape. 3 2004 NC SoER – Atmosphere and Climate Specialist Report 1 of 7 3.3 Climate change Greenhouse gases occur in the troposphere (or lower atmosphere) and are responsible for causing the greenhouse effect or global warming. These gases include ozone, methane, Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), carbon dioxide, water vapour and nitrous oxides (Enviropaedia, 2002). South Africa’s contribution to GHG emissions is relatively small on a global scale. However, on a per capita basis it is well above global averages and those of other middleincome developing countries. The energy sector in South Africa is a major source of GHG because of the heavy reliance on coal for electricity generation, the Sasol oil-from-coal process, and the scarcity of renewable energy resources such as hydro- and wind energy (Burger, 2002). There is significant evidence that the increase in these GHG is having an effect on climatic conditions (Enviropaedia, 2002). Evidence of biological impacts of climate change across the world is accumulating (Foden, 2002). In the Northern Cape, findings from one study strongly suggest that the range of Aloe dichotoma has begun to respond to climate-induced stress, indicating that biodiversity in the region may be under threat from climate change (Foden, 2002). Climate change may result in an increase in natural disasters, thus necessitating the need for disaster management. The National Disaster Management Centre was established in 1999 by the Department of Provincial and Local Government (DPLG) and has since been constituted to promote an integrated and co-ordinated system of disaster management. This does not include information on climate change per se but will provide information on disasters such as floods that may provide an indication of climate change (Killian, pers comm., 2003). 3.4 Air quality Certain air pollutants are considered ‘classic’ air pollutants because they are emitted in large quantities in most countries and they have adverse effects on human health and crops (WHO, 1999). Most countries therefore have guidelines or standards for these pollutants and their concentrations may be used as indicators of the quality of the air in an area. These pollutants normally include sulphur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), carbon monoxide (CO), particulate matter (PM), lead (Pb) and ozone (O3). The main health effects associated with these are related to the respiratory system, except for CO, which affects the central nervous system (WHO, 1999). Ozone is a secondary pollutant while the others are primary pollutants emanating from industry, motor vehicles and fossil fuel combustion. There are no major industries in the Province emitting NO2 or SO2, except for a few open kiln brickworks (Table 1). Only 0.6% of Northern Cape households use coal as domestic fuel as it is far from the coalfields of South Africa. SO2 concentrations are therefore not considered to be an issue in the Province. However, many households (18%) do use paraffin (Statistics South Africa, 2003), indicating that indoor NO2 concentrations could be a potential issue. In South Africa, about 20 to 30 million people are estimated to be exposed to indoor air pollution from domestic fuel use in poorly ventilated places (Enviropaedia, 2002). The main anthropogenic sources of ambient particulate matter in the Northern Cape are the mining industry and the scheduled processes mentioned in Table 1. Pollution ‘hot spots’ will therefore be associated with these activities. 4 2004 NC SoER – Atmosphere and Climate Specialist Report 1 of 7 The Sishen Mine near Kathu is the biggest source of iron ore in South Africa. Zinc and lead are mined at Aggeneys. The Province is also rich in asbestos, manganese, fluorspar, semiprecious stones and marble (Burger, 2002). The main industries with scheduled processes in the Northern Cape are those indicated in Table 1. These industries report directly to the dedicated pollution control officer at DEAT. Table 1: Location and type of industry in the Northern Cape (du Plooy, pers comm., 2004) Location Ulco - about 40 km from Barkley-West on the road to Lime Acres Lime Acres and Daniëlskuil Type of industry Cement factory Postmasburg Foundries (2) Brickworks Brickworks (closed oven) Foundry Brickworks Kimberley Olifantshoek Kuruman Warrenton Upington Near Mamatwan (about 60 km north west of Kuruman) Lime factories Medium incinerators Crematorium Medium incinerator Carcass incinerator Sinter plant Comment Emits mainly PM Stack monitoring conducted by factory Emits mainly PM Stack monitoring conducted by both factories Emits mainly PM Emits PM, SO2 and CO Emits PM, SO2 and CO Emits mainly PM Emits PM SO2 and CO Emits mainly acid gases and PM Emit mainly acid gases and PM Emits PM Sinter plants have bag filters to prevent emissions of PM There is currently no coordinated air pollution monitoring network in the Northern Cape. Existing monitoring is fragmented as it is mainly done by industries and results are therefore not readily available. The use of pesticides for crop spraying is another aspect that could have an impact on air quality in certain areas of the Northern Cape. The use of pesticides in the production of food is expanding in South Africa despite an international trend to promote pesticide reduction (London & Rother 1998). A few thousand farms, each about 25 hectares, are usually sprayed on a two-weekly basis during the months May to June and September to October (Fischer, pers comm., 2004). Quantification of exposure in order to determine the impacts of crop spraying is not possible as no monitoring is done. 3.5 Resource management According to the Municipal Demarcation Board (2003), the air pollution management function is poorly performed by Northern Cape Municipalities. This is likely to be the 5 2004 NC SoER – Atmosphere and Climate Specialist Report 1 of 7 perception throughout the Province, and may be the reason why ‘Effectiveness of resource management’ was raised as an issue in the State of the Environment report. It must be noted that there are few industries in the Northern Cape, and pollution from the Province’s mines falls outside the jurisdiction of these Municipalities (mining is the mandate of the Department of Minerals and Energy). 4 ATMOSPHERE AND CLIMATE IN THE NORTHERN CAPE 4.1 Rehabilitation of asbestos mines The indicator ‘Rehabilitation of asbestos mines’ measures the number and location of unrehabilitated asbestos mine dump sites in the Northern Cape. The indicator addresses the ‘response’ of government to the issue of ‘asbestos’ raised by stakeholders discussed in Section 3.1. This was done as no ‘state’ information could be found for asbestos pollution. The indicator therefore monitors the actions taking place to mitigate the impacts of the previously high demand for asbestos. Although there are currently no operational asbestos mines in the Northern Cape, and therefore no occupational exposure, environmental exposure is still a concern as fibres from unrehabilitated mine dumps can become airborne and may be inhaled by humans. The concentration of asbestos in ambient air is not known, as no monitoring is currently undertaken. Very little is known about the impact of asbestos (prevalence of asbestosis and mesothelioma) in the Northern Cape. The Provincial Department of Health does not keep any statistics on these diseases, other than those from occupational exposure. Figure 1 indicates the location of these asbestos mines. 6 2004 NC SoER – Atmosphere and Climate Specialist Report 1 of 7 Figure 1: Location of asbestos mines in the Northern Cape, including rehabilitated, unrehabilitated and partially rehabilitated mines (Booysen, 2003) 7 2004 NC SoER – Atmosphere and Climate Specialist Report 1 of 7 By May 2001, approximately R50 million had been spent on the rehabilitation of 53 derelict and/or ownerless asbestos mines in the Northern Cape, Limpopo and Mpumalanga (Burger, 2002). It is expected that another R150 million would be required to rehabilitate the remaining 68 derelict and/or ownerless asbestos mines. Although the rehabilitation of these mines will remain a priority for years to come, attention is also being focused on the rehabilitation of derelict and/or ownerless coalmines and gold-residue deposits. Table 2 shows recent statistics on the rehabilitation of mine dumps in the Northern Cape. Table 2: State of rehabilitation process of asbestos mines (Booysen, 2003) Location Northern Cape Mpumalanga Limpopo Number Mines 57 14 39 of Number Dumps 346 90 139 of (%) Dumps rehabilitated 42 20 88 Total Cost (1984-2002) R 53.2m R 29.7m R 39.9m It is evident from Table 2 that less than half of the asbestos mines in the Northern Cape have been rehabilitated at a cost of more than R50 million. The level of confidence in these data are medium to low, it is unknown whether these data have been verified. 