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Bachelor Thesis Marketing Department Innovation in Grocery Retailing The effects of in-store marketing tools for the sales of new Consumer Packaged Goods Jeroen Cox ANR: s263889 International Business Supervisor: P. Lin Tilburg University 1 Table of contents Page Table of contents …………………………………………………………….. 2 Abstract…..…………………………………………………………….......... 3 Chapter 1: Introduction………………………………………………............ 4 1.1 Problem Statement……………………………………………………............ 5 Problem Definition........................................................................................... 5 Problem Statement……………………………………………………............ 6 Research Questions……………………………………………………........... 6 1.2 Conceptual Framework………………………………………………………. 6 1.3 Managerial Relevance………………………………………………… ........... 7 1.4 Academical Relevance………………………………………………………...7 1.5 Structure of the thesis………………………………………………………… 8 Chapter 2: Definition of Constructs................................................................. 9 2.1 In-store marketing……………………………………………………………. 9 2.2 In-store marketing tools……………………………………………................. 10 2.2.1 Shelf facings…………………………………………………………….. 10 2.2.2 Pricing………………………………………………………………….. 10 2.2.3 Price promotions……………………………………………………….. 11 2.2.4 In-store displays…………………………………………………………11 2.2.5 Sample product…………………………………………………………. 11 2.3 Sales of new CPGs…………………………………………………………….12 2.4 Consumers’ risk avoidance…………………………………………………… 12 Chapter 3: The effects of in-store marketing for the sales of new CPGs….. 13 3.1 Shelf facings and the effects for sales of new CPGs…………………………. 14 3.2 Pricing and the effects for sales of new CPGs……………………………….. 15 3.3 Price promotions and the effects for sales of new CPGs…………………….. 17 3.4 In-store displays and the effects for sales of new CPGs……………………... 18 3.5 Sample products and the effects for sales of new CPGs……………………... 18 3.6 Chapter Overview……………………………………………………………. 19 Chapter 4: Moderating influences…………………………………………… 21 4.1 Consumers’ risk avoidance as a moderator………………………………….. 21 4.1.1 The moderating effects of consumers’ risk avoidance on the relationship between price and new CPG sales……………… 21 4.1.2 The moderating effects of consumers’ risk avoidance on the relationship between price promotions and new CPG sales.. 22 4.1.3 The moderating effects of consumers’ risk avoidance on the relationship between sample products and new CPG sales… 22 Chapter 5: Conclusions………………………………………………………. 24 5.1 Conclusions of the study…………………………………………………….. 24 5.2 Limitations and suggestions for further research……………………………. 25 5.3 Managerial implications……………………………………………………… 25 Reference list…………………………………………………………………. 27 2 Abstract This paper investigates the effects several in-store marketing tools have on the sales of new consumer packaged goods, mostly referred to as new CPGs in the rest of this study, in the retail environment. Past research often has not made a clear distinction between the several in-store marketing tools available and their effects on the sales of new consumer packaged goods. Therefore, a short explanation of the tools used in this research is given. After having distinguished the in-store marketing tools from each other, the influences they have on new CPG sales are discussed. Finally, the moderating influence of consumers’ risk avoidance on the relationship between the in-store marketing tools and sales numbers of newly introduced CPGs was investigated. 3 Chapter 1: Introduction When research on the acceptance of new packaged goods first began, the majority focused on investigating the behavioral sciences behind the choices consumers make (e.g. Donnelly Jr., 1970). According to Donnelly Jr. products that are not significant departures from those previously offered may be tried more quickly and easily because the risk involved by the consumer is less (Donnelly Jr., 1970). For a wide range of products this line of reasoning is applicable, but for a more complete understanding of consumers’ choices with regards to newly introduced CPGs, the role of in-store communication and cultural aspects have to be taken in to account as well. Recent research indicates that the retailing sector has long been a sector which was mainly dominated by managers practicing product management instead of consumer management. However, this orientation is changing because of the availability of databases on the purchases of individual customers, which make it possible for retailers to keep track of consumers’ buying behavior (Mulhern, 1997). In a world of integrated retailing, retailers will be less concerned with the profitability of items in stock and more concerned with the profitability of the customers in store (Mulhern, 1997). This change in focus is a direct reason for retailers to differentiate from its competitors in order to attract consumers to buy products at their stores. In order to attract consumers to buy at their stores, retailers came up with instore marketing tools which were intended to invite the consumer to buy a certain product by means of presenting a product in a tempting manner. Unfortunately, the relationship between in-store marketing and sales of new CPGs has not been widely investigated under the recent retailing environment. This paper will make a contribution to extant research on the effects in-store marketing has on consumers’ purchasing decisions. More specifically, this study will address the effects of in-store marketing on sales volumes of new CPGs. In past research it has been found that marketing tools have an impact on purchase decisions a consumer makes (see e.g. Mulhern, 1997). Since it has been found that marketing has an effect on consumer choice, this paper will focus on how the selected in-store marketing tools affect the choice for newly introduced consumer products. 