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An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics Chapter 24 Population Genetics Key Concepts The goal of population genetics is to understand the genetic composition of a population and the forces that determine and change that composition. In any species, a great deal of genetic variation within and between populations arises from the existence of various alleles at different gene loci. A fundamental measurement in population genetics is the frequency at which the alleles are found at any gene locus of interest. The frequency of a given allele in a population can be changed by recurrent mutation, selection, or migration or by random sampling effects. In an idealized population, in which no forces of change are acting, a randomly interbreeding population would show constant genotypic frequencies for a given locus. Introduction So far in our investigation of genetics, we have been concerned with processes that take place in individual organisms and cells. How does the cell copy DNA and what causes mutations? How do the mechanisms of segregation and recombination affect the kinds and proportions of gametes produced by an individual organism? How is the development of an organism affected by the interactions between its DNA, the cell machinery of protein synthesis, cellular metabolic processes, and the external environment? But organisms do not live only as isolated individuals. They interact with each other in groups, populations, and there are questions about the genetic composition of those populations that cannot be answered only from a knowledge of the basic individual-level genetic processes. Why are the alleles of the protein Factor VIII and Factor IX genes that cause hemophilia so rare in all human populations, whereas sickle-cell anemia is very common in some parts of Africa? What changes in the frequency of sickle-cell anemia are to be expected in the descendants of Africans in North America as a consequence of the change in environment and of the interbreeding between Africans and Europeans and Native Americans? What genetic changes occur in a population of insects subject to insecticides generation after generation? What is the consequence of an increase or decrease in the rate of mating between close relatives? All are questions of what determines the genetic composition of populations and how that composition may be expected to change in time. These questions are the domain of population genetics. 1 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics MESSAGE Population genetics relates the processes of individual heredity and development to the genetic composition of populations and to changes in that composition in time. To relate the basic individual-level processes to population genetic composition, we must investigate the following phenomena: 1. The effect of the mating pattern on different genotypes in the population. Individuals may mate at random or they may mate preferentially with close relatives (inbreeding) or preferentially on the basis of their genotypic or phenotypic similarity (assortative mating). 2. The changes in population composition due to immigration of individuals from other populations. 3. The rate of introduction of genetic variation into the population by mutation and recombination. 4. The effect of the differential rate of reproduction by different genotypes and the differential chance of survival of genetically different offspring of these matings. These differential rates are the result of natural selection. 5. The consequences of random fluctuations in the actual reproductive rates of different genotypes because any given individual has only a few offspring and the total population size is limited. Population genetics is both an experimental and a theoretical science. On the experimental side, it provides descriptions of the actual patterns of genetic variation in populations and estimates the parameters of the processes of mating, mutation, natural selection, and random variation in reproductive rates. On the theoretical side, it makes predictions of what the genetic composition of populations should be and how they can be expected to change as a consequence of the various forces operating on them. MESSAGE Population genetics is the experimental and theoretical study of the pattern of inherited variation in populations and its modulation in time and space. Observations of variation Population genetics necessarily deals with genotypic variation, but, by definition, only phenotypic variation can be observed. The relation between phenotype and genotype varies in simplicity from character to character. At one extreme, the phenotype may be the observed 2 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics DNA sequence of a stretch of the genome. In this case, the distinction between genotype and phenotype disappears, and we can say that we are, in fact, directly observing the genotype. At the other extreme lie the bulk of characters of interest to plant and animal breeders and to most evolutionists—the variations in yield, growth rate, body shape, metabolic ratio, and behavior that constitute the obvious differences between varieties and species. These characters have a very complex relation to genotype, and we must use the methods introduced in Chapter 25 to say anything at all about the genotypes. But, as we shall see in Chapter 25, it is not possible to make very precise statements about the genotypic variation underlying quantitative characters. For that reason, most of the study of experimental population genetics has concentrated on characters with simple relations to the genotype, much like the characters studied by Mendel. A favorite object of study for human population geneticists, for example, has been the various human blood groups. The qualitatively distinct pheno-types of a given blood group—say, the MN group—are encoded by alternative alleles at a single locus, and the phenotypes are insensitive to environmental variations. The study of variation, then, consists of two stages. The first is a description of the phenotypic variation. The second is a translation of these phenotypes into genetic terms and the redescription of the variation genetically. If there is a perfect one-to-one correspondence between genotype and phenotype, then these two steps merge into one, as in the MN blood group. If the relation is more complex—for example, as the result of dominance, heterozygotes resemble homozygotes—it may be necessary to carry out experimental crosses or to observe pedigrees to translate phenotypes into genotypes. This is the case for the human ABO blood group (see page 110). The simplest description of Mendelian variation is the frequency distribution of genotypes in a population. Table 24-1 shows the frequency distribution of the three genotypes at the MN blood group locus in several human populations. Note that there is variation between individuals in each population, because there are different genotypes pres-ent, and there is variation in the frequencies of these genotypes from population to population. More typically, instead of the frequencies of the diploid genotypes, the frequencies of the alternative alleles are used. The frequency of an allele is simply the proportion of that allelic form of the gene among all copies of the gene in the population. There are twice as many gene copies in the population as there are individuals, because every individual is diploid and homozygotes for an allele have two copies of that allele, whereas heterozygotes have only one copy. So we calculate the frequency of an allele by counting homozygotes and adding half the heterozygotes. Thus, if the frequency of A/A individuals were, say, 0.36 and the frequency of A/a individuals were 0.48, the allele frequency of A would be 0.36 + 0.48/2 = 0.60. Box 24-1 gives the general form of this calculation. Table 24-1 shows the values of p and q, the gene frequency or allele frequency of the two alleles in the different populations. A measure of genetic variation (in contrast with its description by gene frequencies) is the amount of heterozygosity at a locus in a population, which is given by the total frequency of heterozygotes at a locus. If one allele is in very high frequency and all others are near zero, 3 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics then there will be very little heterozygosity because, by necessity, most individuals will be homozygous for the common allele. We expect heterozygosity to be greatest when there are many alleles at a locus, all at equal frequency. In Table 24-1, the heterozygosity is simply equal to the frequency of the M/N genotype in each population. When more than one locus is considered, there are two possible ways of calculating heterozygosity. Locus S (the secretor factor, determining whether the M and N proteins are also contained in the saliva) is closely linked to the M N locus in humans. Table 24-2 shows the frequencies, commonly symbolized by g's, of the four haplotypes (M S, M s, N S, and N s) in various populations. First, we can calculate the frequency of heterozygotes at each locus separately. Alternatively, we can consider each haplotype as a unit, as in Table 24-2, and calculate the proportion of all individuals who carry two different haplotypic or gametic forms. This form of heterozygosity is also referred to as haplotype diversity or gametic diversity. The results of both calculations are given in Table 24-2. Note that the haplotype diversity is always greater than the average heterozygosity of the separate loci, because an individual is a haplotypic heterozygote if either of its loci is heterozygous. (See the discussion of the Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium in Box 24-2 on page 722 for the calculation of heterozygosity.) Simple Mendelian variation can be observed within and between populations of any species at various levels of phenotype, from external morphology down to the amino acid sequence of enzymes and other proteins. Indeed, with the new methods of DNA sequencing, variations in DNA sequence (such as third-position variants that are not differentially coded in amino acid sequences and even variations in nontranslated intervening sequences) have been observed. Every species of organism ever examined has revealed considerable genetic variation, or polymorphism, manifested at one or more levels of phenotype, within populations, between populations, or both. A gene or a phenotypic trait is said to be polymorphic if there is more than one form of the gene or trait in a population. Genetic variation that might be the basis for evolutionary change is ubiquitous. The tasks for population geneticists are to describe that ubiquitous variation quantitatively and to build a theory of evolutionary change that can use these observations in prediction. It is impossible in this text to provide an adequate picture of the immense richness of genetic variation that exists in species. We can consider only a few examples of the different kinds of Mendelian variation to gain a sense of the genetic diversity within species. Each of these examples can be multiplied many times over in other species and with other traits. Morphologic variation. The shell of the land snail Cepaea nemoralis may be pink or yellow, depending on two alleles at a single locus, with pink dominant to yellow. In addition, the shell may be banded or unbanded (Figure 24-1) as a result of segregation at a second linked locus, with unbanded dominant to banded. Table 24-3 shows the variation of these two loci in several European colonies of the snail. The populations also show polymorphism for the number of bands and the height of the shells, but these characters have complex genetic bases. 