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Human Development Report Croatia 2008 www.undp.hr 1 Human Development Report Croatia 2008 Climate for Change: Questions for the Report • What do we know about the changing climate? • What would climate change affect in Croatia? • What can Croatia do to change the climate? 2 Human Development Report Croatia 2008 What do we know about the changing climate? Climate Predictions - In general, Croatia is predicted to get warmer and drier – especially during the summer. - Surface snow in northern Croatia will become uncertain. - Soil moisture in the spring is expected to drop. Expected temperature change for 2040-2070 in the summer 3 Human Development Report Croatia 2008 What would climate change affect in Croatia? Sectors Examined: - Tourism - Coastal resources – especially related to sea level rise - Health - Fresh-water resources - Agriculture - Fisheries/ mariculture 4 Human Development Report Croatia 2008 What would climate change affect in Croatia? 5 Human Development Report Croatia 2008 What would climate change affect in Croatia? 6 Human Development Report Croatia 2008 Coastal areas will likely be in danger of flooding from sea level rise perhaps over 100 square kilometres of land. 7 Human Development Report Croatia 2008 What would climate change affect in Croatia? 8 Human Development Report Croatia 2008 What can Croatia do to change the climate? Emissions Reduction and Mitigation Costs 9 Human Development Report Croatia 2008 What can Croatia do to change the climate? Mitigation and Institutional Analysis -The Government has sent a clear message that energy efficiency, renewable energy and reduced emissions are important. - A fair amount of technological capacity exists for mitigation. - Opportunities for financing emissions reductions exist and are increasing. This is likely to continue to grow as Croatia moves towards EU accession. 10 Human Development Report Croatia 2008 A Climate for Change - Recommendations - To address current climate variability – regardless of future climate changedata is required to improve the management of specific sectors – e.g. agriculture, disaster response to heat waves/ droughts. It already impacts 1/4th of Croatian economy. - Physical impact studies coupled with economic analysis could provide the basis for developing adaptation measures. - Additional analysis related to mitigation is necessary and more stakeholders beyond the energy and industrial sector should be engaged in efforts to mitigate emissions. - Integrate climate change into longer term strategic plans for infrastructure, urban planning (on the coast and inland), agriculture, water use, etc. 11 Human Development Report Croatia 2008 12