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THE BASIC SELECTION MODEL ASSIGNMENT 1 The aim of this assignment set is to familiarize with natural selection as a concept in population genetics. Selection = fitness differences of genotypes and/or alleles. Recap the Hardy-Weinberg concept (pages 12-16). One of the messages in HWE is that gene and genotype frequencies do not change from one generation to another – if the assumptions are valid. Stochastics (genetic drift) has a role (always), maybe also selection, which means that genes and/or genotypes do not perform equally (their fitness-values differ). A question of its own is, whether statistical deviation from HWE is a sensitive or practical measure for detecting such evolutionary factors (it seldom is). We don´t consider that here. The point is that HWE is a basic model, and based on this model, classical population genetics includes some other basic models. In practice (data analysis) the basic selection models have very little value. However, it is good to know about them. Of special importance is the concept balancing selection which maintains polymorphism. The amounts of polymorphisms are enormous and their maintenance is enigmatic. The bulk of variation is neutral, but how much, and which parts of them are maintained by selection. The basic selection model - ASSIGNMENT 1 / Evol disease genes 2010 / SVarvio 1 THE BASIC SELECTION MODEL Population growth, two haploid genotypes (like bacteria, or gametes of a diploid individual), N individuals, is the finite rate of increase Genotype A grows 3% per generation = 1.03) and genotype B grows 1% per generation ( = 1.01). (a) Individuals of both genotypes increase in number over time. (b) Because the genotypes grow at different rates, their relative proportions in the total population change over time. The solid line shows the initial equal roportions. Eventually, genotype A will approach 100% and genotype B 0%.Genotype A is fixed and B is lost and A-B polymorphism is lost. The basic selection model - ASSIGNMENT 1 / Evol disease genes 2010 / SVarvio 2 THE BASIC SELECTION MODEL Haploid selection. The top section of the table gives expressions for the general case. The bottom part of the table uses absolute and relative fitness values to show the change in genotype proportions for the first generation of natural selection. The absolute fitness of the A genotype is highest and is therefore used as the standard of comparison for relative fitness. The relative fitness can be used to determine the change in frequency of a genotype over time p = pt+1 pt. In the haploid example, with relative fitnesses wA and wB, p = ptwA / (ptwA + ptwB) - pt The basic selection model - ASSIGNMENT 1 / Evol disease genes 2010 / SVarvio 3 THE BASIC SELECTION MODEL Assumptions of a general model • Diploid individuals • One locus with two alleles • Obligate sexual reproduction • Generations do not overlap • Mating is random • Mechanism of natural selection is genotype-specific differences in (fitness) that lead to variable genotype-specific growth rates, termed viability selection • Fitness values are constants that do not vary with time, over space, or in the two sexes • Infinite population size, so there is no genetic drift (stochastics) • No population structure • No gene flow • No mutation The basic selection model - ASSIGNMENT 1 / Evol disease genes 2010 / SVarvio 4 THE BASIC SELECTION MODEL Expected frequencies of three genotypes in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium, after natural selection. The absolute fitness of the AA genotype is used as the standard of comparison when determining relative fitness. The basic selection model - ASSIGNMENT 1 / Evol disease genes 2010 / SVarvio 5 THE BASIC SELECTION MODEL The general categories of relative fitness values for selection at a diallelic locus. The selection coefficients (s, hs, t ) represent the decrease in viability of a genotype compared to the maximum fitness 1 (fitness = 1 – selection coefficient). wAA wAa waa _______________________ Selection against a recessive phenotype Selection against a dominant phenotype General dominance Heterozygote disadvantage (underdominance) Heterozygote advantage (overdominance) 1 1–s 1 1 1- s 1 1–s 1 – hs 1–s 1 1- s 1 1- s 1 1–t Change in allele