4 1.1 Problem Statement Problem Definition Historically, research in the field of marketing has focused on cultural, economical and personal aspects to find explanations for the acceptance of new CPGs (e.g. Gielens and Steenkamp, 2007; Tellis, Stremersch and Yin, 2003). Unfortunately, less research has been done about the relationship between in-store marketing tools and the sales of new product innovations. So there is still a lot about the influences of in-store marketing tools on sales of new goods that remains to be uncovered. Knowledge of this relationship is beneficial for retailers and producers of new innovations such that they can design a marketing strategy in order to attract customers to buy their products. This in combination with the changing retail environment of the last decades and the fierce selling price battle of 2009, in which Dutch retailers were fighting each other on the basis of product prices in order to attract customers and push direct competitors out of the market, makes it interesting for this paper to provide a clear view on how in-store marketing influences new products’ sales volumes. For the purpose of this research, a distinction will be made in consumers’ risk avoidance and other types of customer characteristics. Although all characteristics mentioned by Tellis et al. (2003) may have an influence on purchasing decisions made by a customer about a new CPG, the focus of this paper is on the level of uncertainty avoidance because this could be a factor influencing most of the in-store marketing efforts made by the retailer. Now that all important variables have been briefly introduced to the reader, and a short introduction and problem definition have been given, the problem statement can be presented. Problem Statement How does in-store marketing contribute to the sales of new CPGs, and how does consumers’ risk avoidance influence this relationship? 5 Research Questions 1. What is in-store marketing and how can we distinguish in-store marketing from other forms of marketing? 2. What kind of in-store marketing tools are available in the retail environment? 3. What are the effects of in-store marketing on the sales of new CPGs? 4. How does consumers’ risk avoidance influence the relationship between in-store marketing and sales of new CPGs? 1.2 Conceptual Model The conceptual model presented below has been created from the problem statement and research questions stated above. 1.3 Managerial Relevance When talking about factors influencing consumer’s purchasing decisions, Gielens and Steenkamp (2007) have found that product factors, competitive environment and consumer characteristics are of importance in the decision making process of consumers. Besides the factors mentioned by Gielens and Steenkamp (2007), in-store marketing may have an effect on this process as well. However, little academic research has been done on in-store marketing and the effects of it for new CPG sales. Previously, a lot of research has been done to the effects of in-store marketing on the buying behavior of consumers in general. According to various studies, a majority of brand choice decisions are made inside the store, yet consumers only evaluate a fraction of the products available for sale (Inman, Winer and Ferraro, 2009). In this context, improved attention through in-store marketing activities should influence consumer behavior at the point of purchase, and the results found in the study done by Chandon, Hutchinson, Bradlow 6 and Young (2009) show that this is indeed the case to a certain extent. Consumer choices are without doubt of interest for retailers and producers, since companies heavily rely on consumers buying their products, as they will not survive in the current competitive environment when their products are not bought by consumers. Therefore, they try to influence the choices consumers’ make in order to let them pick and buy their products instead one of the competitors. For this reason, it is important for the producer to know how in-store marketing can increase the sales volumes of new CPGs such that they can recoup initial investments in the new product development process. In addition to the producer, the retailer is also likely to be interested in the effects of in-store marketing on the sales numbers of new products as this will probably lead to higher turnover for the retail shop and a better competitive position in the retail landscape. 1.4 Academic Relevance Consumer characteristics and in-store marketing have become important subjects in consumer purchasing behavior in the past decades. Various studies have been involving the effects of several cultural barriers and product characteristics influencing the sales volumes of newly introduced CPGs in the retail landscape (Tellis et al., 2003; Gielens and Steenkamp, 2007) as well as studies about the effects of in- and out-of-store marketing on purchasing decisions (Mulhern, 2007; Chandon et al., 2009). However these studies did not take into account the role that consumers’ risk avoidance can play in how effective in-store marketing is in promoting a new CPG. It is especially this what is interesting to know for a retailer since consumers’ avoiding risks might not be willing to buy new, unknown products. Therefore, it is important to know for the retailer what the role of in-store marketing can be in reducing the uncomfortable feelings of consumers. Once the retailer has gained the essential knowledge, he could try to influence the risk avoiding consumers by in-store marketing efforts in order to increase the probability of new CPG sales. 1.5 Structure of the Thesis In the second chapter of this paper, we will elaborate on the conceptual model presented earlier in this chapter. This will be done by giving a short description of in-store marketing followed by a short explanation of the five in-store marketing tools picked for this 7 research: shelf facings, pricing, price promotions, in-store displays and sample products. The third chapter will discuss the relationship between the in-store marketing tools and their effects on sales volumes of the new CPGs. Thereafter, chapter 4 will describe the moderating influence of consumers’ risk avoidance on the relation between pricing, price promotions, sample products and the sales of new CPGs. The last chapter of this study will contain the conclusions made from this literature research followed by recommendations for future research and managerial implications for the producer and retailer of CPGs. Chapter 2: Definition of Constructs In this chapter, we will take a closer look at the relevant constructs as depicted in the conceptual framework of chapter 1. First of all, the broad field of in-store marketing will be described and subdivided into several more specific tools of in-store marketing. The tools presented to the reader for this research are: shelf facings, pricing, price promotion, in-store displays and sample products. Thereafter, the dependent variable of the framework, sales of new consumer packaged goods will be clarified followed by consumers’ risk avoidance; the moderating variable in this research. 