4 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics Examples of naturally occurring morphologic variation within plant species are Plectritis (see Figure 1-14), Collinsia (blue-eyed Mary, page 58), and clover (see Figure 4-5). Chromosomal polymorphism. Although the karyotype is often regarded as a distinctive characteristic of a species, in fact, numerous species are polymorphic for chromosome number and morphology. Extra chromosomes (supernumeraries), reciprocal translocations, and inversions segregate in many populations of plants, insects, and even mammals. Table 24-4 gives the frequencies of supernumerary chromosomes and translocation heterozygotes in a population of the plant Clarkia elegans from California. The “typical” species karyotype would be hard to identify. Immunologic polymorphism. A number of loci in vertebrates encode antigenic specificities such as the ABO blood types. More than 40 different specificities on human red cells are known, and several hundred are known in cattle. Another major polymorphism in humans is the HLA system of cellular antigens, which are implicated in tissue graft compatibility. Table 24-5 gives the allelic frequencies for the ABO blood group locus in some very different human populations. The polymorphism for the HLA system is vastly greater. There appear to be two main loci, each with five distinguishable alleles. Thus, there are 52 = 25 different possible gametic types, making 25 different homozygous forms and (25)(24)/2 = 300 different heterozygotes. All genotypes are not phenotypically distinguishable, however; so only 121 phenotypic classes can be seen. L. L. Cavalli-Sforza and W. F. Bodmer report that, in a sample of only 100 Europeans, 53 of the 121 possible phenotypes were actually observed! Protein polymorphism. Studies of genetic polymorphism have been carried down to the level of the polypeptides encoded by the structural genes themselves. If there is a nonredundant codon change in a structural gene (say, GGU to GAU), the result is an amino acid substitution in the polypeptide produced at translation (in this case, aspartic acid is substituted for glycine). If a specific protein could be purified and sequenced from separate individuals, then it would be possible to detect genetic variation in a population at this level. In practice, such detection is tedious for large organisms and impossible for small ones unless a large mass of protein can be produced from a homozygous line. There is, however, a practical substitute for sequencing that makes use of the change in the physical properties of a protein when an amino acid is substituted. Five amino acids (glutamic acid, aspartic acid, arginine, lysine, and histidine) have ionizable side chains that give a protein a characteristic net charge, depending on the pH of the surrounding medium. Amino 5 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics acid substitutions may directly replace one of these charged amino acids or a noncharged substitution near one of them in the polypeptide chain may affect the degree of ionization of the charged amino acid or a substitution at the joining between two α helices may cause a slight shift in the three-dimensional packing of the folded polypeptide. In all these cases, the net charge on the polypeptide will be altered because the net charge on a protein is not simply the sum of all the individual charges on its amino acids but depends on their exposure to the liquid medium surrounding them. To detect the change in net charge, protein can be subjected to gel electrophoresis. Figure 24-2 shows the outcome of such an electrophoretic separation of variants of an esterase enzyme in Drosophila pseudoobscura, where each track is the protein from a different individual fly. Figure 24-3 shows a similar gel for different variant human hemoglobins. In this case, most individuals are heterozygous for the variant and normal hemoglobin A. Table 24-6 shows the frequencies of different alleles for three enzyme-encoding loci in D. pseudoobscura in several populations: a nearly monomorphic locus (malic dehydrogenase), a moderately polymorphic locus (α-amylase), and a highly polymorphic locus (xanthine dehydrogenase). The technique of gel electrophoresis (or sequencing) differs fundamentally from other methods of genetic analysis in allowing the study of loci that are not segregating, because the presence of a polypeptide is prima facie evidence of a structural gene—that is, a DNA sequence encoding a protein. Thus, it has been possible to ask what proportion of all structural genes in the genome of a species is polymorphic and what the average heterozygosity is in a population. Very large numbers of species have been sampled by this method, including bacteria, fungi, higher plants, vertebrates, and invertebrates. The results are remarkably consistent over species. About one-third of structural-gene loci are polymorphic, and the average heterozygosity in a population over all loci sampled is about 10 percent. This means that scanning the genome in virtually any species would show that about 1 in every 10 loci is in heterozygous condition and that about one-third of all loci have two or more alleles segregating in any population. Thus the potential of variation for evolution is immense. The disadvantage of the electrophoretic technique is that it detects variation only in structural genes. If most of the evolution of shape, physiology, and behavior rests on changes in regulatory genetic elements, then the observed variation in structural genes is beside the point. DNA sequence polymorphism DNA analysis makes it possible to examine variation among individuals and between species in their DNA sequences. There are two levels at which such studies can be done. Studying variation in the sites recognized by restriction enzymes provides a coarse view of base-pair variation. At a finer level, methods of DNA sequencing allow variation to be observed base pair by base pair. 6 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics Restriction-site variation. A restriction enzyme that recognizes six-base sequences (a “six cutter”) will recognize an appropriate sequence approximately once every 46 = 4096 base pairs along a DNA molecule [determined from the probability that a specific base (of which there are four) will be found at each of the six positions]. If there is polymorphism in the population for one of the six bases at the recognition site, then there will be a restriction fragment length polymorphism (RFLP) in the population, because in one variant the enzyme will recognize and cut the DNA, whereas in the other variant it will not (see pages 398–399). A panel of, say, eight enzymes will then sample every 4096/8 500 base pairs for such polymorphisms. However, when one is found, we do not know which of the six base pairs at the recognition site is polymorphic. If we use enzymes that recognize four-base sequences (“four cutters”), there is a recognition site every 44 = 256 base pairs; so a panel of eight different enzymes can sample about once every 32 base pairs along the enzyme. In addition to single base-pair changes that destroy restrictionenzyme recognition sites, there are insertions and deletions of stretches of DNA that also cause restriction fragment lengths to vary. Extensive samples have been made for several regions of the genome in a number of species of Drosophila with the use of both four-cutting and six-cutting enzymes. The result of one such study of the xanthine dehydrogenase gene in Drosophila pseudoobscura is shown in Figure 24-4. The figure shows, symbolically, the restriction pattern of 53 chromosomes (haplotypes) sampled from nature, polymorphic for 78 restriction sites along a sequence 4.5 kb in length. Among the 53 haplotypes, there are 48 different ones. (Try to find the identical pairs.) Clearly there is an immense amount of nucleotide variation at the xanthine dehydrogenase locus in nature. Twenty restriction-enzyme studies of different regions of the X chromosome and the two large autosomes of Drosophila melanogaster have found between 0.1 and 1.0 percent heterozygosity per nucleotide site, with an average of 0.4 percent. A study of the very small fourth chromosome, however, found no polymorphism at all. Tandem repeats. Another form of DNA sequence variation that can be revealed by restriction fragment surveys arises from the occurrence of multiply repeated DNA sequences. In the human genome, there are a variety of different short DNA sequences dispersed throughout the genome, each one of which is multiply repeated in a tandem row. The number of repeats may vary from a dozen to more than 100 in different individual genomes. Such sequences are known as variable number tandem repeats (VNTRs). If the restriction enzymes cut sequences that flank either side of such a tandem array, a fragment will be produced whose size is proportional to the number of repeated elements. The different-sized fragments will migrate at different rates in an electrophoretic gel. Unfortunately, the individual elements are too short to allow 7 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics distinguishing between, say, 64 and 68 repeats, but size classes (bins) can be established, and a population can be assayed for the frequencies of the different classes. Table 24-7 shows the data for two different VNTRs sampled in two American Indian groups from Brazil. In one case, D14S1, the Karitiana are nearly homozygous, whereas the Surui are very variable; in the other case, D14S13, both populations are variable but with different frequency patterns. Complete sequence variation. Studies of variation at the level of single base pairs by DNA sequencing can provide information of two kinds. First, translating the sequences of coding regions obtained from different individuals in a population or from different species allows the exact amino acid sequence differences to be determined. Electrophoretic studies can show that there is variation in amino acid sequences but cannot identify how many or which amino acids differ between individuals. So, when DNA sequences were obtained for the various electrophoretic variants of esterase-5 in Drosophila pseudoobscura (see Figure 24-2), electrophoretic classes were found to differ from each other by an average of 8 amino acids, and the 20 different kinds of amino acids were involved in polymorphisms at about the frequency that they were present in the protein. Such studies also show that different regions of the same protein have different amounts of polymorphism. For the esterase-5 protein, consisting of 545 amino acids, 7 percent of amino acid positions are polymorphic, but the last amino acids at the carboxyl terminus of the protein are totally invariant between individuals, probably because of functional constraints on these amino acids. Second, DNA base-pair variation can also be studied for those base pairs that do not determine or change the protein sequence. Such base-pair variation can be found in DNA in introns, in 5′-flanking sequences that may be regulatory, in nontranscribed DNA 3′ to the gene, and in those nucleotide positions within codons (usually third positions) whose variation does not result in amino acid substitutions. Within coding sequences, these so-called silent or synonymous base-pair polymorphisms are much more common than are changes that result in amino acid polymorphism, presumably because many amino acid changes interfere with normal function of the protein and are eliminated by natural selection. An examination of the codon translation table (see Figure 10-27) shows that approximately 25 percent of all random base-pair changes would be synonymous, giving an alternative codon for the same amino acid, whereas 75 percent of random changes would change the amino acid coded. For example, a change from AAT to AAC still encodes asparagine, but a change to ATT, ACT, AAA, AAG, AGT, TAT, CAT, or GAT, all single-base-pair changes from AAT, changes the amino acid encoded. So, if mutations of base pairs are at random and if the substitution of an amino acid made no difference to function, we would expect a 3:1 ratio of amino acid replacement to silent polymorphisms. The actual ratios found in Drosophila vary from 2:1 to 1:10. Clearly, there is a great excess of synonymous polymorphism, showing that most amino acid changes are subject to natural selection. It should not be assumed, however, that silent sites in coding sequences are entirely free from constraints. Different alternative triplet codings for the same amino acid may differ in speed and accuracy of transcription, and the mRNA corresponding 8 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics to different alternative triplets may have different accuracy and speed of translation because of limitations on the pool of tRNAs available. Evidence for the latter effect is that alternative synonymous triplets for an amino acid are not used equally, and the inequality of use is much more pronounced for genes that are transcribed at a very high rate. There are also constraints on 5′ and 3′ noncoding sequences and on intron sequences. Both 5′ and 3′ noncoding DNA sequences contain signals for transcription, and introns may contain enhancers of transcription (see Chapter 11). MESSAGE Within species, there is great genetic variation. This variation is manifest at the morphologic level of chromosome form and number and at the level of DNA segments that may have no observable developmental effects. Quantitative variation Not all variation in traits can be described in terms of allelic frequencies, because many characteristics, such as height, vary continuously over a range rather than falling into a few qualitatively distinct classes. There is no allele for being 5′8″ or 5′4″ tall. Such characters, if they are varying as a consequence of genetic variation, will be affected by several or many genes and by environmental variation as well. Special techniques are needed for the study of such quantitative traits, and these techniques are presented in Chapter 25. For the moment, we confine ourselves to the question of whether genetic differences between individuals affect the trait at all. In experimental organisms, a simple way to answer this question is to choose two groups of parents that differ markedly in the trait and to raise offspring from both groups in the same environment. If the offspring of the two groups are different, then the trait is said to be heritable (see Chapter 25 for a more detailed discussion of the concept and estimation of heritability). A simple measure of the degree of heritability of the variation is the ratio of the difference between the offspring groups to the difference between the parental groups. So, if two groups of Drosophila parents differed by, say, 0.1 mg in weight, whereas the offspring groups, raised in identical environments, differed by 0.03 mg, the heritability of weight difference would be estimated as 30 percent. When this technique is applied to morphologic variation in Drosophila, virtually every variable trait is found to have some heritability. It is important to note that this method cannot be applied to organisms for which no rigorous control over developmental environment is possible. In humans, for example, children of different parental groups differ from one another not only because their genetic makeup is different, but also because the environments of different families, social classes, and nations are different. Japanese are, on the average, shorter than Europeans, but the difference between children of Japanese ancestry and children of European ancestry, both born in North America, is less and becomes even less in the second generation, presumably because of diet. It is not clear whether all the differences in height would disappear or even be reversed if the family environments were identical. 