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OUT WITH THE OLD AND IN WITH THE NEW…. TRADITIONAL STRATEGY FORMULATION IS NO LONGER APT FOR THE DIGITAL AGE Ethel Claffey Trinity College - University of Dublin, College Green, Dublin 2, Ireland. Phone: 00353 87 7777560 Email: [email protected] Track: Marketing POSTGRADUATE PAPER Supervisor: Dr Mairead Brady WORKING PAPER INTRODUCTION There has been much discussion on everything ‘new’: new products, new consumers (Assael, 2004; Spero and Stone, 2004; Hawkins et al., 2004) new technologies (Goldenberg, 2005; Vrechopoulos et al., 2005; European Commission, 2005), new services (Brady and Saren, 2005) and even the new knowledge economy (Schewe and Meredith, 2004). While some may consider it merely trendy to discuss such issues, and others may scorn this obsession with everything ‘new’, the fact remains that marketing managers ignore newness at their peril. Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs) are described by many as always ‘new’ in that they are constantly evolving, becoming faster, more useful, and more intelligent. ‘ICT technologies allow marketers to perform traditional tasks in new ways, new tasks and augmented tasks, many of which are starting to impact on and often transform marketing practice’ (Brady and Saren, 2005: 1). Naude and Holland (2004) describe developments in information technology as having fundamentally changed how we conceptualise marketing tasks. New ICTs are constantly emerging, altering business methods, and particularly, the relationship an organisation establishes with its customers. It is argued that emerging technologies will revolutionise the marketing world (Snyder and Edward, 2004; Tapscott, 1998; Spero and Stone, 2004). Next generation technologies identified in the literature include Radio Frequency Identification (White et al. 2006), pervasive communication services (Vrechopoulos et al., 2003; European Commission, 2005) and biometrics (Shugan, 2004). To survive and succeed in the complex business world all companies – from feisty upstarts to established industry leaders – must develop a strategy that embraces and takes maximum advantage of the latest trends in technology. Yet, many organisations have been slow to develop and exploit an ICT-heavy strategy, and have certainly not yet considered the ramifications of future and emerging technological developments. This paper reviews the attributes of next generation ICTs, with a view to appreciating their potential impact on the role of, and strategy to be developed by, the marketing manager. The research forms a part of a wider PhD study currently being undertaken by the paper’s author. This will make a necessary and timely empirical contribution, particularly in terms of new consumer behaviour, providing marketing practitioners and students with a greater insight and understanding of how best to integrate these technologies with existing marketing practices. TRADITIONAL STRATEGY FORMULATION Since the 1970s marketing managers have fervently embraced the processes and tools of strategic marketing which have been variously defined as ‘forward-looking plans that anticipate change and initiate actions to take advantage of opportunities that are integrated into the concept of the company’ (Newman and Logan, 1971:8); ‘a market-driven process of strategy development that takes into account a constantly changing business environment and the need to deliver superior customer value’ (Cravens and Piercy, 2003:31); and as ‘the managerial process of developing and maintaining a viable fit between the organisation’s objectives, skills, and resources and its changing marketing opportunities’ (Kotler, 2004:65). In recent years, the growth in the use of ICTs has presented special challenges and opportunities for marketing managers (Assael, 2004). Moreover, in an era in which firms face an increasingly competitive environment, it is essential that marketers explore the opportunities provided by next generation ICTs. Brady and Saren (2005) argue that marketers need to have the skills to capitalise on developments in ICTs not only for the benefit of the organisation but for the good of consumers and society. In the future, expertise in emerging technologies will become crucial to the success of an organisation (Struse, 2000). Experience worldwide shows that the effective use of ICTs is now one of the most successful ways to increase sales, productivity and profits, if incorporated effectively into the strategic planning process (Shiels et al., 2003). While much has been written about the potential impact of the Internet on marketing strategies (Murray and Ko, 2002; Deighton and Barwise, 2001; Smith and Chaffey, 2002; Constantinides, 2004 ) very little of the debate has focused on the adoption of technologies and techniques that go above and beyond the scope of today’s Internet. As research and developments in ICTs forge ahead, they create significant change in the way consumers behave, and by implication in how marketing strategy needs to be adapted to cater for this change. It is argued that next generation ICTs have the potential to allow users to dismiss all advertising materials (Doolin, 2006). A recent survey conducted by the Association of National Advertisers (ANA) and Forrester Research, Inc. found that 78% of advertisers feel that traditional television advertising has become less effective in the past two years. More particularly, it determined that almost 70% of advertisers think that DVRs (Digital Video Recorders) and video-on-demand will reduce or destroy the effectiveness of traditional 30second commercials. They believe technology gives consumers the power to watch or record television without the necessity to watch any advertisements. As another example one only has to consider the impact of consumer reviews for products in web sites such as Epinions (www.epinions.com) where consumers provide their own insights and reviews for cars, electronics, books, travel and so on. It is evident, therefore, the marketers need to reformulate their product communication