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The Greenhouse Effect The term 'Greenhouse Effect' is commonly used to describe the increase in the Earth's average temperature that has been recorded over the past 100 years. However, without the 'natural greenhouse effect', life on Earth would be very different to that seen today. The greenhouse effect is very important when we talk about climate change as it relates to the gases which keep the Earth warm. It is the extra greenhouse gases which humans have released which are thought to pose the strongest threat. The 'natural greenhouse effect' The Earth receives its life sustaining warmth from the Sun. On its way to the Earth's surface most of the heat energy passes through the Earth's atmosphere, while a smaller proportion is reflected back into space. The energy warms the Earth's surface, and as the temperature increases, the Earth radiates heat energy (infrared energy) back into the atmosphere. As this energy has a different wavelength to that coming from the sun, some is absorbed by gases in the atmosphere. As a result, the Earth's average surface temperature is kept at about 15C by the blanket of atmosphere that surrounds it. Without this, the temperature would be about minus 18C - too cold for life. The gases keep the Earth warm in a similar (but not identical) way as a greenhouse keeps plants warm. The 'enhanced greenhouse effect' Although most of the greenhouse gases occur naturally in the atmosphere, some are man-made and the most well-known of these are the fluorocarbons. Since the industrial revolution, human activities have also resulted in an increase in natural greenhouse gases, especially carbon dioxide. An increase in these gases in the atmosphere enhances the atmosphere's ability to trap heat, which leads to an increase in the average surface temperature of the Earth. Key Points Global temperatures have risen by over 0.7C in the last 300 years - climate change is therefore already taking place. 0.5C of this warming occurred during the 20th century. Most of the warming was from 1910 to 1940 and from 1976 onwards Four out of five of the warmest years ever recorded were in the 1990's The 1990's was the warmest decade of the last millennium with 1998 being the warmest year globally since records began in 1861 1999 was the warmest year on record in the UK January-June 2002 was the warmest start to a year in the northern hemisphere The total number of cold days (where the average temperature was under 0C) has fallen from between 15 and 20 per year prior to the twentieth century, to around 10 per year in recent years 1995 saw the most hot days in 225 years of daily measurements - 26 days above 20C Sea levels are rising globally, arctic sea ice is thinning and rainfall is becoming heavier in some parts of the World. Average global sea levels have increased by between 0.1 and 0.2 metres over the last 100 years Snow cover in the Northern Hemisphere has declined since the late 1960's by around 10% Mountain glaciers in non polar regions have retreated significantly during the 20th century There is evidence of more precipitation in large parts of the World - an increase of 0.5-1% per decade in many mid and high level areas of the northern hemisphere In the same area of the World there has been a 2-4% increase in the frequency of heavy rainfall events In Asia and Africa there has been an increased frequency and intensity of droughts in the last few decades