Towards Local Costing of Climate Change Impacts for Decision
... • Uncertainty in results provokes different responses according to stakeholder contexts, preferences. – Spread risk across stakeholders e.g. Promote range of responses (property subsidence) – Reactive e.g. Wait for trend to become clear (Gardens) – Proactive e.g. Bid for more financial resources to ...
... • Uncertainty in results provokes different responses according to stakeholder contexts, preferences. – Spread risk across stakeholders e.g. Promote range of responses (property subsidence) – Reactive e.g. Wait for trend to become clear (Gardens) – Proactive e.g. Bid for more financial resources to ...
Climate change leads to range shift of Willy Wagtails to previously
... due to the climate being too temperate for the survival of their young (Sharland, 1950), the colonisation of Tasmania by Wagtails shows that climatic warming has resulted in Tasmania becoming a suitable habitat for the species. The colonisation of Tasmania by R. leucophrys may also be driven by Tasm ...
... due to the climate being too temperate for the survival of their young (Sharland, 1950), the colonisation of Tasmania by Wagtails shows that climatic warming has resulted in Tasmania becoming a suitable habitat for the species. The colonisation of Tasmania by R. leucophrys may also be driven by Tasm ...
Climate-human-environment interactions: resolving our - HAL-Insu
... in time? Reviews of environmental changes over the last 250 years (e.g. Steffen et al., 2004) offer powerful images of recent rates of change, but may not capture the trajectories of “slow” adaptive cycles that are key to understanding resilience (Holling and Gunderson, 2002). Viewing our present ea ...
... in time? Reviews of environmental changes over the last 250 years (e.g. Steffen et al., 2004) offer powerful images of recent rates of change, but may not capture the trajectories of “slow” adaptive cycles that are key to understanding resilience (Holling and Gunderson, 2002). Viewing our present ea ...
Which Species Are Most At Risk?
... photo credits, from top to bottom: © Tim Fitzharris/Minden Pictures/National Geographic Stock; © Paul Nicklen/National Geographic Stock; © Michio Hoshino/Minden Pictures; Defenders of Wildlife Photo Contest; © Jeff Mondragon/mondragonphoto.com; © Michael Quinton/National Geographic Stock; USFWS; © M ...
... photo credits, from top to bottom: © Tim Fitzharris/Minden Pictures/National Geographic Stock; © Paul Nicklen/National Geographic Stock; © Michio Hoshino/Minden Pictures; Defenders of Wildlife Photo Contest; © Jeff Mondragon/mondragonphoto.com; © Michael Quinton/National Geographic Stock; USFWS; © M ...
CLIMATE CHANGE
... that the Earth’s atmosphere and oceans are warming gradually as a result of human activity. This warming will exacerbate climate variability and, ultimately, will adversely impact food and water security around the planet. Central to global warming is the “greenhouse effect” – a process in which gre ...
... that the Earth’s atmosphere and oceans are warming gradually as a result of human activity. This warming will exacerbate climate variability and, ultimately, will adversely impact food and water security around the planet. Central to global warming is the “greenhouse effect” – a process in which gre ...
What shapes perceptions of climate change?
... Despite its environmental, social, and economic importance, climate change is a phenomenon that is not easily and accurately identified by the lay public, using their normal tools of observation and inference. Climate is a statistical phenomenon, a term that describes average weather conditions or t ...
... Despite its environmental, social, and economic importance, climate change is a phenomenon that is not easily and accurately identified by the lay public, using their normal tools of observation and inference. Climate is a statistical phenomenon, a term that describes average weather conditions or t ...
The Short-Term Temptations and Long
... future, through some mix of genuine concern about the long-term consequences of underaddressed environmental problems, combined with a perception that catastrophic warnings are needed to stimulate the public and policymakers to take urgent action. Doomsday scenarios may indeed catalyze public and po ...
... future, through some mix of genuine concern about the long-term consequences of underaddressed environmental problems, combined with a perception that catastrophic warnings are needed to stimulate the public and policymakers to take urgent action. Doomsday scenarios may indeed catalyze public and po ...
Climate Change Projections for the United States Midwest
... A comparison of observed temperature and precipitation patterns with PCM and HadCM3 calculations over the reference period of 1961–1990 reveals that, despite their relatively coarse resolution, both models adequately capture observed distributions over the Midwest region. Biases in model-derived sea ...