4.2 Use of renewable energy This indicator measures trends in renewable energy use in the Northern Cape, using percentage household solar energy use as a proxy. Table 3 indicates the number and percentage of Northern Cape households using solar energy for cooking, heating and lighting purposes respectively. The impacts of global climate change are likely to present a driving force that will result in the increased use of renewable energy (Sherman, 2001). This change could be influenced by the cost of non-renewable sources such as electricity and paraffin, and the availability of sources such as coal. The use of renewable energy will impact positively on the environment (by reducing greenhouse gases), the economy and ultimately on quality of life (Sherman, 2001). Houses and buildings in South Africa are seldom designed for energy efficiency. The energy characteristics of low-cost housing are particularly bad, resulting in high levels of energy consumption for space heating in winter. Research has shown that low-cost housing could be made 'energy smart' through the utilisation of elementary 'solar passive building design' practice, potentially resulting in significant energy savings (Burger, 2002). The heating of water, mainly derived from electricity, accounts for a third to half of the energy consumption in the average household. Switching from electrical to solar water-heating can have significant economic and environmental benefits. Economic benefits for homeowners include reduced energy bills, while benefits for the country include reduced GHG emission (Burger, 2002). 8 2004 NC SoER – Atmosphere and Climate Specialist Report 1 of 7 Table 3: Percentage households per province using solar energy for domestic purposes (Statistics South Africa, 2003) Province Northern Cape Eastern Cape Free State Gauteng KwaZulu-Natal Limpopo Mpumalanga North West Western Cape South Africa Cooking Heating 0.20 0.13 0.26 0.21 0.29 0.25 0.27 0.14 0.17 0.22 Lighting 0.15 0.12 0.29 0.16 0.28 0.25 0.29 0.29 0.11 0.21 1.0 0.27 0.29 0.14 0.25 0.27 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.22 As 2001 was the first year that statistics on solar energy use were collected by Statistics South Africa, no trends can yet be determined (see Table 3). Solar energy use currently contributes a very small portion of the total energy supply in the Northern Cape - 18% households are still using paraffin for cooking, while 15.3% and 28.6% are using wood for cooking and heating respectively (Statistics South Africa, 2003). This situation is similar for all Provinces. The Northern Cape has, however, the highest solar energy use for lighting (1.0%) when compared to other Provinces in the country. In South Africa several projects have been initiated in an attempt to increase solar energy use, for example the CaBEERE Project (DME, 2003). In the Sol Plaatje Municipality sun panels were installed in 11 houses as part of an eco-village pilot project in Galeshewe. The panels made a substantial difference in energy consumption, but do not appear to be viable because of the large capital outlay required to install them (Schoeman, pers comm., 2004). The level of confidence in this data set is medium to high as this data was extracted from the 2001 Census results published by Statistics South Africa (Statistics South Africa, 2003). 4.3 Climate change as indicated by changes in weather patterns This indicator measures the annual temperature and precipitation deviations in an area relative to a baseline period (1961-1990). Increased levels of greenhouse gases may lead to an increased surface temperature (Allaby, 1990). This will indirectly impact on human health as the distribution of certain diseases such as malaria may expand due to a warmer climate (DEAT, 1999). The indicator provides an indication of the state of climate change. The trend in temperature deviations during the period 1991 to 2002 compared to the 1961-1990 baseline period are indicated in Figure 2. The trend lines in Figure 2 indicate that there were more positive than negative deviations in temperature since 1991 compared to the 1960-1990-baseline period. The figure shows that temperatures have potentially increased over the past few years. Some of the temperature trends were significant, especially in the northern regions of the Province (Pofadder, Henkries and Twee Rivieren). 