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South East Australian Program Preparing fisheries for climate change ROCK LOBSTER fact sheet Adult rock lobsters tolerate a wide range of environmental conditions and live across a wide range of different rockyreef communities. While this suggests the adults will have resilience to climate change, the success of larval recruitment is affected by oceanic current circulation and this stage of development may be vulnerable to change in climate. The ability to detect and respond to changes in recruitment will be important for fishing industry and resource managers to adapt to any future changes in productivity. Southern rock lobster was one of four case-study fisheries selected to identify likely effects of climate change and highlight how fishery assessment and management frameworks could be adjusted to better consider climate change. The fishery The Southern Rock Lobster (Jasus edwardsii) resource supports important commercial and recreational fisheries across Western Australia, South Australia, Victoria and Tasmania. The total annual catch is approximately 3000 tonnes with an estimated gross commercial value of AUS$200 million. Fishing has involved the use of baited pots since the late 1800’s in most jurisdictions. All fisheries are managed under management plans that have been separately developed within each jurisdiction. Management tools include limited entry to the fishery, gear limitations and spatial or temporal closures, as well as minimum legal sizes and total allowable commercial catches (TACCs). Collectively these approaches have been successful and harvests are assessed as being sustainably managed. About the case study Patterns in production of other rock lobster fisheries, and Southern Rock Lobster in particular, show that the fishery is primarily vulnerable to two factors; (i) changes in the numbers of young lobsters settling to the inshore reefs each year (ie levels of recruitment to the fishery); and (ii) the ability of management decisions to respond to changes in recruitment. For this reason, analyses of the relationship between environmental processes and the rock lobster fishery focused on the potential for climate change to alter fishery recruitment and the ability of management systems to respond. Links between environmental processes and settlement was examined using data on the numbers of the first bottomdwelling or benthic stage (called puerulus) from monitoring programs across all jurisdictions. This project was the first attempt to examine environmental drivers of Southern Rock Lobster recruitment across the range of the Australian fishery and across all available environmental data including wind, current and wave strength in addition to oceanic indices such as the Eastern Australian Current index (EACI) and the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI). How changes in the physical environment may affect lobster production Southern rock lobster eggs are carried by female lobsters living on reef on the continental shelf. After hatching, the larvae swim up into the water and are pushed by currents from the continental shelf into oceanic waters. It is thought that environmental factors such as wind strength and directions affects their ability to make this journey. Once in oceanic waters beyond the continental shelf they drift for 12 to 24 months feeding and slowly growing larger. Changes in oceanic current strength and direction are thought to affect the dispersal of this larval stage. After the oceanic stage, larvae are once again driven back across the continental shelf towards inshore reef habitat. This movement is also affected by environmental conditions. If they successfully find coastal reef they settle and begin life as a benthic or bottomdwelling rock lobster. The number of these puerulus settling inshore was below average for many parts of coast from roughly 2000 to 2010, depending on location. As a consequence, the total allowable catch of all Southern Rock Lobster fisheries was reduced. The decline in puerulus between 2000 and 2010 followed a period of increase in stock abundance and egg production so this raised the question of whether the decline in recruitment was caused by some environmental or climate change related process. This project identified that puerulus settlement followed broadscale patterns across large areas of the fishery and in some areas these trends correlated with wind strength and current strength. However, these trends were not consistent from region to region and where they were observed, the scale of effect was only weak. There is clearly much more to learn about the processes driving recruitment of lobsters and it may be that biological factors such as algal blooms or abundance of predators of larvae in the open ocean are critical. While specific environmental factors that caused this pattern of declines in recruitment were not clear, it does illustrate the type of event that could occur with climate change through changes in patterns of larval dispersal and survival. If climate change has an effect on future recruitment we need to have management that is effective when there is uncertainty. Vulnerability of assessment and management systems to climate change 22222The2greatest2concern2from2climate2change2for2lobster2fisheries2is2that2 settlement2and2future2recruitment2of2lobsters2to2the2fishery2will2reduce2 faster2than2management2responds.22All2Australian2rock2lobster2fisheries2 have2some2autonomous2capacity2to2respond2to2lower2recruitment2by2 reducing2the2total2allowable2catch.222This2process2has2protected2stocks2by2 lowering2catches2in2response2to2lower2settlement2between220002and2 2010.22 The2low2settlement2experienced2across2the2stocks2also2highlighted2areas2 within2management2that2could2be2improved.2These2included2the2speed2at2 which2management2responded2to2declines2in2recruitment2as2well2as2the2 need2to2revise2expectations2around2overall2fishery2productivity.2 Management2decisions2made2in2these2fisheries2from220002to220102 assumed2that2settlement2of2lobster2larvae2was2variable2from2year2to2 year2but2within2ranges2that2were2considered2plausible2from2past2 experience.22This2meant2that2management2systems2used2for2the2fishery2 were2not2well2prepared2for2declines2in2recruitment2that2remained2low2for2 a2longer2period2than2had2occurred2at2any2time2over2the2previous2302 years.22This2has2now2been2addressed2by2building2buffers2into2decision2 processes2for2the2fishery.2 Assessment and management suited to change The2project2examined2the2process2of2quota2setting2in2the2presence2of2 uncertainty2about2future2recruitment2that2could2possibly2occur2with2 climate2change,2concluding:2 Biomass2targets2for2the2fishery2should2be2set2conservatively2and2that2 the2probability2of2reaching2these2targets2should2be2higher2than2 50B.2 2 Using2economic2targets2for2the2fishery2should2be2encouraged2and2 provides2good2protection2against2climate2change.22This2was2because2 high2economic2yield2occurred2when2lobsters2were2abundant2so2that2 cost2of2fishing2was2low.22 22 Much higher levels of biomass than occur in the fishery at present would create much greater resilience to any future periods of low recruitment. Rebuilding stocks to high levels of biomass would require setting low catch limits although the economic impact of this was minor because cost of fishing would also be reduced. Knowledge requirements into the future The ability of fishery management to respond to periods of low recruitment is improved by having access to good data on recruitment to the fishery. There are many ways to collect this information but one of the most effective and lowest cost options are programs where commercial fishers measure some of the undersize lobsters in their catch on a daily basis. These monitoring programs are now underway across most of the fishery and will be increasing in value for responding to changes in the fishery as the time series become longer. Ensuring that the fisheries of south-east Australia adapt effectively to climate change will require robust scientific understanding and the development of management systems that will allow negative impacts to be mitigated and opportunities that arise to be seized. h�p://frdc.com.au/environment/climate_change/ Caleb Gardner, IMAS [email protected] +61 3 6227 7277 h�p://www.redmap.org.au/ Adrian Linnane, PIRSA-SARDI [email protected] +61 8 8207 5400 Gre�a Pecl, IMAS Gre�[email protected] +61 3 6227 7277 Photo credits: Elsa Gärtner, Adrian Linnane, Rick StuartSmith, IMAS and SARDI