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Updated February, 2016 FRANCINA DOMINGUEZ francina@illinois
Updated February, 2016 FRANCINA DOMINGUEZ francina@illinois

... Climate Signals: A New Statistical Approach Using MSSA. J. of Hydrology. V. 398 (1-2), pp. 65-75 12. * J. Cañon, F. Dominguez and J. Valdes, 2011: Vegetation Responses To Precipitation And Temperature: A Spatiotemporal Analysis Of Ecoregions In The Colorado River Basin. Int. J. Remote Sens. DOI:10. ...
Chinese Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures
Chinese Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures

... technological advances. Breakthroughs in wheat and rice production, which have been known as the Green Revolution (Evenson and Gollin, 2003), have greatly contributed to the ease of the population burden in various parts of the world. However, some 800 million to 1 billion people still experience ch ...
Climate policy under sustainable discounted utilitarianism: Working Paper 42 (830 kB) (opens in new window)
Climate policy under sustainable discounted utilitarianism: Working Paper 42 (830 kB) (opens in new window)

... conned to the application of discounted utilitarianism (DU). DU is controversial, both due to the conditions through which it is justied and due to its consequences for climate policies, where the discounting of future utility gains from present abatement eorts makes it harder for such measures t ...
Impact and Response Scenarios for Coastal Flooding in Barbados and
Impact and Response Scenarios for Coastal Flooding in Barbados and

... Sea Level Rise (in.) ...
1 - WMO
1 - WMO

... The efficient operation of the GCOS surface and upper air network is important for the achievement of the goal of the GCOS programme which is to facilitate improvement in climate observations leading to better:  Climate system monitoring, climate change detection and assessment of impacts of climat ...
Climate Change Adaptation Position Paper
Climate Change Adaptation Position Paper

... the South East and central Queensland. 35 people were killed. 200,000 people and over 70 towns were affected. Reconstruction costs have been estimated at $10bn1. Reconstruction costs for the rail industry are estimated to be approximately $1bn. There is some debate as to whether recent events such a ...
Lebanon Country Report February - March 2013
Lebanon Country Report February - March 2013

... change, also it is of high importance to build the capacity of national experts in conducting the GHG inventory and mitigation assessment and mitigation scenarios modelling and increasing the capability to benefit from the New Market Mechanisms dealing with carbon markets in the context of sustainab ...
SpecieS and climate change
SpecieS and climate change

... It has also been suggested that corals may be able to adapt to climate change by gradually evolving greater tolerance to higher oxygen levels in their tissues and hence to higher temperatures. In general, however, such adaptation is very slow and unlikely to be able to keep up with the current rates ...
Modelling the response of glaciers to climate warming
Modelling the response of glaciers to climate warming

... signal (see Kuhn 1985 for a well-documented example). This makes the interpretation of glacier records from a global selection of glaciers more difficult. Moreover, it is unclear how the behaviour of glaciers can be generalized to make inferences about all glaciers on earth. Despite this, when looki ...
FOR PARTICIPANTS ONLY MPDD/CSN/HLAPPD/APOA/2013 ENGLISH ONLY
FOR PARTICIPANTS ONLY MPDD/CSN/HLAPPD/APOA/2013 ENGLISH ONLY

... human activity. Vulnerability is the degree to which a system is susceptible to, and unable to cope with, adverse effects of climate change, including climate variability and extremes. Thus, vulnerability is a function of the character, magnitude, and rate of climate change and variation to which a ...
Suitability of European climate for the Asian tiger mosquito Aedes
Suitability of European climate for the Asian tiger mosquito Aedes

... returning from Croatia [11]. Environmental factors might have exacerbated the establishment of A. albopictus into new areas, as its survival range and seasonal activity have been shown to be influenced by a combination of climatic and environmental factors such as temperature, humidity, rainfall and ...
Adaptation to Climate Change
Adaptation to Climate Change

... slow the pace of climate change. On the contrary, emissions have been increasing in parallel with the growth of the world economy. Over the last century, atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide have increased from a pre-industrial value of 278 parts per million to 385 parts per million in 2008, ...
Death by Degrees: North Carolina
Death by Degrees: North Carolina