9 2004 NC SoER – Atmosphere and Climate Specialist Report 1 of 7 Linear trend in temperature deviation (°C) 1.0 0.6 0.2 -0.2 -0.6 1999 1997 1995 1993 1991 1989 1987 1985 1983 1981 1979 1977 1975 1973 1971 1969 1967 1965 1963 1961 -1.0 Year Linear (Sutherland) Linear (Henkries) Linear (Fraserburg) Linear (Twee Rivieren) Linear (Van Wyksvlei) Linear (Upington) Linear (Pofadder) Figure 2: Trend in temperature deviation compared to the 1961-1990 baseline period (Kruger, pers comm., 2004) 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 1999 1997 1995 1993 1991 1989 1987 1985 1983 1981 1979 1977 1975 1973 1971 1969 1967 1965 1963 -40 1961 Linear trend in rainfall deviation (mm) 40 Year Linear (Sutherland) Linear (Henkries) Linear (Fraserburg) Linear (Vanwyksvlei) Linear (Upington) Linear (Pofadder) Linear (Twee Rivieren) 10 2004 NC SoER – Atmosphere and Climate Specialist Report 1 of 7 Figure 3: Trend in rainfall deviation compared to the 1961-1990 baseline period (Kruger, pers comm., 2004) Figure 3 shows the trend in rainfall deviation. No consistent trend in rainfall deviation could be seen over the measured period. None of the trends indicated in Figure 3 are significant. 4.4 Particulate matter concentrations Particulate matter was chosen as the indicator for air quality in the Northern Cape because of the general lack of industrial processes in the Province, and the presence of several mining activities. This indicator measures the concentration of particulate matter (Total Solid Particulates and PM10), and includes the spatial distribution of hot spots (i.e. the location of mining activities). It provides a measure of the state of air quality in the Northern Cape. The main pressure causing an increase in particulate matter concentrations in the Northern Cape is the presence of mining activities. Impacts associated with particulate matter include adverse health effects (depending on chemical composition and particle size), nuisance effects, damage of materials and reduction in visibility (EPA, 2003). Figure 4 indicates the positions of the active mines in the Northern Cape, thus providing an indication of potential sources of particulate matter. These sources include iron ore, manganese, diamond, nickel and copper mines. Both surface and underground mines can lead to air pollution. In surface mining, the actual mining excavation process leads to dispersion of particulate matter by wind. In the case of underground mining, mine tailings (waste products) are stored above ground and are therefore easily dispersed by wind. 11 2004 NC SoER – Atmosphere and Climate Specialist Report 1 of 7 Northern Cape Active Mines Legend Ç Active Mines Jakkalsdraai Northern Cape Towns Ç Ç Ç Ç Ç Ç Ç Ç Ç ÇÇ Ç Ç Pofadder Ç Ç Ç Ç Ç ÇÇ Ç Ç Ç ÇÇ ÇÇ Ç Ç Ç Ç Ç Kenhardt Ç Ç Ç Ç Ç ÇÇ Ç ÇÇ Ç Ç Ç Ç Okiep Ç Ç Ç Ç Ç - Ç Ç Upington Ç ÇÇ Ç Ç Ç Ç ÇSishen Bokhara Ç Ç Ç Ç Ç Alexander BayÇ Ç Ç Ç Ç Ç Ç Ç Hopetown Witput Ç ÇÇÇ Ç Ç Ç Ç Ç Ç Ç Ç Ç Ç Ç Ç Calvinia Ç ÇÇ Sutherland 0 40 80 160 240 320 Kilometers Figure 4: Location of active mines in the Northern Cape – 2001 (CGS, 2001) 12 2004 NC SoER – Atmosphere and Climate Specialist Report 1 of 7 Almost no information on particulate matter concentrations in the Northern Cape could be found. The only information that was obtained was concentrations of fallout dust from the Sishen iron ore mine near Kathu (Sishen, 2003). The maximum fall-out measured at certain sites between April and October 2003 is provided in Table 4. Table 4: Maximum fall-out dust at sites close to Sishen iron ore mine (Sishen, 2003) Site Location Max fall-out Month of year g/m2/day Sesheng Residential area Eastern border of mine site Residential area Western border of mine site Landing strip about 4km from site Town about 7km from site On site 2.098 