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The Earth System Life is possible on Earth due to interaction between the… Lithosphere. Atmosphere. Hydrosphere. The “Earth System” is comprised of these physical components interacting with the biosphere. Earth: Portrait of a Planet, 2nd edition, by Stephen Marshak Chapter 23: Global Change in the Earth System Global Change the Earth constantly changes. Why? Plate tectonics (plate rearrangements, mountains, etc). Changes in orbit, changes in sun activity. Surface temperatures right for liquid water. Weathering and erosion continuously reshape the surface. Biotic evolution has transformed the planet. Complex, lots of feedbacks, both positive and negative Earth: Portrait of a Planet, 2nd edition, by Stephen Marshak Chapter 23: Global Change in the Earth System Greenhouse Gases Sun provides radiant energy to Earth (black body radiator) Of incoming solar radiation, 50% is absorbed by surface, 30% reflected (clouds), 20% absorbed by atmos (UV). Of 50%, re-emmitted IR-all but 18% is re-adsorbed by GHG CO2 is a major player in absorbing outgoing radiation--it is a greenhouse gas. So are CH4, H2O (feedback!) and CFCs Greenhouse gases exert a strong control on climate. More GHG – Warmer atmosphere. Less GHG – Cooler atmosphere. Processes that add or remove GHGs regulate climate. Earth: Portrait of a Planet, 2nd edition, by Stephen Marshak Chapter 23: Global Change in the Earth System The Goldilocks Effect Venus --too much CO2 (+466°C of GH warming) No liquid water, so CO2 is not removed from the atmosphere (more about why in a bit). (>1000x CO2 than Earth’s atmosphere) Runaway greenhouse conditions – too hot for life. Mars too little (only +3°C of GH warming) Mars lost much of its atmosphere--no liquid water small atmospheric CO2 to trap heat As in the story of Goldilocks, Earth is “just right.” Earth: Portrait of a Planet, 2nd edition, by Stephen Marshak Chapter 23: Global Change in the Earth System Global Change The Earth System – The global interconnectedness of physical and biological phenomenon. Global changes transform or modify both realms. Earth: Portrait of a Planet, 2nd edition, by Stephen Marshak Chapter 23: Global Change in the Earth System Biogeochemical Cycles Chemical fluxes between the living and the non-living. Cycles involve storage and transfer between reservoirs. Non-living reservoirs. Atmosphere. Lithosphere. Hydrosphere. Living reservoirs. All living organisms Rates of transfer between reservoirs vary widely-”residence times” Earth: Portrait of a Planet, 2nd edition, by Stephen Marshak Chapter 23: Global Change in the Earth System The Carbon Cycle The Carbon cycle -key to life, climate. Subduction and volcanism keep C (mostly as CO2 in steady state between mantle and crust-atmosphere In crust-atmosphere, carbon is largely found in: 1. Rocks--limestone (1019 kg) and shales (1018 kg) 2. Oceans--dissolved as bicarbonate (1016 kg) 3. Atmosphere- CO2 (currently ~350 ppm or 1014 kg) Earth: Portrait of a Planet, 2nd edition, by Stephen Marshak Chapter 23: Global Change in the Earth System Carbon Cycle Ocean and atmosphere relationship: H2O + CO2 <--> H+ + HCO3- (ocean buffers atmosphere) Ocean and rock relationship: Ca+2 + CO3-2 <--> CaCO3 (rocks buffer ocean) Weathering consumes CO2 as CaO + CO2 <--> CaCO3 Photosynthesis removes CO2 to form organic matter. Earth: Portrait of a Planet, 2nd edition, by Stephen Marshak Chapter 23: Global Change in the Earth System The Carbon Cycle Longest residence times in largest reservoirs Limestones. Fossil fuels (coal and oil). Organic shales. Methane hydrates. Carbon is returned to the atmosphere. Biotic respiration creates CO2 from organic matter. Oxidation (combustion) of organic matter creates CO2. Metamorphism of carbonate rocks liberates CO2. Earth: Portrait of a Planet, 2nd edition, by Stephen Marshak Chapter 23: Global Change in the Earth System Recent record Global warming – Human GHG additions alter climate. CO2 in the atmosphere has steadily climbed