strategies in order to reach this new generation of consumer. Why Focus on Technology Attributes? This research concentrates on the emerging attributes of next generation ICTs that may have a direct impact on consumer behaviour, and by implication on marketing practice. This has the benefit of providing a generalised look at emerging ICTs rather than tying the research to set of technologies which may never see a complete adoption in the marketplace. In general, previous marketing and technology related studies have focused on specific new technologies in an attempt to describe or predict their implications for marketing practice. For example, previous studies have shown that the Internet has had and should continue to have a significant impact on businesses and the way in which they interact with customers (Boyer and Hult, 2006; Chen and Lee, 2005; Constantinides, 2004). Other technologies identified as having a significant impact on consumer behaviour and by implication on marketing practice include mobile communications (Mullins and Doolin, 2005) and databases (Desai et al., 1998; Fisher et al., 2000). However, time has proven that not all specific predictions have been completely accurate. For example, McNair and May (1978), Rosenberg and Hirschman (1980), and Schneiderman (1980) shared the belief that electronic shopping would become the dominant mode of shopping in the early 21st century. What Are These New Attributes? There are many attributes for next generation ICTs which may be investigated as part of this research such as convenience, information handling, biometric information processing, neural marketing and pervasive communications. While it would be an onerous task to attempt to categorise all the attributes of next generation ICTs that may impact on consumers, this research will focus on a number of key emerging ICT characteristics. Pervasive Communications Doolin (2005) explained that when a technology becomes truly pervasive it displays characteristics such as mobility, ubiquity, personalisation and context awareness, allowing a consumer to access multiple media on multiple device types, e.g. wearable computers and embedded sensors, in multiple locations. Mobility Vrechopoulos et al. (2005) indicated that the changing role of mobile communications is reflected in the increasing use of mobile devices for e-commerce purposes. Through mobility developments, and the introduction of the mobile device, marketers now have a means to access globally located consumers, thus providing marketers with the opportunity to create a virtual global advertising marketplace. It also provides a means for consumers to make rapid product decisions and to purchase products from any location (Mullins and Doolin, 2005). Ubiquity Weiser (1991:94) stated that “the most profound technologies are those that disappear … they weave themselves into the fabric of everyday life until they are indistinguishable from it”. Sorensen and Gibson (2004) found that the vision of ubiquitous computing can be viewed as the ultimate convergence of society and technology, where there is no longer any distinction between the two. In a truly ubiquitous technology society, consumers will have access to mobile devices and computers every where they go, and at all times during their day-to-day lives. This provides marketers with an audience for advertising information that is potentially “always-on” as opposed to the current state of play whereby consumers are contactable intermittently (Doolin et al. 2006). The previous two attributes illustrate that in the near future marketers and consumers will be able to interact from any location, on multiple device types (e.g. on a consumer’s personal mobile device, or from a public kiosk etc). However, recent studies have shown that consumers want to feel unique (Assael, 2004; Schewe and Meredith, 2004) and there are further characteristics of pervasive communications that could allow marketers to harness this fact and should make the opportunity to do this become less daunting i.e. context and personalisation (Venkatesh, 1998). The importance of personalisation cannot be understated. Goldsmith (1999) suggests that personalisation is so important to marketing strategy that it should become a key part of the marketing mix. Another aspect of pervasive communications is the ability to provide personalised marketing information to consumers (Barlow et al, 2004); this again raises many questions in terms of future marketing strategy. Context Context refers to any piece of information that tells a system about a user’s status, for example time, temperature, location (Pils, 2005; Doolin et al., 2005). With the evolution of technologies such as wearable sensors, RFID (Radio Frequency Identification) and sensor networks, it will become possible to infer key information about a consumer and so provide context-specific marketing information to them (Albrecht, 2002) . An example of this could be an instant message to a consumer’s mobile device to inform them about special offers in a store close to their location. Personalisation Personalisation research allows service providers and marketers to create personalised information for consumers. A simple example of this is the provision of advertising information based on a consumer’s personal language preference, or based on a consumer’s price range preferences (Goldsmith, 1999; Barlow et al, 2004). When combined with context information, this presents marketing strategists with a very powerful communication tool. CONCLUSION ‘Technological innovations ensure that, as soon as consumer behaviour in any field is on the verge of stability and explainability, new products and services are introduced to destabilise the consumer behaviour model so as to create competitive openings for challengers, niche players, and other contenders’ (Firat et al., 1995:40). It would seem essential that marketing managers must re-examine how best to integrate next generation technologies with existing marketing channels and practices. 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