29/9 – 27/10/03 Classification according to SA guidelines Very heavy 1.626 29/9 – 27/10/03 Very heavy 1.885 29/9 – 27/10/03 Very heavy 1.538 29/9 – 27/10/03 Very heavy 1.837 29/9 – 27/10/03 Very heavy Dingleton Airport Kathu HEF Plant SA guidelines (DEAT, 1998): Slight = <0.25g/m2/day; Moderate = 0.25-0.5g/m2/day; Heavy = 0.5-1.0g/m2/day; Very heavy = >1.2g/m2/day It is clear from Table 4 that the dust fall-out in the area is very heavy, that visibility could be affected and that materials could be soiled. Unfortunately, the data is of such a limited nature that it is not possible to obtain any trends or spatial distribution of the pollutant. The level of confidence in these data are is medium to low; it is unknown whether the results have been verified. 4.5 Effectiveness of resource management This indicator provides evidence of the state of air quality management in the Northern Cape and can be measured in two different ways. Firstly by looking at the manpower capacity for air pollution management within the Province, and secondly by looking at the number of municipal Integrated Development Plans (IDPs) that show air pollution management plans or a dedicated budget for developing an air pollution management plan. The need for effective resource management is driven in large part by the presence of mining and industry in the Northern Cape. As there are few industries in the Province, the task of air quality management in the industrial sector is not considered a major one. It should be noted that Local Municipalities have no jurisdiction over air pollution from mining activities (these fall under the Department of Minerals and Energy). The task of air pollution management in the mining industry is therefore not addressed by this indicator. 13 2004 NC SoER – Atmosphere and Climate Specialist Report 1 of 7 For the second measurement of this indicator, a number of findings can be reported on. According to the Municipal Demarcation Board (MDB, 2003), the Karoo and Frances Baard District Municipalities are the only District Municipalities rendering an air pollution function in the Province. However, in the case of the Karoo District Municipality, there has been neither a budgetary provision for this function in the 2002 / 2003 financial year, nor a staff complement allocated to perform the function (MDB, 2003). Furthermore, no Environmental Management Plan is in place (Slabbert, pers comm., 2004). The Frances Baard District Municipality indicated that the budget for air pollution formed part of another budget item. It does, however, have a staff complement of 4 people responsible for air pollution control (MDB, 2003). These individuals are environmental health practitioners responsible for the functions air pollution control, control of public nuisance, and control of noise pollution. No Environmental Management Plan addressing air quality is, however, in place as yet but is in the process of being formalised (Kirsten, pers comm., 2004). The Siyanda District Municipality does have an Environmental Management Plan in place (Rupping, pers. comm., 2004) while the Namakwa (Auret, pers comm., 2004) and Kgalagadi District Municipalities (Swart, pers comm., 2004) are currently in the process of formalising such a plan. The level of confidence in the Municipal Demarcation Board data are regarded as medium to high as inputs were obtained directly from all the Municipalities in the Northern Cape. 5 RESPONSES 5.1 International responses 5.1.1 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) represents a global agreement to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in order to prevent/minimise the impacts of global climate change. The Convention was ratified by South Africa in 1997. As a developing country, South Africa is obliged to report on annual emissions of carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide as a minimum requirement. South Africa is not currently under any obligation to limit or reduce its greenhouse gas emissions (UNFCCC, 2001). The Kyoto Protocol text to the UNFCCC was adopted in 1997. South Africa acceded to the Kyoto Protocol in 2002. 