9 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics Effect of sexual reproduction on variation Before Mendel, blending inheritance was the standard model. This concept has powerful consequences for population variation. Suppose that some trait (say, height) has a distribution in the population and that individuals mate more or less at random. If intermediate individuals mated with each other, they would produce only intermediate offspring, according to a blending model. The mating of a tall with a short individual also would produce only intermediate offspring. Only the mating of tall with tall individuals and short with short individuals would preserve extreme types. The net result of all matings would be an increase in intermediate types and a decrease in extreme types. The variance of the distribution would shrink, simply as a result of sexual reproduction. In fact, it can be shown that the variance is cut in half in each generation, so that the population would be essentially uniformly intermediate in height before very many generations had passed. The particulate nature of inheritance changes this picture completely. Because of the discrete nature of the Mendelian genes and the segregation of alleles at meiosis, a cross of intermediate with intermediate individuals does not result in all intermediate offspring. On the contrary, extreme types (homozygotes) segregate out of the cross. To see the consequence of Mendelian inheritance for genetic variation, consider a population in which males and females mate with each other at random with respect to some gene locus A; that is, individuals do not choose their mates preferentially with respect to the partial genotype at the locus. Such random mating is equivalent to mixing all the sperm and all the eggs in the population together and then matching randomly drawn sperm with randomly drawn eggs. The outcome of such a random pairing of sperm and eggs is easy to calculate. If, in some population, the allele frequency of A is 0.60 in sperm and eggs, then the chance that a randomly chosen sperm and a randomly chosen egg are both A is 0.60 × 0.60 = 0.36. Thus, in a randommating population with this allele frequency, offspring will be 36 percent A/A. In the same way, the frequency of a/a offspring will be 0.40 × 0.40 = 0.16. Heterozygotes will be produced by the fusion either of an A sperm with an a egg or of an a sperm with an A egg. If gametes pair at random, then the chance of an A sperm and an a egg is 0.60 × 0.40, and the reverse combination has the same probability, so the frequency of heterozygous offspring is 2 × 0.6 × 0.4 = 0.48. Moreover, the process of random mating has done nothing to change allele frequencies, as can be easily checked by calculating the frequencies of the alleles A and a among the offspring by using the method described on page 715. So the proportions of homozygotes and heterozygotes in each successive generation will remain the same. Box 24-2 gives a general form of this equilibrium result. MESSAGE Mendelian segregation has the property that random mating results in an equilibrium 10 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics distribution of genotypes after only one generation, so genetic variation is maintained. The equilibrium distribution is called the Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium after those who independently discovered it. (A third independent discovery was made by the Russian geneticist Sergei Chetverikov.) The Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium means that sexual reproduction does not cause a constant reduction in genetic variation in each generation; on the contrary, the amount of variation remains constant generation after generation, in the absence of other disturbing forces. The equilibrium is the direct consequence of the segregation of alleles at meiosis in heterozygotes. Numerically, the equilibrium shows that, irrespective of the particular mixture of genotypes in the parental generation, the genotypic distribution after one round of mating is completely specified by the allelic frequency p. For example, consider three hypothetical populations: The allele frequency p of A in the three populations is: So, despite their very different genotypic compositions, they have the same allele frequency. After one generation of random mating, however, each of the three populations will have the same genotypic frequencies: and they will remain so indefinitely. One consequence of the Hardy-Weinberg proportions is that rare alleles are virtually never in homozygous condition. An allele with a frequency of 0.001 is present in homo-zygotes at a frequency of only 1 in a million; most copies of such rare alleles are found in heterozygotes. 11 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics In general, because two copies of an allele are in homozygotes but only one copy of that allele is in each heterozygote, the relative frequency of the allele in heterozygotes (in contrast with homozygotes) is, from the Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium frequencies, which for q = 0.001 is a ratio of 999:1. The general relation between homozygote and heterozygote frequencies as a function of allele frequencies is shown in Figure 24-5. In our derivation of the equilibrium, we assumed that the allelic frequency p is the same in sperm and eggs. The Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium theorem does not apply to sex-linked genes if males and females start with unequal gene frequencies. The Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium was derived on the assumption of “random mating,” but we must carefully distinguish two meanings of that process. First, we may mean that individuals do not choose their mates on the basis of some heritable character. Human beings are random mating with respect to blood groups in this first sense, because they generally do not know the blood type of their prospective mates, and, even if they did, it is unlikely that blood type would be used as a criterion for choice. In the first sense, random mating will occur with respect to genes that have no effect on appearance, behavior, smell, or other characteristics that directly influence mate choice. The second sense of random mating is relevant when there is any division of a species into subgroups. If there is genetic differentiation between subgroups so that the frequencies of alleles differ from group to group and if individuals tend to mate within their own subgroup (endogamy), then, with respect to the species as a whole, mating is not at random and frequencies of genotypes will depart more or less from Hardy-Weinberg frequencies. In this sense, human beings are not random mating, because ethnic and racial groups differ from one another in gene frequencies and people show high rates of endogamy not only within major races, but also within local ethnic groups. Spaniards and Russians differ in their ABO blood group frequencies, Spaniards marry Spaniards and Russians marry Russians, so there is unintentional nonrandom mating with respect to ABO blood groups. Table 24-8 shows random mating in the first sense and nonrandom mating in the second sense for the MN blood group. Within Eskimo, Egyptian, Chinese, and Australian subpopulations, females do not choose their mates by MN type, and, thus, Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium exists within the subpopulations. But Egyptians do not mate with Eskimos or Australian aborigines, so the nonrandom associations in the human species as a whole result in large differences in genotype frequencies and departure from Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium. Sources of variation 12 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics The variational theory of evolution has a peculiar selfdefeating property. If evolution occurs by the differential reproduction of different variants, we expect the variant with the highest rate of reproduction eventually to take over the population and all other genotypes to disappear. But then there is no longer any variation for further evolution. The possibility of continued evolution therefore is critically dependent on renewed variation. For a given population, there are three sources of variation: mutation, recombination, and immigration of genes. However, recombination by itself does not produce variation unless alleles are segregating already at different loci; otherwise there is nothing to recombine. Similarly, immigration cannot provide variation if the entire species is homo-zygous for the same allele. Ultimately, the source of all variation must be mutation. Variation from mutations Mutations are the source of variation, but the process of mutation does not itself drive evolution. The rate of change in gene frequency from the mutation process is very low because spontaneous mutation rates are low (Table 24-9). The mutation rate is defined as the probability that a copy of an allele changes to some other allelic form in one generation. Suppose that a population were completely homozygous A and mutations to a occurred at the rate of 1/100,000 Then, in the next generation, the frequency of a alleles would be only 1.0 × 1/100,000 = 0.00001 and the frequency of A alleles would be 0.99999. After yet another generation of mutation, the frequency of a would be increased by 0.99999 × 1/100,000 = 0.00009 to a new frequency of 0.000019, whereas the original allele would be reduced in frequency to 0.999981. It is obvious that the rate of increase of the new allele is extremely slow and that it gets slower every generation because there are fewer copies of the old allele still left to mutate. A general formula for the change in allele frequency under mutation is given in Box 24-3. MESSAGE Mutation rates are so low that mutation alone cannot account for the rapid evolution of populations and species. If we look at the mutation process from the standpoint of the increase of a particular new allele rather than the decrease of the old form, the process is even slower. Most mutation rates that have been determined are the sum of all mutations of A to any mutant form with a detectable effect. Any specific base substitution is likely to be at least two orders of magnitude lower in frequency than the sum of all changes. So, precise reverse mutations (“back mutations”) to the original allele A are unlikely, although many mutations may produce alleles that are phenotypically similar to the original. It is not possible to measure locus-specific mutation rates for continuously varying characters, but the rate of accumulation of genetic variance can be determined. Beginning with a 13 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics completely homozygous line of Drosophila derived from a natural population, 1/1000 to 1/500 of the genetic variance in bristle number in the original population is restored each generation by spontaneous mutation. Variation from recombination The creation of genetic variation by recombination can be a much faster process than its creation by mutation. When just two chromosomes with “normal” survival, taken from a natural population of Drosophila, are allowed to recombine for a single generation, they produce an array of chromosomes with 25 to 75 percent as much genetic variation in survival as was present in the entire natural population from which the parent chromosomes were sampled. This outcome is simply a consequence of the very large number of different recombinant chromosomes that can be produced even if we take into account only single crossovers. If a pair of homologous chromosomes is heterozygous at n loci, then a crossover can take place in any one of the n − 1 intervals between them, and, because each recombination produces two recombinant products, there are 2(n − 1) new unique gametic types from a single generation of crossing-over, even considering only single crossovers. If the heterozygous loci are well spread out on the chromosomes, these new gametic types will be frequent and considerable variation will be generated. Asexual organisms or organisms, such as bacteria, that very seldom undergo sexual recombination do not have this source of variation, so new mutations are the only way in which a change in gene combinations can be achieved. As a result, asexual organisms may evolve more slowly under natural selection than sexual organisms. Variation from migration A further source of variation is migration into a population from other populations with different gene frequencies. The resulting mixed population will have an allele frequency that is somewhere intermediate between its original value and the frequency in the donor population. Suppose a population receives a group of migrants whose number is equal to, say, 10 percent of its native population size. Then the newly formed mixed population will have an allele frequency that is a 0.90:0.10 mixture between its original allele frequency and the allele frequency of the donor population. If its original allele frequency of A were, say, 0.70, whereas the donor population had an allele frequency of only, say, 0.40, the new mixed population would have a frequency of 0.70 × 0.90 + 0.40 × 0.10 = 0.67. Box 24-4 derives the general result. The change in gene frequency is proportional to the difference in frequency between the recipient population and the average of the donor populations. Unlike the mutation rate, the migration rate (m) can be large, so the change in frequency may be substantial. We must understand migration as meaning any form of the introduction of genes from one population into another. So, for example, genes from Europeans