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Download Update on DG RTD activities Climate change impacts, vulnerability
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7th EIONET Workshop on Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability and Adaptation EEA, 20th June 2013 Update on DG RTD activities Climate change impacts, vulnerability and adaptation Eleni Manoli DG Research and Innovation Directorate I – Environment Climate Change and Natural Hazards Unit [email protected] Research and Innovation Developments since mid-2012… • Adaptation-related projects from the last FP7 Environment call – expected to start in November 2013 • Impacts of higher-end scenarios • Economics of adaptation to climate change • Launch of research projects on Strategies, costs and impacts of adaptation to climate change • Towards the end of several research projects on adaptation • Outputs to be linked to Climate-Adapt Policy Research and Innovation Impacts of higher-end scenarios (1/3) HELIX High-End cLimate Impacts and eXtremes • Driving questions: • What do 4ºC and 6ºC worlds look like in comparison to 2ºC? • What are the consequences of different adaptation choices? • Key elements • Multiple climate projections(RCPs) & SSPs, and downscaling experiments • Global impact models: Agriculture, Water, Biomes, Health, Coastal infrastructure • Synthesis of impacts at different warming levels, uncertainty and impact emulators © Crown copyright Met Office The HELIX focus areas Duration: 48 Months – Consortium of 16 partners, led by the University of Exeter Policy Research and Innovation Impacts of higher-end scenarios (2/3) IMPRESSIONS Impacts and risks from high-end scenarios – Strategies for innovative solutions • Focus: Integrated scenarios, adaptation measures, climate and socio-economic tipping points • Key elements • Modelling framework, stakeholder engagement • Advances in the CLIMSAVE IA platform: new models, simulation of time- and path-dependent impacts, adaptation and vulnerabilities • 5 Case Studies: Global, Europe, 3 local sites in Europe Duration: 60 Months – Consortium of 24 partners, led by the University of Oxford Policy Research and Innovation Impacts of higher-end scenarios (3/3) RISES-AMResponses to coastal climate change: Innovative Strategies for high End Scenarios -Adaptation and Mitigation • Focus • Impacts, vulnerability, adaptation in coastal areas • Sea level rise, storm surges, other climate change impacts • Key elements • Diverse assessment cases: Deltas, estuaries, coastal cities • Accommodate and retreat adaptation strategies, other green options for coastal areas Duration: 36 Months – Consortium of 12 partners, led by the University of Catalonia Policy Research and Innovation Economics of adaptation to climate change ECONADAPT Economics of climate change adaptation in Europe • Aim: User-orientated methodologies and evidence relating to economic appraisal criteria to inform the choice of adaptation actions • Focus on a set of methodological challenges • Long time scales (discounting and future preferences), Adaptive capacity in economic analysis, Uncertainty, future learning and decision-making, Scaling and transfer (Micro → Macro), Treatment of systemic change • Set of case studies • • • • • Disaster risk management – pan European scale Project appraisal for flood protection (Czech Republic) and port infrastructure (Spain) Policy impact assessment of linkages between reformed CAP and ecosystem management in the EU Macro-economic assessment of adaptation strategies in the EU Economic appraisal of financial support for adaptation from the EU to developing countries • Toolbox on the economics of adaptation (economic analysts, policy support for non-economists) Duration: 36 Months – Consortium of 14 partners, led by the University of Bath Policy Research and Innovation Recently launched projects (October 2012) ToPDad/ BASE/ RAMSES/ Strategies, costs and impacts of adaptation to climate change • Tool-supported policy-development for regional adaptation (ToPDAd) - end September 2015 • Socioeconomic methods & tools for integrated assessments, focus on Energy, Transport, Tourism, Mid - (2010-2050) and long-(2050-2100) term strategy horizons • Framework for the next generation toolset http://www.topdad.eu/ • Bottom-up Climate Adaptation Strategies towards a Sustainable Europe (BASE) - end September 2016 • Case Study approach (20 cases), Novel model combinations for combining top-down and bottom-up analysis, Stakeholder engagement, Policy guidelines http://base-adaptation.eu/ • Reconciling Adaptation, Mitigation and Sustainable Development for Cities (RAMSES) - end September 2017 • EU and international cities, full economic costs and benefits of adaptation, strategy development in a sustainability context Policy Research and Innovation http://www.ramses-cities.eu/ Thank you for your attention More information Research on Environment: http://ec.europa.eu/research/environment/ Horizon 2020: http://ec.europa.eu/research/horizon2020/ Research and Innovation