2.1 In-store Marketing 8 In the current retail landscape marketers are diverting a growing proportion of their promotional budgets from traditional out-of-store media advertising to in-store marketing, and retailers are responding by adopting increasingly sophisticated shelf space management and audience measurement tools (Egol and Vollmer, 2008). But what is in-store marketing exactly about? According to various studies done in the past, a significant part of all purchases are made at the retail shop floor, while consumers only notice and evaluate a small fraction of all the products available in a store (Inman et al., 2009). In-store marketing then could be described as all the marketing activities available in stores that strongly influence consumer behavior at the point of purchase (Chandon et al., 2009). Unlike in-store marketing which primarily influences attention, out-of-store marketing factors – which are typically printed ads and television or radio spots – influences evaluation and only have a marginal effect on attention (Chandon et al., 2009). The focus of this paper will be on the in-store marketing tools, as they can play a role in the process of selection, and thus buying, of new introduced products. The reason for this is that with in-store marketing, the consumer can be influenced more easily than with out-ofstore marketing since grocery consumers mostly decide in the shop what to buy for dinner. In the field of in-store marketing we can differentiate between several tools used to promote products in the retail environment. The following paragraph will go deeper into the in-store marketing tools of importance for this research. 2.2 In-store Marketing Tools As already told in the previous section, in the field of marketing we can distinguish between several marketing tools. For this paper, the focus will be purely on in-store marketing tools, and it is this paragraph in which a short description of the marketing tools of importance for the study will be given. Respectively, shelf facings, pricing, price promotions, in-store displays and sample products will be presented to the reader. 2.2.1 Shelf facings Facing, a frequently used tool in retailing, means creating a perfectly looking and stocked store by pulling all the products available on a shelf to the front such that consumers can view and take the products easily. From past research it has been found that the number and position of shelf facings is of importance for the evaluation and attention of products 9 (Chandon et al., 2009) and that increases in visual area strongly increases attention of consumers in the retail shop (Janiszewski, 1998). Since attention and evaluation of new products are of importance in the process of a consumer buying a certain(new) product, this research will focus on describing the effects of the number of shelf facings. In this research, shelf facings are defined as the number of product packages sitting on the shelf and being presented full face to the consumer (Nogales & Suarez, 2005). 2.2.2 Pricing With pricing we could simply mean the retailer setting prices for the products he is selling, but behind this apparently simple looking act goes an entire process of demand and offer. Pricing, therefore is a crucial element in retailing and is a unique marketing element as it can be changed quickly and it has an immediate effect on sales (Mulhern 1997). In the retail environment, prices tend to be on “regular” levels most of the times, with periodic discounting for short periods (Hosken & Reiffen, 2004). For the purpose of this study, pricing will be described as the price a retailer sets for a newly introduced product. 2.2.3 Price promotions Price promotions, also referred to as periodical discounts on some products or product categories, are frequently used by retailers in order to attract consumers buying products in their shop. Promotions, according to Mulhern (1997), can take either the form of a random discount or the form of a periodic discount occurring systematically over time. Retail pricing practices, along with price related promotions, are essentially intended to allow retailers to price discriminate across shoppers and achieve profits higher than those obtainable with fixed pricing (Dhar and Hoch 1996). In this research, price promotions will be defined as temporarily selling a new product for a price lower than the price normally asked for it by the retailer. 2.2.4 In-store displays With thousands or even more (slightly) differing products being available within the retail shop, and all of them being presented to the consumer in endless identical rows of shop 10 shelves, in-store displays might be the small difference a producers’ product needs to become a success. In-store displays can be seen as a final marketing tool to attract the attention of consumers’ at the point of purchase. In this paper in-store displays will be interpreted as (special) shelves mostly made out of carton, which are supplied to the retailer by the producer of the new consumer packaged goods in order to present their product in an attractive manner. 