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Use quantitative techniques in marketing research Overview of quantitative research and research design What is quantitative research? 2 3 Survey methods 4 Experimentation methods 6 Experimental research designs Causal relationships Key elements of an experiment Test marketing Uses of test marketing Summary Key terms for your glossary Feedback to Activities and Check your progress exercise 9775J: 6 Marketing Research OTEN, 2002/122/5/2003 P0026682 LO: 2002_313_006_ot 7 8 8 11 11 13 15 16 1 Overview of quantitative research and research design Activity 1: Research definitions From your reading, note definitions for the terms listed below. Term Definition quantitative qualitative sample survey computer-assisted telephone interviewing observation experimentation independent variables dependent variables extraneous variables test marketing To check your answers, refer to the feedback at the end of this topic. 2 9775J: 6 Marketing Research OTEN, 2002/122/5/2003 P0026682 LO: 2002_313_006_ot What is quantitative research? Quantitative research is a data collection procedure that can be considered as a part of the second step of the research process. Primary research can be classified as either one of the following: qualitative quantitative. Activity 2: Review qualitative vs quantitative research Complete the following table to illustrate the differences between qualitative and quantitative research. Criteria Qualitative Quantitative Objective Sample size Data collection Data analysis Outcome of research To check your answers, refer to the feedback at the end of this topic. Types of quantitative research While the aim of qualitative research is to stimulate ideas and insights into a problem situation, quantitative research is designed to explain what is happening in the market and how often it is happening. It is normally conducted by using a large sample of research subjects with a more formal and structured research process. Quantitative research techniques fall into two major categories: descriptive—comprises surveys and observations causal—encompasses experimentation and test marketing. In this topic, we will look at each of these different techniques. 9775J: 6 Marketing Research OTEN, 2002/122/5/2003 P0026682 LO: 2002_313_006_ot 3 Survey methods Surveys use written questions or interviews to ask people for information. The people who participate in a survey are called respondents. Surveys provide a quick and efficient method of assessing information about a market. They can be quite flexible and when properly conducted are extremely valuable to the marketer. There are three major ways of administering surveys: 1 person-administered surveys 2 computer-administered surveys 3 self-administered surveys. Each of these methods has distinctive advantages and disadvantages. Your readings outline the criteria used to assess these different survey techniques in the chapters on survey research. Activity 3: Assessing survey methods What criteria can be used for assessing the appropriateness of a survey method? Try to list between five to 10 criteria. _________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________ To check your answers, refer to the feedback at the end of this topic. 4 9775J: 6 Marketing Research OTEN, 2002/122/5/2003 P0026682 LO: 2002_313_006_ot Activity 4: Choosing a survey technique Read the following scenarios—and then for each scenario decide which survey technique you could use. Ensure that you also provide your reasons for your choices. Scenario Possible survey technique—and reasons for choice 1 You have just received a brief for a research project from a regional bus company. They require the research to be conducted within a one-week period focused on a clearly defined target market of 18 to 55-year-olds who live in the regional area but work outside of this zone. The budget is fairly limited and a structured questionnaire is recommended to reduce interviewer bias. Due to time restrictions data needs to be collected and ready for analysis very quickly. 2 A local radio station wants to know how many residents in the local area are listening to a particular segment. They need the information in the next two weeks and their budget is limited. 3 A museum wants you to conduct research into the satisfaction level of customers in relation to its range of exhibits. The research has a time frame of three months and budget is not an issue. Some of the information sought is sensitive in nature. 4 A retailer who sells directly through the Internet wants some customer feedback on the effectiveness of their website. 5 A leading soft drink manufacturer has just launched a new product and wants to determine the reaction to its new advertising campaign. To check your answers, refer to the feedback at the end of this topic. 9775J: 6 Marketing Research OTEN, 2002/122/5/2003 P0026682 LO: 2002_313_006_ot 5 Experimentation methods Imagine you are the marketing manager for a consumer paint company. Surveys and feedback from sales representatives have told you that consumers are confused about which types of paints and colours are best for their particular requirements. As a marketing manager, you have responded quickly and have developed a number of point-of-sale displays for retail outlets. However, you are not sure which display will work best and you want to investigate the alternatives further. How would you conduct this type of research? You might follow one of the approaches below. You might rotate the displays and use a questionnaire or observation to determine the effectiveness of each. You might rotate the displays and compare the sales generated by each. You might suggest that displays are placed in different stores and compare the sales generated in each store. None of these approaches is totally satisfactory. Any differences across stores or across sites could be the result of the new display—or any of a number of other factors that have not been controlled. For example, paint sales tend to be seasonal so the timing of the surveys needs to take this into account. An increase in sales could be due to the number of new housing starts or renovations and have nothing to do with the new point-of-sale displays. Alternatively, competitors might have cut paint prices in one store and not in another and this, rather than the new display, could have reduced sales. The problem is that you can’t be sure whether the difference in sales is due to the new display or some other factor or factors. 