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Module 3 Researching and Analyzing Marketing Opportunities in the Environment Kotler’s Chapter 4 and 5 Chapter 4: Gathering Information and Measuring Market Demand • Learning Objectives – 1. Describe the components of a marketing information system. – 2. Describe the steps in the marketing research process and how one would design a marketing research project. – 3. Describe how companies estimate current and future demand. Chapter 4/Objective 1: The components of a marketing information system. • Marketing Information System (MIS) – Consists of people, equipment, and procedures to gather, sort, analyze, evaluate, and distribute needed, timely, and accurate info to mktg decision makers. – Made up of Internal Records System, Marketing Intelligence System, Marketing Research System, and Marketing Decision Support System Chapter 4/Objective 1: The components of a marketing information system cont. – Internal Records System • Order-to-payment cycle - EDI, intranets can help • Sales Information Systems - up-to-date sales figures • Need to determine info needs – Marketing Intelligence System -everyday info • A set of procedures and sources used by managers to obtain everyday info about developments in the mktg environment. • Get salespeople, channel members, and customers to communicate intelligence. Use mystery shoppers, buy outside information, learn about competition, and develop a marketing information center to collect/share information. Chapter 4/Objective 1: The components of a marketing information system cont. – Marketing Research System - specific questions • The systematic design, collection, analysis, and reporting of data and findings relevant to a specific marketing situation (i.e. to answer a specific marketing question - not day-to-day marketing information). – Marketing Decision Support System - tech • A coordinated collection of data, systems, tools, and techniques with supporting software and hardware by which an organization gathers and interprets relevant information from business and environment and turns it into a basis for marketing action (i.e. use of technology to utilize information for better marketing decision making). Chapter 4/Objective 2: The steps in the marketing research process • Five Basic Steps – 1. Define the problem and research objectives • Key step because if misdefine the problem the other steps are useless. The research can be exploratory, descriptive, or causal based on nature of defining the problem. – – – – 2. 3. 4. 5. Develop the research plan Collect the information Analyze the information Present the findings Chapter 4/Objective 2: The steps in the marketing research process • Step Two - Develop the Research Plan – Determine data sources, research approaches, research instruments, sampling plan, and contact methods. – Data Sources - primary or secondary – Research Approaches - observation, focus groups, surveys, behavioral data, and experiments – Research Instruments - questionnaires or mechanical instruments (ex. Nielsen box measuring TV viewing) – Sampling Plan - who, how many, how chosen – Contact Methods - mail, phone, personal, or online Chapter 4/Objective 2: The steps in the marketing research process • Step Three - Collect the Information – Need to be careful here to avoid bias. • Step Four - Analyze the Information – Use statistical techniques and decision models to transform data into useful information. • Step Five - Present the Findings – Communicate findings clearly and effectively. Chapter Four/Objective Three: Estimate Current/Future Demand – Market Demand - the total volume that would be bought by a defined customer group in a defined geographical area in a defined time period in a defined marketing environment under a defined marketing program. – Market Potential - the limit approached by market demand as industry marketing expenditures approach infinity for a given marketing environment – Company Demand - the company’s estimated share of market demand at alternative levels of company marketing effort in a given time period – Company Sales Forecast - the expected level of company sales based on a chosen marketing plan and an assumed marketing environment Chapter Four/Objective Three: Estimate Current/Future Demand • Estimating Current Demand – Total Market Potential = potential number of buyers x average quantity purchased x price – Area Market Potential - estimate territories • Market-Buildup Method (business markets) – Identify buyers and estimate their potential purchases • Multiple-Factor Index method (consumer markets) – Determine factors that impact purchase (ex. population size, income level) and weight them Chapter Four/Objective Three: Estimate Current/Future Demand • Estimating Future Demand – Look at what people say, what people do, or what people have done. – Survey of Buyers’ Intentions – Composite of Sales Force Opinions – Expert Opinion – Past Sales Analysis - ex. time-series analysis – Market-Test Method Chapter 5: Scanning the Marketing Environment • Learning Objectives – 1. Describe what are the trends and why they are so important for marketers to address. – 2. Describe the major forces in the macroenvironment and how they influence marketing. Chapter 5/Objective 1: Trends • Trend - a direction or sequence of events that have some momentum and durability – has longevity, is observable across several market areas and consumer activities, and is consistent with other significant indicators occurring at the same time • Fad - unpredictable, short-lived, without social, economic, and political significance • Megatrends - large, social, economic, political and technological changes that are slow to form, and once in place, influence for 7-10 years+ (ex. global economy) • Need to first identify trend and then assess its’ implications Chapter 5/Objective 2: Major Forces in Macroenvironment • The external environment presents both opportunities and threats that marketers must address. – Demographic – Economic – Natural – Technological – Political-Legal – Social-Cultural Chapter 5/Objective 2: Major Forces in Macroenvironment • Demographic Environment - need to identify key characteristics, analyze purchasing behavior, and determine media preference – Worldwide population growth - highest in 3rd world – Population age mix - varies by country – Ethnic markets - may have distinct buying patterns – Educational groups - literacy rates, % college educated – Household patterns- non-traditional households – Geographical Shifts in Population – Shift from a Mass Market to Micromarkets Chapter 5/Objective 2: Major Forces in Macroenvironment • Economic Environment – Income Distribution • 4 types of industrial structures: subsistence, raw material exporting, industrializing, and industrial – Savings, Debt, and Credit Availability • Marketers must pay attention to changes in incomes, cost of living, interest rates, savings, and borrowing patterns as will impact business. Chapter 5/Objective 2: Major Forces in Macroenvironment • Natural Environment - deterioration of the natural environment is a global concern – – – – Shortage of Raw Materials Increased Energy Costs Increased Pollution Levels Changing Role of Governments in effort to promote clean environment; varies by country Chapter 5/Objective 2: Major Forces in Macroenvironment • Technological Environment - impacts new products and new processes (way to do things and market products) – – – – Accelerating Pace of Technological Change Unlimited Opportunities for Innovation Varying R&D Budgets Increased Regulation of Technological Change - how will this impact the Internet? Chapter 5/Objective 2: Major Forces in Macroenvironment • Political-Legal Environment – Legislation Regulating Business • To protect companies from unfair competition, to protect consumers from unfair business practices, and to protect the interests of society from unbridled business behavior. • Consider local, state, national, international laws – Growth of Special Interest Groups • Political-Action Committees lobbying efforts. Chapter 5/Objective 2: Major Forces in Macroenvironment • Social-Cultural Environment – People’s perceptions of themselves, others, organizations, society, nature, and the universe all effect buying patterns. – High Persistence of Core Cultural Values • Core beliefs/values persist while secondary beliefs/ values are more open to change. • Existence of Subcultures. • Shifts of Secondary Cultural Values Through Time Module 3 - Researching and Analyzing Marketing Opportunities in the Environment • Chapter 4: Gathering Information and Measuring Market Demand. • Chapter 5: Scanning the Marketing Environment • Any Questions?