... 2000 has been one of the fifteen warmest years on record.2 In 2000, scientists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) announced that the winter of 2000 was the warmest winter on record since the United States government began keeping weather statistics 105 years ago.3 This was ...
IGCC-AIGCC Response to TCFD Public Consultation
IGCC-AIGCC Response to TCFD Public Consultation

... encouraging!the!use!of!comparable!reporting!indicators!in!different!jurisdictions.!!We!also! encourage!the!TCFD!to!reGform!the!Task!Force,!at!minimum,!for!the!purpose!of!creating! annual!reports!on!progress!by!corporations!and!investors!in!implementing!the!TCFD’s! recommendations.!!We!note!that!the! ...
Iceland`s Climate Change Strategy - Ministry for the Environment
Iceland`s Climate Change Strategy - Ministry for the Environment

... measures to combat climate change are accompanied by other societal benefits, and emphasis will be placed on these. In this way, it is hoped that Iceland’s actions to contain climate change will not have a palpable negative effect on the quality of the average citizen’s life; indeed, it is hoped tha ...
Climate of the Past
Climate of the Past

... from data records that reach beyond the information available from instrumental records (e.g. Jones et al., 2009). Such data – i.e. climate proxy records – are further needed for validation of climate models, to assure that the models are able to reproduce the observed climate change. Reconstruction ...
Forecasting climate change impacts on plant populations over large
Forecasting climate change impacts on plant populations over large

... recorded at the meter-­to-­submeter scale (see, e.g., Salguero-­Gómez et  al. 2015). Local-­scale demographic data make building population projection models an easy task (Ellner and Rees 2006, Rees and Ellner 2009, Adler et al. 2012), but it is very difficult to extrapolate small-­scale studies to ...
Full-Text PDF
Full-Text PDF

... For example the most recent revision of the median projection of global human population in 2100, issued by the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, is for over 11 billion people to be alive in 2100. Life expectancy at birth by then is forecast to have risen to 83 from its recen ...
Using expert knowledge to assess uncertainties in future polar bear
Using expert knowledge to assess uncertainties in future polar bear

... become a controversial topic. A survey of expert opinion based on modelled sea-ice data was performed in order to quantify the trends and variance surrounding possible impacts of climate change on polar bear populations. 2. Polar bears have become an iconic species in the communication of climate ch ...
Modeling Impacts of Climate Change on Giant Panda Habitat
Modeling Impacts of Climate Change on Giant Panda Habitat

... slope, and aspect, have resulted in diverse plant and tree ...
Top-down vs bottom-up - working paper version
Top-down vs bottom-up - working paper version

... for calculating countries’ fair shares of the global effort to mitigate climate change. The practical relevance of top-down proposals has become increasingly uncertain as climate change negotiations since the 2009 Copenhagen Accord have adopted a ‘bottom-up’ or ‘pledge-andreview’ approach that allow ...
Thermophilic Fungi to Dominate Aflatoxigenic/Mycotoxigenic Fungi
Thermophilic Fungi to Dominate Aflatoxigenic/Mycotoxigenic Fungi

... increasingly is becoming more tropical. Hot and dry weather in Europe [16] contributed to a 2003 outbreak of A. flavus on crops in Italy, uncommon previously. A. flavus was able to colonize ripening maize by outcompeting the more common Fusarium species [15,34]. This caused an increase in aflatoxin ...
Ireland’s Climate: the road ahead IR E
Ireland’s Climate: the road ahead IR E

... To estimate future changes in the climate we need to have some indication as to how global emissions of greenhouse gases (and other pollutants) will change in the future. In previous IPCC reports this was handled using Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES e.g. A2 scenario) that were based on ...
A 10-Year Multidisciplinary Program on the Mediterranean Water
A 10-Year Multidisciplinary Program on the Mediterranean Water

... varied widely in the past, sometimes very quickly finescale processes and their nonlinear interac(Combourieu Nebout et al. 2002). Regarding more tions with large-scale processes as well as not wellrecent periods, several authors have reported an known interactions between oceanic, atmospheric, incre ...
Climate change and Arctic ecosystems II
Climate change and Arctic ecosystems II

... developed. The geographic distributions of vegetation types north of 55°N, including the position of the forest limit and the distributions of the tundra types, could be predicted from climatology using a small set of plant functional types embedded in the biogeochemistry-biogeography model BIOME4. ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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