2.2.5 Sample products Product demonstrations, trial products and providing consumers with free samples during shopping are strong instruments for making people aware of new products and giving them a sense of what the product tastes like. Thus the consumers gain experience before buying a product thereby reducing the uncertainties they might have about the product (Heiman, McWilliams and Zilberman, 2001). Most of the times, sample products and product demonstrations are provided by staff of the producing company or by external offices specialized in promotional activities and can be easily provided in various environments. The simplicity with which product demonstrations can be given and the presence of a salesperson at the shopping floor make it an effective in-store marketing tool which simplifies the communication with interested consumers and answering questions. 2.3 Sales of new CPGs Companies’ frequently introducing new products are of course interested in whether their products are being accepted by consumers or not as it is risky to innovate due to the fact that the majority of all new products fail in the marketplace (Goldenberg, Lehmann & Mazursky 2001; Golder & Tellis 1993; Steenkamp & Gielens 2003). Therefore it is extremely important to know for manufacturers what aspects of in-store marketing can increase the possibility that their product will become a success, and thus ultimately are being bought by the consumer. 2.4 Consumers’ risk avoidance 11 Risk avoidance refers to the mind-set that induces a prevention focus (Higgins 1997, 1998), that is, a disposition to minimize the negative consequences of decisions with little consideration given to possible benefits (Briley & Wyer, 2002). With consumers being part of any kind of group or culture, calling consumers’ attention to their cultural identity can make them aware of their membership in a group and, therefore, can induce a group mind-set. This mind-set leads them to make decisions that minimize the risk of negative outcomes to both themselves and others. The effects of this mind-set generalize over both group and individual choice situations (Briley & Wyer, 2002). Since this research is interested in the effects of several in-store marketing tools for sales volumes of new CPGs, it is interesting to investigate how risk avoidance of individual consumers’ moderates this relationship. To summarize, risk avoidance in this paper will be defined as making decisions which minimize the risk of negative outcomes to both themselves as group members, instigated by personal beliefs that one can be potentially harmed by his/her decisions (Brewer et al., 2007). Chapter 3: The effects of in-store marketing for the sales of new CPGs Gathering information about precuts and processing it is part of the process taking place before a consumer actually decides to buy a new product. Normally, when picking a certain product, consumers will do some information collection to get important product information before actually making their purchasing decision. In case of grocery products, this could be information from past experience, printed information on product labels or from other information at hand. However, the problem with newly introduced consumer packaged goods is that the consumer does not have access to information from past usage as the product simply did not exist before. Furthermore, he might not be willing to rely completely on information from the product label or information available from out-of-store marketing tools such as 12 television/radio adds as the producer of the product always might have the intention to mislead the consumer in order to sell his product. For this reason, making use of free sample products and giving in-store product demonstrations could be useful in-store marketing tools in order to convince the consumer to pick a newly introduced CPG. In the literature on marketing and advertising, several papers identify and describe methods how in-store marketing tools can influence the acceptance, and thus sales numbers, of existing products (Chandon et al., 2009; Hamister & Suresh, 2008). In the light of this paper, we are interested in how the methods found by previous research will influence the sales numbers of newly introduced products instead of already existing ones. We will take into account the in-store marketing tools as described in section 2.2 of this paper namely: shelf facings, pricing, price promotions, in-store displays and finally sample products. In this chapter, the roles of the in-store marketing tools on consumers’ choices for newly introduced products will be handled. First of all, section 3.1 will shed its light on the role shelf facings have on the success ability of a new product. Then section 3.2 and 3.3 respectively will take a closer look at the effects that pricing and price promotions have on the sales numbers of new CPGs. Finally, in-store displays and sample products are treated in section 3.4 and 3.5 respectively and a short chapter conclusion will be given in section 3.6. 3.1 Shelf facings and the effects for sales of new CPGs When you as a consumer go to a shop in order to buy some retail goods, have you ever asked yourself the question why retail employees are constantly pulling products to the front of the shelves? That is because retail managers are constantly trying to keep their store looking perfectly, in order to attract the attention of possible buyers. Behind the composition of a shop, and the way in which products are placed at the shelves goes a complicated plan in order to find the best possible division. This complicated plan, which is called a planogram, is set up by the retailer or his/her headquarters in order to make the composition of the store as efficiently as possible in creating high turnover rates and it is here where the concept of shelf facings comes in the picture. Research literature suggests that increases in total shelf space have strong effects on 13 brand sales (e.g. Bemmaor & Mouchoux, 1991). It is suggested that the number of shelf facings has an impact on attention and evaluation of brands / products. It is this increased probability of attention for and evaluation of new CPGs which is of importance for producers, since a new CPG that is visible for consumers will be bought more frequently than those not being noticed. However there is a drawback for increasing the number of shelf facings for a new CPG. The relationship between increasing the number of shelf