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IOC/SC-WESTPAC-XI/11.3 Restricted Distribution Bangkok, 16 March 2017 English only INTERGOVERNMENTAL OCEANOGRAPHIC COMMISSION (of UNESCO) Eleventh Intergovernmental Session of the IOC SubCommission for the Western Pacific (WESTPAC-XI) Qingdao, China, 21-23 April 2017 Item 5.1.3 of the Provisional Agenda PROGRESS REPORT ON AIR-SEA INTERACTION IN THE KUROSHIO EXTENSION AND ITS CLIMATE IMPACT (May 2015–April 2017) In accordance with Terms of Reference of IOC Sub-Commission for the Western Pacific, the report is provided to facilitate the consideration by the Sub-Commission on the progress made on the WESTPAC project on Air-Sea Interaction in the Kuroshio Extension and its Climate Impact. The Sub-Commission is invited to discuss about the progress made over the past intersessional period, provide directives and advice on its future development, and further identify resources and national commitments to its implementation in the region. IOC/SC-WESTPAC-XI/11.3 page 1 I. Project 1. Air-Sea Interaction in the Kuroshio Extension and its Climate Impact II. Project objectives and expected outputs/outcomes 2. Objectives: 1. 2. 3. 3. Establish the theoretical framework of the multiscale ocean-atmosphere interaction in the mid-latitudes, especially in the Kuroshio extension region, to provide a theoretical basis for understanding and predicting the global climate change. Develop sustainable observation networks in the Kuroshio extension region. Reveal the key physical processes in determining climate change and improve the understanding of ocean and climate predictability in the Western Pacific. Expected Outcomes: 1. 2. 3. 4. Develop a high-resolution regional coupled model system. Establish the international cooperation in observation and research in the Kuroshio extension region. Publish papers on the word-class SCI journals and write brief introduction documents to IOC/WESTPAC for member states sharing. Scientific communication among participants. III. Principal Investigator (Chairperson) and Project Steering Group 4. Chair: Lixin Wu, Ocean University of China 5. Co-Chair: Xiaopei Lin, Ocean University of China Ping Chang, Texas A&M University 6. Steering Group: Lixin Wu, Ocean University of China Xiaopei Lin, Ocean University of China Ping Chang, Texas A&M University Shang-Ping Xie, Scripps Oceanography Institution Bo Qiu, University of Hawaii Meghan F Cronin, NOAA Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, USA Hisashi Nakamura, University of Tokyo, Japan Yoshimi Kawai, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Japan Peter Brandt, GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, Germany IV. Terms of Reference of the Project Steering Group Composition: 7. The Project Steering Group is constituted by the outstanding scientists in different areas, such as observation, modeling research, air-sea interaction and ocean dynamics. According to the specialty of members, each member is in charge of the relevant part of project Functions: 8. The Project Steering Group is established to meet the scientific, managerial, implementation, and resource needs of the study of air-sea interaction in the Kuroshio extension region. IOC/SC-WESTPAC-XI/11.3 page 2 9. The Group carries out the following functions: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. V. Review and identify programme requirements; Promote efficient and cost-effective implementation of the programme and prepare recommendations on this implementation to the WESTPAC; Identify the resources necessary to meet the programme needs; Ensure effective interaction and communication with regional intergovernmental as well as regional and global non-governmental organizations involved in the research; Report to the WESTPAC Activities carried out and/or to be carried out during the last intersessional period (May 2015 – April 2017) 1. Publication since 2015 10. Over 60 papers regarding to Pacific Ocean dynamics and climate change have been published on the high-level SCI journals since 2015, among which two papers entitled “Western boundary currents regulated by interaction between ocean eddies and the atmosphere” (Ping Chang as lead investigator) and “Observing mesoscale eddy effects on mode-water subduction and transport in the North Pacific” (Shang-Ping Xie as lead investigator) published on Nature in 2016 and Nature Communications in 2015, respectively, are in the spotlight. 11. By focusing on the Kuroshio Extension Jet (KEJ) east of Japan as the direct continuation of the Kuroshio and conducting sensitivity experiments with a high-resolution Coupled Regional Climate Model covering the entire North Pacific Ocean, we show that feedback between ocean mesoscale eddies and the atmosphere (OME-A) is fundamental to the dynamics and control of these energetic currents. The finding has important implications for improving climate models’ representation of major oceanic fronts, which are essential components in the simulation and prediction of extratropical storms and other extreme events, as well as in the projection of the effect on these events of climate change. 