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Possible impacts of a shutdown of the thermohaline circulation
Possible impacts of a shutdown of the thermohaline circulation

... thermohaline circulation collapse, the total and marginal impacts of climate change are negative. Key words climate change, climate change impacts, thermohaline circulation, integrated assessment 1. Introduction In today’s climate, the North Atlantic region and Northwestern Europe benefit from the h ...
Article - Cerfacs
Article - Cerfacs

... physical parameters. Over NA, the DTR significantly decreases due to the large increase of Tmin. The downward longwave radiation at the surface is enhanced (related to the GHG increase) and causes Tmin to increase. During daytime, the strong increase of LWd is counterbalanced by the strong decrease ...
ETADATA OF THE CLIMATE CHANGE KNOWLEDGE PORTAL
ETADATA OF THE CLIMATE CHANGE KNOWLEDGE PORTAL

... 2. Climatologies: For each model, and for each of the four selected variables, 20‐year climatologies  were  formed.  The  ‘baseline’  interval  (1986‐2005)  was  derived  from  the  historical  simulations,  while the future climatologies (2020‐2039, 2040‐2059, 2060‐2079, 2080‐2099) were computed  f ...
14 October 2010 - United Nations Economic Commission for Africa
14 October 2010 - United Nations Economic Commission for Africa

... It is in view of this that the ADB is proposing the AGF to act as the administrator of the expected funding for climate change adaptation. Anthony Nyong, an official of the ADB, said the purpose of the AGF would be to receive and manage all climate change adaptation and mitigation resources allocate ...
The Need To Assess Spatial Variations In Climate Forcings - Suggestions For
The Need To Assess Spatial Variations In Climate Forcings - Suggestions For

Effects of Cropland Cover Changes on Regional Climate over
Effects of Cropland Cover Changes on Regional Climate over

... have the effect of adjusting the East Asian monsoon system and regional climates in other parts of China. Observation studies also show that the vegetation has effectively improved or stabilized after the project [Li et al., 2010]. In order to further understand the effects of different cropland cov ...
Climate Change and the Skiing Industry: Impacts and Potential
Climate Change and the Skiing Industry: Impacts and Potential

Climate change impacts on South American Rangelands
Climate change impacts on South American Rangelands

... to affect future primary production. The inter-annual variation in precipitation leads to time ...
Climate change and the groundwater
Climate change and the groundwater

... excessive agriculture and livestock and land-use landcover changes. Figure 5 shows how land use controls the ambient temperature of the Earth. Due to rapid industrial growth, every nation has tremendously increased its road connectivity thereby reducing vegetative cover. The Paved (asphalt and concr ...
modern climate science - American Meteorological Society
modern climate science - American Meteorological Society

... Climate has been traditionally thought of as a synthesis of actual weather conditions at the same locality over some specified period of time, as well as descriptions of weather variability and extremes over the entire period of record at that location. Climate so defined can be called empirical, i. ...
December 3, 2015 Via online complaint form Commissioner of
December 3, 2015 Via online complaint form Commissioner of

... Analyses of published peer reviewed papers on the issue since 1991 show consensus of at least 97%.11 The latest date that can be given as to when the scientific consensus that human activities drive global warming and climate change was reached is 2001. That was the year the IPCC’s watershed Third A ...
HSBC Statement on Climate Change
HSBC Statement on Climate Change

... • HSBC closely supports the Financial Stability Board’s Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures. The task force is developing voluntary, consistent climate-related disclosures for use by companies in providing information to lenders, insurers, investors and other stakeholders. • HSBC h ...
Climate Change: Addressing the Major Skeptic Arguments
Climate Change: Addressing the Major Skeptic Arguments

... only made it harder for people to untangle the arguments and form their own opinions. This is problematic because the way the public’s views are shaped is critical to future political action on climate change. For investors in particular, the implications are huge. While there are many arguments in ...
pdf - The Paleoindian Database of the Americas
pdf - The Paleoindian Database of the Americas

... dioxide and methane, greenhouse gases, than at any time over the past 650,000 years, and concluded that a ‘‘warming of the climate system is unequivocal’’ (IPCC, 2007, p. 5). Many people alive today will likely see dramatic increases in global temperature and sea level; decreases in snow cover, sea ...
Impact of Freshwater Release in the North Atlantic under Different
Impact of Freshwater Release in the North Atlantic under Different

... toward the surface ocean, which limits sea ice formation). Process (ii) is more regional, but it affects the surface radiative budget (through the high albedo of the sea ice), and therefore also the large-scale surface climate. These two processes are not independent from each other and are both rel ...
The millennial atmospheric lifetime of anthropogenic CO2
The millennial atmospheric lifetime of anthropogenic CO2

... pCO2 of about 490 ppm to keep the global warming below the 2°C danger limit. This corresponds to about 400 Gton C of anthropogenic carbon in the atmosphere. If we divide 400 Gton C by a maximum airborne fraction of 55%, we calculate a maximum allowable total emission of about 700 Gton C, of which 30 ...
What is dangerous climate change?
What is dangerous climate change?

... likely to spread and increase in severity with increased warming. On their own these may not be sufficient to be defined as dangerous with respect to Article 2 but when taken together with other dangers could do so. In some cases if the severity were to increase beyond some point these could also be ...
Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming
Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming

... # Best available data show sea-level rise is not accelerating. Local and regional sea levels continue to exhibit typical natural variability – in some places rising and in others falling. # The link between warming and drought is weak, and by some measures drought decreased over the twentieth centur ...
Temperature sensitivity of drought-induced tree mortality portends
Temperature sensitivity of drought-induced tree mortality portends

... starvation should be highly sensitive to temperature, whereas hydraulic failure should not. We experimentally investigated the temperature sensitivity of drought-induced mortality in Pinus edulis, a piñon pine tree that has exhibited regional-scale die-off in response to recent drought (3, 4) and w ...
pdf 167kb
pdf 167kb

... nitrogen fixation rates in treatment and control plots of the OTC and STF experiments during the summer of 2002. In order to minimize the impacts of repeated samplings, three soil samples were randomly selected for collection in early summer (June 28–July 5) and six soil samples were harvested from t ...
Evaluating the Use of Ocean Models of Different Complexity in
Evaluating the Use of Ocean Models of Different Complexity in

... Due to these uncertainties, there is no single best climate model or best set of key climate parameters for projecting climate change. A sensible approach is therefore to produce probability distributions for the changes in the most important climate variables. Such probabilistic approaches are als ...
Farm-level adaptation options: south-eastern South Australia
Farm-level adaptation options: south-eastern South Australia

... of 7% compared with the ‘no change’ scenario (yields ranged from 5–8% between sites). At Paskeville, introducing the fallow component offset the yield losses that were caused by changing climate conditions. It also raised yields above those achieved in 1998–2007, due to improved soil moisture availa ...
Effects of Global Warming on Trout and Salmon in U.S. Streams
Effects of Global Warming on Trout and Salmon in U.S. Streams

Why is ITCZ in the North?
Why is ITCZ in the North?

... Clouds cause the jet latitude changes…  Examine interannual variability of jet latitudes & ...
Analysis of Existing Weather and Climate Information for Malawi
Analysis of Existing Weather and Climate Information for Malawi

... There are several southern African regional sources of weather and climate information. The National Meteorological and Hydrological Agency in Malawi is the Department of Climate Change and Meteorological Services (DCCMS), which is institutionally located within the Ministry for Environment and Clim ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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