facings and increased sales volumes must be treated with caution, as there is a maximum shelf point for every product, at which no more sales are produced even if the space is increased (Calvo and Reinares, 1999). So, in order to keep the planogram as efficiently as possible in creating high sales volumes, a retailer must be aware of the maximum shelf point for every product, such that he will not waste some of his costly shelf space which could have been used to increase sales of another product. From this knowledge, it can be concluded that there exists an inverted U-relationship for the number of shelf facings, which tells us that after the optimum shelf point, increases in number of shelf space may lead to lower instead of higher sales volumes per shelf. An explanation for this might be found in the fact that when more than the maximum shelf space is allocated to a CPG, sales per shelf will reduce since maximum sales per meter where already reached in an earlier stadium. In short, it seems that increasing the number of shelf facings up to the maximum shelf point positively influences the sales volumes of new CPGs as it influences the observation, visibility and reexamination of products. 3.2 Pricing and the effects for sales of new CPGs In retailing, the important question retailers have to ask themselves is: How much should be charged for a new product? In order to be able to answer this question, it is extremely important for managers to know and understand what the influences of a given price can have on the probability that a new product becomes a success and how consumers use this price in purchase decisions (Mulhern, 1997). So it is obvious that setting the right price for a new product is a complex process, which can make or break the new product. Now let us first take a closer look at how consumers use price in their purchasing decisions, 14 and thereafter elaborate on the effects of charging a price too low or too high on the sales volumes of a new CPG. Dickson and Sawyer (1990) found by directly questioning grocery customers immediately after a purchase that only 58% of shoppers claimed to have checked the price of an item purchased. The remaining 42% of shoppers declared that they did not check the price of a product because of being under time pressure or since they believed prices to be quiet similar. By another study, Krishna, Currim and Shoemaker (1991) found that many consumers did not know the retail prices of merchandise they purchased, which is in accordance with the results found by Dickson and Sawyer. However for newly introduced CPGs, price may still be an important factor in consumers’ purchasing decisions, since they are not familiar with the product and it may increase trial probability. Therefore, it is useful to take a look at what the effects of charging a too low/high price are for the number of sales of a new CPG. According to Marn, Roegner and Zawada (2003), charging too much for a new product is dangerous, but charging too little is even more dangerous since a company may forego significant revenues and profits, but it also fixes the product’s market value position at a low level. This low market value position is for the producer part of the marketing mix decisions he has to make before introducing the product at the market, from consumers’ perspective it means that they perceive the product to be of low quality, and could thus be harm causing for the new CPG. When linking the results found by Marn, Roegner and Zawada to the sales of new CPGs, it may be concluded that when a retailer charges too little for the new product, it may lead to lower sales instead of higher sales since consumers might perceive the product or the ingredients / components to be of low quality and thus may ultimately lead to lower sales of the new CPG. On the other side, when a retailer charges a price too high – especially during the introductory stage of the product – this may lead to lower trial probability of new products even when the consumers perceive these product to be of high quality, since in this case they will stay with their current brand product. This lower trial probability of the new product due to too high prices may lead to lower sales volumes, and thus as well as with too low prices may lead to product failure. To summarize this paragraph about the retailer setting the price for a new CPG, we can say that implementing the right price for a new product is a difficult but very important process. From the figure at the right hand side presented in an article by Krishnan, Bass and Jain (2003), we can see that it is optimal to introduce a new CPG with a medium price level 15 for the first year. This is due to the reason of low level market value position for too low prices and low consumption in the case of too high prices. Thereafter, prices should be slightly increased up to 3 years after introduction in order to strengthen the market value position of the new product and increase the returns from it. Finally, when the market for the product has became tight or outdated prices will drop in order to keep selling the product. This situation ultimately will lead to highest sales volumes for new CPGs according to Krishnan, Bass and Jain (2003). Finally to conclude, it seems reasonable to state that it is better for retailers to introduce a new CPG with a slightly above low price or medium price level since this stimulates trial probability and will thus lead to increasing sales volumes in the first few years after product introduction. 