frequency p = [ (p2wAA + pq wAa ) / (p2wAA + 2pq wAa+ p2waa )] - p Equilibrium p=0 The basic selection model - ASSIGNMENT 1 / Evol disease genes 2010 / SVarvio 6 ALLELE AND GENOTYPE FREQUENCY CHANGES UNDER SELECTION Selection against recessive phenotype. Genotype aa has fitness 0.8. In the bottom figure five initial allele frequency conditions. Selection against dominant allele. The dominant homozygote and heterozygote have fitness 0.8. The basic selection model - ASSIGNMENT 1 / Evol disease genes 2010 / SVarvio 7 ALLELE AND GENOTYPE FREQUENCY CHANGES UNDER SELECTION General dominance, three cases. In all cases the equilibrium allele frequency is fixation or near fixation of allele A. Heterozygote disadvantage. Aa has fitness 0.9. The basic selection model - ASSIGNMENT 1 / Evol disease genes 2010 / SVarvio 8 ALLELE AND GENOTYPE FREQUENCY CHANGES UNDER SELECTION: OVERDOMINANCE, BALANCING SELECTION Overdominance. Heterozygote has fitness 1, and homozygotes have 0.9. The classical (simple) selection scheme which results in polymorphic equilibrium = polymorphism is maintained in a population. Frequency dependent selection models (fitness-values are functions of allele frequencies, not constants) can be shown to lead to polymorphism maintenance (a genotype becomes less fit as becomes more common). Differing fitness values, temporally or spatially (environment consists of patches, different genotypes are fittest in different patches) also form theoretically valid conditions for polymorphism maintenance. Balancing selection (although seldom proved), is a widely used framework for explaining polymorphism maintenance. The basic selection model - ASSIGNMENT 1 / Evol disease genes 2010 / SVarvio 9 ASSIGNMENT 1 1.a. Derive the equilibrium allele frequency formulae for overdominance (see page 6). 1.b. In November 1949 Linus Pauling (two Nobel prices) published in Science the paper Sickle cell anemia, a molecular disease. In this paper he (with collaborators) showed that hemoglobin from patients suffering from sickle cell anemia had a different electrical charge than that from healtly individuals. This paper was seminal in two ways. First, it showed that the cause of a disease could be traced to an alteration in the molecular sturucture of a protein, raising the possibility that many other diseases might also be explained in this way. Second, as this disease was known to inherited, the paper argued that genes precisely determine the structure of proteins…. In 1957 it was shown that a single amino acid difference between normal and sickle cell hemoglobin explained electrical charge differences and around that time population genetics captured the polymorphism, (co-existence of normal and sickle-cell alleles) in geographical areas with malaria, as a stable balanced polymorphism. Malaria has been among the most conspicuous selection pressures acting on the human genome. Very recently (Nature 2010 September 23; vol. 467(7314):420-5.) something interesting was publsihed about evolution of malaria. Explain briefly what. 1.c. Hemoglobin is not the only gene that is, and has been, under the selection pressure of malaria. Find out some other example(s). Use PubMed. (Practical advise next page) The basic selection model - ASSIGNMENT 1 / Evol disease genes 2010 / SVarvio 10 ASSIGNMENT 1 1.d. Find out (PubMed) other examples of balanced polymorphisms in humans and explain briefly what kind of arguments are given to support their maintenance as balanced polymorphisms. Hints: there are very little concrete evidence (as is with sickle cell anemia). There are, however, good reasons to vote for balancing selection as maintaining evolutionary factor for HLA, ABO… Using PubMed for screening papers is more practical within UH than at home: By performing PubMed-searches of your choice you get lists of publications of which you can usually open only the abstract if you are not at UH and also the full text within UH. If you are not at UH you can, of course, pick up a reference from PubMed, log in UH-library, e-journals, get the full text (see the detailed instructions in Assignment 2) The basic selection model - ASSIGNMENT 1 / Evol disease genes 2010 / SVarvio 11 Hardy-Weinberg ”equilibrium”, HWE (to recap) Summary of assumptions: The organism is diploid and reproduces