5.1.2 Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer The Montreal Protocol controls the use and import of ozone-depleting substances in order to protect the ozone layer. The import of these chemicals is controlled through a permit system administered by the Departments of Environmental Affairs & Tourism and Trade & Industry. South Africa’s accession to the Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer was approved in 1990 (UNEP, 2004). 14 2004 NC SoER – Atmosphere and Climate Specialist Report 1 of 7 5.2 National responses 5.2.1 Constitution of the Republic of South Africa, Act 108 of 1996 Section 24 (a) of the Constitution states that: “Everyone has the right a) to an environment that is not harmful to their health or well- being; and b) to have the environment protected, for the benefit of present and future generations, through reasonable legislative and other measures that i) prevent pollution and ecological degradation; ii) promote conservation; and iii) secure ecologically sustainable development and use of natural resources while promoting justifiable economic and social development” (Republic of South Africa, 1996). 5.2.2 Atmospheric Pollution Prevention Act, Act 45 of 1965 The Atmospheric Pollution Prevention Act controls pollution at the source and is based on ‘best practicable means’. Schedule III of this Act covers atmospheric pollution by smoke, Schedule IV is related to dust control and Schedule V deals with air pollution by fumes emitted by vehicles (Republic of South Africa, 1965). 5.2.3 White Paper on Renewable Energy This White paper was released by the Department of Minerals and Energy in November 2003. Government’s long-term goal is to establish a renewable energy industry producing modern energy carriers that will offer a sustainable, fully nonsubsidised alternative to fossil fuels in future. The proportion of final energy consumption currently provided by renewable energy is mainly as a result of poverty (e.g. fuelwood and animal waste being used for cooking and heating). The Government has therefore adopted a medium-term (10-year target) which states that 10 000 GWh renewable energy contribution to final energy consumption should be produced mainly from biomass, wind, solar and small-scale hydro by 2013 (Republic of South Africa, 2003). 5.2.4 National Environmental Management: Air Quality Bill In October 2004, the final mandates and amendments were agreed to and the Air Quality Bill sent to the President for signature. An effective date has not yet determined (DEAT, 2004). The practical implications of the Air Quality Act at national, provincial and local government level are still to be understood. 15 2004 NC SoER – Atmosphere and Climate Specialist Report 1 of 7 5.3 Provincial responses 5.3.1 Northern Cape Provincial Asbestos Forum The Northern Cape Provincial Asbestos Forum consists of representatives of most government departments in the Northern Cape, as well as non-governmental organisations and lawyers. The aim of the Forum is community awareness raising with respect to asbestos-related diseases and their symptoms. In addition, communities are given information related to diagnosis and compensation (Matsipa, pers comm., 2004). 6 SUMMARY OF ATMOSPHERE AND CLIMATE Atmosphere and climate issues in the Northern Cape were identified as: Asbestos; Renewable energy sources; Climate change; Air quality; and The management of air resources. The issue of asbestos was measured by determining the extent of rehabilitation of asbestos mines, i.e. measuring the number, size and location of unrehabilitated asbestos mines. Renewable energy was addressed by measuring the use of solar energy for cooking, heating and lighting purposes. Climate change was measured by changes in temperature and rainfall over the past 10 years compared to a baseline period. Particulate matter concentrations were used as an indicator of the air quality in the Northern Cape, while the effectiveness of resource management was indicated by the existence of Environmental Management Plans at District Municipality level. Results indicate that, although there are currently no operational asbestos mines in the Northern Cape and therefore no current occupational exposure, environmental exposure to asbestos is still a concern as fibres from mine dumps can potentially become airborne and inhaled by human beings. Rehabilitation of asbestos