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COP21 at Paris: What to expect
COP21 at Paris: What to expect

... five people: Obama and the leaders of the BASIC group (Brazil, South Africa, India, and China). Since these five nations produced this system, they now need to show that it can actually work. ...
Weathering the Storm: the impact of climate change
Weathering the Storm: the impact of climate change

... London’s status as a global city makes its economy increasingly vulnerable to climate change. Not only do we face higher risk of flooding, drought and heatwave events at home, but our city’s interdependence with economies elsewhere in the world means we 'import' risk through the financial services s ...
Titel
Titel

... Allianz Responses: Knowing and Understanding the risks Research  Key results from Allianz/WWF reports in 2005 & 2006  Financial Industry needs to systematically screen climate risks.  Extent and frequency of natural catastrophes will increase with warming climate - a substantial risk to the insu ...
paper - World Bank Group
paper - World Bank Group

... Haiti regularly witnesses various climate change related events such as gales, torrents, heatwaves, droughts or heavy downpours. Above all, these changing weather regimes lead to unnecessary human and property losses, particularly in densely populated areas in cities and towns. Loss of property and ...
Climate change and the greenhouse effect
Climate change and the greenhouse effect

... daily, weekly and even annual atmospheric conditions of Earth (such as humidity, rainfall, maximum and minimum temperatures, and wind). Climate is these weather conditions at a certain locality, statistically averaged over a period of at least 30 years9. Global warming and climate change It is neces ...
Executive Summary
Executive Summary

... There are exceptions to the general relationship between wealth and protection. For example, Greater New York, despite having a larger GDP than London, Tokyo and Amsterdam, is currently only protected to a standard of roughly a 1 in 100 year flood. Shanghai, a developing country city with a lower GD ...
Ecosystem Based Adaptation
Ecosystem Based Adaptation

... assessments and subsequent plans of action to enhance resilience. It is important to note that on many occasions, projects aiming at enhancing the climate resilience of communities through sustainable use of natural resources, are not necessary labelled as EbA. Furthermore, in many cases, ecosystem ...
Mid- to Late Holocene climate change: an overview
Mid- to Late Holocene climate change: an overview

... conditions of the climate system did not change dramatically (in comparison to larger glacial–interglacial changes), and because abundant, detailed regional palaeoclimatic proxy records cover this period. We use selected proxy-based reconstructions of different climate variables, together with state ...
Kelman 2007 Vulnerability definitions
Kelman 2007 Vulnerability definitions

... The speed with which a community returns to its former state after it has been disturbed. IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) http://www.ipcc.ch/pub/syrgloss.pdf Resilience The ability of a social or ecological system to absorb disturbances while retaining the same basic structure and w ...
Facilitator Guide - Climate Finance and Markets
Facilitator Guide - Climate Finance and Markets

... activities. Some activities – like sustainable agriculture or preventing deforestation might fit into both categories. Adaptation means dealing with the impacts of climate change like drought, flooding, sea level rise, famine. Adaptation finance can pay for things like relocation, climate resilience ...
The Evangelical Debate Over Climate Change
The Evangelical Debate Over Climate Change

... "greenhouse effect," temperatures would be about 60'F lower than they are now, and life as we know it today would not be possible.16 These "greenhouse gases" include carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide and fluorinated gases. Such gases exist naturally in our atmosphere. Changes in the sun's inten ...
here - Yale Center for Environmental Law & Policy
here - Yale Center for Environmental Law & Policy

... community needs a 21st Century climate change framework that can deliver new mechanisms to connect, aggregate, organize, support, and order crosscutting actions taken by a broad assortment of leaders. International climate change negotiations have failed to generate a sufficient global response to t ...
Predator prey interactions under climate change: the importance of
Predator prey interactions under climate change: the importance of

... based on body temperature rather than on environmental parameters (Hallett et al. 2004, Helmuth et al. 2006a, 2006b). Understanding the effects of weather and climate in driving body temperature is particularly important when examining predatorprey interactions (Durant et al. 2007, Pincebourde et a ...
Physical and chemical consequences of artificially deepened
Physical and chemical consequences of artificially deepened

