* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
Download CESM Workshop on Societal Dimensions and Earth System Modeling
Climate governance wikipedia , lookup
Citizens' Climate Lobby wikipedia , lookup
Attribution of recent climate change wikipedia , lookup
100% renewable energy wikipedia , lookup
Climate change mitigation wikipedia , lookup
Open energy system models wikipedia , lookup
Climate change in Tuvalu wikipedia , lookup
Solar radiation management wikipedia , lookup
Media coverage of global warming wikipedia , lookup
Public opinion on global warming wikipedia , lookup
Economics of climate change mitigation wikipedia , lookup
Effects of global warming on humans wikipedia , lookup
Fred Singer wikipedia , lookup
Economics of global warming wikipedia , lookup
General circulation model wikipedia , lookup
Climate change, industry and society wikipedia , lookup
German Climate Action Plan 2050 wikipedia , lookup
Energiewende in Germany wikipedia , lookup
Climate change in the United States wikipedia , lookup
Scientific opinion on climate change wikipedia , lookup
Surveys of scientists' views on climate change wikipedia , lookup
Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment wikipedia , lookup
Climate change and poverty wikipedia , lookup
Low-carbon economy wikipedia , lookup
Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme wikipedia , lookup
Politics of global warming wikipedia , lookup
IPCC Fourth Assessment Report wikipedia , lookup
Mitigation of global warming in Australia wikipedia , lookup
CESM Societal Dimensions Working Group Summary of June 21, 2012 Session at 17th CESM Workshop CESM is primarily sponsored by the National Science Foundation and the Department of Energy CESM and Societal Dimensions Develop collaborations between the CESM community & those working on issues relating societal dimensions and climate change CESM WATER IA CESM is primarily sponsored by the National Science Foundation and the Department of Energy IAM topics of interest Land use Urban areas and energy use Water in IAMs Forestry management Assessing renewable energy potentials • Air quality, climate, and impacts • • • • • CESM is primarily sponsored by the National Science Foundation and the Department of Energy Types of IAM-ESM interactions A. Off-line B. Improved IAM C. Improved ESM D. Full coupling Emissions IAM Hum Env IAM Hum Atm. Climate Env Env Chem Ocean Atm. Land Hum Chem Ocean Atm. Land ESM Env Chem Ocean Land ESM IAM Hum Land use ESM IAM Hum Land ESM Atm. Chem Ocean Based on van Vuuren et al., 2012, ERL. CESM is primarily sponsored by the National Science Foundation and the Department of Energy Data Human System Your Favorite iPETS Integrated Assessment Model Evaluation & Uncertainty Analysis THESIS Toolbox for Human-Earth System Integration & Scaling Human System Impacts Data Earth System Earth System urban agriculture forests Impact & Adaptation Assessment CESM Community Earth System Model Visualization & Decision Support EaSM2 Proposal. PI: O’Neill (NCAR); Co-PIs: Lawrence, Levis, Oleson (NCAR), Feddema (U. Kansas), Jain (U. Illinois), Barton (ASU) CESM is primarily sponsored by the National Science Foundation and the Department of Energy Land Use: Overarching Questions How sensitive is regional climate to differences in land use and land cover change? How sensitive are land use decisions to differences in regional climate change? CESM is primarily sponsored by the National Science Foundation and the Department of Energy Possible Near-Term Activities Test sensitivity of climate outcomes in the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) to land use assumptions Examine the climate implications of IAM scenarios that make alternative assumptions about agricultural productivity Test the implications of full IAM-CESM coupling vs one-way coupling CESM is primarily sponsored by the National Science Foundation and the Department of Energy Three Major Goals of iESM Create a first generation integrated Earth System Model (iESM) with both the human components of an IAM and a physical ESM. Further develop components and linkages within the iESM and apply the model to improve our understanding of the coupled physical, ecological, and human system. Foster a community of users and applications of iESM. CESM is primarily sponsored by the National Science Foundation and the Department of Energy What core capabilities does this provide? Ability to factor climate change effects into analyses of mitigation strategies. Quantification of resource demands required to address climate change. Determination of how coupling affects the climate-energy-land system: Comparison to uncoupled approaches The development of an iESM means that fully consistent analysis of potential future climate change, emissions mitigation options, and impacts and adaptation options will be possible. CESM is primarily sponsored by the National Science Foundation and the Department of Energy iESM = 4 Models: GCAM, GLM, CLM, & CESM Fossil Fuel & Industrial Emissions (Gridded) 1. GCAM (Human Dimensions Elements only; 15 ghgs, aerosols, SLS; 14 geopolitical regions; 151 Ecoregions) 2. GLM Land Use (½ x ½ degree grid land-useland-cover.) ESM1 LU-LC (3. CLM & 4. CESM) This provides the same capability as the RCP+CMIP process. CESM is primarily sponsored by the National Science Foundation and the Department of Energy Exploratory simulations with iESM iESM RCP Emulation Fossil fuel emissions GCAM GLM CLM/CESM C stocks, productivity iESM Terrestrial Feedbacks Climate Up/down scaling (space and time) Atm CO2 CESM is primarily sponsored by the National Science Foundation and the Department of Energy Next steps with iESM Model is now being vetted by iESM science team. Model has been described to SDWG: Feb. and Jun. 2012 During fall 2012: Share code on read-only basis with SDWG co-chairs Prepare and share papers on iESM Prepare and share scientific and user guides Brief Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium Lay groundwork for sharing iESM output. CESM is primarily sponsored by the National Science Foundation and the Department of Energy Next steps (cont.) During winter 2013 SDWG meeting: Review iESM capability with the SDWG Assess issues of extensibility Pending outcome of this meeting, release in Dec. 2013? CESM is primarily sponsored by the National Science Foundation and the Department of Energy The End CESM is primarily sponsored by the National Science Foundation and the Department of Energy