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NATIONAL COAL COUNCIL NEWS NOTES Ph: (202) 223-1191 Fx: (202) 223-9031 www.nationalcoalcouncil.org Vol. 96 Thoughts as I gaze across the alley… During the course of my 34 years in the energy business, I have been afforded the opportunity to speak publicly on enough occasions that I have lost count. I have had the pleasure to speak as a guest lecturer at the Yale University Graduate School of Forestry as well as several other colleges and universities both here in the U. S. and abroad. I have been a part of numerous press conferences, technical symposia, editorial board meetings and so on. Always I have been as prepared as possible, based my comments on the facts as I knew them and been professional in my presentation. One of my most memorable times was when, at the height of the debate on what became the Acid Rain Title the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990, I had the opportunity to debate then-Senate Majority Leader George Mitchell (D-ME) on CBS radio. At the time I was still learning my craft. Some would say I was a wet-behindthe-ears kid. They would not have been incorrect. But the Senator treated me as his equal in that discussion. He was the consummate professional making his arguments in a positive, factual fashion as to what he believed were the needs of the country on an extremely emotional issue. I hope I did as well, but then my opinion is most likely somewhat biased. Now we have come to another environmental debate on another extremely January 2008 emotional issue – climate change and carbon management. I have recently read a quote attributed to a NASA scientist, James Hansen, Ph. D. His position is well-known as opposing the construction of any new coal-based electricity generating plants, and he is entitled to that opinion and to state it in any public forum in which he speaks. But I believe the quote attributed to him is totally out of line and unprofessional. Moreover, I believe that it is based on neither fact nor history. According to a reputable energy news publication, “Coal Daily”, James Hansen stated, “Most utilities are just saying they will eventually install CCS equipment, without really intending to do so.” He has accused utility company executives, not one or two individuals but the entire industry, of lying. The coal-based electricity generation industry has never said they could not accomplish any of the environmental goals set out by the numerous and varied environmental laws and policies of this nation. They have always said these goals would be achieved, but that it would be expensive in the process. To find proof of this one need only look at all the electrostatic precipitators to collect fly ash, flue gas desulfurization systems to control SO2 emissions, selective catalytic reduction processes to control NOx emissions and the various systems to control mercury emissions that have been installed at generation plants across our nation over the past three decades. Coal-based generation has always stepped up, met the challenge and continued to supply over half of the electricity needed to run our economy. Based on the past performance of this industry, I am outraged at James Hansen’s accusation. I am equally outraged that not one person has challenged him about it. And I am extremely disappointed that a NASA scientist would stoop to such a low level. I miss the professionalism, the courtesy and the manors of people like Senator Mitchell. While to this day I disagree with him on the entire acid rain debate, I respect and admire him in the way he conducts his business. I wish I could say the same about others. Robert A. Beck Executive Vice President & COO Climate Change The New Year began with several measures addressing carbon emissions and climate change pending on both sides of Capitol Hill. Carbon reductions figure prominently in a pair of Senate bills, one sponsored by Sens. Jeff Bingaman (D-N.M.) and Arlen Specter (R-Pa.), and the other by Sens. Joseph Lieberman (I-Conn.) and John Warner (R-Va.). The Bingaman-Specter bill would cap U.S. greenhouse gas emissions, including carbon dioxide, at 2006 levels by 2020 and at 1990 levels by 2030. It would establish an emissions allowance-trading program, with utilities and other emitters required to obtain allowances, one for each ton of carbon dioxide-equivalent greenhouse gas emitted. Twenty-four percent of the allowances would initially be auctioned and 53 percent given to industry (29 percent to utilities) without charge. The remainder would be set aside for a range of purposes, including a 10-year program to bolster the sequestration of carbon dioxide in geological formations. As of 2017, the percentage of allowances auctioned would increase by 2 percent annually, while the free distribution would fall by the same amount. Eventually, all allowances, except those reserved for special