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ESA Climate Change Initiative programme status March 2011 mark dohery esa CCI • objectives • implementation • projects and teams • key issues CCI objectives Realize the full potential of the long-term global EO archives that ESA, together with its Member states, has established over the last thirty years..... ….. as a significant and timely contribution to the ECV databases required by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change 6 Years / 75 Meuro Copenhagen COP15 “ Encourages CEOS to continue coordinating and supporting the implementation of the satellite component of GCOS Urges Parties that support space agencies involved in global observations to enable these agencies to continue to implement, in coordinated manner through CEOS, the actions identified in the updated CEOS report, in order to meet the relevant needs of the Convention, in particular by ensuring long-term continuity of observations and data availability ” a major scientific challenge e.g. sea level ECV GCOS Requirement Accuracy Stability 1 cm 0.5 mm/decade Current Status 2 cm 10 mm/decade Two climate action paths GCOS requirements <=> CEOS response GCOS-82 in 2003 GCOS-92 in 2004 GCOS-107 in 2006 CEOS response 2006 CCI is part of ESA’s contribution to the coordinated international response International Coordination CCI:CCI: International coordination Main External Partners: • UNFCCC which coordinates the interests and decisions of its Parties on Climate Policy, • GCOS which represents the scientific and technical requirements of the Global Climate Observing System on behalf of UNFCCC, • CEOS which serves as a focal point for Earth Observation related activities of Space Agencies (e.g NOAA, NASA, JAXA, EUMETSAT) • Individual Partner Space Agencies with whom ESA cooperates bilaterally (e.g. EUMETSAT) • International Climate Research Programmes, which represent the collective interests and priorities of the worldwide climate research, (e.g. WCRP) • EC and National Research Programmes which establish research priorities and provide resources for climate research community within Europe (e.g. DG Research, DG-JRC) • GMES Partners: DG Enterprise and Industry, user DGs ENV, EEA… ESA EO Systems past present future Since 1977 1990 2000 2010 2030 Earthnet: Access for European users to non-European missions: Landsat, SeaWifs, NOAA, JERS, MODIS, ALOS, Proba, Bird, Scisat... METEOSAT M-1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 Meteo METEOSAT Second Generation MSG-1, -2, -3 MTG in cooperation with EUMETSAT METOP-1, -2, -3 (Gravity and Ocean Circulation Explorer) (Gravity and Ocean Circulation Explorer) GOCE (Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity) (Polar Ice to better understand CryoSat-2 Monitoring) the Earth (Atmospheric ADM/Aeolus Dynamics Mission) System Science SMOS Earth Explorers (Magnetic Mission) SWARM (Clouds, Aerosols & EarthCare Radiation Mission) ERS-1, -2 EE 7 Applications Sentinel 1 Services Sentinel 2 to initiate long term Sentinel 3 Earth Watch Sentinel 4/5 monitoring systems Sentinel 5PC and services GMES in cooperation with EC ENVISAT GMES Sentinels Sentinel 1 – SAR imaging All weather, day/night applications, interferometry 2012 (A), 2014 (B) TBD Sentinel 2 – Multispectral imaging Land applications: urban, forest, agriculture,.. Continuity of Landsat, SPOT 2013 (A), 2014 (B) TBD Sentinel 3 – Ocean and global land monitoring Wide-swath ocean colour, vegetation, sea/land surface temperature, altimetry 2013 (A), 2014 (B) TBD Sentinel 4 – Geostationary atmospheric Atmospheric composition monitoring, transboundary pollution 2018 Sentinel 5 and Precursor – Low-orbit atmospheric Atmospheric composition monitoring 2014 (5P), 2019 CCI starts with 11 ECVs Atmosphere Surface ( 0, 0, 6 ) Air Temperature; Precipitation ; Air pressure; Water vapour; Surface radiation budget; Wind Speed & direction; Upper air ( 1, 1, 3 ) Cloud properties, Wind speed & direction Earth radiation budget; Upper-air temperature; Water vapour; Composition ( 3, 0, 0 ) Ocean Surface ( 4, 2, 1 ) Sub-surface ( 0, 0 , 7 ) Terrestrial ( 3, 7, 4 ) Carbon dioxide Methane & other GHGs; Ozone; Aerosol properties Sea-surface Temp; Sea-level; Sea-ice; Ocean colour; Sea state; Sea-surface salinity Carbon dioxide partial pressure Temperature; Salinity; Current; Nutrients; Carbon; Ocean tracers; Phytoplankton Glaciers & ice caps; Land Cover; Fire disturbance Fraction of absorbed photo-synthetically active radiation; LAI , Albedo Biomass, Lake levels, Snow cover, Soil moisture Water use, Ground water, River discharge Permafrost and seasonally-frozen ground CCI First Steps (11 ECVs) : Later in CCI (10 ECVs) : Not in CCI (24 ECVs) multiple sensors….consistency….. ESA missions data => FCDRs => ECVs Data from each sensor contributes to FCDR of several ECVs FCDR of each ECV requires data from several sensors Sea Level SST Ocean Colour Sea state Ocean salinity Sea ice concentration Lakes Glaciers & ice caps Land cover faPAR LAI Biomass Burned area & active fire Soil moisture (research) Snow area Albedo Cloud properties O3 total and profiles Aerosol OD & other props GHGs distribution Upper air winds what we want to achieve specialized EO data groups specialized climate research groups ECV 1 consistent global satellite data products for climate research ECV 2 ECV 3 international EO community (CEOS) international climate research community ( GCOS WCRP’…) CCI: phased implementation Phase 1: (3y) - scientific user consultation detailed specifications prototyping Phase 2: (3y) - operational systems Implementation production Phase 3: (6y !) - user assessment next 3 years => CCI phase 1 Cardinal Requirements • Develop and validate algorithms to meet GCOS ECV requirements for (consistent, stable, error-characterized) global satellite data products from multi-sensor data archives • Optimize impact of ESA EO missions data on climate data records • Produce, within R&D context, most complete and consistent possible multi-sensor global satellite data products for climate research and modelling • Generate complete specifications for an operational production system • Strengthen inter-disciplinary cooperation between international earth observation, climate research and modelling communities, in pursuit of scientific excellence CCI Project teams ECV Science Leader cloud_cc DWD ozone_cci BIRA aerosol_cci DLR/FMI chg_cci U Bremen sst_cci U Edinburgh landcover_cci UCL sealevel_cci CLS oceancolour_cci PML glaciers_cci U. Zurich fire _cci U.Alcala CMUG UKMO Hadley CMUG • Climate modeling user group (CMUG) • Hadley Centre; Meteo-F; MPI; ECMWF • gateway to international climate modelling community • focal point for all ECV teams CCI project teams International Science ref body Science Leader Climate Modelling Users Group Project Manager Specialised climate research team EO Science Team research Institutes x y z System Engineer(s) CCI projects schedule x 11 `2010 `2011 open `2012 `2013 requirements open algo dev, inter-comp, selection open system & product proto-typing product validation & User assessment Operational system specification open open CCI global data products some ECVs are... - state variables of models, - forcing, or boundary conditions, - poorly or not represented in Models - inter-linked:e.g. cloud, aerosol, - of probabilistic nature e.g. clouds confronting observations and models Mr. EO Mr. Modeller Miss. Clim Science knowledge exchange … to better quantify climate change …. coupled climate models In yellow – used within CCI forecast / re-analysis / other In yellow – used within CCI CCI: multiple levels of scrutiny peer review and feedback ECV Data Climate Research Package climate assessment data and models confrontation uncertainty characterization product validation round-robin data package algorithm selection algorithms evaluation product specification user requirements EO Archives (L1B) key issues • uncertainty characterization • openness, traceability, repeatability • data standards • scientific cooperation • integrated and consistent approach • to generating space-based climate records CCI teams are working now together… CCI news Additional ECVs starting 2011 • sea_ice_cci • ice_sheets_cci • soil_moisture_cci