6 9775J: 6 Marketing Research OTEN, 2002/122/5/2003 P0026682 LO: 2002_313_006_ot Experimental research designs There are two types of experimental environments: 1 laboratory 2 field. A laboratory experiment allows the researcher to have direct control over most of the crucial factors that might affect the results. However, the testing environment tends to be unnatural—for example, watching a television ad in a caravan rather than in a living room means there are none of the normal kinds of distractions. Field experiments are carried out in a more natural setting, in an environment where the behaviour being studied would most likely occur. Activity 5: Experimental environments Indicate whether the following experiments are classified as field or laboratory experimental designs. Experiment 1 Taste testing in a supermarket (controlled environment) 2 On-air testing of ads on television 3 Testing advertising in a caravan 4 Testing concepts in a focus group 5 Testing new display for pest control products in a supermarket Field or laboratory? To check your answers, refer to the feedback at the end of this topic. 9775J: 6 Marketing Research OTEN, 2002/122/5/2003 P0026682 LO: 2002_313_006_ot 7 Causal relationships As mentioned earlier in this topic, experiments are an example of a causal research design. The major objective is to obtain evidence of cause and effect (causal) relationships: that is, to identify how one factor (the independent variable) can affect another factor (the dependent variable). Key elements of an experiment An experiment has the four key elements: independent variables; dependent variables; experimental and control groups; and random assignment. Independent variables These are the variables that are manipulated in an experiment to see if they affect the value of the dependent variable. The independent variable can be considered the cause in an experiment. In our previous example in this topic (under the heading ‘Experimentation methods’), the colour display is the independent variable. Dependent variables These depend on the level of the independent variable. The dependent variable is the effect or result of an experiment. In our previous example, the sales were the dependent variable because the level of sales depended on the type of display. Experimental and control groups Usually at least two groups participate in an experiment—the experimental group and the control group. The group that is exposed to the manipulation of the independent variable is called the experimental group. The group that is not exposed is called the control group. 8 9775J: 6 Marketing Research OTEN, 2002/122/5/2003 P0026682 LO: 2002_313_006_ot In medical research, for example, the experimental group would be given the ‘real’ drug for trial and the control group would given the ‘placebo’. Results in the experimental group are then compared to results in the control group. The stores in which the paint display was used would be the experimental group. The stores that do not have the display would be the control group. Random assignment This kind of assignment of subjects (or test units), such as which stores are chosen to participate in the study, should take into account those extraneous variables that are hard to control. Random assignment attempts to spread the influence of extraneous variables equally across groups and control for their effects. For example, if each test store for the paint display is located in an area where building activity is high, while the stores not selected are in areas where building activity is low, this could potentially affect the results. Activity 6: Dependent and independent variables For each of the following situations, identify the: 1 independent variable dependent variable extraneous variable. Which advertising messages have the greatest impact on consumer attitudes? _____________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________ 2 Do the features of a new mobile phone match the needs of the market? _____________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________ 9775J: 6 Marketing Research OTEN, 2002/122/5/2003 P0026682 LO: 2002_313_006_ot 9 3 Do coupons and discounts encourage more people to visit the store? _____________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________ 4 Will upgrading amenities at a theme park increase visitor levels? _____________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________ To check your answers, refer to the feedback at the end of this topic. 10 9775J: 6 Marketing Research OTEN, 2002/122/5/2003 P0026682 LO: 2002_313_006_ot Test marketing Test marketing is a controlled experiment. In Australia, test marketing is usually done in selected markets, like Wollongong or Newcastle in New South Wales or Adelaide in South Australia. The marketing mix components like price, product, promotion and distribution are the independent variables. These variables are varied across the test market and sales (dependent variables) are monitored. Uses of test marketing Test marketing has two main uses for the marketer: to determine the demand or acceptance of a product to test different levels of marketing-mix variables such as price levels, packaging or where a product is made available Activity 7: Selecting test markets What are some of the factors that need to be considered when selecting test markets? (Identify five or more.) _________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________ To check your answers, refer to the feedback at the end of this topic. 9775J: 6 Marketing Research OTEN, 2002/122/5/2003 P0026682 LO: 2002_313_006_ot 11 Activity 8: Exploring test markets Newcastle is often used as a test market in Australia. Visit the Internet to learn what makes Newcastle a good test market using the factors you’ve listed in the above activity (ie, Activity 10) as a guide. One of the easiest ways to access this information is to go to the ABS home page www.abs.gov.au. The follow these steps: 1 Click on ‘Statistics’. 