purposes, would be auctioned. The legislation was supported by numerous utilities, conservation groups and unions, but criticized by green groups, who termed the emissions reductions targets excessively lenient. The Lieberman-Warner bill cleared the Environment and Public Works Committee in December. It also would require electric utilities and other entities, including manufacturers and oil refiners, to cap their emissions of greenhouse gases. The bill would originally have capped such emissions at 2005 levels by 2012 and lowered them to 15 percent below this level by 2020. Further reductions would have cut these emissions to more than 50 percent below 2005 levels by 2050. However, as amended, the measure would mandate that emissions be reduced to 7 percent below 1990 levels by 2020 and by at least 60 percent below 2005 levels by 2050. It would also require the Environmental Protection Agency to recommend that Congress strengthen the cap if new scientific evidence supported such a move. The legislation as amended would give utilities 20 percent of the allowances they would need to meet reduction targets, at no cost, although this allocation would be phased out over time. Coal-dependent utilities have contended that the cost-free allowances were necessary to allow them to develop and deploy carbon capture and sequestration technology even as an emissions cap drives up coal prices. Two major utilities, Duke Energy and American Electric Power, opposed the Lieberman-Warner bill, saying it would cause large increases in ratepayers’ bills. Jim Rogers, Duke CEO, condemned the measure, saying an auction for allowances for existing coal plants represented “nothing more than a carbon tax.” He branded the Senate bill “a disproportionate tax on consumers in the 25 states that depend on coal,” according to Argus Coal Daily. Rogers favored an allocation of allowances to utilities based on their traditional emissions, providing a transition period that would protect consumers and regional economies until cleaner technologies come on line, Argus added. An AEP representative told the newsletter that two-thirds of the bill’s implementation costs stemmed from its auction format, saying that customer rates could rise by 40 percent in its service territory. On the House side of Capitol Hill, legislation to reauthorize the Energy Department’s research and development programs, and specifically authorize largescale demonstrations of both carbon dioxide capture technologies and containment, has cleared the Science Committee. The bill defines large-scale injection of carbon dioxide as one million tons annually, and provides that DOE require that not less than 20 percent of the cost of an R&D activity be provided by non-federal sources. Its sponsor, Rep. Mark Udall (D-Colo.), said that the key to addressing the climate change challenge without causing irreparable harm to the economy – and the coal industry – in the process was the creation of safe, sound and economical capture and storage strategies. Meanwhile, House Energy and Commerce Committee Chairman John Dingell (DMich.) has said he will introduce a bill to impose a substantial, double-digit, tax on carbon dioxide emissions to put the nation “on track” to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 60 percent to 80 percent by 2050. “In addition to an economy-wide cap-andtrade program, which would mandate a cap on carbon emissions, a fee on carbon is the most effective way to curb emissions and make alternatives economically viable,” the congressman said. The prospective tax on carbon content would be $50 per ton, Dingell said, phased in over five years and then adjusted for inflation. It would be imposed on coal, including lignite ad peat; petroleum and petroleum products; and natural gas. Meanwhile, what The Washington Times termed “a star-studded cast of energy and environmental brokers and investors” is launching “The Green Exchange” for trading credits to offset greenhouse gas emissions. Participants include Nymex Holdings, the parent of the New York Mercantile Exchange; Evolution Markets, the largest broker of environmental credits; and several investment banks. The Times said experts forecast that prospective cap-and-trade legislation will boost the price of U.S. carbon credits from $2-$5 per ton of carbon to $30-$50 per ton. The Green Exchange will handle a wide range of products, including European allowances, voluntary U.S. pollution offsets, and renewable energy credits that help subsidize wind farms or solar energy plants, the newspaper reported. The U.S. market for voluntary credits is $100 million per year, but the worldwide market for carbon allowances is about $60 million annually, the Times said. Rising uncertainty over possible federal or state greenhouse gas controls was cited by the Southern Company and Orlando’s municipal utility as they cancelled recently announced plans for a 285-megawatt