... A comparison of observed temperature and precipitation patterns with PCM and HadCM3 calculations over the reference period of 1961–1990 reveals that, despite their relatively coarse resolution, both models adequately capture observed distributions over the Midwest region. Biases in model-derived sea ...
Center for Environmental Systems Research, University of Kassel
... • Major milestone 6.4: Completion of probabilistic assessments of climate change impacts, and impacts at seasonal to decadal timescales for the core activities: crops, water resources, forests, energy, insurance and human ...
... • Major milestone 6.4: Completion of probabilistic assessments of climate change impacts, and impacts at seasonal to decadal timescales for the core activities: crops, water resources, forests, energy, insurance and human ...
Climate and land use change impacts on global terrestrial
... (CMIP5), they are likely to be widely used for driving models of ecosystem and hydrological impacts, and previous experience suggests that these studies will give a range of different results. Ecosystem and hydrological changes which are widely different from those projected by the ESMs themselves m ...
... (CMIP5), they are likely to be widely used for driving models of ecosystem and hydrological impacts, and previous experience suggests that these studies will give a range of different results. Ecosystem and hydrological changes which are widely different from those projected by the ESMs themselves m ...
http://www.fao.org/3/a-av223e.pdf
... has the potential to expedite both pureand crossbreeding programmes for adaptation, assuming phenotypes are available (Hayes et al., 2012); programs for performance recording in developing countries are thus needed. Given the importance of the landscape approach, tools and methods for improved integ ...
... has the potential to expedite both pureand crossbreeding programmes for adaptation, assuming phenotypes are available (Hayes et al., 2012); programs for performance recording in developing countries are thus needed. Given the importance of the landscape approach, tools and methods for improved integ ...
Will Amazonia Dry Out? Magnitude and Causes of Change from
... presumably positive vegetation feedback (Malhi et al. 2009). Additionally, instrumental and proxy records show that the Amazon rain forest was relatively stable throughout the twentieth century and in the geological past, such as during glacial times and the Holocene warm period (Baker et al. 2004; ...
... presumably positive vegetation feedback (Malhi et al. 2009). Additionally, instrumental and proxy records show that the Amazon rain forest was relatively stable throughout the twentieth century and in the geological past, such as during glacial times and the Holocene warm period (Baker et al. 2004; ...
Chapter 20: Crafting a New Narrative to Support
... Chapter 20. Crafting a New Narrative to Support Sustainability 1. Robert Pool, Earthrise: How Man First Saw the Earth (New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 2010). 2. Gary Gardner, Inspiring Progress (New York: W. W. Norton & Company, 2006), p. 70; “Religious Teachings on the Environment,” at www.gr ...
... Chapter 20. Crafting a New Narrative to Support Sustainability 1. Robert Pool, Earthrise: How Man First Saw the Earth (New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 2010). 2. Gary Gardner, Inspiring Progress (New York: W. W. Norton & Company, 2006), p. 70; “Religious Teachings on the Environment,” at www.gr ...
Investing to Curb Climate Change: A Guide for the Individual Investor
... severe weather events of all kinds, from wildfires and droughts to hurricanes and floods—has been more severe than many scientists had predicted. The global warming of the last several decades has been caused largely by human activities—in particular the burning of fossil fuels such as coal, oil and ...
... severe weather events of all kinds, from wildfires and droughts to hurricanes and floods—has been more severe than many scientists had predicted. The global warming of the last several decades has been caused largely by human activities—in particular the burning of fossil fuels such as coal, oil and ...
ESA - WCRP
... To realize the full potential of the long-term global Earth Observation archives that ESA together with its Member states have established over the last thirty years, as a significant and timely contribution to the ECV databases required by United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFC ...
... To realize the full potential of the long-term global Earth Observation archives that ESA together with its Member states have established over the last thirty years, as a significant and timely contribution to the ECV databases required by United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFC ...
170-179
... floods and droughts in Pakistan. This paper analyses the impacts of climate change on energy and water sector of Pakistan in future. Based on its findings it recommends certain policy changes as well as changes in the mindset of policy makers and planners regarding managing and mitigating vulnerabil ...