2 Scroll down to ‘Census of Population’ and ‘Housing’. 3 Click on ‘Community Profiles’. 4 Click on ‘State of NSW’ and then ‘Hunter (Statistical Division)’. 5 Click on ‘Newcastle (Statistical Division)’ and look at the information tables available. Once you have collected information from this site, go to www.yahoo.com and do a search on Newcastle Australia. Click onto the Newcastle website and take a look at the following categories: news and media business and shopping community. Now refer to the feedback at the end of this topic. 12 9775J: 6 Marketing Research OTEN, 2002/122/5/2003 P0026682 LO: 2002_313_006_ot Summary In this topic, we looked at different types of quantitative research techniques, namely: survey observations experiments test marketing. Quantitative research is used for two different types of research designs: descriptive causal. Descriptive research design includes surveys and observations. Causal research design includes experimental projects, particularly test marketing. Check your progress Here are seven multiple-choice questions to test of your knowledge of what you should have learned in this topic. If you answered fewer than eight out of ten questions correctly, you should go back over the topic and re-do some of the activities. 1 Which of the following statements about surveys is false? (a) The person who answers an interviewer’s questions is called a respondent. (b) Surveys can obtain information about attitudes but not demographic information. (c) A survey is a method of primary data collection. (d) Surveys may be conducted to quantify certain factual information. 9775J: 6 Marketing Research OTEN, 2002/122/5/2003 P0026682 LO: 2002_313_006_ot 13 2 Compared with personal interviews, telephone interviews generally: (a) are not a prime method of survey research (b) are appropriate for collecting information on personal or sensitive topics (c) provide less representative samples (d) All of the above. 3 When comparing telephone interviews to door-to-door personal interviews, telephone interviews are more appropriately described by each of the following characteristics except: (a) faster speed of data collection (b) greater geographic flexibility (c) lower possibility for respondent misunderstanding (d) easier call-back or follow-up. 4 Questionnaires that present a challenge to the marketing researcher because they rely on the efficiency of the written word rather than the skills of the interviewer are: (a) personal interviews (b) self-administered questionnaires (c) telephone enquiries (d) face-to-face communications. 5 Which of the following devices is typically most effective in increasing marketing research response rates in mail surveys? (a) monetary incentive (b) personalised cover letter (c) type of postage used to mail the questionnaire (d) colour of the questionnaire. 14 9775J: 6 Marketing Research OTEN, 2002/122/5/2003 P0026682 LO: 2002_313_006_ot 6 Which method differs from other research methods because it gives the researcher a high degree of control over the research situation? (a) surveys (b) experiments (c) observation studies (d) secondary data studies. 7 Which of the following types of content cannot be observed? (a) physical actions and evidences such as shopping patterns (b) verbal behaviour such as sales conversations (c) expressive behaviour such as tone of voice or smiling (d) attitudinal reactions such as preference. To check your answers, refer to the feedback at the end of this topic. Key terms for your glossary Research terminology is often specific and frequently uses words in a different way to their common meaning. Write up your own definitions for these key terms and place them in your personal glossary. quantitative qualitative sample survey computer-assisted telephone interviewing observation experimentation independent variables dependent variables extraneous variables test marketing 9775J: 6 Marketing Research OTEN, 2002/122/5/2003 P0026682 LO: 2002_313_006_ot 15 Feedback to Activities and Check your progress exercise Activity 1 16 Term Definition quantitative involves the collection of a large body of data, usually by survey, and making a statistical analysis of it qualitative gathering, analysing and interpreting data by observing what people say and do sample a subset of a larger population survey a means of gathering data by communicating in some way with a sample computer-assisted telephone interviewing surveys conducted by telephone where the interviewer is prompted by a computer which also gathers the responses observation techniques where researchers rely on their powers of observation rather than communicating with a respondent experimentation manipulating an independent variable to see how it affects a dependent variable independent variable a variable over which the researcher has some control—eg, level of advertising expenditure and type of display dependent variable a variable over which the researcher has no control but strong interest—eg, sales of apples extraneous variable a variable which can affect the dependent variable but is not an independent variable—eg, the weather and marketing employed by competitors test marketing an experiment conducted in a field setting 9775J: 6 Marketing Research OTEN, 2002/122/5/2003 P0026682 LO: 2002_313_006_ot Activity 2 Criteria Qualitative Quantitative Objective To gain an understanding of the problem. Measure the data gathered from a sample. Sample size small large Data collection unstructured structured—often using a questionnaire Data analysis words—based on subjective judgement statistical—based on figures Outcome of research A deeper understanding of what is occurring. Findings are generalised to recommend a course of action. Activity 3 The criteria used to assess the different survey research methods include: time budget desired quality of data incidence rate willingness of respondents to participate ability of respondents to participate diversity of respondents complexity of tasks amount of information required per respondent topic sensitivity. Activity 4 Scenario 1 You have just received a brief for a research project from a regional bus company. They require the research to be conducted within a one-week period focussed on a clearly defined target market of 18 to 55-year-olds who live in the regional area but work outside of this zone. The budget is fairly limited and a structured questionnaire is recommended to reduce interviewer 9775J: 6 Marketing Research OTEN, 2002/122/5/2003 P0026682 LO: 2002_313_006_ot Possible survey technique—and reasons for choice A computer-assisted telephone interview survey provides a fairly good means of sample control, a good response rate, and quick, inexpensive administration from data collection right through to data preparation. 