have “migrated” into the population of African origin in North America steadily since the Africans were introduced as 14 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics slaves. We can determine the amount of this migration by looking at the frequency of an allele that is found only in Europeans and not in Africans and comparing its frequency among blacks in North America. We can use the formula for the change in gene frequency from migration if we modify it slightly to account for the fact that several generations of admixture have taken place. If the rate of admixture has not been too great, then (to a close order of approximation) the sum of the single-generation migration rates over several generations (let's call this M) will be related to the total change in the recipient population after these several generations by the same expression as the one used for changes due to migration. If, as before, P is the allelic frequency in the donor population and p0 is the original frequency among the recipients, then For example, the Duffy blood group allele Fya is absent in Africa but has a frequency of 0.42 in whites from the state of Georgia. Among blacks from Georgia, the Fya frequency is 0.046. Therefore, the total migration of genes from whites into the black population since the introduction of slaves in the eighteenth century is When the same analysis is carried out on American blacks from Oakland (California) and Detroit, M is 0.22 and 0.26, respectively, showing either greater admixture rates in these cities than in Georgia or differential movement into these cities by American blacks who have more European ancestry. In any case, the genetic variation at the Fy locus has been increased by this admixture. Inbreeding and assortative mating Random mating with respect to a locus is common, but it is not universal. Two kinds of deviation from random mating must be distinguished. First, individuals may mate with each other nonrandomly because of their degree of common ancestry; that is, their degree of genetic relationship. If mating between relatives occurs more commonly than would occur by pure chance, then the population is inbreeding. If mating between relatives is less common than would occur by chance, then the population is said to be undergoing enforced outbreeding, or negative inbreeding. 15 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics Second, individuals may tend to choose each other as mates, not because of their degree of genetic relationship but because of their degree of resemblance to each other at some locus. Bias toward mating of like with like is called positive assortative mating. Mating with unlike partners is called negative assortative mating. Assortative mating is never complete. Inbreeding and assortative mating are not the same. Close relatives resemble each other more than unrelated individuals on the average but not necessarily for any particular trait in particular individuals. So inbreeding can result in the mating of quite dissimilar individuals. On the other hand, individuals who resemble each other for some trait may do so because they are relatives, but unrelated individuals also may have specific resemblances. Brothers and sisters do not all have the same eye color, and blue-eyed people are not all related to one another. Assortative mating for some traits is common. In humans, there is a positive assortative mating bias for skin color and height, for example. An important difference between assortative mating and inbreeding is that the former is specific to a trait, whereas the latter applies to the entire genome. Individuals may mate assortatively with respect to height but at random with respect to blood group. Cousins, on the other hand, resemble each other genetically on the average to the same degree at all loci. For both positive assortative mating and inbreeding, the consequence to population structure is the same: there is an increase in homozygosity above the level predicted by the Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium. If two individuals are related, they have at least one common ancestor. Thus, there is some chance that an allele carried by one of them and an allele carried by the other are both descended from the identical DNA molecule. The result is that there is an extra chance of homozygosity by descent, to be added to the chance of homozygosity (p2 + q2) that arises from the random mating of unrelated individuals. The probability of homozygosity by descent is called the inbreeding coefficient (F). Figure 24-6 and Box 24-5 illustrate the calculation of the probability of homozygosity by descent. Individuals I and II are full sibs because they share both parents. We label each allele in the parents uniquely to keep track of them. Individuals I and II mate to produce individual III. If individual I is A1/A3 and the gamete that it contributes to III contains the allele A1, then we would like to calculate the probability that the gamete produced by II is also A1. The chance is 1/2 that II will receive A1 from its father, and, if it does, the chance is 1/2 that II will pass A1 on to the gamete in question. Thus, the probability that III will receive an A1 from II is 1/2 × 1/2 = 1/4 and this is the chance that III—the product of a full-sib mating—will be homozygous by descent. Such close inbreeding can have deleterious consequences. Let's consider a rare deleterious allele a that, when homozygous, causes a metabolic disorder. If the frequency of the allele in the population is p, then the probability that a random couple will produce a homozygous offspring is only p2 (from the Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium). Thus, if p is, say, 1/1000, the frequency of homozygotes will be 1 in 1,000,000. Now suppose that the couple are brother and sister. If one of their common parents is a heterozygote for the disease, they may both 16 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics receive it and may both pass it on to their offspring. As the calculation shows, the rarer the gene, the worse the relative risk of a defective offspring from inbreeding. For more-distant relatives, the chance of homozygosity by descent is less but still substantial. For first cousins, for example, the relative risk is 1/16p compared with random mating. Systematic inbreeding between close relatives eventually leads to complete homozygosity of the population but at different rates, depending on the degree of relationship. Which allele is fixed within a line is a matter of chance. If, in the original population from which the inbred lines are taken, allele A has frequency p and allele a has frequency q = 1 − p, then a proportion p of the homozygous lines established by inbreeding will be homozygous A/A and a proportion q of the lines will be a/a. Inbreeding takes the genetic variation present within the original population and converts it into variation between homozygous inbred lines sampled from the population (Figure 24-7). Suppose that a population is founded by some small number of individuals who mate at random to produce the next generation. Assume that no further immigration into the population ever occurs again. (For example, the rabbits now in Australia probably have descended from a single introduction of a few animals in the nineteenth century.) In later generations, then, everyone is related to everyone else, because their family trees have common ancestors here and there in their pedigrees. Such a population is then inbred, in the sense that there is some probability of a gene's being homozygous by descent. Because the population is, of necessity, finite in size, some of the originally introduced family lines will become extinct in every generation, just as family names disappear in a closed human population because, by chance, no male offspring are left. As original family lines disappear, the population comes to be made up of descendants of fewer and fewer of the original founder individuals, and all the members of the population become more and more likely to carry the same alleles by descent. In other words, the inbreeding coefficient F increases, and the heterozygosity decreases over time until finally F reaches 1.00 and heterozygosity reaches 0. The rate of loss of heterozygosity per generation in such a closed, finite, randomly breeding population is inversely proportional to the total number (2N) of haploid genomes, where N is the number of diploid individuals in the population. In each generation, 1/2N of the remaining heterozygosity is lost, so where Ht and H0 are the proportions of heterozygotes in the tth and original generations, respectively. As the number t of generations becomes very large, Ht approaches zero. Balance between inbreeding and new variation 17 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics Any population of any species is finite in size, so all populations should eventually become homozygous and differentiated from one another as a result of inbreeding. In nature, however, new variation is always being introduced into populations by mutation and by some migration between localities. Thus, the actual variation available for natural selection is a balance between the introduction of new variation and its loss through local inbreeding. The rate of loss of heterozygosity in a closed population is 1/2N, so any effective differentiation between populations will be negated if new variation is introduced at this rate or higher. Selection So far in this chapter, we have considered changes in a population arising from forces of mutation, migration, recombination, and breeding structure. But these changes are random with respect to the way in which organisms make a living in the environments in which they live. Changes in a species in response to a changing environment occur because the different genotypes produced by mutation and recombination have different abilities to survive and reproduce. The differential rates of survival and reproduction are what is meant by selection, and the process of selection results in changes in the frequencies of the various genotypes in the population. Darwin called the process of differential survival and reproduction of different types natural selection by analogy with the artificial selection carried out by animal and plant breeders when they deliberately select some individuals of a preferred type. The relative probability of survival and rate of reproduction of a phenotype or genotype is now called its Darwinian fitness. Although geneticists sometimes speak loosely of the fitness of an individual, the concept of fitness really applies to the average survival and reproduction of individuals in a phenotypic or genotypic class. Because of chance events in the life histories of individuals, even two organisms with identical genotypes and identical environments will differ in their survival and reproduction rates. It is the fitness of a genotype on average over all its possessors that matters. Fitness is a consequence of the relation between the phenotype of the organism and the environment in which the organism lives, so the same genotype will have different fitnesses in different environments. In part, this difference is because exposure to different environments during development will result in different phenotypes for the same genotypes. But, even if the phenotype is the same, the success of the organism depends on the environment. Having webbed feet is fine for paddling in water but a positive disadvantage for walking on land, as a few moments spent observing a duck walk will reveal. No genotype is unconditionally superior in fitness to all others in all environments. Furthermore, the environment is not a fixed situation that is experienced passively by an organism. The environment of an organism is defined by the activities of the organism itself. For example, dry grass is part of the environment of a junco, so juncos that are most efficient at gathering it may waste less energy in nest building and thus have a higher reproductive fitness. But dry grass is part of a junco's environment because juncos gather it to make nests. 