sexually. Generations are nonoverlapping. The gene under consideration has two alleles, A and a. The allele frequencies, p and q, in the population, consisting of the individuals (genotypes), AA, Aa, aa are identical in males and females. Mating is random. Population size is very large (infinite). Migration is negligible. Mutation at the gene locus we consider is so rare that can be ignored (i.e. A mutating to a, or a to A). Natural selection does not affect the alleles under consideration. The assumption of infinite population means that random (stochastic) events can be ignored. Negligible migration means that, if there is another population with different allele frequencies, change of individuals (=migration) does not disturb the situation and violate the assumption of a closed system. Natural selection here means that A and a, or AA, Aa, aa perform equally well in reproduction, there are no fitness differences. These assumptions summarize the Hardy-Weinberg model. The basic selection model - ASSIGNMENT 1 / Evol disease genes 2010 / SVarvio 12 HWE (to recap) In Hardy-Weinberg model the relation between the allele frequencies, p and q (p + q = 1), and the genotype frequencies is given by AA : p2 Aa : 2pq aa : q2 , The formation of one generation from the previous generation as an outcome of repeated and independent trials (assuming random mating the choices of male gamete and female gamete are independent trials): pairs of gametes (carrying the alleles A and a), AA, Aa and aa, are expected in proportions given by ( p + q )2 = p2 + 2pq + q2 The basic selection model - ASSIGNMENT 1 / Evol disease genes 2010 / SVarvio 13 HWE (to recap) Frequency of zygotes (progeny) Mating Frequency of mating AA Aa aa AA x AA P2 1 0 0 AA x Aa 2PQ ½ ½ 0 AA x aa 2PR 0 1 0 Aa x Aa Q2 ¼ ½ ¼ Aa x aa 2QR 0 ½ ½ aa x aa R2 0 0 1 P´ Q´ R´ Totals (next gen.) P´ = P2 + (2PQ)/2 + Q2/4 = (P + Q/2)2 = p2 Q´ = (2PQ)/2 + 2PR + Q2/2 + (2QR)/2 = 2(P + Q/2)(R + Q/2) = 2pq R´ = Q2/4 + (2QR)/2 + R2 = (R + Q/2)2 = q2 So, random mating of genotypes - random union of gametes - HWE. The basic selection model - ASSIGNMENT 1 / Evol disease genes 2010 / SVarvio 14 HWE (to recap) With two alleles of gene, there are six possible types of matings (the left column in the table) When mating is random, the matings take place in proportion to the genotypic frequencies in the population, and the types of mating pairs are given by successive terms in the expansion of (P AA + Q Aa + R aa)2 The proportion of AA x AA matings is P x P = P2 and the proportion of AA x Aa matings is 2 x P x Q because the mating can be between either an AA female and an Aa male (P x Q) or Aa female and AA male (Q + P). The frequencies of these and the other types of matings are given in the second column. The next generation (zygotes from which progeny follow): Mendel´s law of segregation is taken into account. Aa heterozygote produces and equal number of A-bearing and abearing gametes. AA and aa homozygotes produce only A and a gametes, respectively. The mating AA x aa produces all Aa zygotes, the mating AA x Aa produces ½ AA and ½ Aa zygotes, Aa and Aa produces ¼ AA, ½ Aa, ¼ aa, etc. The basic selection model - ASSIGNMENT 1 / Evol disease genes 2010 / SVarvio 15 HWE (to recap) Why a model with so many restrictive assumptions? Are all these assumptions likely to be met in actual populations? HWE is not meant to be an exact description of any actual population, although actual populations often exhibit genotype frequencies predicted by it. HWE provides a null model, a prediction based on a simplified or idealized situation where no biological processes are acting and genotype frequencies are the result of random combination. Actual populations can be compared with this null model to test hypotheses about the evolutionary forces acting on allele and genotype frequencies. The important point and the original motivation for Hardy and Weinberg was to show that the process of particulate inheritance itself does not cause any changes in allele frequencies across generations. Thus, changes in allele frequency or departures from HWE expected genotype frequencies must be caused by processes that alter the outcome of basic inheritance. The basic selection model - ASSIGNMENT 1 / Evol disease genes 2010 / SVarvio 16