12. In late March 2014, we deployed 17 Argo-profiling floats with enhanced daily sampling in an anticyclonic eddy (AC) south of the Kuroshio Extension (KE), which provides a unique opportunity for the first time to observe the eddy subduction processes in the western North Pacific. Analysis of over 3,000 hydrographic profiles following the AC reveals that potential vorticity and apparent oxygen utilization distributions are asymmetric outside the AC core, with enhanced subduction near the southeastern rim of the AC. Figure 1 Schematic of OME-A feedback regulating the KEJ (published on Nature) IOC/SC-WESTPAC-XI/11.3 page 3 2. Cruises in the Northwestern Pacific Ocean 13. Until recently, there have been quite limited high-resolution observations in the Kuroshio extension region. One project providing systematic observational data is the Kuroshio Extension System Study (KESS), launched from 2004 to 2006 and funded by US National Science Foundation (NSF), which deployed an observing array consisting of Argo profiling floats, mooredprofiler, moorings, Current-Pressure equipped Inverted Echo Sounder (CPIES) as well as a surface buoy (KEO) located south of the Kuroshio. North of the Kuroshio, another buoy (JKEO) was deployed by the Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC) Institute in 2007. However, JKEO has been discontinued after the end of the Japanese HOTSPOT project in 2015. Following KESS and Japanese HOTSPOT projects, a new observational plan in the Kuroshio extension region under IOC Sub-Commission for the Western Pacific (WESTPAC), Air-Sea Interaction in the Kuroshio Extension and its Climate Impact (AIKEC) led by the Ocean University of China (OUC) and the Texas A&M University (TAMU), was setup to maintain continuous and sustainable observations in this region. 14. Supported by the Ministry of Science and Technology of China, the Natural Science Foundation of China and the Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology, systematic observations in the Northwestern Pacific Ocean are carried out during four cruises from 2014 to 2016 conducted by OUC. A summary of these cruises is shown in Figure 2. Two moorings have been deployed during the past two years: south of the Kuroshio extension where most of cold oceanic eddies occur, the M1 mooring has been placed near NOAA KEO buoy, so that the flux measurement can be combined with oceanic measurements to quantify the importance of interaction between oceanic eddy and atmosphere in this region; north of the Kuroshio extension where most of warm oceanic eddies and the most intensive mesoscale air-sea couplings occur, the M2 mooring has been deployed in the 2016 cruise. In our future plan (2017-2018), two new surface flux buoys will be deployed to the north of the Kuroshio extension to focus on the mesoscale airsea interaction dynamics. The first surface flux buoy, named CKEO1, will be deployed in September 2017 and placed at around M2 to serve as a contrast with those in the south of the Kuroshio extension. The second surface flux buoy, named CKEO2, will be deployed during the autumn of 2018 and placed to the east of CKEO1 at around 160°E to monitor the different behaviors of upstream/downstream air-sea interactions in the Kuroshio extension. In addition to subsurface moorings and surface buoys, CPIES will be deployed near M1 and M2 moorings to measure the high-resolution current, which assist to study the energy cascading of the small scale oceanic eddies. 15. With respect to the completed cruises, we have done a lot of work in the Kuroshio extension region. The 2014 research cruise took place from 17 March to 23 April 2014, and it was carried out by the research vessel “Dong Fang Hong 2”. In the 38-day voyage, researchers deployed 25 sets of Argo floats and, for the first time in China, a deep-sea (6000m) mooring system (M0) in the Kuroshio extension region (Figure 2). In November 2015, another deep-sea mooring (M1) with McLane Moored Profiler (MMP) mounted was deployed and successfully recovered in the 2016. The 2016 cruise also deployed another subsurface mooring at the same location (M1) and a new subsurface mooring in the north of the Kuroshio Extension in the east of JKEO (M2). In addition to subsurface moorings, hundreds of radiosondes and ConductivityTemperature-Depth (CTD) casts have been conducted during the previous cruises to profile the atmospheric boundary layer, lower troposphere and the upper-layer ocean. IOC/SC-WESTPAC-XI/11.3 page 4 Figure 2 Moorings, Buoys and CTD/Argo/MSS positions in the new observation plan 3. Session in the 10th WESTPAC International Scientific Conference 16. We are now organizing a session for the 10th WESTPAC International Scientific Conference next year. The session will be focusing on the Western Boundary Currents (WBCs), particularly on its dynamics, variability and impacts on climate and marine ecosystems. In this session, we wish to seek contributions from studies including, but not limited to, multi-scale variability of the WBCs, interactions between WBCs and marginal seas, meso/submeso-scale and frontal processes in the WBC extensions, air-sea interaction, and impact of WBCs on marine ecosystems. This session will be co-chaired by Zhaohui Chen and Xiaopei Lin from Ocean University of China, Bo Qiu from University of Hawaii at Manoa, and Stuart P. Bishop from North Carolina State University. VI. Problems encountered and actions to be considered by the 11th Intergovernmental Session, tentatively scheduled for April 21-23, 2017, Qingdao, China 1. 2. 3. Further promote the international cooperation among the Pacific Rim countries. Integrate the existing observation systems to develop a systematic observation network. Strengthen communication and education to improve the observation capability and academic levels of the member states of WESTPAC. IOC/SC-WESTPAC-XI/11.3 page 5 VII. Workplan and Budget for May 2017 – May 2019 Program Activities Air-Sea Interaction in 1. The third the Kuroshio ‘International Extension and its Symposium on Climate Impact Boundary Current dynamics’ Objectives Expected outputs/outcomes Discuss the studies in the Western Boundary Regions Improve understanding of the boundary current dynamics and raise level of climate prediction Date and place July 2017, Qingdao Funding Required Other sources (i.e. from IOC national or international) 10,000 USD 50,000 USD Remark