integrated gasification combined cycle power plant in Florida. DOE had planned to provide $294 million of the project’s estimated $855 million cost under the Administration’s Clean Coal Power Initiative, The Energy Daily reported. While pulling out of the project, Southern said it remained confident that its coal gasification technology had the potential to be among “the cleanest, most efficient coalbased generation options available for the foreseeable future.” An Energy Department spokesperson said that the cancellation demonstrated the importance of steady and predictable policies that enable industry to invest in a variety of power supply options, including coal, and noted that “coal must continue to be a critical component of our energy mix.” DOE will continue to expand investments in advanced coal technology R&D, the aide added. Elsewhere, The Energy Daily said, NRG Energy and Powerspan Corp. have entered an agreement for a commercial-scale demonstration of the latter’s technology to capture carbon dioxide from a coal-fired power plant’s flue gas and release it in a form suitable for transportation and permanent geological storage. The companies said the process to be used differs from other techniques due to simpler capital equipment design and significantly lower energy consumption. It is suitable for retrofitting existing coal plants as well as for use in new ones, they added. The demonstration will be conducted at an NRG plant in Texas, and will capture and sequester about one million tons of carbon dioxide annually, the companies said. It is expected to be operational in 2012. Internationally, the United States agreed at a United Nations-led conference in Bali, Indonesia, to participate in new negotiations on a post-Kyoto pact aimed at global warming. Kyoto expires in 2012, and the new agreement is to be concluded at a 2009 meeting in Copenhagen. Ratification by signatories would follow. Conference documents referred to scientific reports that suggest a range of greenhouse gas emissions cuts between 25 percent and 40 percent by 2020, but prescribe no such target, The Washington Times reported. While the U.S. dropped opposition to a proposal for developed nations to do more to help developing ones address rising greenhouse gas emissions, it emphasized that negotiators “must give sufficient emphasis to the important and appropriate role that the larger emitting developing countries should play.” “The time had come to open a new chapter,” commented James Connaughton, chairman of the White House Council on Environmental Quality. A new report from the Pew Center on Global Climate Change said the phenomenon is already underway and will have a major effect as time progresses. The United States must begin adapting, it added. Regionally, effects will include an increase in the number of heat-wave days in the Midwest; heightened fire dangers and severity in the West; reduced protection against storms on the Gulf Coast; and a larger summer dead zone in the Chesapeake Bay, the report warned. “Every planner, developer and policymaker will need to factor climate change into their plans – now,” said Eileen Claussen, Pew Center president. According to an article in The Washington Post, the effects of climate change are “diverse and sometimes contradictory,” and generally favor “instability and extreme events.” In the view of scientists, generally, “they tend to harm health rather than promote it,” the newspaper said. Researchers tend to put the effects of climate change into five groups, including heat stress, extreme weather, air pollution, waterborne and food-borne disease, and vector-borne disease, the article said. The largest tolls have been in Africa, on the Indian subcontinent and in Southeast Asia, it said, with about 160,000 lives lost annually, according to the World Health Organization. By 2020, this is expected to nearly double, to about 300,000 lives lost annually, the group said. Discussions in the United States have focused on ways to slow the phenomenon rather than to dampen or prevent alreadyinevitable effects, the article said. Health consultant Kristie Ebi counseled efforts to design and develop adaptations that will “decrease our vulnerability and increase our resilience,” on the local as well as federal level. “In other words, all weather variations are evidence of global warming,” Deming commented. “I can’t make this stuff up.” In another Times column, journalist Jay Ambrose condemned the recently concluded Bali conference for seeking “an immediate industrial-nation commitment to emissionreduction goals that could throttle economies and create vast misery if met.” Despite the protestations of former vice president Al Gore, the U.S. is accomplishing more on the climate front than “a long list of European and other Kyoto-signing poseurs,” Ambrose wrote. This nation’s efforts include a clean-air partnership with two countries, China