3.3 Price promotions and the effects for sales of new CPGs In the CPG industry, price competition between brands and products is largely conducted using promotions. Promotions typically contain a pricing component and are present at the point of purchase (Shankar & Bolton, 2004). The effects of price promotions can take several forms including direct effects, substitution effects, cross-category effects and overall store effects (Mulhern, 1997). In the special interest of this paper is the direct effect a price promotion has on the sales of new CPGs. Normally, most of the products promoted are established, frequently purchased items, but we are interested in the promotional activities with regard to new products. Further looking at price promotions, it is widely known that consumers are accessible for price promotions and that they influence the consumer at the point of purchase since the consumer might be tempted to buy the product by the temporal decrease in price of by the fact that they simply cannot withstand the offer. Thus, in this way price promotions will lead to higher trial probability and thus increases in sales volumes in the short run for the promoted products. Ultimately, a price promotion on a new CPG may lead to higher sales volumes in the long run since consumers become familiar with a product they never would have bought without the price discount. 16 However, promoting a product with (extremely) low prices could be dangerous since consumers might come to adopt the low introductory price as a reference and consider the regular price to be unacceptably greater than the price they expect to pay (Doob et al., 1969). This adaptation of the low introductory price as a reference will be harmful for the new CPG, since when the price promotion ends consumers will not be willing to buy the CPG anymore because of their feelings that the regular price of too high. Another point for the retailer to take care of is the amount of discount given during a period of price promotions. Kalwani and Yim (1992) found that there exists a region of relative price insensitivity around the expected price, such that only price changes outside that region have a significant impact on consumer brand choice behavior. In other words, the discount offered with a price promotion has to be large enough in order to attract the consumer to buy the new CPG, due to the fact that when the price during the price promotion falls in the region of relative price insensitivity consumers will not perceive the discount as a promotion. The end result then will be that the promotion has no significant effect for the sales volumes of the new CPG. So finally, it is reasonable to state that price promotions are an effective in-store marketing tool in promoting products provided that promotional prices are not set below a certain lower boundary but are large enough to fall outside the region of relative price insensitivity. 3.4 In-store displays and the effects for sales of new CPGs Products’ normally placed within the endless rows of products available on the shelves may not being noticed by consumers. In avoiding this problem of not being noticed by possible buyers, in-store displays are an important tool to make consumers aware of (new) products. As in-store displays represent the final contact point of marketing communication (Mulhern, 1997) they can definitely be seen as an effective method for promoting new products and thus are crucial for retail and product performance because consumers make most brand decisions in the store, and the time consumers spend making those decisions is extremely short according to Dickson and Sawyer (1990). Effectively managing the way in which in-store displays are presented and the distribution of them over the retail shop can have substantial effects on store performance (Mulhern, 1997) and thus is of importance for 17 both the retailer and the producer of the new consumer packaged goods. In the light of new consumer goods, and looking at the results from previous research, we can conclude that in-store displays are an important tool to influence people’s purchase decisions. In the market segment of newly introduced products this can be of importance since many new products are bought intuitively. 3.5 Sample products and the effects for sales of new CPGs Sample products and product demonstrations are introduced with the main goal of making shoppers familiar with the new CPG in order to take away possible distrust and questions about the product. According to Laroche and Brisoux (1989), the intention to buy a particular brand is positively affected by attitude toward the same brand and negatively affected by attitudes toward other brands in the decision set. In other words, they found evidence that consumers will prefer products from brands they already have a feeling with over products from newly established producers. Because of the fact that consumers are indeed influenced by a certain kind of familiarity with products in their purchase decisions, it is in the best interest of the producer to minimize the negative effects of unfamiliarity with the newly introduced CPG. As David Gefen (2000) stated in his paper: “Familiarity is an understanding, often based on previous interactions, experiences and learning and reduces uncertainties consumers have.” Furthermore, Luhmann (1979) has found that familiarity is a precondition of trust. From this it has been concluded that the influence of familiarity and trust are especially strong on people’s intentions to purchase (Gefen, 2000). For this reason, producers decided to come up with free sample products and started giving product demonstrations in shops in order to increase familiarity with the product / brand among customers and to be able to take away any doubts customers might have about the new product, all for the higher goal of increasing sales volumes of new CPGs. So in short, product demonstrations and sample products are an effective in-store marketing tool since they make customers aware of new products and give them the possibility to become familiar which in turn will lead to trust in the new CPG and higher sales volumes due to successive future sales. 