18 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics The rocks among which the grass grows are not part of the junco's environment, although the rocks are physically present there. But the rocks are part of the environment of thrushes; these birds use the rocks to break open snails. Moreover, the environment that is defined by the life activities of an organism evolves as a result of those activities. The structure of the soil that is in part determinative of the kinds of plants that will grow is altered by the growth of those very plants. Environment is both the cause and the result of the evolution of organisms. As primitive plants evolved photosynthesis, they changed the earth's atmosphere from one that had had essentially no free oxygen and a high concentration of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere that we know today, which contains 21 percent oxygen and only 0.03 percent carbon dioxide. Plants that evolve today must do so in an environment created by the evolution of their own ancestors. Darwinian, or reproductive, fitness is not to be confused with “physical fitness” in the everyday sense of the term, although they may be related. No matter how strong, healthy, and mentally alert the possessor of a genotype may be, that genotype has a fitness of zero if for some reason its possessors leave no offspring. Thus such statements as the “unfit are outreproducing the fit, so the species may become extinct” are meaningless. The fitness of a genotype is a consequence of all the phenotypic effects of the genes involved. Thus, an allele that doubles the fecundity of its carriers but at the same time reduces the average lifetime of its possessors by 10 percent will be more fit than its alternatives, despite its life-shortening property. The most common example is parental care. An adult bird that expends a great deal of its energy gathering food for its young will have a lower probability of survival than one that keeps all the food for itself. But a totally selfish bird will leave no offspring, because its young cannot fend for themselves. As a consequence, parental care is favored by natural selection. Two forms of selection Because the differences in reproduction and survival between genotypes depend on the environment in which the genotypes live and develop and because organisms may alter their own environments, there are two fundamentally different forms of selection. In the simple case, the fitness of an individual does not depend on the composition of the population; rather it is a fixed property of the individual's phenotype and the external physical environment. For example, the relative ability of two plants that live at the edge of the desert to get sufficient water will depend on how deep their roots grow and how much water they lose through their leaf surfaces. These characteristics are a consequence of their developmental patterns and are not sensitive to the composition of the population in which they live. The fitness of a genotype in such a case does not depend on how rare or how frequent it is in the population. Fitness is then frequency independent. In contrast, consider organisms that are competing to catch prey or to avoid being captured by a predator. Then the relative abundances of two different genotypes will affect their relative fitnesses. An example is Mullerian mimicry in butterflies. Some species of brightly colored 19 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics butterflies (such as monarchs and viceroys) are distasteful to birds, which learn, after a few trials, to avoid attacking butterflies with that pattern. If two species differ in pattern, there will be selection to make them more similar because both will be protected and they share the burden of the birds' initial learning period. The less frequent pattern will be at a disadvantage with respect to the more frequent one, because birds will less often learn to avoid them. Within a species, rarer patterns will be selected against for the same reason. The rarer the pattern, the greater is the selective disadvantage, because birds will be unlikely to have had a prior experience of a low-frequency pattern and therefore will not avoid it. This selection to blend in with the crowd is an example of frequency-dependent fitness. For reasons of mathematical convenience, most models of natural selection are based on frequency-independent fitness. In fact, however, a very large number of selective processes (perhaps most) are frequency dependent. The kinetics of the evolutionary process depend on the exact form of frequency dependence, and, for that reason alone, it is difficult to make any generalizations. The result of positive frequency dependence (such as competing predators, where fitness increases with increasing frequency) is quite different from that of negative frequency dependence (where fitness of a genotype declines with increasing frequency). For the sake of simplicity and as an illustration of the main qualitative features of selection, we deal only with models of frequency-independent selection in this chapter, but convenience should not be confused with reality. Measuring fitness differences For the most part, the differential fitness of different genotypes can be most easily measured when the genotypes differ at many loci. In very few cases (except for laboratory mutants, horticultural varieties, and major metabolic disorders) does the effect of an allelic substitution at a single locus make enough difference to the phenotype to be reflected in measurable fitness differences. Figure 24-8 shows the probability of survival from egg to adult—that is, the viability—of a number of second-chromosome homozygotes of D. pseudoobscura at three different temperatures. As is generally the case, the fitness (in this case, a component of the total fitness, viability) is different in different environments. A few homozygotes are lethal or nearly so at all three temperatures, whereas a few have consistently high viability. Most genotypes, however, are not consistent in viability between temperatures, and no genotype is unconditionally the most fit at all temperatures. The fitness of these chromosomal homozygotes was not measured in competition with each other; all are measured against a common standard, so we do not know whether they are frequency dependent. An example of frequency-dependent fitness is shown in the estimates for inversion homozygotes and heterozygotes of D. pseudoobscura in Table 24-10. Examples of clear-cut fitness differences associated with single-gene substitutions are the many “inborn errors of metabolism,” where a recessive allele interferes with a metabolic pathway and causes lethality of the homozygotes. An example in humans is phenylketonuria, where tissue degeneration is the result of the accumulation of a toxic intermediate in the 20 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics pathway of tyrosine metabolism. A case that illustrates the relation of fitness to environment is sickle-cell anemia. An allelic substitution at the structural-gene locus for the β chain of hemoglobin results in substitution of valine for the normal glutamic acid at chain position 6. The abnormal hemoglobin crystallizes at low oxygen pressure, and the red cells deform and hemolyze. Homozygotes HbS/HbS have a severe anemia, and survivorship is low. Heterozygotes have a mild anemia and under ordinary circumstances exhibit the same or only slightly lower fitness than normal homozygotes HbA/HbA. However, in regions of Africa with a high incidence of falciparum malaria, heterozygotes (HbA/HbS) have a higher fitness than normal homozygotes because the presence of some sickling hemoglobin apparently protects them from the malaria. Where malaria is absent, as in North America, the fitness advantage of heterozygosity is lost. It has not been possible to measure fitness differences for most single-locus polymorphisms. The evidence for differential net fitness for different ABO or MN blood types is shaky at best. The extensive enzyme polymorphism present in all sexually reproducing species has for the most part not been connected with measurable fitness differences, although, in Drosophila, clear-cut differences in the fitness of different genotypes have been demonstrated in the laboratory for a few loci such as those encoding α-amylase and alcohol dehydrogenase. How selection works The simplest way to see the effect of selection is to consider an allele, a, that is completely lethal before reproductive age in homozygous condition, such as the allele that leads to Tay-Sachs disease. Suppose that, in some generation, the allele frequency of this gene is 0.10. Then, in a randommating population, the proportions of the three genotypes after fertilization are At reproductive age, however, the homozygotes a/a will have already died, leaving the genotypes at this stage as But these proportions add up to only 0.99 because only 99 percent of the population is still surviving. Among the actual surviving reproducing population, the proportions must be recalculated by dividing by 0.99 so that the total proportions add up to 1.00. After this readjustment, we have 21 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics The frequency of the lethal a allele among the gametes produced by these survivors is then and the change in allelic frequency in one generation, expressed as the new value minus the old one, has been 0.091 − 0.100 = −0.019. We can repeat this calculation in each successive generation to obtain the predicted frequencies of the lethal and normal alleles in a succession of future generations. The same kind of calculation can be carried out if genotypes are not simply lethal or normal, but if each genotype has some relative probability of survival. This general calculation is shown in Box 24-6. After one generation of selection, the new value of the frequency of A is equal to the old value (p) multiplied by the ratio of the average fitness of A alleles to the fitness of the whole population. If the fitness of A alleles is greater than the average fitness of all alleles, then A / is greater than unity and p′ is larger than p. Thus, the allele A increases in the population. Conversely, if A / is less than unity, A decreases. But the mean fitness of the population ( ) is the average fitness of the A alleles and of the a alleles. So if A is greater than the mean fitness of the population, it must be greater than a, the mean fitness of a alleles. MESSAGE The allele with the higher average fitness increases in the population. It should be noted that the fitnesses WA / A , WA / a , and Wa / a may be expressed as absolute probabilities of survival and absolute reproduction rates or they may all be rescaled relative to one of the fitnesses, which is given the standard value of 1.0. This rescaling has absolutely no effect on the formula for p′, because it cancels out in the numerator and denominator. MESSAGE The course of selection depends only on relative fitnesses. An increase in the allele with the higher fitness means that the average fitness of the population as a whole increases, so selection can also be described as a process that increases mean fitness. This rule is strictly true only for frequency-independent genotypic fitnesses, but it is close enough to a general rule to be used as a fruitful generalization. This maximization of fitness does not necessarily lead to any optimal property for the species as a whole, because fitnesses are only defined relative to each other within a population. It is relative (not absolute) fitness that is increased by selection. The population does not necessarily become larger or grow faster, nor is it less likely to become extinct. Rate of change in gene frequency 22 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics The general expression for the change in gene frequency, derived in Box 24-6, is particularly illuminating. It says that Δp will be positive (A will increase) if the mean fitness of A alleles is greater than the mean fitness of a alleles, as we saw before. But it also shows that the speed of the change depends not only on the difference in fitness between the alleles, but also on the factor pq, which is proportional to the frequency of heterozygotes (2pq). For a given difference in fitness of alleles, gene frequency will change most rapidly when the alleles A and a are in intermediate frequency, so pq is large. If p is near 0 or 1 (that is, if A or a is nearly fixed), then pq is nearly 0 and selection will proceed very slowly. Figure 24-9 shows the S-shaped curve that represents the course of selection of a new favorable allele A that has recently entered a population of homozygotes a/a. At first, the change in frequency is very small because p is still close to 0. Then it accelerates as A becomes more frequent, but it slows down again as A takes over and a becomes very rare. This is precisely what is expected from a selection process. When most of the population is of one type, there is nothing to select. For evolution by natural selection to occur, there must be genetic variance; the more variance, the faster the process. One consequence of the dynamics shown in Figure 24-9 is that it is extremely difficult to significantly reduce the frequency of an allele that is already rare in a population. Thus, eugenic programs designed to eliminate deleterious recessive genes from human populations by preventing the reproduction of affected persons do not work. Of course, if all heterozygotes could be prevented from reproducing, the gene could be eliminated (except for new mutations) in a single generation. Because every human being is heterozygous for a number of different deleterious genes, however, no one would be allowed to reproduce. When alternative alleles are not rare, selection can cause quite rapid changes in allelic frequency. Figure 24-10 shows the course of elimination of a malic dehydrogenase allele in a laboratory population of D. melanogaster. The fitnesses in this case are: The frequency of a is not reduced to 0, and further reduction in frequency will require longer and longer times, as shown in the negative eugenics case. MESSAGE Unless alternative alleles are present in intermediate frequencies, selection (especially against recessives) is quite slow. Selection is dependent on genetic variation. Balanced polymorphism Let's reexamine the general formula for allelic frequency change (see Box 24-6): 23 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics Under what conditions will the process stop? When is Δp = 0? Two answers are: when p = 0 or when q = 0 (that is, when either allele A or allele a, respectively, has been eliminated from the population). One of these events will eventually occur if A − a is consistently positive or negative, so that Δp is always positive or negative irrespective of the value of p. The condition for such unidirectional selection is that the heterozygote fitness be somewhere between the fitnesses of the two homozygotes: If A/A homozygotes are most fit, then A alleles are more fit than a alleles in both the heterozygous and the homozygous condition. Then the mean allelic fitness of A, A, is larger than the mean allelic fitness of a, a, no matter what the frequencies of the genotypes may be. In this case, A − a is positive, and A always increases until it reaches p = 1. If, on the other hand, a/a are