... in southern Finland (Table 1). The catchment is in a protected conservation area and only receives background levels of air pollution. The catchment has an area of 0.30 km2 and the lake elevation is 156 m a.s.l. Typical of glaciated boreal, the catchment contains areas of forested mineral soil (high ...
presentation - Prairie Adaptation Research Collaborative
presentation - Prairie Adaptation Research Collaborative

... Area are expected to change +5% to -30% due to climate change. An additional reduction of 25% or more in dry years is expected. • Saskatchewan – PRAC hydroclimate variability analyses conducted by PARC helped inform the development of the Emergency Flood Damage Reduction Program in 2011, which was d ...
Climate Change in Afghanistan Deduced from Reanalysis and
Climate Change in Afghanistan Deduced from Reanalysis and

... population and the economy are almost completely dependent on agricultural production, particularly subsistence farming [5], and key sectors, including water, energy, agriculture, are among the most vulnerable to climate change. The country is regularly hit by extreme weather or climatic events, cau ...
The Evangelical Debate Over Climate Change
The Evangelical Debate Over Climate Change

... "greenhouse effect," temperatures would be about 60°F lower than they are now, and life as we know it today would not be possible. 16 These "greenhouse gases" include carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide and fluorinated gases. Such gases exist naturally in our atmosphere. Changes in the sun's inte ...
Effects of climate extremes on the terrestrial carbon cycle
Effects of climate extremes on the terrestrial carbon cycle

... 2007; Bastos et al., 2013a), the heat wave and associated forest fires in Greece in 2007 (Founda & Giannakopoulos, 2009), the dry spells in the Amazon basin in 2005 (Phillips et al., 2009) and 2010 (Lewis et al., 2011), in the U.S.A. 2000–2004 (Breshears et al., 2005; Schwalm et al., 2012), the fore ...
PDF
PDF

... China has a vast territory with a long coastline. As a rapidly developing country with the largest population in the world, it has low per capita resource availability, coupled with vulnerable ecosystems, as a result of which the country will surely face more severe challenges because of climate cha ...
Climate change in the Netherlands
Climate change in the Netherlands

... Climate scenarios typically have a time horizon of 50 to 100 years. In that respect, they differ from weather forecasts, which reach ahead until 10 days and seasonal forecasts which reach ahead until one year. However, the time horizon is not the only difference;the type of information also differs. ...
Climate change, Health, and General Practice in
Climate change, Health, and General Practice in

... The College unequivocally acknowledges anthropogenic (man-made) climate change as a threat to health and equity in Aotearoa New Zealand. Equally, the College recognises that many ‘climate actions’, aimed at mitigating greenhouse gas emissions, also promote healthier lifestyles. This policy statement ...
PDF
PDF

... levels of inflation, wealth, and population distribution (Pielke et al. 2008). These natural disasters clearly have a significant societal impact so it is important to understand how climate change could lessen or increase the influence of these storms. Thus far, there is agreement in the literature ...
National Park Service - UAF SNAP
National Park Service - UAF SNAP

... acres of parklands to administer, Alaska park managers must better understand possible climate change trends in order to better manage arctic, subarctic, and coastal ecosystems, as well as human uses of these areas. As such, NPS managers undertook an exploration of scenario planning as an innovative ...
Migration, Environment and Climate Change
Migration, Environment and Climate Change

... rangeland degradation, changing precipitation patterns and desertification that have affected their livestock, leading to adjustments in herding practices. Some herders change their seasonal mobility patterns to adapt to changing season timings, while others cope through using quick or unexpected mo ...
10584_2014_1078_MOESM1_ESM
10584_2014_1078_MOESM1_ESM

... signature, ratification with signature, acceptance, approval, or succession. Previous research on primarily highincome countries15 found the ESI was statistically associated with adaptation outcomes in the health sector. Data were available for 99 countries. Source: Yale Centre for Environmental Law ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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