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Volcanic Impacts on Short- and Long-Term Climate
Volcanic Impacts on Short- and Long-Term Climate

... only one year. Therefore, they suggest that the cooling in the second year is evident, whether the ENSO signal is removed or not. This idea would rather suggest that the summer of 1784 would have been colder than the one of 1783. Reduction of Diurnal Cycle: As mentioned before, volcanic eruptions pu ...
Let`s Respond Guide and Toolkit - Department of Environmental Affairs
Let`s Respond Guide and Toolkit - Department of Environmental Affairs

document
document

... 2.4 Thailand’s Climate change scenarios Three GCMs were chosen to construct precipitation and temperature scenarios over Thailand (TEI, 1999). The three GCMs used in the study were UK 89, UKMO and GISS as shown in Figure 6-9. Every model shows the increase in average temperature from 21.527.5oC to ...
How uncertainties in future climate change predictions translate into
How uncertainties in future climate change predictions translate into

... NCAR (Boville & Gent, 1998) and UKMO (Gordon et al., 2000). The two different CMIP2 simulations consist of a Control run with constant greenhouse gas concentrations and of a Greenhouse run with increasing CO2 at a rate of 1% per year. Note that the initial CO2 mixing ratio depends on the model and v ...
PDF File - Patrick Gonzalez
PDF File - Patrick Gonzalez

... plant ranges (37 species) and phenology (1161 species) in ecosystems around the world. More than 90% of time series of ecological data exhibited changes in the direction expected with warming temperatures. Many of the range shifts also changed the biomes of the ecosystems studied. The meta-analyses ...
Climate Change in the Midwest - Union of Concerned Scientists
Climate Change in the Midwest - Union of Concerned Scientists

... • Increases of 2.6°F in annual average temperatures since 1980, with the greatest increases of almost 4oF occurring in winter • A scarcity of cold waves during the 1990s, accompanied by several major heat waves, particularly those in 1995, 1999, and 2006 • A progressive advance in the date of last s ...
The rise of thermophilic sea urchins and the expansion
The rise of thermophilic sea urchins and the expansion

... Giulia Viscontia , Fabrizio Gianguzzab and Silvano Riggioa di Ecologia Università Degli Studi Di Palermo, Palermo, Italy; b Dipartimento di Biologia ...
Ecological and Evolutionary Responses to Recent Climate Change
Ecological and Evolutionary Responses to Recent Climate Change

Annex 7 - Science Search
Annex 7 - Science Search

... Changes in plant growth may alter the timing of events which could have critical effects. If climate change affects a vector or a host plant in a different manner to the pest or pathogen, their life cycles could become desynchronised. This is particularly important for pests/pathogens with a time-li ...
MS Climate 1AC Jiao-Taori Tournament
MS Climate 1AC Jiao-Taori Tournament

... thing isn’t up for debate: the evidence for climate change is unequivocal. We still control the future, however, as the magnitude of shifting weather patterns and the frequency of extreme climate events depends on how much more greenhouse gas we emit. We aren’t facing the end of the world as envisag ...
An overlook between the relationship of global climate change and
An overlook between the relationship of global climate change and

... The climate of the Earth is a constantly changing phenomenon that has dictated the lives and behaviors of animals since the planets conception. The complicated mixture of temperature, pressure, water, wind, and other variables has created patterns of warming and cooling the Earth’s atmosphere. This ...
EDITORIAL The global atmospheric water cycle
EDITORIAL The global atmospheric water cycle

... As there is a much smaller increase in the average precipitation, this means that the whole spectrum of precipitation changes (Semenov and Bengtsson 2002). As the climate warming so far has been rather modest and only about some 25% compared to the experiment used by Bengtsson et al (2009), we expec ...
Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal
Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal

... (more land) and southern (less land) mid-latitude oceans, combined with tropical warming, the Northern Hemisphere Hadley Cell is predicted to decrease in intensity while that of the Southern Hemisphere will increase in intensity [9]. It is still unclear how these future shifts in the Hadley Cell mig ...
Global climate change: climates of the future, choices for the present
Global climate change: climates of the future, choices for the present

... change studies, a warming of about 0.2 °C per decade is projected for the next two decades.  However, what is worrying is that even if the concentrations of all GHGs and aerosols are  kept constant at the levels they were in the year 2000, a further warming of about 0.1 °C per  decade and associated ...
"Biological Impacts of Climate Change". In: Encyclopedia of Life
"Biological Impacts of Climate Change". In: Encyclopedia of Life

... The Earth’s climate has been in a state of change for most of the history of life, and ample evidence exists to show how biological systems respond to changes in temperature and moisture. We know from fossils and other remains of long dead organisms that biological systems have undergone dramatic ch ...
[PDF]
[PDF]

... for the comparison. Hourly data for the time stretch of 16th – 25th April, 2013 and 20th – 29th May, 2013 has been archived from the Meteorological stations for the analysis of UHI. Analyzing nine days, each of spring and summer season, when the climate of Roorkee is in extremes, provided the basis ...
Implications of the Paris Agreement for Carbon Dioxide Removal
Implications of the Paris Agreement for Carbon Dioxide Removal

... experience climates closer to preindustrial conditions with SRM compared to what they would experience without it (Kravitz et al., 2014). In other words, SRM may be efficacious in reducing the dimensions of climate change more broadly, not just global average surface temperature. Fourth, and finall ...
Glossary of Synthesis Report
Glossary of Synthesis Report

View/Open
View/Open

CoP4 reviews from the BBC etc.
CoP4 reviews from the BBC etc.

... moral force. But there is a strong possibility that without the US coming on board, the entire international agreement on emissions reductions could fall apart in a few years' time. The crunch time is likely to be after the next US presidential elections. Optimists about ratification hope that polit ...
Weather and climate: changing human exposures
Weather and climate: changing human exposures

... the last century decreased rainfall in the region by about 10% (7). Bonan demonstrated that the conversion of forests to cropland in the United States resulted in a regional cooling of about 2 °C (8). There is concern that deforestation induced drought may be occurring in the Amazon and other parts ...
Does Climate Affect the World`s Vegetation – Or is it
Does Climate Affect the World`s Vegetation – Or is it

... land computer model that allows the atmosphere to interact with dynamic vegetation changes. They ran their initial calculations where the total vegetation cover fraction across the six global monsoon regions was reduced and the climatic response was assessed. Responses among the regions that were co ...
The Atmosphere_Ozone_Article (2)
The Atmosphere_Ozone_Article (2)

... stratosphere and alter the ozone there. And there are new concerns. One is the increasing number of rocket launches in the world's growing space programs. Every type of rocket engine causes some ozone loss. Experts warn that rocket launches must be restricted to prevent continued ozone destruction. ...
MPSAC Climate Change White Paper
MPSAC Climate Change White Paper

Phenological response of tundra plants to background climate
Phenological response of tundra plants to background climate

... initiate flowering [20] and might be expected to initiate these stages at lower temperatures than other growth forms. The general increase in deciduous shrubs across the Arctic [21] and increases in graminoids and shrubs to experimental warming [22,23] also suggest a strong differential response amo ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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