18 3.6 Chapter overview All in all, from the overview of in-store marketing tools provided during this chapter we can conclude that all of them can have a positive effect, if used correctly, on sales numbers of new CPGs. As we have seen, familiarity and trust in a new product could be obtained by organizing product demonstrations and providing consumers with free sample products. This is probably the most important step in creating a bond with the consumer for the new CPG. Since consumers tend to reduce their risks and thus are in some way risk avoidant, trust and familiarity with a new product may help in convincing the consumer to buy the new CPG. Once familiarity and trust have been created via product demonstrations and free samples, the consumer could be tempted to buy the product by setting a good retail price, and temporarily offer a price promotion for the new CPG. This could lead to higher trial probability as it positively influences the consumer at the point of purchase and thus ultimately leads to higher sales volumes of the new product. Finally, observation of new products in a shop could be increased by way of increasing the total number of shelf facings and by presenting them on catchy looking in-store displays delivered by the producer in order to increase the chance that people will buy the product. 19 Chapter 4: Moderating influences This chapter will describe the moderating influences with respect to the effects in-store marketing has on the sales of newly introduced CPGs. The moderator of interest for this research will be consumers’ risk avoidance. We will elaborate on the moderating influences of consumers’ risk avoidance on the relationship between some of the in-store marketing tools described in chapter 2 and 3 and sales of new CPGs. The in-store marketing tools of interest for this chapter are new CPG price, price promotions and product samples. Paragraph 4.1.1 will discuss how consumers’ risk avoidance can moderate the effects of price for sales numbers of new CPGs. Then paragraph 4.1.2 will treat the moderating effect consumers’ risk avoidance has on the relationship between price promotions and sales of new CPGs. Thereafter section 4.1.3 will do the same for the moderating effects on the relationship between sample products and sales of new products. 4.1 Consumers’ risk avoidance as a moderator 20 The impact of price, price promotions and sample products on consumer purchase decisions for new products and thus for sales numbers of new CPGs is in part dependent on the risk avoidance of consumers. For the purpose of this study, the broad term consumer is split up into two separate groups namely the Risk Avoiding Consumer (RAC) and the NonRisk Avoiding Consumer (NRAC). The RAC could be typified as perceiving changes and new products as a threat, combined with a personal belief that one could be potentially harmed (Brewer et al.,2007) by the product. This perceived risk affects people’s risk attitudes, which in turn determines their behavioral intentions towards that risk (Brewer et al., 2007). In contrast, the NRAC could be described as curious, and open for trying new innovations. 4.1.1 The moderating effect of consumers’ risk avoidance on the relationship between price and new CPG sales As was already mentioned in section 3.2, the relationship between price and sales is an inverted U-relationship. That is, sales will be optimal at a given price and for prices lower or higher than the optimum price, sales will be lower. Now it is interesting to see what the effects of a higher price are for the sales of new CPGs under RAC and NRAC. With the common economic assumption that quality (hence value) and price are positively related, and thus a higher price reflects higher costs of production per unit (Steenkamp and Hoffman, 1994), with lower quality items costing less (Schwartz and Wilde, 1985) in mind, it is reasonable to state that a higher new CPG price will have a less negative effect for sales in case of a RAC than for a NRAC as long as the new CPG price will not be higher than the optimal price. A reason for this could be found in the fact that the higher price will be perceived by the RAC as a kind of certainty that will (partly) take away their feelings of risk and distrust with the new product, while the NRAC could be discouraged to buy because of the high price. 4.1.2 The moderating effect of consumers’ risk avoidance on the relationship between price promotions and new CPG sales With regard to price promotions, earlier in this research defined as a temporal reduction, large enough to fall outside the region of relative price insensitivity of the regular price level, a distinction can be made between the effects on sales numbers of new CPGs for RAC and NRAC as well. In the case of the risk avoiding consumer, a price promotion will have a bigger positive effect on sales than for the non-risk avoiding consumer. An explanation for this could be found in the fact that the price promotion for a new CPG in 21 which the RAC normally would not be interested in due to his feelings of uncertainty about the product will weaken the risk perceived by the RAC. That is, the personal belief that one can be potentially harmed (Brewer et al., 2007) by a new product will be weakened since the temporarily lower price means that the risk of spending money on an unknown product will drop and may convince the RAC to try the product. For the NRAC, a price promotion might have a positive effect as well although not as positive as with the RAC. This could be explained by the fact that the NRAC already could have been buying this product before the price promotion was instigated because of curiosity and his tolerance to new innovations. 4.1.3 The moderating effect of consumers’ risk avoidance on the relationship between sample products and new CPG sales With the main goal of providing sample products and product demonstrations being bringing the new CPG under interest of the consumer, and making them familiar with the product, it is probable that they play a positive role in the sales volumes of new CPGs. Now it is interesting to take a look at what the effects of them are for the purchase decisions of RAC and NRAC. In case of the risk avoiding and somewhat reserved consumer, sample products and product demonstrations can play an import role. Therefore it is reasonable to state that a free sample will have a larger positive effect on sales of RAC than for sales of NRAC. This conclusion is based on the fact a free sample or product demonstration will take away the risk perceptions, which often depend on consumers’ interpretations of the situation at hand (Pennings, Wansink & Meulenberg, 2002). The risk perceptions