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Lecture Outlines Physical Geology, 14/e Plummer, Carlson & Hammersley Copyright © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Global Climate Change Physical Geology 14/e, Chapter 21 Copyright © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Weather, Climate & Climate Change Weather– describes what the atmosphere is doing over short timescales Climate– the average weather pattern in a region over long periods of time Climate Change– climate has fluctuated in the past and will continue to do so Copyright © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Understanding the Atmosphere Composition– the atmosphere is composed of many different gases •nitrogen and oxygen: >99% •argon, carbon dioxide, neon, helium, water vapor Structure– atmosphere divided into 4 layers •troposphere: lowest layer •stratosphere: ozone layer •mesosphere •thermosphere: also called the ionosphere Copyright © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Understanding the Atmosphere Energy from the Sun– Earth’s primary source of energy (electromagnetic radiation) •albedo: percentage of radiation reflected from the surface Blackbody radiation– the intensity and wavelength of emitted electromagnetic radiation •infrared radiation: terrestrial radiation or long-wave radiation Greenhouse effect– keep Earth warm •greenhouse gases absorb long-wave radiation •heats atmosphere •act as a blanket Copyright © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Causes of Climate Change Earth’s average climate is determined by its radiative balance •amount of energy entering the Earth system •amount of solar energy absorbed by the Earth system •amount of long-wave radiation emitted to space Solar Variability–amount of solar energy reaching Earth varies Variations in albedo– 30% reflected back to space •climate feedback: conversion of high albedo snow and ice to lower albedo surfaces Copyright © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Causes of Climate Change Greenhouse gases– each different gas has a different ability to affect Earth’s climate •each greenhouse gas absorbs radiation with varying efficiencies •atmospheric lifetime: each greenhouse gas survives in the atmosphere for different amounts of time Clouds and particles– reflect ~23% of incident solar radiation back to space Volcanoes– releases particles and gases into the atmosphere Plate tectonics– work on million-year timescales Copyright © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. A Brief History of Earth’s Climate Paleoclimatology— the study of ancient climates •climate millions of years ago: global temperature and CO2 levels higher •climate over the last million years: variations in temperature and CO2 levels •climate over the last few thousand years to present: global temperatures rise at time of industrial revolution Copyright © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Climate Change in the Modern Age Temperature– increasing Precipitation– increasing regional differences Sea Ice & Glacier Melt– decreasing sea ice, increasing glacial melting Copyright © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. The IPCC & Climate Models There is strong evidence that increases in greenhouse gas concentrations are responsible for the vast majority of warming over the last century • IPCC: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Copyright © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Impacts & Consequences Biosphere effects– biodiversity and agriculture Ocean Acidification—as more CO2 dissolves in the ocean, the ocean will become more acidic Coastal regions and sea level rise • >600 million people live <10 m above sea level • aquifers flooded with sea water Copyright © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Geoengineering Geoengineering– large-scale intentional efforts to modify Earth’s climate • solar radiation management: reflecting more back into space • carbon management: accelerating the reduction of CO2 concentrations • carbon capture and sequestration: capture and storage of CO2 Copyright © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Decreasing Emissions of Greenhouse Gases It has been estimated that in order to avoid dramatic climate change the world must avoid emitting ~200 billion tons of carbon over the next 50 years • • • • move away from fossil fuels increasing the fuel economy of vehicles wide-spread usage of low-energy appliances cultural shifts to reduce demand for energy and natural resources is decreased Copyright © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. End of Chapter 21 Copyright © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.