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The Evidence for Evolution Darwin’s Theory of Evolution by Natural Selection • Species have changed through time and are related by descent from a common ancestor • The primary mechanism of Evolutionary Change is Natural Selection Darwin provided a mechanism for evolutionary change Natural Selection 1. Individuals within a population or species show variation in some features 2. There is hereditary similarity between parents and their offspring Darwin provided a mechanism for evolutionary change --> Natural Selection 3. In every generation, more offspring will be produced than can survive 1 starfish --> 1079 offspring in 16 years 4. Each variant has a characteristic survival and/or reproductive success An individual’s ability to survive and reproduce is called “fitness” If the above postulates are met and the environment remains constant, the composition of the population/species will tend towards an increase of the variant with the highest reproductive success. Can selection produce evolutionary change? • Hypothesis: Natural selection is the primary mechanism through which organisms have evolved over long periods of time • Prediction: selection can lead to small evolutionary changes in short periods of time -artificial selection -direct observations: Darwin’s finches, Biston moths, antibiotic resistance in bacteria, herbicide resistance in weeds, apple maggot flies Artificial Selection Biston Moths: a Classic example Selection in peppered moths in England by H.B.D. Kettlewell 2 genetically determined phenotypes: black, mottled white Prior to 1600 (industrial revolution) black form approximately 1% white form approximately 99% After 1600 (widespread pollution, smoke and soot) black form approximately 90% white form approximately 10% Now (local pollution from smokestacks) Near Pollution source Away black form 50% 10% white form 50% 90% An example of Natural Selection in Action: Galápagos Finches The case of the medium ground finch Peter and Rosemary Grant have been studying the Galapagos finches continuously since 1973 Postulate 1: Are populations variable? Postulate 2: Is some of the variation among individuals heritable? Is there an excess of offspring? In 1977: An extreme drought occurred Instead of the normal 130mm of rain, there was only 24mm of rain Over 20 months, 84% of the population of finches died Not only did the amount of seed decrease, the type of seeds available changed as well Portulaca: Small soft seeds Most frequent before the drought Tribulus: large very hard seeds Most frequent after the drought Is there differential survival an/or reproduction among the variants? 1976 (Before the drought) 1978 (The survivors) Average beak depth of the population = 9.2 mm Average beak depth of the survivors = 10.1 mm N = 751 N = 90 The offspring of these survivors Average beak depth = 9.7 mm Conclusion: Did evolution occur? The offspring of the birds that survived the drought were significantly larger than the population that existed before the drought Natural selection is continually acting on the population year after year Implications of Natural Selection • Natural selection acts on individuals, but its consequences occur in populations • Natural Selection Acts on Phenotypes, but Evolution consists of changes in gene frequencies • Natural Selection is backward-, not forward looking Implications of Natural Selection • Natural Selection acts on existing traits • Natural Selection does not have a goal nor is it "progressive” • Natural Selection acts on individuals, not groups Apple Maggot Flies: The evolution of a new species Rhagoletis pomonella Rhagoletis lays its eggs in fruit to develop --> Original host = hawthorn trees Recently, the species R. pomonella shifted from its native host to introduced, domestic apples (Malus pumila) Now: two genetically distinct groups that do not interbreed The idea of evolution was developed from many observations of life. It has been tested and challenged many times and in many ways, and has survived in great shape. There are also many independent lines of evidence which are consistent with evolution as a real process. There is NO observed evidence against evolution. Evolution therefore holds the high status of near certainty. Conclusion: Evolution is as good as great science gets! End Is Evolution Weak Science, Good Science, or Great Science? How Does Evolution Compare with other Major Scientific Theories such as General Relativity, Atomic Theory, and Gravity? How many independent lines of evidence support the Theory? -General Relativity is supported by only a few lines There are three classic tests of General Relativity: precession of the perihelion of Mercury gravitational redshift bending of starlight by gravity The evidence showing that evolution has occurred is stronger than the evidence that shows the planets orbit the sun If it is a fact that the planets go around the sun… Then it is a stronger fact that evolution has occurred How many previously unconnected areas of knowledge does a theory unite? Newton connected celestial motion with that of terrestrial objects Darwin connected evolutionary history with Linnaean classification, geographic patterns of distribution, etc. If I have been able to see further, it was only because I stood on the shoulders of giants. —Sir Isaac Newton Darwin was the Newton of Biology If Nature and Nature's laws lay hid in night: God said, Let Newton be! and all was light. —Alexander Pope How clear are the causal mechanisms? Einstein attempted to unite different areas of Physics and explain the dual nature properties of light The ultimate causes of Gravity and wave-particle duality are still unexplained For Darwinism: heredity explains the similarity between parent and offspring; mutation explains variation --> evolution inevitable? Einstein was the Darwin of Physics Possible Weaknesses of the Theory? Does the Theory Explain the Ultimate Origins of the System it Describes? Quantum Mechanics --> for the universe Plate tectonics --> for the Earth Evolution --> for life on Earth The answer for all of the above? No Is the Theory Widely Understood and Accepted by the public? General Relativity and Quantum Mechanics? e = mc2 Why is evolution so controversial? If a Theory is Very Strong Scientifically, does that Mean One Rationally Must or Even Should Accept it? Metaphor of the Rusty Hand Grenade and the Idea of Consequences How strong is your evidence that grenade is a dud? Should you pull the pin? Bridging False Dichotomies Parties in public controversies often disagree about consequences