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The Scientific Consensus on Climate Change: How Do We Know
The Scientific Consensus on Climate Change: How Do We Know

... causing surface air temperatures and subsurface ocean temperatures to rise’’ (National Academy of Sciences 2001, 1). The report explicitly addresses whether the IPCC assessment is a fair summary of professional scientific thinking and answers yes: ‘‘The IPCC’s conclusion that most of the observed war ...
June 2013 ISSN 2070-4593
June 2013 ISSN 2070-4593

Special Council Meeting - 3-5 February, 2010
Special Council Meeting - 3-5 February, 2010

... Council Meeting with devotion. 2. Mr Hassan Khan, Fiji, (FCOSS) welcomed participants in Fiji’s capacity as host country. He noted the significance of the Special Council Meeting in terms of PIANGO’s development and said that it signalled a climate and a call for change for the organisation. 3. In o ...
climate change and indigenous people
climate change and indigenous people

... Rheum nobile is among the many high altitude species threatened by climate change ...
Influences of Climate on Ontario Forests
Influences of Climate on Ontario Forests

... cold snaps might be in store for the next century. All of these may do serious harm to vegetation. The use of general circulation models (GCMs) enables researchers to simulate the future climate. There are a number of shortcomings associated with GCMs; nevertheless, most models are in agreement in p ...
unburnable carbon: why we need to leave fossil fuels in the ground
unburnable carbon: why we need to leave fossil fuels in the ground

... Climate Council of Australia Ltd copyright material is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia License. To view a copy of this license visit http://creativecommons.org.au You are free to copy, communicate and adapt the Climate Council of Australia Ltd copyright material so long ...
NOAA 31st Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop Boulder, Colorado October 25 2006
NOAA 31st Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop Boulder, Colorado October 25 2006

Biogeosciences
Biogeosciences

Human Impacts on Weather and Climate - Recent Research Results
Human Impacts on Weather and Climate - Recent Research Results

... estimates and ranges in 2005 for anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O) and other important agents and mechanisms, together with the typical geographical extent (spatial scale) of the forcing and the assessed level of scientific understanding (LOSU). The net anthropog ...
Do Models Underestimate the Solar Contribution to Recent Climate
Do Models Underestimate the Solar Contribution to Recent Climate

... including anthropogenic forcings show that warming over the last 50 yr can be explained by a combination of greenhouse warming balanced by cooling from sulfate aerosols (Stott et al. 2000; Delworth and Knutson 2000; Dai et al. 2001) but these simulations generally fail to simulate the overall tempor ...
Comments by:  Patrick J. Michaels and Paul C. Knappenberger
Comments by: Patrick J. Michaels and Paul C. Knappenberger

Responses to Climate Change and their Implications on
Responses to Climate Change and their Implications on

... Restoration of the Bay requires concerted efforts by local, state and federal governments, and funding from each. It also requires a vigorous, market-based application of advanced agricultural practices.11 Any threat to that funding or the nascent nutrients market is a threat to restoration of the ...
Chapter 6
Chapter 6

... record, can record the short-term variability of weather events. And third, most climate proxies are influenced by multiple factors. For instance, the thickness of tree rings (dendrochronology) is a wonderful proxy for temperature. Trees grow more in warmer years (producing thicker rings) and less i ...
An imperative need for global change research in tropical forests
An imperative need for global change research in tropical forests

... Tropical forests play a crucial role in regulating regional and global climate dynamics, and model projections suggest that rapid climate change may result in forest dieback or savannization. However, these predictions are largely based on results from leaf-level studies. How tropical forests respon ...
Goal of Research
Goal of Research

... Marine apex predators forage in areas where oceanographic features such as currents, frontal systems, thermal layers, sea mounts and continental shelf breaks help to increase prey availability (Boyd et al. 2001, Field et al. 2001). In the Southern Ocean additional features, such as icebergs, local e ...
CSIRO_CCAM Model_Methodology_FNL
CSIRO_CCAM Model_Methodology_FNL

... This section describes the methods used to provide high-resolution climate projection information for the Philippines. GCMs provide the best available tools for simulating large-scale future climates based on various greenhouse gas and aerosol emission scenarios, since they are able to couple atmosp ...
Impacts of climate change on plankton
Impacts of climate change on plankton

... impact in the southern North Sea where the atmosphereocean interface is most pronounced. This is also apparent with respect to temperatures across the Northern Hemisphere where the response is also spatially heterogeneous with areas of the North-East Atlantic and shelf areas of the North-West Atlant ...
Implications of Climate Changes in the Wider Caribbean Region
Implications of Climate Changes in the Wider Caribbean Region

... format in assessing the implications of climate change. The common format is called the "Terms of Reference", which was developed at the WMO/ICSU/UNEP (1985) meeting in Villach, Austria, and is given in Table 1. At Villach, an equilibrium global warming of 1.5 - 4.50C and a global sea level rise of ...
Important data of cloud properties for assessing the response of
Important data of cloud properties for assessing the response of

... Interannual Climate Variations (an example, not an analogue!) Sensitivity of the SW CRF to SST changes composited by dynamical regimes convective regimes OBS 1984-2000 monthly data : • ISCCP-FD radiative fluxes • Reynolds SST • ERA40 or NCEP2 reanalyses ...
Lecture slides, Nov. 4 (6.1 MB)
Lecture slides, Nov. 4 (6.1 MB)

Doubled length of western European summer heat waves since 1880
Doubled length of western European summer heat waves since 1880

Climate change going beyond dangerous
Climate change going beyond dangerous

... parts and the industrialising and less wealthy parts of the world? With respect to the first question, there are many long-term targets that sound ambitious. For example, the UK has committed to reductions of 80 per cent CO2 equivalent by 2050. The EU has adopted a similar goal, while the 2007 UN cl ...
Climate predictability - Institut Català de Ciències del Clima
Climate predictability - Institut Català de Ciències del Clima

... convection, and thus a weakening of the Walker circulation, setting up the positive Bjerknes feedback that exponentially grows on top of the incipient warming and leads to the mature phase of El Niño. Changes in the distribution of European temperatures in a context of global warming are described ...
Assessing ``Dangerous Climate Change
Assessing ``Dangerous Climate Change

... 6 Department of Environmental Studies, University of North Carolina, Wilmington, North Carolina, United States of America, 7 Global Change Institute, University of Queensland, St. Lucia, Queensland, Australia, 8 College of Law, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida, United States of America ...


... • Working papers on Fossil Fuel Divestment Strategies and Disruptive Innovation and Investment Strategies (July-August) • Identification of research partners (July-August) • Workshop on Asia Pacific de-carbonisation strategies (October) • ARC Linkage (October) or Discovery (March) – and explore othe ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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