of the RAC will be declined by sample products / product demonstrations because these marketing measures give them the opportunity to experience and learn about the product, which in turn are fundamental issues in becoming familiar with a product. For the NRAC, familiarity and trust in product are not of that importance in their purchasing decisions, since they might be willing to buy the new CPG without a free sample / product demonstration as well due to their curiosity. So to conclude, when someone is a RAC, providing consumers with free samples will have a more positive effect on new CPG sales than is the case for NRAC. 22 Chapter 5: Conclusions In this final chapter the conclusions, a discussion about the limitations of this research and some managerial implication will be given. First of all, the conclusions drawn from the literature research done will be presented. The second paragraph will provide limitations of this research followed by some suggestions for future research. Finally, section three will give the managerial implications drawn from the results of this study. 5.1 Conclusions of the study The central question under investigation in this study is: How does in-store marketing contribute to the sales of new CPGs, and how does consumers’ risk avoidance influence this relationship? In the literature about in-store marketing five tools were identified, and their influences on product sales were described. Those five in-store marketing tools are frequently used in combination with each other, in order to strengthen the effects the tools have 23 separately. It was found that all five tools have their positive contribution to new CPG sales, although it must be said that some of the tools might have negative contributions when not used properly. This is especially the case for the determination of the retail price, price promotions and the number of shelf facings for a new CPG. The inverted U-relationship for the number of shelf facings told us that when too much or too little space is allocated to the new CPG, sales of this product might suffer under it. For pricing, there seems to be an inverted U-relationship as well. Even though setting the retail price is a function of demand and supply, a retailer must be careful in the decision to implement a certain price for new products. As well as with shelf facings, a price being too low may release a feeling in consumers which tells them that the product is of low quality. Besides that, a new CPGs’ price being too high may lead to lower sales volumes as well, since consumers are unwilling to spend lots of money for a new, unknown product. The relationship between three in-store marketing tools (price, price promotions and sample products) is moderated by consumers’ risk avoidance, since the effects for new CPG sales of the in-store marketing tools for risk avoiding consumers (RACs) are different from the effects for non-risk avoiding consumers(NRACs). It was found that the effects for RACs are less negative in the case of higher prices, and more positive in the case of bigger price promotions and sample products / product demonstrations. 5.2 Limitations and suggestions for further research In this paper, the focus of the research was limited to the effects in-store marketing has on the sales numbers of new CPGs. In-store marketing in this research has focused on the well known marketing tools available at the shop floor. However, the recent developments in hightech in-store advertisement methods like multi-touch screens, Smart Networks, 3-dimensional projections and even speaking shelves have not been incorporated in this paper. Another limitation is the fact that this research has focused on the normal retail shops and products. Discounter retail shops have not been incorporated in this research. For future research it is suggested that the somewhat contradictory findings on the exact effects of increases in the number of shelf facings on consumer attention is tested to see how strongly it actually influences the sales volumes of new CPGs. Furthermore, it will be interesting to investigate what changes the new high-tech in- 24 store marketing tools, as mentioned above, will cause in the sales volumes of new CPGs. The effects of those high-tech in-store marketing developments have not been researched yet. Although it is reasonable to belief that they will have positive influences on sales as well, research will be needed in order to state things with certainty. Finally, it will be important to expand this research in order to find out what the effects of the in-store marketing tools mentioned in this paper for the sales of products sold in discounter retail shops will be. 5.3 Managerial implications In-store marketing has been found to be an effective tool in increasing sales of (new) products. Because of this, retail managers should be familiar with the ways in which in-store marketing tools can provide higher sales volumes for new CPGs in order to increase the complete shop turnover. Therefore it is suggested to them to guide the introduction of new products frequently with marketing methods. First of all, it is advisable not to introduce a new CPG for dump- or excessively high prices and to promote the product temporarily with price promotions in order to attract consumers which initially were not buying the new CPG. Furthermore, managers should be aware of the fact that the amount of space a new product gets does influence the sales volumes of it. It is advisable not to place new CPGs besides well running products and not to attach too much shelf space for the new CPG. Regardless of the amount of space, managers also should think about the effects of where at the shelves the product will be placed. Finally, retail shop managers should be aware of the cultural aspects of the consumers visiting the shop. When consumers are so called risk avoiding consumers (RACs), it might be a good idea to provide them with sample products or to organize product demonstrations in order to make them familiar with the product and to take away their distrust such that. 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