most fit, then A − a is negative, and a always increases until it reaches q = 1. But there is another possibility for Δp = 0, even when p and q are not 0: which can occur if the heterozygote is not intermediate between the homozygotes but has a fitness that is more extreme than either homozygote. In this case, selection will lead to an intermediate allele frequency, ^p (see Box 24-7). There are, in fact, two qualitatively different possibilities for ^p. One possibility is that ^p is an unstable equilibrium. There will be no change in frequency if the population has exactly this value of p, but the frequency will move away from the equilibrium (toward p = 0 or p = 1) if the slightest perturbation of frequency occurs. This unstable case will exist when the heterozygote is lower in fitness than either homozygote; such a condition is an example of underdominance. The alternative possibility is a stable equilibrium, or balanced polymorphism, in which slight perturbations from the value of ^p will result in a return to ^p. The condition for this balance is that the heterozygote be greater in fitness than either homozygote—a condition termed overdominance. In nature, the chance that a gene frequency will remain balanced on the knife edge of an unstable equilibrium is negligible, so we should not expect to find naturally occurring polymorphisms in which heterozygotes are less fit than homozygotes. On the contrary, the observation of a long-lasting polymorphism in nature might be taken as evidence of a superior heterozygote. Unfortunately, life confounds theory. The Rh locus (rhesus blood group) in humans has a widespread polymorphism with Rh+ and Rh− alleles. In Europeans, the frequency of the Rh− allele is about 0.4, whereas, in Africans, it is about 0.2. Thus, this human polymorphism must be very old, antedating the origin of modern geographical races. But this polymorphism causes a maternal–fetal incompatibility when an RH− mother (homozygous Rh−/Rh−) produces an RH+ fetus (heterozygous Rh−/Rh+). This incompatibility results in hemolytic anemia (from 24 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics a destruction of red blood cells) and the death of the fetus in a moderate proportion of cases if the mother has been previously sensitized by an earlier pregnancy with an incompatible fetus. Thus, there is selection against heterozygotes, although it is frequency dependent, because it occurs only when the mother is a homozygous recessive. This polymorphism is unstable and should have disappeared from the species, yet it exists in most human populations. Many hypotheses have been proposed to explain its apparent stability, but the mystery remains. In contrast, no fitness difference at all can be demonstrated for many polymorphisms of blood groups (and for the ubiquitous polymorphism of enzymes revealed by electrophoresis). It has been suggested that such polymorphisms are not under selection at all but that This situation of selective neutrality would also satisfy the requirement that A = a, but, instead of a stable equilibrium, it gives rise to a passive (neutral) equilibrium such that any allele frequency p is as good as any other. This leaves unanswered the problem of how the populations became highly polymorphic in the first place. The best case of overdominance for fitness at a single locus remains that of sickle-cell anemia, where the two homozygotes are at a disadvantage relative to the heterozygote for quite different reasons. The best-studied cases of balanced polymorphism in nature and in the laboratory are the inversion polymorphisms in several species of Drosophila.Figure 24-11 shows the course of frequency change for the inversion ST (Standard) in competition with the alternative chromosomal type CH (Chiricahua) in a laboratory population of D. pseudoobscura. The inversions ST and CH are part of a chromosomal polymorphism in natural populations of this species. The fitnesses estimated for the three genotypes in the laboratory are Applying the formula for the equilibrium value ^p, we obtain ^p = 0.85, which agrees quite well with the observations in Figure 24-11. Another cause of genetic equilibrium in populations is the balance between the introduction of new alleles by repeated mutation and their removal by natural selection. This balance is probably the cause of many low-level polymorphisms for genetic diseases in human populations. New deleterious mutations are constantly arising spontaneously or as the result of the action of mutagens. These mutations may be completely recessive or partly dominant. Selection removes them from the population, but there will be an equilibrium between their appearance and removal. The general expression for this equilibrium is that the frequency of the deleterious allele at equilibrium depends on the ratio of the mutation rate, μ, to the intensity of selection, s, against the deleterious genotype. For a completely recessive deleterious allele whose fitness in homozygous state is 1 − s, the equilibrium frequency is 25 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics These results are shown in detail in Box 24-8. So, for example, a recessive lethal (s = 1) mutating at the rate of μ = 10−6 will have an equilibrium frequency of 10−3. Indeed, if we knew that a gene was a recessive lethal and had no heterozygous effects, we could estimate its mutation rate as the square of the allelic frequency. But the basis for such calculations must be firm. Sickle-cell anemia was once thought to be a recessive lethal with no heterozygous effects, which led to an estimated mutation rate in Africa of 0.1 for this locus. A similar result can be obtained for a deleterious gene with some effect in heterozygotes. If we let the fitnesses be WA / A = 1.0, WA / a = 1 − hs, and Wa / a = 1 − s for a partly dominant gene, where h is the degree of dominance of the deleterious allele, then a similar calculation gives us Thus, if μ = 10−6 and the lethal is not totally recessive but has a 5 percent deleterious effect in heterozygotes (s = 1.0, h = 0.05), then which is smaller by two orders of magnitude than the equilibrium frequency for the purely recessive case. In general, then, we can expect deleterious, completely recessive genes to have frequencies much higher than those of partly dominant genes. Artificial selection In contrast with the difficulties of finding simple, wellbehaved cases in nature that exemplify the simple formulas of natural selection, there is a vast record of the effectiveness of artificial selection in changing populations phenotypically. These changes have been produced by laboratory selection experiments and by selection of animals and plants in agriculture (as examples, for increased milk production in cows and for rust resistance in wheat). No analysis of these experiments in terms of allelic frequencies is possible, because individual loci have not been identified and followed. Nevertheless, it is clear that genetic changes have occurred in the populations and that some analysis of selected populations has been carried out according to the methods described in Chapter 25. Figure 24-12 shows, as an example, the large changes in average bristle number achieved in a selection experiment with D. melanogaster.Figure 24-13 shows the changes in the number of eggs laid per chicken as a consequence of 30 years of selection. The usual method of selection is truncation selection. The individuals in a given generation are pooled (irrespective of their families), a sample is measured, and only those individuals above (or below) a given phenotypic value (the truncation point) are chosen as parents for the next generation. This phenotypic value may be a fixed value over successive generations; then selection is by constant truncation. More commonly, a fixed percentage of the population 26 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics representing the highest (or lowest) value of the selected character is chosen; then selection is by proportional truncation. With constant truncation, the intensity of selection decreases with time, as more and more of the population exceeds the fixed truncation point. With proportional truncation, the intensity of selection is constant, but the truncation point moves upward as the population distribution moves. Figure 24-14 illustrates these two types of truncation. A common experience in artificial selection programs is that, as the population becomes more and more extreme, its viability and fertility decrease. As a result, eventually no further progress under selection is possible, despite the presence of genetic variance for the character, because the selected individuals do not reproduce. The loss of fitness may be a direct phenotypic effect of the genes for the selected character, in which case nothing much can be done to improve the population further. Often, however, the loss of fitness is tied to linked sterility genes that are carried along with the selected loci. In such cases, a number of generations without selection allow recombinants to be formed, and selection can then be continued, as in the upwardly selected line in Figure 24-12. We must be very careful in our interpretation of long-term agricultural selection programs. In the real world of agriculture, changes in cultivation methods, machinery, fertilizers, insecticides, herbicides, and so forth are occurring along with the production of genetically improved varieties. Increases in average yields are consequences of all of these changes. For example, the average yield of corn in the United States increased from 40 bushels to 80 bushels per acre between 1940 and 1970. But experiments comparing old and new varieties of corn in common environments show that only about half this increase is a direct result of new corn varieties (the other half being a result of improved farming techniques). Furthermore, the new varieties are superior to the old ones only at the high densities of modern planting for which they were selected. Random events If a population is finite in size (as all populations are) and if a given pair of parents has only a small number of offspring, then, even in the absence of all selective forces, the frequency of a gene will not be exactly reproduced in the next generation, because of sampling error. If, in a population of 1000 individuals, the frequency of a is 0.5 in one generation, then it may by chance be 0.493 or 0.505 in the next generation because of the chance production of slightly more or slightly fewer progeny of each genotype. In the second generation, there is another sampling error based on the new gene frequency, so the frequency of a may go from 0.505 to 0.511 or back to 0.498. This process of random fluctuation continues generation after generation, with no force pushing the frequency back to its initial state, because the population has no “genetic memory” of its state many generations ago. Each generation is an independent event. The final result of this random change in allelic frequency is that the population eventually drifts to p = 1 or p = 0. After this point, no further change is possible; the population has become homozygous. A different population, isolated from the first, also 27 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics undergoes this random genetic drift, but it may become homozygous for allele A, whereas the first population has become homozygous for allele a. As time goes on, isolated populations diverge from each other, each losing heterozygosity. The variation originally present within populations now appears as variation among populations. One form of genetic drift occurs when a small group breaks off from a larger population to found a new colony. This “acute drift,” called the founder effect, results from a single generation of sampling, followed by several generations during which the population remains small. The founder effect is probably responsible for the virtually complete lack of blood group B in Native Americans, whose ancestors arrived in very small numbers across the Bering Strait at the end of the last Ice Age, about 20,000 years ago.0 The process of genetic drift should sound familiar. It is, in fact, another way of looking at the inbreeding effect in small populations discussed earlier. Whether regarded as inbreeding or as random sampling of genes, the effect is the same. Populations do not exactly reproduce their genetic constitutions; there is a random component of gene frequency change. One result of random sampling is that most new mutations, even if they are not selected against, never succeed in entering the population. Suppose that a single individual is heterozygous for a new mutation. There is some chance that the individual in question will have no offspring at all. Even if it has one offspring, there is a chance of 1/2 that the new mutation will not be transmitted. If the individual has two offspring, the probability that neither offspring will carry the new mutation is 1/4, and so forth. Suppose that the new mutation is successfully transmitted to an offspring. Then the lottery is repeated in the next generation, and again the allele may be lost. In fact, if a population is of size N, the chance that a new mutation is eventually lost by chance is (2N − 1)/2N. (For a derivation of this result, which is beyond the scope of this book, see Chapters 2 and 3 of Hartl and Clark, Principles of Population Genetics.) But, if the new mutation is not lost, then the only thing that can happen to it in a finite population is that eventually it will sweep through the population and become fixed. This event has the probability of 1/2N In the absence of selection, then, the history of a population looks like Figure 24-15. For some period of time, it is homozygous; then a new mutation appears. In most cases, the new mutant allele will be lost immediately or very soon after it appears. Occasionally, however, a new mutant allele drifts through the population, and the population becomes homozygous for the new allele. The process then begins again. Even a new mutation that is slightly favorable selectively will usually be lost in the first few generations after it appears in the population, a victim of genetic drift. If a new mutation has a selective advantage of s in the heterozygote in which it appears, then the chance is only 2s that the mutation will ever succeed in taking over the population. So a mutation that is 1 percent better in fitness than the standard allele in the population will be lost 98 percent of the time by genetic drift. 