mines is a costly exercise and less than half of the mines in the Province have been rehabilitated to date (Booysen, 2003; Burger, 2002). Impacts from the secondary use of asbestos (e.g. on roads or playing fields) is also of concern in the Province (Brown University, 2004). The area of the Northern Cape that borders on the Orange River and Namibia boasts the highest solar radiation intensity anywhere in southern Africa (Sherman, 2001). This area is therefore ideal for grid-connected solar energy generation. The use of solar energy was recorded for the first time in the 2001 Census and no trends can yet be determined. Solar energy use currently contributes a very small portion of the total energy supply in the Northern Cape (Statistics South Africa, 2003). There is a national drive to increase the use of technologies making use of solar energy. Trends in temperature deviations indicate that there were more positive than negative deviations in temperature since 1991 compared to the 1960-1990 baseline 16 2004 NC SoER – Atmosphere and Climate Specialist Report 1 of 7 period. The temperature has potentially been increasing over the past few years. Some of the temperature trends were significant, especially in the northern regions. Rainfall deviations since 1991 in comparison to the 1961-1990 baseline indicate no significant trend. Ongoing research on the vegetation in the Northern Cape, focusing specifically on the Succulent Karoo, strongly suggests that the range of Aloe dichotoma has begun to respond to climate-induced stress, indicating that the region is under threat from climate change. This plant species may potentially be a useful indicator of climate change in the future (Foden, 2002). Monitoring of particulate matter in the Northern Cape is performed on a fragmented basis, mostly focussed in and around mining areas, and no co-ordinated provincial monitoring network exists. No comprehensive assessment of air quality in the Northern Cape is therefore possible. As far as resource management is concerned, only Siyanda District Municipality currently has an Environmental Management Plan in place, with Kgalagadi, Frances Baard and Namakwa being in the process of formulating such plan. Staff assigned to the function of air pollution control are also involved in public nuisance control, as well as noise pollution control. No air pollution monitoring of criteria pollutants is being performed by any of the municipalities (du Plooy pers comm., 2003), most likely due to the fact that air pollution is not perceived as an important issue because of the low number of industries in the Province. 7 REFERENCES Allaby, M. 1990. Green Facts: The Greenhouse effect and other key issues. London: Reed International Books Limited. ISBN: 0-600-566-18-8. Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (ATSDR). 2001. Frequently Asked Questions About Contaminants Found at Hazardous Waste Sites. [Online]. Available: http://www.atsdr.cdc.gov/tfacts61.html [29 January 2004]. American Conference of Governmental Industrial Hygienists (ACGIH). 2001. Documentation of the Threshold Limit Values for Chemical Substances. 7th edition. USA: ACGIH® Worldwide. Auret, W. 2004. Personal communication. Namakwa District Municipality. March 2004. Booysen, J. 2003. Lecture by EkoRehab at Wits Medical School, 27 May 2003. Brown University. 2001. Asbestos Related Diseases in South Africa: Opportunities and challenges remaining since the 1998 parliamentary asbestos summit. [Online]. Available: http://www.brown.edu/Departments/African_American_Studies/Asbestos/. [17 May 2004]. Burger, D & Beard, W. (eds). 1998. South African Yearbook 1998, 5th edition. Cape Town: ABC Press. 17 2004 NC SoER – Atmosphere and Climate Specialist Report 1 of 7 Burger, D. (ed.) 2002. SA Yearbook. [Online]. Available: http://www.gcis.gov.za/docs/publications/yearbook.htm [28 January 2004] Commission for Environmental Cooperation (CEC). 1997. Continental Pollutant Pathways. Canada: CEC. ISBN 2-922305-12-0. Council for Geoscience (CGS). 2001. Digital metallogenic map of the Republic of South Africa and the Kingdoms of Lesotho and Swaziland: CD-Rom. Department of Environmental Affairs and Tourism (DEAT). 1998. 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Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). 