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Draft Terms of Reference for the Country Research Studies Promoting Agriculture-Climate-Trade linkages in the East African Community (PACT EAC) BY RASHID S. KAUKAB & KRISTA JOOSEP Arusha, Tanzania February 24, 2012 Outline of the Presentation • • • • Background Objectives Key substantive issues to be covered Methodology – Principles – Plan – Timeline • Indicative outlines of country research studies – Introduction – Analysis • • • • Climate change and food security Trade and climate change Trade and food security Climate change-food security-trade policy linkages: nature, new realities, and challenges • Conclusions and recommendations 2 Background to the Research • Climate change in 5 EAC member countries (e.g. extreme weather events) • Food insecurity and hunger • Trade potential REALITY • Limited understanding of linkages • Lack of holistic national, and regional policies Background Objectives Key issues covered Methodology Indicative outline Conclusions • Study interactions of climate changefood security-trade • Fill knowledge gaps • Build capacity of stakeholders for holistic policy response REALITY MUST 3 Main Objectives of the Research Background Objectives Key issues covered Methodology Indicative outline Conclusions Impact of climate change on food security Impact of trade in goods and services on climate change Identify where trade can minimize the negative impacts of climate change on food security Study interactions of climate-trade-food-security policies Increase capacity of stakeholders on climate-trade-food-security-linkages Outline concrete policy recommendations 4 Key Issues to be Covered Background Objectives Key issues covered Methodology Indicative outline Conclusions National policy frameworks relevant to the climate-trade-food-security linkages The relevant regional and international policy frameworks and their implications for the national policy frameworks The negative and positive impact created by climate change in agriculture and overall food security + address through trade Articulation of elements for holistic and viable solutions 5 Methodology: Principles EAC Secretariat (MoU) Background Objectives Key issues covered Methodology Indicative outline Conclusions Collaborative Issues identified by beneficiaries Grassrootsbased Demanddriven Field studies, surveys, cases Interlinkages of three areas Inclusive Holistic Involvement of relevant stakeholders Multi-disciplinary Exchange ideas 3 researchers; international experts; research institutions; PAC 6 Methodology: Plan Background Objectives Key issues covered Methodology Indicative outline Conclusions FIELD WORK •Expand and annotate research questions DESKTOP RESEARCH •Data collection, fact finding, collaboration with experts and partners, field visits, etc. •Consultations with the NRGs; input/feedback loops with the EAC Secretariat CONSULTATIONS PRESENTATION OF DRAFTS •Draft presentations + feedback at the RAM and by PAC •Studies finalization, comments incorporated FINAL STUDIES 7 Background Objectives Key issues covered Methodology Indicative outline Conclusions Methodology: Timeline Identification of research teams February Desktop drafts submitted for comments 30 April Receive comments on desktop research from NRGs, EAC Sec, PAC, CUTS Approval of draft study outlines 15 March Submission of complete draft studies 15 July Draft presentation & feedback at RAM September Submission of Final studies November 30 May 2012 23-24 February 1 May Discussion of draft ToRs; Identify knowledge gaps Field work starts e.g. surveys, visits 16 March -29 April Collaborative desktop research August 15 June Submission of Action Alert Comments made on full draft studies by NRGs, PAC, etc. 15 October Incorporate RAM comments into final studies 8 Indicative Outline of Country Research Studies: Introduction Background Objectives Key issues covered Methodology Indicative outline Conclusions Brief economic, social, and trade profile with particular reference to climate change and food security; Trends and linkages in agriculture production, trade, food security and weather patterns; Status of current knowledge on interlinkages of trade-climate changefood security Main elements of national policy framework in all three areas: interlinkages, contradictions, gaps, etc 9 Indicative Outline of Country Research Studies: Analysis (1) Background Objectives Key issues covered Methodology Indicative outline Conclusions Climate Change and Food Security Research Questions: A. What are the main national food security challenges for stakeholders as imposed by climate change? B. Who will be affected in the food security system, and how? C. In the relevant national and regional climate change policy frameworks, what are the gaps and the opportunities to effectively address food security issues? 10 Indicative Outline of Country Research Studies: Analysis (2) Background Objectives Key issues covered Methodology Indicative outline Conclusions Trade and Climate Change Research Questions: A. What is known about climate change and its impacts on trade in the country? B. What are possible negative impacts of trade on climate change? How is climate change going to be an impediment to trade? C. What are concrete examples of how trade can contribute to climate change mitigation and adaptation efforts in the country? What are the national climate change and trade policies in place and how do these policies have an impact on each other? D. E. What are the implications of multilateral agreements and negotiations on the national trade and climate change policies? 11 Indicative Outline of Country Research Studies: Analysis (3) Background Objectives Key issues covered Methodology Indicative outline Conclusions Trade and Food Security Research Questions: A. How is food security affected by trade at the national and regional level? B. What are the social and economic implications of multilateral and regional trade policies on food security at the national and sub-national level? C. What are the national trade policy shortcomings, gaps, and opportunities to achieve food security? D. What are the concrete examples of trade playing a positive role to achieve food security? 12 Indicative Outline of Country Research Studies: Analysis (4) Background Objectives Key issues covered Methodology Indicative outline Conclusions Trade-Food Security-Climate Change Linkages Research Questions: A. Considering regional and national trade and climate change policies, how do they have an impact on food security? B. What are the main gaps and contradictions between sectoral policies on the one hand and between national and regional policies on the other? C. What are the main impediments in the development and implementation of holistic and coordinated policies at the national level to improve food security through trade in the face of climate change? 13 Conclusions and Recommendations Background Objectives Key issues covered Methodology Indicative outline Conclusions Conclusions: Summary of substantive linkages; Potential of trade; Existing policy frameworks and their interactions and contradictions; Main shortcomings of these policies and the way forward; The capacity limitations of relevant stakeholders and how they can be improved Recommendations: Recommendations to national stakeholders; Recommendations to regional and international stakeholders 14 Asante Sana! 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