28 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics MESSAGE New mutations can become established in a population even though they are not favored by natural selection simply by a process of random genetic drift. Even new favorable mutations are often lost. Another consequence of the interaction of random and selective forces is that the effectiveness of the selective force in driving population composition depends on population size. The magnitude of the random effect is proportional to the reciprocal of population size, 1/N, whereas the magnitude of a deterministic force depends on the migration rate, m, or mutation rate, μ, or selection coefficient, s. Thus we can say, roughly, that migration and mutation are effective if The same is true of selection; selection is effective only if Ns ≥ 1. When Ns is small because selection is weak or population size is small, then mutations are effectively neutral, even though there is some selection of them. Small populations will be less affected by selection than large populations even under otherwise identical conditions. For example, human populations were very small for nearly all the history of our species, having grown large only in the past few hundred generations. Thus, we may expect to find that many mutations that are now under selection were effectively neutral for a long time and may have reached high frequency by chance. Summary The study of changes within a population, or population genetics, relates the heritable changes in populations or organisms to the underlying individual processes of inheritance and development. Population genetics is the study of inherited variation and its modification in time and space. Identifiable inherited variation within a population can be studied by observing morphological differences between individuals, examining the differences in specific amino acid sequences of proteins, or even examining, most recently, the differences in nucleotide sequences within the DNA. These kinds of observations have led to the conclusion that there is considerable polymorphism at many loci within a population. A measure of this variation is the amount of heterozygosity in a population. Population studies have shown that, in general, the genetic differences between individuals within human races are much greater than the average differences between races. 29 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics The ultimate source of all variation is mutation. However, within a population, the quantitative frequency of specific genotypes can be changed by recombination, immigration of genes, continued mutational events, and chance. One property of Mendelian segregation is that random mating results in an equilibrium distribution of genotypes after one generation. However, inbreeding is one process that converts genetic variation within a population into differences between populations by making each separate population homozygous for a randomly chosen allele. On the other hand, for most populations, a balance is reached for any given environment among inbreeding, mutation from one allele to another, and immigration. “Directed” changes of allelic frequencies within a population occur through the natural selection of a favored genotype. In many cases, such changes lead to homozygosity at a particular locus. On the other hand, the heterozygote may be more suited to a given environment than either of the homozygotes, leading to a balanced polymorphism. Environmental selection of specific genotypes is rarely this simple, however. More often than not, phenotypes are determined by several interacting genes, and alleles at these different loci will be selected for at different rates. Furthermore, closely linked loci, unrelated to the phenotype in question, may have specific alleles carried along during the selection process. In general, genetic variation is the result of the interaction of evolutionary forces. For instance, a recessive, deleterious mutant may never be totally eliminated from a population, because mutation will continue to resupply it to the population. Immigration also can reintroduce the undesirable allele into the population. And, indeed, a deleterious allele may, under environmental conditions of which we are unaware (including the remaining genetic makeup of the individual), be selected for. Unless alternative alleles are in intermediate frequencies, selection (especially against recessives) is very slow, requiring many generations. In many populations, especially those of small size, new mutations can become established even though they are not favored by natural selection, simply by a process of random genetic drift. Solved Problems 1. About 70 percent of all white North Americans can taste the chemical phenylthiocarbamide, and the remainder cannot. The ability to taste is determined by the dominant allele T, and the inability to taste is determined by the recessive allele t. If the population is assumed to be in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium, what are the genotypic and allelic frequencies in this population? Solution 30 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics Because 70 percent are tasters (T/T), 30 percent must be nontasters (t/t). This homozygous recessive frequency is equal to q2; so, to obtain q, we simply take the square root of 0.30: 2. In a large natural population of Mimulus guttatus, one leaf was sampled from each of a large number of plants. The leaves were crushed and subjected to gel electrophoresis. The gel was then stained for a specific enzyme X. Six different banding patterns were observed, as shown in the diagram. a. Assuming that these patterns are produced by a single locus, propose a genetic explanation for the six types. b. How can you test your idea? c. What are the allelic frequencies in this population? d. Is the population in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium? Solution a. Inspection of the gel reveals that there are only three band positions: we will call them slow, intermediate, and fast. Furthermore, any individual can show either one band or two. The simplest explanation is that there are three al-leles of one locus (let's call them AS, AI, and AF) and that the individuals with two bands are heterozygotes. Hence, 1 = S/S, 2 = I/I, 3 = F/F, 4 = S/I, 5 = S/F, and 6 = I/F. b. The hypothesis can be tested by making controlled crosses. For example, from a self of type 5, we can predict 1/4 S/S, 1/2S/F, and 1/4 F/F. 31 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics c. The frequencies can be calculated by a simple extension of the two-allele formulas. Hence: d. The Hardy-Weinberg genotypic frequencies are: which are precisely the observed frequencies. So it appears that the population is in equilibrium. 3. In a large experimental Drosophila population, the fitness of a recessive phenotype is calculated to be 0.90, and the mutation rate to the recessive allele is 5 × 10−5. If the population is allowed to come to equilibrium, what allelic frequencies can be predicted? Solution Here mutation and selection are working in opposite directions, so an equilibrium is predicted. Such an equilibrium is described by the formula In the present question, μ = 5 × 10−5 and s = 1 − W = 1 − 0.9 = 0.1. Hence Problems 1. What are the forces that can change the frequency of an allele in a population?See answer 2. In a population of mice, there are two alleles of the A locus (A1 and A2). Tests showed that in this population there are 384 mice of genotype A1/A1, 210 of A1/A2, and 260 of A2/A2. What are the frequencies of the two alleles in the population?See answer 32 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics 3. In a randomly mating laboratory population of Drosophila, 4 percent of the flies have black bodies (black is the autosomal recessive b) and 96 percent have brown bodies (the normal color B). If this population is assumed to be in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium, what are the allelic frequencies of B and b and the genotypic frequencies of B/B and B/b? 4. In a population, the D → d mutation rate is 4 × 10−6. If p = 0.8 today, what will p be after 50,000 generations?See answer 5. You are studying protein polymorphism in a natural population of a certain species of a sexually reproducing haploid organism. You isolate many strains from various parts of the test area and run extracts from each strain on electrophoretic gels. You stain the gels with a reagent specific for enzyme X and find that in the population there is a total of, say, five electrophoretic variants of enzyme X. You speculate that these variants represent various alleles of the structural gene for enzyme X. a. How could you demonstrate that the speculation is correct, both genetically and biochemically? (You can make crosses, make diploids, run gels, test enzyme activities, test amino acid sequences, and so forth.) Outline the steps and conclusions precisely. b. Name at least one other possible way of generating the different electrophoretic variants, and say how you would distinguish this possibility from the one described here. 6. A study made in 1958 in the mining town of Ashibetsu in the Hokkaido province of Japan revealed the frequencies of MN blood type genotypes (for individuals and for married couples) shown in the following table: a. Show if the population is in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium with respect to the MN blood 33 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics types. b. Show whether mating is random with respect to MN blood types. (Problem 6 is from J. Kuspira and G. W. Walker, Genetics: Questions and Problems. Copyright © 1973 by McGraw-Hill.)See answer 7. Consider the populations that have the genotypes shown in the following table: a. Which of the populations are in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium? b. What are p and q in each population? c. In population 10, it is discovered that the A → a mutation rate is 5 × 10−6 and that reverse mutation is negligible. What must be the fitness of the a/a phenotype? d. In population 6, the a allele is deleterious; furthermore, the A allele is incompletely dominant, so A/A is perfectly fit, A/a has a fitness of 0.8, and a/a has a fitness of 0.6. If there is no mutation, what will p and q be in the next generation? See answer 8. Colorblindness results from a sex-linked recessive allele. One in every 10 males is colorblind. a. What proportion of all women are colorblind? b. By what factor is colorblindness more common in men (or, how many colorblind men are there for each colorblind woman)? c. In what proportion of marriages would colorblindness affect half the children of each sex? d. In what proportion of marriages would all children be normal? e. In a population that is not in equilibrium, the frequency of the allele for colorblindness is 0.2 in women and 0.6 in men. After one generation of random mating, what proportion of the female progeny will be colorblind? What proportion of the male progeny? f. What will the allelic frequencies be in the male and in the female progeny in part e? (Problem 8 courtesy of Clayton Person.) 34 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics 9. In a wild population of beetles of species X, you notice that there is a 3:1 ratio of shiny to dull wing covers. Does this ratio prove that shiny is dominant? (Assume that the two states are caused by the alleles of one gene.) If not, what does it prove? How would you elucidate the situation? See answer 10. It seems clear that most new mutations are deleterious. Why? 11. Most mutations are recessive to the wild type. Of those rare mutations that are dominant in Drosophila, for example, the majority turn out either to be chromosomal aberrations or to be inseparable from chromosomal aberrations. Explain why the wild type is usually dominant.See answer 12. Ten percent of the males of a large and randomly mating population are colorblind. A representative group of 1000 from this population migrates to a South Pacific island, where there are already 1000 inhabitants and where 30 percent of the males are colorblind. Assuming that Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium applies throughout (in the two original populations before emigration and in the mixed population immediately after immigration), what fraction of males and females can be expected to be colorblind in the generation immediately after the arrival of the immigrants? 13. Using pedigree diagrams, find the probability of homozygosity by descent of the offspring of (a) parent–offspring matings; (b) first-cousin matings; (c) aunt–nephew or uncle–niece matings. 