... floods and droughts in Pakistan. This paper analyses the impacts of climate change on energy and water sector of Pakistan in future. Based on its findings it recommends certain policy changes as well as changes in the mindset of policy makers and planners regarding managing and mitigating vulnerabil ...
a pdf
... the 2050s. However this hides a dramatic change in seasonal precipitation. Winter precipitation might increase by between 0% and 10% by the 2020s and up to 20% by the 2050s. On the other hand, summer precipitation might decrease by between 0% and 20% by the 2020s and up to 30% by the 2050s. • Cloud ...
... the 2050s. However this hides a dramatic change in seasonal precipitation. Winter precipitation might increase by between 0% and 10% by the 2020s and up to 20% by the 2050s. On the other hand, summer precipitation might decrease by between 0% and 20% by the 2020s and up to 30% by the 2050s. • Cloud ...
Climate change and mammals: evolutionary
... (0.35 day year 1) over a 13-year period. Continuous measurements were available in the last 5 years of the study only and the authors argue that the magnitude of change in plant growth over this time was much greater than the change in calving date, creating a trophic mismatch. Burthe et al. (2011) ...
... (0.35 day year 1) over a 13-year period. Continuous measurements were available in the last 5 years of the study only and the authors argue that the magnitude of change in plant growth over this time was much greater than the change in calving date, creating a trophic mismatch. Burthe et al. (2011) ...
Alien species in a warmer world: risks and opportunities
... laurocerasus in temperate areas of central Europe [31]. This could be about to change with warmer temperatures extending the growing season of plants and reproductive period of animals. There is evidence of a strong association between patterns of the emergence of gypsy moths Lymantria dispar and cl ...
... laurocerasus in temperate areas of central Europe [31]. This could be about to change with warmer temperatures extending the growing season of plants and reproductive period of animals. There is evidence of a strong association between patterns of the emergence of gypsy moths Lymantria dispar and cl ...
Predicting the effects of climate change on fire frequency in the
... have affected all the Quebec southern boreal forest fringe. These empirical results contrast with the predicted effects of climate warming. An increasing rate of forest disturbances, including fires, has been postulated (Overpeck et al., 1987). Based on twentieth century climate data, Clark (1988), ...
... have affected all the Quebec southern boreal forest fringe. These empirical results contrast with the predicted effects of climate warming. An increasing rate of forest disturbances, including fires, has been postulated (Overpeck et al., 1987). Based on twentieth century climate data, Clark (1988), ...
eastern US - American Meteorological Society
... relationships, nonlinear relationships with precipitation were most commonly included at sites in the Southwest (SW) and West North Central (WNC) regions. Nonlinear relationships with temperature were most common in the NW region. There was no obvious commonality, however, among sites and/or species ...
... relationships, nonlinear relationships with precipitation were most commonly included at sites in the Southwest (SW) and West North Central (WNC) regions. Nonlinear relationships with temperature were most common in the NW region. There was no obvious commonality, however, among sites and/or species ...
The Abrahamic Religions and Climate Change - e
... rise in the sea level, for example, can create extremely serious situations, if we consider that a quarter of the world’s population lives on the coast or nearby, and that the majority of our megacities are situated in coastal areas (§24). For Pope Francis, climate change persists as “one of the pri ...
... rise in the sea level, for example, can create extremely serious situations, if we consider that a quarter of the world’s population lives on the coast or nearby, and that the majority of our megacities are situated in coastal areas (§24). For Pope Francis, climate change persists as “one of the pri ...
Climate Ready Stirling`s Main Issues Report
... deforestation and other human activities. The upward trend in temperature is undeniable, despite natural variabilities that can cause the rate of warming to temporarily slow down or speed up for short periods. The IPCC Report notes that each of the last three decades have been successively warmer th ...
... deforestation and other human activities. The upward trend in temperature is undeniable, despite natural variabilities that can cause the rate of warming to temporarily slow down or speed up for short periods. The IPCC Report notes that each of the last three decades have been successively warmer th ...
INCREASING CLIMATE RESILIENCE
... CASCADE Research Methods To analyze the impacts of climate change on ecosystem services and agriculture, CASCADE modeled the impacts of climate change on water availability, the suitability of 10 crops, forest types, and the distribution of coffee pollinators. CASCADE also created adaptive capacity ...
... CASCADE Research Methods To analyze the impacts of climate change on ecosystem services and agriculture, CASCADE modeled the impacts of climate change on water availability, the suitability of 10 crops, forest types, and the distribution of coffee pollinators. CASCADE also created adaptive capacity ...
Attribution of recent climate change
Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).