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Group 1 Issues of highest importance Increase focus on emerging sectors and regions Urbanization, health, vulnerable populations, human-ecosystem interactions … Develop projects illustrating interactions between (1) process of adaptation, (2) knowledge needed for action, and (3) earth system models Foci for discussion/action Develop guidance for modeling and experiments to facilitate inter-comparisons within the framework of the new scenario development (including RCP) Develop proposals with multiple institutions that integrate top-down/bottom-up, across sectors Improving knowledge, core questions, integrators, priority foci, linkages: . Big need to understand the factors that mediate impacts and adaptation Have had go at observed impacts, but all OECD. Big gap for most vulnerable countries Better linkage needed between vulnerability and adaptation, so that adaptation can be promoted. That is, vulnerability assessment drivien by the needs for adaptation. Costings: need better impact and adaptation costings. Intercomparison, at different scales and sectors, of success (or lack thereof) in promoting effective adaptation. Identification of individuals and sub-groups within IAV who can articulate needs for model outputs and scenario Short-term predictive capacity (10-year) that relies on obtaining model runs that a re able to generate decadal oscillations and ENSO Ripe for progress Longer term development Essentials for science/ assessment •Extremes, severe climate change •Model/tool intercomparison •IAV in the multiple stressors •Rates of change •Scales for adaptation •Avoided impacts •Linking adaptation/mitigation/dev elopment •Geoengineering assessment Essential for applications and decision making •Making data/models available •Different modes for product delivery •Assessing the grey literature •Adaptation in complex systems •Institutional aspects WORKING GROUP 4 • Need to better characterize the properties of the IAV community and activities and interactions with the broad community • Recognize cross scale issues especially linking regional scales with local and global (context vs scale; critical resource) • Exploration of methodological framework • Use of Intercomparison of impact assessment • Recognize the explicit nature of decision making among IAV community • Need to outline the iterative process between scenarios Key Research Questions • I – Integration across sectors – e.g., agriculture, water • I – Characterizing full range of uncertainty - Beyond climate models • A – Interactions of disaster risk reduction, extreme events, and climate change - linkages, trends, attribution • A – Mapping decision and decision support processes for integrated resource management - characterizing decisions, entry points, multiple values, evaluating outcomes • A – Knowledge pathways – management and information services in support of adaptation • A&V – Agency – adaptive capacity; political, collective actions at different levels of analysis; households to regions and nations • A&V – How to incorporate varying socioeconomic data, models, studies into IAM storylines and models? Towards an IAV Coordinating Organization • 1) 2) 3) Organize around ~4 key themes Social/ecological hotspots with foci/sectors in matrix form Scenarios – both storylines development and use Data and models – model intercomparisons, meta-analyses, integration of quantitative and qualitative data 4) Decisions, decision-making and decision support. • Developing and sustaining a network, nodes/centers including developing countries - Take it seriously! E.g., appropriate policies, practices, impediments, nodes, to ensure effectiveness/longevity of IAV research and applications network - workshops, training, workforce development, entrainment of young scientists Funding! • • Roles/interactions with WCIRP, IHDP, TGICA, Foundations, World Bank -- Issues of mainstreaming