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Long-term changes in climate and insect damage
Long-term changes in climate and insect damage

... far northern parts of the continent (as in the multiAtmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Models average projections shown in figure 3.2 of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Synthesis Report, Climate Change (IPCC, 2007)). Thus, it is also likely that the increases in temperatures will be ...
Global Increasing Trends in Annual Maximum Daily Precipitation
Global Increasing Trends in Annual Maximum Daily Precipitation

... Annual maximum precipitation values were obtained from 11 391 land-based observing stations across the globe. These data represent the most comprehensive, long-running, high-quality data of precipitation extremes currently available and have been used to develop the Hadley Center Global Climate Extr ...
Ecological and Evolutionary Responses to Recent Climate Change
Ecological and Evolutionary Responses to Recent Climate Change

... first peacock butterfly seen flying, the first crocus in bloom—as a mark that the long, dark winter is finally over. Fall has not captured as much enthusiasm as spring, but some good records exist, for example, for the turning of leaf color for trees. The longest records of direct phenological observatio ...
- Open Research Online
- Open Research Online

... `Interpretation of ice cores, and of many other climate records, has recently revolutionized our view of Earth’ claims climatologist Richard Alley (2000: 13). Scientists have been piecing together evidence about the periodic advance and retreat of ice sheets since the 19th century, but only in the l ...
Climate Sensitivity, Sea Level, and Atmospheric
Climate Sensitivity, Sea Level, and Atmospheric

... amplify total Earth system sensitivity. Ice sheet response time is poorly defined, but we suggest that hysteresis and slow response in current ice sheet models are exaggerated. We use a global model, simplified to essential processes, to investigate state-dependence of climate sensitivity, finding a ...
Is the melting Arctic changing midlatitude weather?
Is the melting Arctic changing midlatitude weather?

... Scientists are wrestling not only with how large and consistent an impact on climate to expect from Arctic warming but with whether it is even recognizable. This past year climatologists Elizabeth Barnes and James Screen broke the linkage issue down to three questions: Can Arctic warming influence th ...
Report of the Working Group on Small Pelagic Fish, their
Report of the Working Group on Small Pelagic Fish, their

OVERVIEW:
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... B–Water supply: Water supply in the NRB is being affected by a large number of factors including decreasing snowfall, increasing total winter precipitation (i.e., more winter rain), decreasing soil moisture, forest pests outbreaks and warming temperatures. These have led to a change in the annual d ...
Assessing the impacts of global warming on meteorological hazards
Assessing the impacts of global warming on meteorological hazards

... meteorological hazards that would spawn disasters. Based on the statistics on natural disasters ...
SEA LEVEL CHANGE
SEA LEVEL CHANGE

... so low that surface melting is negligible, and the ice sheet loses mass mainly by ice discharge into Soating ice shelves, which melt at their underside and eventually break up to form icebergs. In Greenland, summer temperatures are high enough to cause widespread surface melting, which accounts for ...
On the climate response of the low
On the climate response of the low

SNAB Topic 5 On the wild side
SNAB Topic 5 On the wild side

... If two teachers/lecturers are sharing a group for Topic 5, the first could start at Session 1 with the second starting at Session 11. This means that the second teacher would have a larger chunk of the content. The first teacher could either start the next topic once they have done sessions 1 to 10, ...
Information and Knowledge Management for Climate Change
Information and Knowledge Management for Climate Change

... What is VCA? An Introduction to Vulnerability and Capacity Assessment Drinking Water Safety Planning: A Practical Guide for Pacific Island Countries Climate Proofing for Development: Adapting to Climate Change Reducing Risks - Summary for Policy and Decision Makers Surviving Climate Change in Small ...
Parmesan
Parmesan

... first peacock butterfly seen flying, the first crocus in bloom—as a mark that the long, dark winter is finally over. Fall has not captured as much enthusiasm as spring, but some good records exist, for example, for the turning of leaf color for trees. The longest records of direct phenological observatio ...
Expansion of the Tropics – Evidence and implications
Expansion of the Tropics – Evidence and implications

... impacts and adaptation pathways for natural resource management in northern Australia. ...
15A.3 THE IMPACT OF FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE ON
15A.3 THE IMPACT OF FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE ON

... The goal of this study is to assess the impact that projected changes in the tropical thermodynamic environment (SST, atmospheric temperature and moisture) would have on maximum TC intensity and structure. This study will advance previous research in several ways: ...
Greece adaptation plan – GAifadopoulou - mowe
Greece adaptation plan – GAifadopoulou - mowe

... •A change in the state of the climate that can be identified (e.g., by using statistical tests) by changes in the mean and/or the variability of its properties and that persists for an extended period, typically decades or longer. •It refers to any change in climate over time, whether due to natural ...
Increasing water cycle extremes in California and in relation to
Increasing water cycle extremes in California and in relation to

... flood, will likely intensify despite the gradual increase of annual mean precipitation that can pose a new challenge in the management of already declining fresh water resources in the future27. The intensified water cycle extremes are linked to strengthened ENSO teleconnections, particularly extreme ...
June 2012 - International Association for Urban Climate
June 2012 - International Association for Urban Climate

... Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences who is also a lead author on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports, which, among other things, assess global climate-change simulations for the United Nations. “Every season of the year in every part of the county will be warmer,” Hall s ...
High impact, low probability? An empirical analysis of risk in the economics of climate change: Working Paper 9 (505 kB) (opens in new window)
High impact, low probability? An empirical analysis of risk in the economics of climate change: Working Paper 9 (505 kB) (opens in new window)

... from PAGE)4, even a cubic function will lead to costs equivalent to only c. 10% of global GDP for 5°C warming, despite the fact that such warming could well trigger huge environmental changes (being for instance a greater difference in temperature than exists between the present day and the peak of ...
Climatic classification and future global
Climatic classification and future global

Will Geoengineering With Solar Radiation Management Ever Be
Will Geoengineering With Solar Radiation Management Ever Be

Projected changes in mean and extreme precipitation in Africa
Projected changes in mean and extreme precipitation in Africa

... Observed twentieth century precipitation used in this study was taken from the CRU TS2.1 gridded station data. Unlike in SHO09, dearth of station observations in the Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN) data precluded delineating homogenous rainfall zones. For this reason, the climate zones ...
Responses of terrestrial ecosystems to temperature and
Responses of terrestrial ecosystems to temperature and

... and suggests that the sensitivity of respiration to warming will eventually surpass that of ecosystem photosynthesis. This is consistent with projections of most global biogeochemical models that continued warming will cause declines in net C uptake by around midcentury (Cao & Woodward, 1998; Cox et ...
ASN Bank Our vision on Climate Change
ASN Bank Our vision on Climate Change

... Article 2 of the Climate Change Convention (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)) reads as follows: ‘The ultimate objective of this Convention and any related legal instruments that the Conference of the Parties may adopt is to achieve, in accordance with the relevant provi ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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