17 Scenario Possible survey technique—and reasons for choice bias. Due to time restrictions data needs to be collected and ready for analysis very quickly. 2 A local radio station wants to know how many residents in the local area are listening to a particular segment. They need the information in the next two weeks and their budget is limited. A computer-assisted telephone interview would give you: a good response rate good sample control over the local area a large number of interviews in a short space of time for relatively little cost. Radio listening figures from a syndicated source might also be used in this case if they were current and inexpensive to obtain, remembering that the company needs information quickly and is on a budget. 3 A museum wants you to conduct research into the satisfaction level of customers in relation to its range of exhibits. The research has a time frame of three months and budget is not an issue. Some of the information sought is sensitive in nature. You could use either of two methods—a self-administered mail questionnaire or a personal interview. A self-administered mail questionnaire would give you good sample control without interviewer bias and a high rate of anonymity for the respondent is maintained. However, response rates are likely to be poor. A personal interview on the other hand would give even better sample control because you would be talking to customers who are actually in the museum. The response rate is likely to be high and the flexibility of the questionnaire will be greater. Unless the information you are seeking is of a sensitive nature, you will be better off with the personal interview. 18 4 A retailer who sells directly through the Internet wants some customer feedback on the effectiveness of their website. As the customers are already familiar with the Internet, a web-based survey would be the quickest and least expensive to use. The survey could be incorporated into the site and would appear as the customer logs on. 5 A leading soft drink manufacturer has just launched a new product and wants to determine the reaction to its new advertising campaign. A personal interview would give the best results in this instance. The interviews could be advertised and carried out in a shopping mall. This medium would also allow visual materials to be used and allow for extended probing if warranted. 9775J: 6 Marketing Research OTEN, 2002/122/5/2003 P0026682 LO: 2002_313_006_ot Activity 5 Experiment Field or laboratory? 1 Taste testing in a supermarket (controlled environment) laboratory 2 On-air testing of ads on television field 3 Testing advertising in a caravan laboratory 4 Testing concepts in a focus group laboratory 5 Testing new display for pest control products in a supermarket field Activity 6 If consumer attitudes depend on a specific advertising message, the dependent variable is consumer attitudes. The independent variable is the advertising messages. Extraneous variables could be special sales promotions by competitors, a colour advertisement that is used instead of black and white, etc. If the needs of the market depend on the features of a new mobile phone, the dependent variable is the needs of the market. The independent variable is the new mobile phone features. Extraneous variables could be the introduction of a new paging system or a tax incentive by the government for those who buy a new mobile phone. If people visiting the store depend on what coupons and discounts are used, the dependent variable is people visiting the store. The independent variables are the coupons and discounts. Extraneous variables could be rainy weather keeping people indoors, or a new marketplace opening down the road. If patronage depends on the quality of the amenities of the theme park, then the dependent variable is the level of patronage and the independent variable is the renovation of the amenities. Extraneous variables could include the weather, the level of competition and the time of the year (eg, school holidays). Activity 7 The factors to consider in test market selection are: population size demographic composition and lifestyle considerations—are they representative of the population of concern? 9775J: 6 Marketing Research OTEN, 2002/122/5/2003 P0026682 LO: 2002_313_006_ot 19 competitive situation—what similar products/services already exist in this city? media coverage and efficiency media isolation self-contained trading areas over-used test markets availability of scanner data. Activity 8 The other types of information you can readily access free-of-charge include median age, personal weekly income, percentage of full ownership of housing and other selected characteristics. If you were purchasing syndicated information, you could specify any required demographic areas within your specified area of interest. Simply typing in ‘Newcastle’ into your search engine will give you access to a wealth of information about lifestyle, culture and business. Using this information (together with the information available through the Yahoo search engine), you should note the mix of population in the Newcastle region as well as the local media coverage that makes this region a good test market. You can click on a number of countries for a wealth of information on geography, government, economy, transportation, communications and defence. Clicking on one of these options provides up-to-date information on that particular country. Check your progress 20 1 (b) 2 (b) 3 (c) 4 (b) 5 (a) 6 (b) 7 (d) 9775J: 6 Marketing Research OTEN, 2002/122/5/2003 P0026682 LO: 2002_313_006_ot