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NCPP Presentation - ESGF-CoG
NCPP Presentation - ESGF-CoG

... • Identify key standards and existing software to build on • Define incremental releases based on use cases • Use community-based approaches for prioritization, implementation, and review during development ESGF role: • ESGF (Earth System Grid Federation) is a potential component of the data system ...
Can Dr. Evil Save The World?
Can Dr. Evil Save The World?

... But the X-ray laser turned out to be a debacle, done in by engineering problems, cost overruns and the fall of the Soviet Union. All told, $60 billion was blown on the Star Wars program -- with little to show for it. Wood, however, believes that those billions helped make the world a safer place. Wh ...
Full Text - Oxford Academic
Full Text - Oxford Academic

... vulnerability included country income level based on World Bank classifications of low- or middle-income countries (LMIC) vs high-income countries (HIC)18 and the predominant climate at each study location (Koppen climate classifications).19 Because only two studies were conducted in arid regions,20 ...
Predicting and verifying the intended and unintended consequences
Predicting and verifying the intended and unintended consequences

... depletion and the regeneration of nutrients and CO2 in subsurface waters, which could lead generally to increased production and efflux of greenhouse gases such as N2O and methane (with 300× and 23× the global warming potential of CO2, respectively, calculated by molecular weight). (3) Fertilization ...
Somero, 2010 - Zoology, UBC
Somero, 2010 - Zoology, UBC

... upper thermal tolerance limits, which physiological systems set these limits, and how species differ in acclimatization capacities for modifying their thermal tolerances. Reductionist studies at the molecular level can contribute to this analysis by revealing how much change in sequence is needed to ...
Wind stress curl
Wind stress curl

... HadCEM showed little change in climate, Roberts et al, 2004) • Various studies using recent higher resolution observed datasets to force atmosphere models are beginning to show how smaller scales can have important effect on larger scales (e.g. TIWs, boundary currents) ...
Infosylva Special COP 17
Infosylva Special COP 17

... Uganda's water and environment minister, Maria Mutagamba, has said a global agreement should be designed to help cut down deforestation that contributes to global warming. Mutagamba was speaking at the high level segment of the United Nations (UN) climate talks in Durban attended by top UN diplomats ...
Temperature-induced mismatches between
Temperature-induced mismatches between

... and the metabolism : consumption ratio. For simplicity, we show the quadratic model, though the linear model fit the data equally well (Appendix A: Table A2). In each panel, the solid black line is the overall trend, and the other lines are the species-level trends. ...
PDF
PDF

Assessing global biome exposure to climate change through the
Assessing global biome exposure to climate change through the

... increase across the entire globe in the A1B greenhouse gas emission scenario with respect to 0 cal bp (Fig. 1). Modelled mH maximum and mean temperatures are higher in the Northern Hemisphere than 0 cal bp. Maximum and mean temperatures are lower for much of the Southern Hemisphere, with notable exc ...
Economic Impacts of Climate Change on North Dakota
Economic Impacts of Climate Change on North Dakota

... referred to as greenhouse gases (GHGs) because they can trap radiation on Earth in a manner analogous to that of the glass of a greenhouse and have a warming effect on the globe. Among the other most notable GHGs are carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O) and chlorofluorocarbons (C ...
Quiz
Quiz

... If we stopped all greenhouse gas emissions today, would we still have climate change? • No, the greenhouse gases in the atmosphere would quickly dissipate, immediately stopping the warming and related changes in the climate. • Yes, humans have been adding greenhouse gases to the atmosphere for so m ...
Final-Coastal-Resources-2012-07-12
Final-Coastal-Resources-2012-07-12

... Short term understandable; future uncertain ...
Atlantic meridional heat transports computed from balancing Earth`s
Atlantic meridional heat transports computed from balancing Earth`s

... directly how the AMOC peak transports fluctuate in latitude as well as time. We can also extend the record back in time. The approach has been used in the past [Trenberth and Caron, 2001; Trenberth and Fasullo, 2008], but results based upon new data and more recent higher-resolution atmospheric reana ...
Research Article Environmetrics
Research Article Environmetrics

... The temperatures we will consider are the yearly combined land and sea surface temperatures, averaged separately over the northern and southern hemispheres. At least three scientific groups produce estimates of these hemispheric temperatures on a routinely basis: the University of East Anglia and th ...
Annex 3: Strengths and weaknesses of climate models
Annex 3: Strengths and weaknesses of climate models

... this. Many features of the past and future climate produced by models, for example, the climate sensitivity — the global mean temperature change for a doubling of CO2 — could not have been predicted or somehow set when the model was put together. During model development it is the case that optimisa ...
Primer on Short-Lived Climate Pollutants
Primer on Short-Lived Climate Pollutants

... slowing the rate of climate change over the next several decades and for protecting the people and regions most vulnerable to nearterm climate impacts. Although we have known about SLCPs for more than thirty-five years,3 the following scientific developments have catapulted them to the front lines i ...
Public Enemy No. 1? Understanding Media Representations of
Public Enemy No. 1? Understanding Media Representations of

... Numerous events in recent years have recalibrated “contrarian” considerations in the public arena. For example, in October 2009, possibilities for “global cooling” (echoing claims made in the 1970s) permeated mass media accounts. The news hook was that the U.K. Met Office’s Hadley Centre reported th ...
Warm climates of the past—a lesson for the future?
Warm climates of the past—a lesson for the future?

... estimate of approximately 1000 ppmv); taken along with our understanding of the physics of the atmosphere and radiation and the greenhouse effect, this is consistent with the idea that increases in CO2 can have a large influence on the Earth system. However, without well-constrained proxy evidence fo ...
Climate Change Science for Mesoamerican Decision Makers
Climate Change Science for Mesoamerican Decision Makers

... The General Circulation Model (GCM) is a sophisticated numerical model that attempts to simulate all relevant parts and processes of the climate system. These are sometimes also called ‘Global Climate Models’, though many much simpler climate models could also be referred to as such. The GCM is not ...
Nov 21, 2015 - Science and Environmental Policy Project
Nov 21, 2015 - Science and Environmental Policy Project

... (IPCC) becomes more certain in attributing recent climate change to human influence. That is, that human influence, particularly carbon dioxide emissions (CO2), is the specific cause of climate change. This intensification of certainty is particularly noticeable in a trend from Third Assessment Repo ...
Climate Change and Disaster Risk Reduction
Climate Change and Disaster Risk Reduction

... risen unusually rapidly over the last few decades. There is strong evidence of increases in average global air and ocean temperatures, widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising average global sea levels. The IPCC Fourth Assessment Report concludes that the global warming is unequivocal. Atmosph ...
IMPLICATIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE WIDER
IMPLICATIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE WIDER

... format in assessing the implications of climate change. The common format is called the "Terms of Reference", which was developed at the WMO/ICSU/UNEP (1985) meeting in Villach, Austria, and is given in Table 1. At Villach, an equilibrium global warming of 1.5 - 4.50C and a global sea level rise of ...
Simulated interannual variation in summertime atmospheric
Simulated interannual variation in summertime atmospheric

... observed sea surface temperature (SST) of recent 20 years as a lower boundary condition. The spatial pattern associated with the first principal mode of observation of geopotential height at 500 hPa is characterized by a meridional wavy pattern extending over eastern Siberia, the vicinity of Japan a ...
MAR 115
MAR 115

... This is a University Studies (2B) course on introduction to climate. The course is designed by meteorologists and climatologists nationally recognized in atmospheric science education. In this course, students are introduced to the many elements of Earth's climate system in a dynamic and highly moti ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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