2003. How particulate matter affects the way we live and breathe. [Online]. Available: http://www.epa.gov/air/urbanair/pm/index.html [9 February 2004] Fischer, B. 2003. Personal communication. Francis Baard District Municipality. January 2003. Foden W. 2002. A demographic study of Aloe dichotoma in the succulent Karoo: Are the effects of Climate Change already apparent? Cape Town: UCT. MSc in Conservation Biology. Hietkamp, S. 2003. Personal communication. CSIR, Pretoria. November 2003. IPCC. 2001. The Scientific Basis: Contribution of Working Group 1 to the third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Houghton JT et al. (eds.) Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. United Kingdom. 18 2004 NC SoER – Atmosphere and Climate Specialist Report 1 of 7 Killian, G. 2003. Personal communication. Department of Provincial and Local Government, Pretoria. October 2003. Kirsten, M. 2004. Personal communication. Frances Baard District Municipality. March 2004. Kruger, A. 2004. Personal communication. South African Weather Service, Pretoria. January 2004. Leuci, R. and Ramsay, P. J. 1999. A Preliminary Assessment of Future Climate Changes and Effects for Southern and Eastern Africa. Council for Geosciences Report No. 1999 – 0198. London, K. and Rother, A. 1998. People, pesticides and the environment. Who bears the brunt of backward policy in South Africa. Proceedings of the 1998 Environmental. Law Conference on Environmental Justice. UCT April 1998. Matsipa, M. 2004. Personal communication. Northern Cape Provincial Asbestos Forum. May 2004. Municipal Demarcation Board (MDB). 2003. Assessment Of Municipal Powers And Functions. Northern Cape Provincial Report. Olivier, B. 2004. Personal communication. Kgalagadi District Municipality. May 2004. Republic of South Africa. 1965. The Atmospheric Pollution Prevention Act and Regulations of the Republic of South Africa, Act 65 of 1965. Government Printers. [Acts]. Republic of South Africa. 1996. Constitution of the Republic of South Africa, Act 108 of 1996. [Online]. Available: www.gov.za/constitution/1996/96cons.htm. [25 November 2003]. Republic of South Africa. 2003. National Environmental Management: Air Quality Bill, Bill B 62B of 2003. Pretoria: Government Printer. [Bills]. Republic of South Africa. 2003. White Paper on Renewable Energy. [White Papers] [Online] Available: http://www.dme.gov.za/publications/pdf/policydocs/white_paper_on_renewable_ene rgy.pdf [27 February 2004] Rupping, Mr. 2004. Personal communication. Siyanda District Municipality. March 2004. Sherman, R. 2001. Strategy for Renewable Energy in South Africa. Consensus Draft. [0nline] Available: http://www.sessa.org.za/restrategy2203200.pdf [6 February 2003] Sishen. 2003. Sishen Iron Ore Mine Internal Monthly Fall-out Dust Monitoring Reports: April-October 2003. 19 2004 NC SoER – Atmosphere and Climate Specialist Report 1 of 7 Schoeman, Mr. 2004. Personal communication. Sol Plaatje Municipality. May 2004. Slabbert Mr. 2004. Personal communication. Karoo District Municipality. March 2004. Smith, Dr. 2004. Personal communication. General Practitioner, Smith & Schoeman, Prieska. 21 January, 2004. Statistics South Africa. 2003. Census 2001: Census in Brief. Report No. 03-02-03. Swart, Mr. 2004. Personal communication. Kgalagadi District Municipality. March 2004. UNEP. 2004. Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer. United Nations Environment Programme: Ozone Secretariat. [Online]. Available: http://www.unep.org/ozone/Treaties_and_Ratification/2B_montreal%20protocol.asp [01 March 2004]. UNFCCC (2001) United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. [Online] Available: http://www.unfccc.de [27 February 2004] World Health Organisation (WHO). 1999. Guidelines for Air Quality [Online] Available: http://www.who.int/peh/air/Airqualitygd.htm [12 July 2000] 8 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The author/s would like to acknowledge contributions from the following people: Wendy Foden, National Botanical Institute, Pretoria; Dr Guy Midgley, National Botanical Institute, Cape Town; Cornelis Vorster, Council for Geoscience, Pretoria; Dr Johan Booysen, EkoRehab; and Mr Kobus Davel; Kumba Resources. 20