14. In a survey of Native American tribes in Arizona and New Mexico, albinos were completely absent or very rare in most groups (there is one albino per 20,000 North American Caucasians). However, in three Native American populations, albino frequencies are exceptionally high: 1 per 277 Native Americans in Arizona; 1 per 140 Jemez in New Mexico; and 1 per 247 Zuni in New Mexico. All three of these populations are culturally but not linguistically related. What possible factors might explain the high incidence of albinos in these three tribes? See answer 15. In an animal population, 20 percent of the individuals are A/A, 60 percent are A/a, and 20 percent are a/a. What are the allelic frequencies? In this population, mating is always with like phenotype but is random within phenotype. What genotypic and allelic frequencies will prevail in the next generation? Such assortative mating is common in animal 35 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics populations. Another type of assortative mating is that which takes place only between unlike phenotypes: answer the preceding question with this restriction imposed. What will the end result be after many generations of mating of both types? 16. A Drosophila stock isolated from nature has an average of 36 abdominal bristles. By the selective breeding of only those flies with more bristles, the mean is raised to 56 in 20 generations. What is the source of this genetic flexibility? The 56-bristle stock is infertile, so selection is relaxed for several generations and the bristle number drops to about 45. Why doesn't it drop back to 36? When selection is reapplied, 56 bristles are soon attained, but this time the stock is not sterile. How can this situation arise? 17. The fitnesses of three genotypes are WA / A = 0.9, WA / a = 1.0, and Wa / a = 0.7. a. If the population starts at the allelic frequency p = 0.5, what is the value of p in the next generation? b. What is the predicted equilibrium allelic frequency? See answer 18. A/A and A/a individuals are equally fertile. If 0.1 percent of the population is a/a, what selection pressure exists against a/a if the A → a mutation rate is 10−5?See answer 19. Gene B is a deleterious autosomal dominant. The frequency of affected individuals is 4.0 × 10−6. The reproductive capacity of these individuals is about 30 percent that of normal individuals. Estimate μ, the rate at which b mutates to its deleterious allele B. 20. Of 31 children born of father–daughter matings, 6 died in infancy, 12 were very abnormal and died in childhood, and 13 were normal. From this information, calculate roughly how many recessive lethal genes we have, on average, in our human genomes. For example, if the answer is 1, then a daughter would stand a 50 percent chance of carrying the gene, and the probability of the union's producing a lethal combination would be 1/2 × 1/4 = 1/8. (So 1 is not the answer.) Consider also the possibility of undetected fatalities in utero in such matings. How would they affect your result?See answer 21. If we define the total selection cost to a population of deleterious recessive genes as the loss of fitness per individual affected (s) multiplied by the frequency of affected individuals (q2), then a. Suppose that a population is at equilibrium between mutation and selection for a deleterious recessive gene, where s = 0.5 and μ = 10−5. What is the equilibrium frequency of the gene? What is the genetic cost? 36 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics b. Suppose that we start irradiating individual members of the population, so the mutation rate doubles. What is the new equilibrium frequency of the gene? What is the new genetic cost? c. If we do not change the mutation rate but we lower the selection intensity to s = 0.3 instead, what happens to the equilibrium frequency and the genetic cost? Chapter 24* 1. Selection, mutation, migration, inbreeding, and random genetic drift 2. A1 = 0.57, A2 = 0.43 4. 0.65 6. a. p = [406 + 1/2(744)]/1482 = 0.52, q = [332 + 1/2(744)]/1482 = 0.48. If the population is in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium, the genotypes should be distributed as follows: The population is in equilibrium. b. If mating is random with respect to blood type, then the following frequency of matings should occur: The mating is random with respect to blood type. 7. a. and b. 37 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics c. 0.898 d. p = 0.56, q = 0.44 9. The frequency of a phenotype in a population is a function of the frequency of alleles that lead to that phenotype in the population. To determine dominance and recessiveness, do standard Mendelian crosses. 11. Wild-type alleles are usually dominant because most mutations result in lowered or eliminated function. To be dominant, the heterozygote has approximately the same phenotype as the dominant homozygote. This will typically be true when the wild-type allele produces a functional product and the mutant allele does not. Chromosomal rearrangements are often dominant mutations because they can cause gross changes in gene regulation or even cause fusions of several gene products. Novel activities, overproduction of gene products, and so forth, are typical of dominant mutations. 14. Albinos may have been considered lucky and encouraged to breed at very high levels in comparison with nonalbinos. They may also have been encouraged to mate with each other. Alternatively, in the tribes with a very low frequency, albinos may have been considered very unlucky and destroyed at birth or prevented from marriage. 17. (a). 0.528; (b). 0.75. 18. 0.01 20. 6.5 Boxes 38 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics Calculation of Allele Frequency Box 24-1 If fA / A , fA / a , and fa / a are the proportions of the three genotypes at a locus with two alleles, then the frequency p(A) of the A allele and the frequency q(a) of the a allele are obtained by counting alleles. Because each homozygote A/A consists only of A alleles and only half the alleles of each heterozygote A/a are type A, the total frequency (p) of A alleles in the population is: Similarly, the frequency q of a alleles is given by: So, If there are multiple alleles, the frequency for each allele is simply the frequency of its homozygote plus half the sum of the frequencies for all the heterozygotes in which it appears. Hardy-Weinberg Equilibrium Box 24-2 If the frequency of allele A is p in both the sperm and the eggs and the frequency of allele a is q = 1 − p, then the consequences of random unions of sperm and eggs are shown in the adjoining Punnett square. The probability that both the sperm and the egg will carry A is p × p = p2, so p2 will be the frequency of A/A homozygotes in the next generation. In like manner, the chance of heterozygotes A/a will be (p × q) + (q × p) = 2pq, and the chance of homozygotes a/a will be q × q = q2. The three genotypes, after a generation of random mating, will be in the frequencies p2:2pq:q2. As the Punnett square shows, the allelic frequency of A has not changed and is still p. Therefore, in the second generation, the frequencies of the three genotypes will again be p2:2pq:q2, and so forth, forever. 39 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics The Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium frequencies that result from random mating. The frequencies of A and a among both eggs and sperm are p and q ( = 1 − p), respectively. The total frequencies of the zygote genotypes are p2 for A/A, 2pq for A/a, and q2 for a/a. The frequency of the allele A in the zygotes is the frequency of A/A plus half the frequency of A/a, or p2 + pq = p(p + q) = p. Effect of Mutation on Allele Frequency Box 24-3 Let μ be the mutation rate from allele A to some other allele a (the probability that a gene copy A will become a in the DNA replication preceding meiosis). If pt is the frequency of the A allele in generation t, if qt = 1 − pt is the frequency of the a allele, and if there are no other causes of gene frequency change (no natural selection, for example), then the change in allelic frequency in one generation is: where pt −1 is the frequency in the preceding generation. This tells us that the frequency of A decreases (and the frequency of a increases) by an amount that is proportional to the mutation rate μ and to the proportion p of all the genes that are still available to mutate. Thus Δp gets smaller as the frequency of p itself decreases, because there are fewer and fewer A alleles to mutate into a alleles. We can make the approximation that, after n generations of mutation, 40 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics where e is the base of the natural logarithms. This relation of gene frequency to number of generations is shown in the graph for μ = 10−5. After 10,000 generations of continued mutation of A to a, If the population started with only A alleles (p0 = 1.0), it would still have only 10 percent a alleles after 10,000 generations at this rather high mutation rate and would require 60,000 additional generations to reduce p to 0.5. Even if mutation rates were doubled (say, by environmental mutagens), the rate of evolution would be very slow. For example, radiation levels of sufficient intensity to double the mutation rate over the reproductive lifetime of an individual human are at the limit of occupational safety regulations, and a dose of radiation sufficient to increase mutation rates by an order of magnitude would be lethal; so rapid genetic change in the species would not be one of the effects of increased radiation. Although we have many things to fear from environmental radiation pollution, turning into a species of monsters is not one of them. The change over generations in the frequency of a gene A due to mutation from A to a at a constant mutation rate (μ) of 10−5. Effect of Migration on Allele Frequency Box 24-4 If pt is the frequency of an allele in the recipient population in generation t and P is the allelic frequency in a donor population (or the average over several donor populations) and if m is the proportion of the recipient population that is made up of new migrants from the donor population, then the gene frequency in the recipient population in the next generation, pt +1, is the result of mixing 1 − m genes from the recipient with m genes from the donor population. Thus: 41 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics and Effect of the Mating of Close Relatives on Homozygosity Box 24-5 The probability of a homozygous a/a offspring from a brother–sister mating is: We assume that the chance that both grandparents are A/a is negligible. If p is very small, then q is nearly 1.0 and the chance of an affected offspring is close to p/4. For p = 1/1000, there is 1 chance in 4000 of an affected child, compared with the 1-in-a-million chance from a random mating. In general, for full sibs, the ratio of risks will be: Effect of Selection on Allele Frequency Box 24-6 Suppose that a population is mating at random with respect to a given locus with two alleles and that the population is so large that (for the moment) we can ignore inbreeding. Just after the eggs have been fertilized, the zygotes will be in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium: 42 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics and p2 + 2pq + q2 = (p + q)2 = 1.0, where p is the frequency of A. Further suppose that the three genotypes have probabilities of survival to adulthood (viabilities) of WA / A :WA / a :Wa / a . For simplicity, let us also assume that all selective differences are differences in survivorship between the fertilized egg and the adult stage. Differences in fertility give rise to much more complex mathematical formulations. Then among the progeny having reached adulthood, the frequencies will be: These adjusted frequencies do not add up to unity, because the W's are all fractions smaller than 1. However, we can readjust them so that they do, without changing their relation to each other, by dividing each frequency by the sum of the frequencies after selection ( ): So defined, is called the mean fitness of the population because it is, indeed, the mean of the fitnesses of all individuals in the population. After this adjustment, we have We can now determine the frequency p′ of the allele A in the next generation by summing up genes: Finally, we note that the expression pWA / A + qWA / a is the mean fitness of A alleles because, from the Hardy-Weinberg frequencies, a proportion p of all A alleles are present in homozygotes with another A and then they have a fitness of WA / A , whereas a proportion q of all the A al-leles are present in heterozygotes with a and have a fitness of WA / a . Using A to denote pWA / A + qWA / a yields the final new gene frequency: 43 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics An alternative way to look at the process of selection is to solve for the change in allelic frequency in one generation: But so , the mean fitness of the population, is the average of the allelic fitnesses A and a, Substituting this expression for in the formula for Δp and remembering that q = 1 − p, we obtain (after some algebraic manipulation) Natural Selection Leading to Equilibrium of Allele Frequencies Box 24-7 The average fitness of an allele is defined as the average of the fitnesses of the genotypes that carry that allele: Suppose that the fitness of heterozygotes, WA / a , is greater than the fitnesses of both homozygotes, WA / A and Wa / a . Then, for part of the range of values of p, A < a, whereas A < for the rest of the range. Just between those ranges is a value of p a ^ (denoted by p) for which the mean fitnesses of the two alleles are equal. A little algebraic manipulation of gives us the solution for ^p: 44 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西. An Introduction to Genetic Analysis Chapter 24 Population Genetics The equilibrium value is a simple ratio of the differences in fitness between the homozygotes and the heterozygote. For example, suppose the fitnesses are: The equilibrium will be ^p = 2/3. 45 勇者并非无所畏惧,而是判断出有比恐惧更重要的东西.