* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
Download The Joint Policy Committee
Global warming wikipedia , lookup
Climate resilience wikipedia , lookup
Climate governance wikipedia , lookup
Citizens' Climate Lobby wikipedia , lookup
Attribution of recent climate change wikipedia , lookup
German Climate Action Plan 2050 wikipedia , lookup
Climate change feedback wikipedia , lookup
Climate change and agriculture wikipedia , lookup
Mitigation of global warming in Australia wikipedia , lookup
Media coverage of global warming wikipedia , lookup
Economics of global warming wikipedia , lookup
Effects of global warming on human health wikipedia , lookup
Solar radiation management wikipedia , lookup
Politics of global warming wikipedia , lookup
Scientific opinion on climate change wikipedia , lookup
Climate change adaptation wikipedia , lookup
Climate change in the United States wikipedia , lookup
Climate change in Tuvalu wikipedia , lookup
Public opinion on global warming wikipedia , lookup
Surveys of scientists' views on climate change wikipedia , lookup
Effects of global warming on humans wikipedia , lookup
Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment wikipedia , lookup
IPCC Fourth Assessment Report wikipedia , lookup
The Joint Policy Committee July 20, 2012 1 JPC: Bay Area Climate & Energy Resilience Project “Preparing the Bay Area for a Changing Climate” June 7th Workshop Kresge Foundation Grant 2 Problem We Are Trying to Solve Reinventing the Adaptation Wheel Small and mid-sized cities don’t have capacity Some impacts cross city and county boundaries — Solutions will affect neighbors 3 Problem We Are Trying to Solve Infrastructure owned by a responsible party — Natural system protection, health more complex State providing products and services — Can do this more efficiently thru regional collaborations 4 Preparing the Bay Area for a Changing Climate 5 June 7th Workshop @ Metro 80 participants 18-month roadmap Bay Area story Project spotlights 6 Kresge Foundation Proposal Six-month initial grant to organize collaborative $75K - $100K 20+ stakeholder meetings: Increase support for adaptation, ID needs, shape plan Special work plans: Social equity, GHGs + adaptation, research + action White paper: Governance/decision-making Interim structure & 12-month action plan 7 Rising Bay Area Sea Level Source: California Climate Indicators, 2010 8 California Average Annual Temperature + 1.7˚F 1895-2011 Source: Western Regional Climate Center 9 More California warming at night Sources: NCDC (2007), Gershunov (2008) 10 Bay Area Temp Data Mixed NBWA 100-year study: + 2.7˚F. Less warming near coast. More warming with increasing distance from ocean. Lebassi 50-year Bay Area study: “Complex pattern” with cooling in low-elevation areas with marine air penetration and warming in inland areas. Null 1970-2000 vs. 1980-2010 Bay Area data: San Rafael, SF, Oakland, San Jose cooled slightly. Napa, Santa Rosa, Vacaville warmed slightly. 11 Longer Time Frames BETTER Source: UCAR for National Science Foundation Bay Area & California Precipitation NO overall trend Source: Western Regional Climate Center 13 Significant Sierra Changes Tahoe: More Rain Less Snow Source: Coats, UC Davis 14 Shrinking Sierra Glaciers Source: Basagic, 2008 15 Less Runoff April-July Source: CA Dept of Water Resources Complex Forces at Work: More/Larger Western Wildfires Source: Westerling, 2006 Economic Impacts in Bay Area In California, climate risk—the damage that will occur if no action is taken—would include tens of billions per year in direct economic costs for public health, agriculture, tourism and other sectors.” Source: Roland-Holst, 2008 18 Economic Impacts in Bay Area The amount of high-value Northern California land suitable for growing premium wine grapes could be cut in half by 2040 because of global warming, based on the conservative assumption of +2˚F globally. Source: Diffenbaugh, 2011 19 Health Impacts in Bay Area The 2006 California heat wave, unprecedented in length for Northern California, had a significant and documented affect on emergency rooms visits and hospitalizations. Young children and the elderly were especially at risk (Knowlton, 2011) 20 Ecosystem Impacts in Bay Area Climate change will impact the future health of San Francisco Bay. This includes droughts altering freshwater flows and water use, and floods and sea level rise altering landscapes and human behavior. Source: State of the Bay, 2011 21 Water Impacts in Bay Area The Delta is California’s Katrina waiting to happen. -- Sen. Joe Simitian The Delta, which provides a substantial amount of the Bay Area’s water, including half of Silicon Valley’s water, is threatened by extreme storms, sea level rise, land subsidence, and earthquakes. Source: Integrated Regional Water Management Plan 22 Human Impacts in Bay Area An individual’s vulnerability to heatwaves, high air pollution days, floods, fires, and other climaterelated events is affected by age, income, ethnicity, social isolation, transportation access, living conditions, and other issues. Source: Pacific Institute, 2010 23 Bay Area SLR Projects (examples) Adapting to Rising Tides Hayward Shoreline Sea Level Rise Project South Bay $1 Billion Levee Drive SFEP Climate Ready Estuaries Pilot Project Our Coast, Our Future 24 Bay Area Ecosystems Projects (examples) Bay Area Ecosystems Climate Change Consortium North Bay Climate Adaptation Initiative PRBO Conservation Science Climate Change Program 25 Bay Area Water Projects (examples) SFPUC Sensitivity of Upper Tuolumne River Flow to Climate Change Sonoma County Water Agency Carbon Free Water by 2020 Bay Delta Conservation Plan 26 Bay Area Energy Projects (examples) Bay Area Smart Energy 2020 Bay Area Bridge to Clean Economy Marin Clean Energy Regional Renewable Energy Procurement Project HELiOS Project (Solar Schools) 27 Bay Area Resilience Projects (examples) Bay Localize Climate and Energy Adaptation — Community Resilience Toolkit ABAG Regional Disaster Resilience Initiative 28 Lack of technical solutions is generally not the issue in California. The biggest barriers to implementing adaptation plans are institutional, motivational, and economic. (Moser, Ekstrom, 2012) 29 Benefits to JPC Agencies Help cities and counties Increase support for sea level rise strategy and other measures SCS I and II input Reduce urban heat island impacts (ozone, health, energy) 30 The Joint Policy Committee July 20, 2012 31