and India, which soon will emit more greenhouse gases than does the U.S., the Ambrose column specified, as well as supplying most of the funding for U.N. climate change programs. Energy Issues “The impact of climate change really depends on your local context,” Ebi told the newspaper. However, two Washington Times columns called into question the reality of, and current approaches to, climate change. In “Year of Global Cooling,” geophysicist David Deming said warnings about warming are countered by the 2007 incidence of record low temperatures in some areas, including South America, South Africa, and parts of the Untied States. The slight warming in mean global temperatures recorded since the midnineteenth century is not unusual, and this figure hasn’t increased significantly in nearly nine years, Deming wrote. However, he added, global warming believers cannot be convinced to the contrary. He pointed out that a Greenpeace representative had said that “global warming can mean colder, it can mean drier, it can mean wetter.” In an action The Energy Daily characterized as “bucking a recent nationwide regulatory trend against new coal-fired generation,” Indiana regulators have approved Duke Energy Indiana’s proposal for a 630megawatt integrated gasification combinedcycle plant. If other state approvals are received and construction begins, the plant could be operational by early 2012, the newsletter reported. The IGCC facility “could very well be the cleanest coal-fired power plant in the world once it’s completed,” the utility’s president said. It will be able to generate as much as four times the power of an old pulverized coal plant on the site, using less coal, he said. The existing plant will be shut down and removed once the IGCC is in operation, he added. One of the nation’s largest solar photovoltaic plants, at 8.22 megawatts, has opened in Colorado. Its operator, SunEdison LLC, will operate the facility under a long-term contract with Xcel Energy. Under a law signed by Colorado’s governor last March, utilities in the state must get 20 percent of their power from renewable energy sources by 2020. The U.S. Air Force has flown an aircraft powered by a synthetic fuel blend coast-tocoast for the firs time, The Energy Daily reported. The C-17 transport was fueled with a mix of 50 percent traditional JP-8 aviation fuel and 50 percent Fischer-Tropsch kerosene, a synthetic fuel derived from natural gas. The Fischer-Tropsch process can convert many types of carbon-based material, including coal, to liquid synthetic aviation fuel, the newspaper said. The service intends to certify the fuel for use by its entire fleet early in the next decade to help reduce dependence on foreign fuel sources, the newspaper said. Air Force officials have said they hope that half of its aviation fuel purchases, about 400 million gallons, will be this synthetic blend, supplied by domestic producers, it added. The Web site of the environmental group Appalachian Voices is offering viewers what it says is a look at the connection between coal used at power plants and mountaintop removal mining. It says that by entering a zip code, a user can see their primary power plant and whether its owner is connected with the mining practice. The group acknowledged that not every plant identified on the site, www.appvoices.org, uses coal that came directly from mountaintop mining, but said that the tool shows when plants use coal from companies that operate such mines. People on the Move Stanley Suboleski, a former coal industry executive, has been nominated to serve as the Energy Department’s assistant secretary for fossil energy. Suboleski, currently a consultant, previously served as a member of the Federal Mine Safety and Health Review Commission and as interim chief operating officer and executive vice president of Massey Energy Co. David Hill, general counsel at the Department of Energy, has been nominated to serve as Environmental Protection Agency assistant administrator for air and radiation, with responsibility for clean air and other key issues. Before assuming his current duties, Hill was DOE deputy general counsel for energy policy, and previously was a partner in law firms in Kansas City and in Washington, D.C. Kurt Kost has bee named president and chief operating officer of Foundation Coal. He had been executive vice president since last June and previously served as senior vice president for Western operations and process management. He has been with Foundation and its predecessor companies since 1980. Bert Bolin, Swedish climate scientist and co-founder of the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, died in Stockholm on Jan. 3. He had stomach cancer. Bolin’s research in the 1950s on the circulation of carbon in nature laid the groundwork for much of the current knowledge of climate change. He served as the IPCC’s first chairman from 1988 to 1998.