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The potential impacts of climate change on the mid
The potential impacts of climate change on the mid

... 2095 (Table 1). Such predictions are supported by other climate model studies in the mid-Atlantic (Hodny 1992, Crane & Hewitson 1998, Najjar 1999). Estimates of the magnitude and seasonal timing of the precipitation increase vary considerably among models, suggesting significant uncertainty in these ...
Why economics matters for understanding the effects of climate
Why economics matters for understanding the effects of climate

... place for the fishery. For example, a harvester’s decision-making process is different in a rationalized fishery (a fishery with individual allocations of quota) vs. a non-rationalized fishery (no individual allocation of quota, although often entry into the fishery is limited and there is a TAC). C ...
Resilience an approach for urban climate change
Resilience an approach for urban climate change

... example of urban micro climate change. A study in Taiwan also note that, when increased 100W/m2 of AH (anthropogenic heat) in the model, the average surface temperature could increased nearly 0,3oC in Taipei. (Chuan-Yao Lin et. al., 2008). Characteristics of rapidly urbanizing areas include populati ...
Challenge of Weather and Climate
Challenge of Weather and Climate

... 7. Find climatic data for a nearby town or city at http://www.worldweather.org/010/m010.htm . Plot the data as a climatic graph and compare this information with the weather forecast data. Contrast with other cities in the UK 8. As well as major global influences there are also more local ones. Pose ...
The language of climate change adaptation
The language of climate change adaptation

... its usage would be expected to increase. It also seems to resonate well in terms of risk management. A stakeholder survey for the Environment Agency found that the words most commonly used to talk about the benefits of risk management, used widely across sector themes, are: resilient, flexible & res ...
Climate Change Impact on Agricultural Water Resources Variability
Climate Change Impact on Agricultural Water Resources Variability

... by the changing climate. In recent years, concern has increased over climate change caused by increasing concentrations of carbon dioxide and other trace gases in the atmosphere. A major effect of climate change is likely to be alterations in hydrologic cycles and changes in water availability. Incr ...
c/catt-brams - EELA Documents
c/catt-brams - EELA Documents

... The main idea is to use the GEL layer for “gridify” the C/CATT-BRAMS application In EELA1 we use AMGA as metadata server, however, in the grid C/CATT-BRAMS applications, due to performance reasons, we prefer to develop another interface for metadata information, the amount of files is very big. The ...


... classified as great, is likely to be increased for the country. This is based upon the possible effects that the projected unscheduled impacts can have on the economy both in terms of loss of life and economic infrastructure. Global changes have meant increased vulnerability in most locations, but, ...
Venezuela-Climate Change
Venezuela-Climate Change

... has become extremely evident to Venezuela that environmental policy is the only way to protect the country from itself, or the ability to exploit its natural resources for economic gain. Venezuela recognizes the global scientific consensus that greenhouse gas emissions are the main cause of climate ...
Contropedia: Case Study on Global Warming
Contropedia: Case Study on Global Warming

... Zooming in on the edit histories of these two links, we again look at the substance of the dispute and discuss the differences and similarities between the two links. It becomes clear that the edit discussion is about the scope of the support base of the report in the academic community. Around both ...
climate impacts and adaptation unit
climate impacts and adaptation unit

... composition of the atmosphere are one of the many factors influencing climate patterns. Is the observed warming over the last half-century due to changing carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere? Are we therefore causing climate change? ...
Global Health Threats: Global Warming in Perspective
Global Health Threats: Global Warming in Perspective

climate impacts and adaptation unit
climate impacts and adaptation unit

... composition of the atmosphere are one of the many factors influencing climate patterns. Is the observed warming over the last half-century due to changing carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere? Are we therefore causing climate change? ...
Heat Turn Down the Confronting
Heat Turn Down the Confronting

... will lead to less water resources in summer months and high risks of torrential floods. In the Balkans, a higher risk of drought results in potential declines for crop yields, urban health, and energy generation. In Macedonia, yield losses are projected of up to 50 percent for maize, wheat, vegetabl ...
the low-carbon development strategy of cyprus
the low-carbon development strategy of cyprus

... The ultimate objective of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) is to stabilise greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. ...
A Micro-econometric Analysis of Adaptation to Climate Change
A Micro-econometric Analysis of Adaptation to Climate Change

... (2010) provide insight into the heterogeneity in how disasters alter risk perceptions of homeowners in St. Louis County, Missouri. In addition, Grothmann and Reusswig (2006) consider the psychological aspects of adaptation and Fischer and ...
Carbon Offset Emission Memo - Alberta Environment and Parks
Carbon Offset Emission Memo - Alberta Environment and Parks

... Alberta Environment and Sustainable Resource Development (ESRD) has published Version 1.0 of the Carbon Offset Emission Factors Handbook (the Handbook). The Carbon Offset Emission Factors Handbook contains a listing of common emission factors used in the Alberta carbon offset system as well as commo ...
a pre-publication version here.
a pre-publication version here.

... grasp of the non-inducted can be experienced as exclusionary or even condescending. Finally, when experts tell lay audiences about the technical aspects of climate change, typically in oneway communication, there is little room for dialogue, building a shared understanding of the problem and possibl ...
Climate-human-environment interactions: resolving our past
Climate-human-environment interactions: resolving our past

... in time? Reviews of environmental changes over the last 250 years (e.g. Steffen et al., 2004) offer powerful images of recent rates of change, but may not capture the trajectories of “slow” adaptive cycles that are key to understanding resilience (Holling and Gunderson, 2002). Viewing our present ea ...
GEOG 104 - University of South Carolina
GEOG 104 - University of South Carolina

... of radiation and energy to the earth’s energy budget. In the second exam, students must build on the concepts from the first section to explain patterns and processes associated with atmospheric moisture, severe weather, global climate, and the cycling of water in its various forms. For the third ex ...
Extracting and analyzing the warming trend in
Extracting and analyzing the warming trend in

... climate change signal. These “optimal detection analyses” that combine observed and modeled climate data have provided important evidence for supporting IPCC’s statements such as “most of the observed increase in global average temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observ ...
Climate Change in the Midwest - Union of Concerned Scientists
Climate Change in the Midwest - Union of Concerned Scientists

... such as coal, oil, and natural gas. CO2 is also produced by land use changes, including tropical deforestation. Agricultural activity and waste treatment are important sources of CH4 and N2O ...
UNEP 2009 Global Outlook on Ice and Snow Highlights
UNEP 2009 Global Outlook on Ice and Snow Highlights

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The Critical Role of the North Atlantic and Arctic Oceans
The Critical Role of the North Atlantic and Arctic Oceans

... The surprising realization that Earth’s climate fluctuates fast and furiously was confirmed in the early 1990s when scientists analyzed cores drilled through the two-mile-thick ice sheet atop Greenland. The ice contained a climate record ranging back about 110,000 years. Scientists discovered that pas ...
Impact of Climate Change on Wheat Production
Impact of Climate Change on Wheat Production

... sustainable, well-informed production decisions. Accurate weather data combined with historical trends will give a better understanding of how the regional climate will affect wheat crop yields throughout Kentucky. Background on Climate Change Research Summary:  CO2 in Earth’s atmosphere has increa ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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