since 1958. In 1958. CO2 was ~ 315 ppm; in 2000, CO2 was ~ 370 ppm. CO2 varies seasonally by ~5 ppm due to plant activity. Northern hemisphere summer – Global CO2 decreases. Northern hemisphere winter – Global CO2 increase. Why? Intergovernmental Intergovernmental Panel Panel on on Climate Climate Change Change (IPCC) (IPCC) Earth: Portrait of a Planet, 2nd edition, by Stephen Marshak Chapter 23: Global Change in the Earth System Is it us or a natural cycle? Preindustrial CO2 levels have been between 270 and 290 ppm over last 1000 yrs. Over last 220,000 yrs, never higher than 300 ppm (ice cores) Although rise in CO2 strongly correlates with the expected inputs from fossil fuel burning,it is less than expected--means there is a sink (oceans? plants?) southern hemisphere CO2 lags behind northern--thus, reflects industrial northern input BUT, anthropogenic flux of CO2 is much smaller (>10x) than other fluxes (plants, ocean)--strange Answer must be that timescale of addition is important Earth: Portrait of a Planet, 2nd edition, by Stephen Marshak Chapter 23: Global Change in the Earth System Anthropogenic Changes Global warming. Human additions of CO2 and CH4 outstrip natural removals. Fossil fuel combustion (CO2). Organic decay in rice paddies (CH4). Cow flatulence (CH4). Gas increases began with the industrial revolution. Increases continue. How high will it go? Earth: Portrait of a Planet, 2nd edition, by Stephen Marshak Chapter 23: Global Change in the Earth System Anthropogenic Changes Most scientists accept that Earth is warming. (urban island effect does not account for increase) Fewer dispute warming as data accumulates. Surface air temperatures have warmed by 0.9oC since 1880. 1900s warming has reversed a 1000-year cooling trend. Earth: Portrait of a Planet, 2nd edition, by Stephen Marshak Chapter 23: Global Change in the Earth System Global Climate Change Earth’s climate changes over geologic time scales. Long-term climate change. Millions to 10s of millions of years in scale. Short-term climate change. 10s to 100s of thousands of years in scale. Earth: Portrait of a Planet, 2nd edition, by Stephen Marshak Chapter 23: Global Change in the Earth System Global Climate Change Climate studies reveal Earth’s past; suggest it’s future. Kinds of climate changes. Rates at which these changes occur. Effects of climate changes on Earth and its inhabitants. Methods of Study. Paleoclimates – Investigations of past climatic variation. Computer simulations – Modeling past and future changes. Earth: Portrait of a Planet, 2nd edition, by Stephen Marshak Chapter 23: Global Change in the Earth System Global Climate Change Paleoclimate – Past climates are revealed by… Datable Earth materials that are also… Climate sensitive. Paleoclimatic indicators. Stratigraphic records – Sequences of rock strata. Depositional environments are often climate sensitive. Coral reefs – Tropical marine. Glacial tills – Cold and continental. Earth: Portrait of a Planet, 2nd edition, by Stephen Marshak Chapter 23: Global Change in the Earth System Global Climate Change Paleoclimates: Pollen evidence Species assemblages are often climate sensitive. Assemblage changes record climatic shifts. Pollen in pond sediments. Spruce – colder; Hemlock – warmer. Tree vs. grass; colder, drier vs. warmer, wetter. Deglaciation caused spruces to move north. Earth: Portrait of a Planet, 2nd edition, by Stephen Marshak Chapter 23: Global Change in the Earth System Global Climate Change Paleoclimate: Oxygen isotope ratios – 2 Major O isotopes. 16O water evaporates faster than 18O water. During ice ages… 16O water evaporates from the ocean faster. Falling on land, this water is trapped as ice. Seas become 16O depleted; 18O enriched. 18O/16O increases. During interglacials… Melting glacial ice returns water to oceans. 16O returns to oceans. 18O/16O decreases. Ice core 18O/16O data track climate over 400 Ka. Earth: Portrait of a Planet, 2nd edition, by Stephen Marshak Chapter 23: Global Change in the Earth System